US30 US500 - Back down?Reversal here? Price returned to fill biggest imbalance on the 1HR. Bias is still bearish. Taking a short near the top. SL 50 points current top on 1M.
DJI
SQQQ Simple Chart AnalysisSQQQ - For those who don't have short play in your trading platform, you may actually consider this SQQQ to long. As long Nasdaq continue to fall, this chart will rise. Is a vice versa kind of chart.
- If Nasdaq fail to rebound strongly today at support, individual may consider this to long.
How to view the guidance via chart ( Refer back to pin message guidance if to trade )
Red Line = Support
Blue Line = Resistance
Light Blue = bullish/bearish pattern
Arrow = Double/Trip top/bottom
Red Chip = $$
Green Chip = XX
DJI Potential For Bearish ContinuationLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for DJI is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market. Looking for a sell entry at 33498.93, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is to form a triple top retail formation . Stop loss will be at 34243.87, where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is. I am looking to take profit at 32485.23, where the previous lows and liquidity lies.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
SPX | Will this time be different?World on terror in 2001, world on Russia in 2022.
Sticky inflation, explosive dollar and a tech bubble.
And a housing crisis brewing? Not a recipe for success.
I don't understand why anyone would expect actual, long-term growth from this exact point.
The chart above shows something peculiar. We have bearishly tried to escape the ribbon and failed (for now?).
Also the recent peak occurred in the 1.272 extension of 2000 peak, to 2009 bottom. A brief blow-off top in Dec.21 killed any hope of further growth. We have tremendous resistance above us, are we up for the task? Do we have heaps of money or are we over-leveraged from the 2-year party we had?
Also look at this peculiar era. A linear channel that barely deviated from its course shaped the previous years. And now we lost all support. A long-term rising channel isn't very bullish for me. We have analyzed it with many many methods, that since the GFC we are experiencing RSI Divergence (RSI printing lower highs, price printing higher highs).
Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground.
-Father Grigori
PS: I <3 HL2
BITCOIN has always started a rally when Dow did this.This is the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJI) against Bitcoin (BTCUSD) illustrated by the black trend-line. Every since September and the touch of its 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), Dow has been rallying, having recovered more than 50% of the 2022 losses.
With regards to Bitcoin, perhaps the most important development is that Dow is rebounding after its 2M RSI bounced off the Support that is holding for more than 10 years (since 2011). This level has always started BTC's strong rally within Dow's Secular Macro Bull Cycle (SMBC). At the same time the LMACD made a Bullish Cross shortly after. Right now the indicator is close to making the first Bullish Cross since October 2020.
Is this time different?
Feel free to let me know in the comments section below!
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US30- Bullish Channel?No rocket science methodology here. Potential bullish channel. I took longs at the bottom this morning. Will take profits at the top of channel. Will leave some running in case price breaks through and Santa decided to bring us that rally. Caution for reversal back down.. SL's in place. Good luck. Godspeed!
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DJI Potential For Bearish ContinuationLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for DJI is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Looking for a sell entry at 33498.93, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 34243.87, where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is. I am looking to take profit at 32485.23, where the previous lows and liquidity lies.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Dow Jones Index retrace?In weekly chart, Index potentially stopped dropping when it was supported by the green band. It break out the downtrend line, should be the 1st step of principle of 123.
Index potential to have a retrace in weekly chart again, if it form the higher low in future, then it is the step 2 of principle 123.
Refer to daily chart, TD sequential 13 show the rebound could be almost exhaust, and the GDMM is at high risk position. If index drop below the low of TD13, the next support is approximate 32000.
Since there is no good chance to buy at this condition, better wait the result of US election patiently.
US30 DOW JONES DJI DAILY TF ANALYSISWe can see that price recently broke through the trend line, but immediately got rejected at 34746, which was around the resistance level from 21st April. Signifying that there's a strong bearish presence at that level.
Now price had retraced back to the trend line and upon touching it, we can see that the bullish momentum is not as strong as the bearish one we saw at 34746, signifying that the trend line might be too weak to act as support.
I have a bearish bias on the Dow, I think that the next movements of price will be either:
Scenario 1: Hug along the trend downwards, towards 31929 which was around 31st of May high, turning that resistance into support. 31929 is also at a 50% fib retracement level, which can act as a stronger level of support for bullish momentum.
Scenario 2: If price breaks below 31929, we might see price heading towards 29727, which was around the low of 17th June, which might act as a support level
Scenario 3: If price breaks below 29727, we might see it heading towards 28539, which was around the low of 3rd Oct, and 13th Oct, which might act as a strong support level
DOW JONES turned the 1W MA50 into Support?This is the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJI) on the 1W time-frame where we look into the current 1W (weekly) candle. As you see, the index managed to turn around the mid-week negative sentiment and closed the week above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and in green. Even last week's heavily bearish candle closed above the 1W MA50. Those are early signs that the former Resistance level which rejected the uptrend on August 15 (red circle), may be turning gradually into a Support.
With the RSI within a Channel Up pattern, the current sequence bears similarities with the June - November 2020 fractal. As you see, that fractal also established the 1W MA50 as a Support (3 times), before making a Higher High on the trend-line and eventually breaking to a very aggressive 2021 rally to the All Time High.
As a result, as long as Dow manages to close above the 1W MA50, we will be expecting a Higher High near the 0.786 Fibonacci extension (35000). A closing below it though, should target the lower Fibonacci levels successively.
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Nasdaq 100 Analyze(12/16/2022)!!!Nasdaq was able to break the support line and then complete the pullback.
I expect Nasdaq will go down at least until the uptrend line and heavy resistance zone.
Nasdaq 100 Analyze, (NQ1!USD), Timeframe 1H⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position that you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
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DJ30 - Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.DJ30 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 32824 (stop at 32600)
Intraday, and we are between bespoke support and resistance 32824-33421. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile. We have a 61.8% Fibonacci pullback level of 32821 from 32439 to 33439. Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Our profit targets will be 33421 and 33779
Resistance: 33422 / 33779 / 334425
Support: 32824 / 32653 / 32439
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Using the VIX to buy S&P, NASDAQ and Dow Jones 📈📉🐂What is TVC:VIX ?
The VIX is a real-time volatility index created by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE). This index was the first benchmark to quantify market expectations regarding volatility. However, the index is forward-looking, which means that it only shows the implied volatility of the S&P 500 (SPX) over the next 30 days.
Since the VIX reaches its highest levels when the stock market is more unstable, the media communication tend to refer to the VIX as an indicator of fear and in the sense that the VIX is a measure of the market perception (particularly of concern) such a description is correct.
The implied volatility normally increases when markets present turbulence or the economy decays. Conversely, if the prices of stocks are rising and not changes seem likely substantial, the VIX tends to fall or stay stable at the bottom of your scale. In other words, there is a negative correlation between the VIX and the stock performance. For example, in November 2008, a As stock prices rise dipped, the VIX hit a high historical of 80.86. in the winter of 2013, when the value of the shares rose, the VIX held at about 12 points.
WHAT DOES THE VIX MEASURE?
The VIX measures the expectations of volatility of the capital market based on the option prices. Instead of measuring volatility “realized” or historical, the VIX projects volatility “implied” or expected—specifically from the 30s future days—by measuring changes in S&P 500 option prices.
Historically, when the VIX reaches 40 points or more, the S&P is at the end of its downward trend to make a range or rise, when the VIX reaches 40 points is when it could be said that we are already in recession and "when there is blood, it is because the sharks already attacked" possibly in 2023 we are facing a recession but it could end in a few months and in 2024 have a rise in the American indices as can be seen above.
REMEMBER "HISTORY DOESN'T REPEAT BUT IT RHYMES"
TVC:SPX
TVC:NDQ
TVC:DJI
Possibly the recession ends in the first half of 2023 when the FED lowers interest points to 0.25%
DJI - Mind The Gaps Because Pigs Get clappedThe Dow Jones is in a precarious spot and is going to be hard to call. I have been eyeing this upper gap for some time with an expectation of a fill, notably we created one today that is below us. The upper gap would clearly put us in line with a Santa Claus rally. I've been bearish forever and do expect the lower one to fill eventually. Not financial advice, DYOR
Dow Jones Index Outlook 21 Dec 2022TVC:DJI DJI is clearly moving in a downtrend direction in the 30m timeframe. However, it stopped making a lower low yesterday plus it has a bullish divergence signal between price and RSI.
This bullish divergence is signaling a chance of trend change to either a sideway or uptrend direction, which we need to monitor the price action today.
If the market opens within the range of 32650-33040, then it has a chance of trading in this range for today.
However, if the market chooses to gap open above 33040 then it will test at 33163 and 333000 respectively.
On the other hand, if the market gap opens below 32650 then it will test at 32470 and 32328 respectively
DJI Potential For Bearish ContinuationLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for DJI is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market. Looking for a sell entry at 33418.59, where the previous low is. Stop loss will be at 33899.17, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is. Take profit will be at 32485.23, where the 161.8% Fibonacci extension line is.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Three Sell Signals on the DJIFor the past year the Runner Bot SELL Signal has been on point for DJI on the H4 timeframe. If this rollover of strength from the Bulls continues we are looking at revisiting the $30,000 Support Block for this move.
- Bullish Candle Color rotation to weakness.
- RSI X Colors rotation to weakness.
- Runner Bot firing off a TOP signal (sign of weakness).
- Last Support Pivot is at $32,300.
Thank you and let me know if you have any questions!