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Dow Jones Index Outlook 21 Dec 2022TVC:DJI DJI is clearly moving in a downtrend direction in the 30m timeframe. However, it stopped making a lower low yesterday plus it has a bullish divergence signal between price and RSI. This bullish divergence is signaling a chance of trend change to either a sideway or uptrend direction, which we need to monitor the price action today. If the market opens within the range of 32650-33040, then it has a chance of trading in this range for today. However, if the market chooses to gap open above 33040 then it will test at 33163 and 333000 respectively. On the other hand, if the market gap opens below 32650 then it will test at 32470 and 32328 respectively
TVC:DJI
by ChartTrail
DJI Potential For Bearish ContinuationLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for DJI is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market. Looking for a sell entry at 33418.59, where the previous low is. Stop loss will be at 33899.17, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is. Take profit will be at 32485.23, where the 161.8% Fibonacci extension line is. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
TVC:DJIShort
by VantageMarkets
Selling DJ30 - Where is the Santa rally?!DJ30 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 33080 (stop at 33480) 4 negative daily performances in succession. There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end. 33080 has been pivotal. There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited. Bespoke support is located at 31450. Our profit targets will be 31450 and 28928 Resistance: 33080 / 33432 / 34397 Support: 31450 / 29294 / 28928 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
VANTAGE:DJ30Short
by VantageMarkets
1
MV = PQIn this rough draft of an idea, I naively try to figure out the effect of the immense money printing, and the "true" value of inflation. After BIS came out talking about the hidden debt, I began thinking about the "hidden" money. With such low money velocity, we cannot possibly feel the real effect of all that flood of money. I am amazed from this chart. Mainly because I just realized that there is a ticker that measures money velocity besides the FRED:M2V. It has the impractical name of A14187USA163NNBR. And it provides us with very long historical data to analyze. For us to have a remote hope of analyzing such extensive numbers, we simplify certain things. The title is the famous Milton Friedman equation (Quantity Theory of Money). Since I haven't studied finance, I just found out this equation. It was not famous for me. Yet, here I am, an unprofessional talking about finance. The letters in the title's equation mean the following: M stands for money. V stands for the velocity of money (or the rate at which people spend money). P stands for the general price level. Q stands for the quantity of goods and services produced. Info taken from Federal Reserve Bank of St. Lous www.stlouisfed.org On the chart, there are two charts of the "fixed" SPX*Velocity. Because there are two separate tickers for velocity. FRED has data on the US GDP only after 1947. So one of the differences between these charts could relate to it. GDP in a period when QE didn't exist, was a meaningless statistic. Increase in productivity can't take you parabolically high like we see now. The reason we use SPX*Velocity is the following: If you do some calculations on the MV=PQ equation and multiply by SPX we have: SPX*Velocity (Chart) = SPX/M * GDP In reality, this chart shows us the effect of the SPX bubble on GDP. Before 1947 there was horizontal movement. If you think about it, until 1947 the fact that SPX*Velocity didn't grow, means that SPX is a good representation of GDP. On the left handside of the equation is the chart, on the right is total product produced. So now, the parabolic GDP is 100% due to the parabolic movement of SPX thanks to infinity-free-money-printing. The money velocity tells us more. Because money was not fiat, people used to hoard it and not spend it. So we see a substantial drop from 4.8 to 2 in velocity, before the Great Depression. The same is now, but faster... for the last 20 years, money velocity has taken a skyfall. The slow drop in money velocity occured because money was precious and people kept it. Now it is not moving because there is a MASSIVE amount of it in circulation, but most importantly, because it is hidden, like the hidden debt BIS is looking for. I know this idea is confusing. There is so much stuff that is hard to explain and visualize. Let's think of a scenario. If/when the Dollar Milkshake commences, and someone goes bankrupt, the debt is deleted. Since the debt is deleted, let's say that the money is deleted as well. We realize that if the money supply goes incredibly low, it would be as if we "go back in time". The Dollar Milkshake, that will push it's value to incredible highs, is nothing more than turning back the clock in time. All these years everything lost their value, as well as dollar. The only debt that will remain and not go bankrupt, is gold. It is not debt, but it serves as one because it is technically currency. This is an inverse-pyramid SPY_Master uploaded. The fake money we have created costs a ridiculous amount compared to gold reserves. GDP has increased 100 times in the last 80 years. And SPX more than 3 times to GDP. This gives us an idea of just how much over-leveraged and overblown the stock market is. Human values haven't increased 100 times. Hunger poverty and suffering hasn't gone down 100 times. And we are certainly not much wiser than ancient civilizations like the Greeks (perhaps much less wise). This is a truly fixed SPX chart. And by fixed, I mean qualitatively. It looks like we are in a state like before the Great Depression. Very very bubbled. Who knows if more money printing will take place and take us off the chart. To conclude, we can calculate inflation if we calculate the missing money velocity. SInce money doesn't circulate, there is low inflation. It is the product of money supply and velocity that matters. If velocity returns to normal levels (it certainly tries to), we look for an increase of 60% in velocity, which would push inflation much higher than now. Imagine the panic we will feel if inflation goes to 15% next year, let alone 60%. I began writing this idea to calculate the inflation, but my mind went places... It's been fun writing. Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground. -Father Grigori
SP:SPX
by akikostas
20
DOW JONES Similarities with Dotcom crash. 1M MA50 is the key.The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) is trading on a red December candle, following the extreme rise since October that broke back above both the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1W MA50 (red trend-line). The 1M MA50 seems to be the key for the uptrend as (excluding the COVID crash), is the line that keeps the multi-year uptrend intact since 2011. However, the 1M RSI sequence displays a lot of similarities with the 2000 - 2002 Dotcom crash. As you see it also made a marginal break above the 1W MA50 after rebounding on the 1M MA50 but then corrected way more after it lost it (1M MA50) again. The red flag shows where potentially we could be at today. Notice that a similar -38.60% drop would hit or almost hit the Higher Highs trend-line since the 2000 Dotcom Bubble peak. As a result we consider the 1M MA50 as the key. A new break below it, practically confirms the extension of the 2022 correction for another year. Until that happens though, it is more likely to see the 13 year Bull Cycle continue, targeting 55k in the next 4 years. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DJI
by TradingShot
REVEALED: THE DOW JONES 30 What, Facts and Make-upAll index traders trade it... But do we know anything about The Dow Jones? I'm going to break down what it is, some interesting facts about the Index and what companies makes up the index. Save it because it's all you need for the Dow Jones. WHAT IS THE DOW JONES? The Dow Jones 30, or DJIA or "The Dow" is a stock market index that reflects the performance of 30 large, publicly traded companies listed on the New York Stock Exchange and the NASDAQ. INTERESTING FACTS! 1. The index was created by Charles Dow, editor of the Wall Street Journal, in 1896. 2. The DJIA is calculated by taking the sum of the prices of the stocks of the 30 companies included in the index, and then dividing that sum by a divisor, which is adjusted periodically to account for stock splits and other corporate actions. 3. The DJIA is considered a "price-weighted" index, meaning that the stocks with higher prices have a greater impact on the index's value. 4. The DJIA is one of the oldest and most widely followed stock market indices in the world, and it is often used as a barometer of the overall performance of the U.S. stock market. The DJIA is composed of a mix of blue-chip and cyclical stocks, which means that it tends to be more stable than some other stock market indices, but it can also be affected by economic and market cycles. The DJIA is often abbreviated as "the Dow" and is quoted in points, rather than dollars. For example, a DJIA value of 32,920 means that the index is at 32,920 points. WHAT IS MADE UP OF THE DOW JONES? 3M American Express Apple Boeing Caterpillar Chevron Cisco Systems The Coca-Cola Company DuPont Exxon Mobil Goldman Sachs The Home Depot IBM Intel Johnson & Johnson JPMorgan Chase McDonald's Merck Microsoft Nike Pfizer Procter & Gamble Travelers UnitedHealth Group United Technologies Verizon Communications Visa Walmart The Walt Disney Company Exxon Mobil What Index would you like to know about next? I'll write about it and post it here. Trade well, live free. Timon MATI Trader
DJ:DJIEducation
by Timonrosso
S&P trend is still downCrazy two weeks with some massive price swings. However, all said and done the down trend that started in January is still intact. Big test yesterday of resistance but ultimately failed with the gap up closed and no follow through after Fed rate hike. Looks like a good old pump and dump. The gray region (connects to gap up in 4/21) that I drew seems to be a very strong support and resistance zone, but again it could not hold it. Also failed to stay above the 200-day sma. Price looks to be making a double top with a slightly lower second top. If price closes below 20-day moving average band, then corrective wave is all but confirmed. Next question is, how low will it go.
AMEX:IVV
by Dr_Roboto
From "Hovercraft" to IHS pattern? WAY EARLY but interesting 2cDo you see it? $DJI Is it easier to see on weekly? The "Hovercraft" patter COULD be a precursor to an Inverted Head & Shoulder! See it now? IT'S WAAAY early & it doesn't mean it'll happen $ETH had one recently & went kaput Can $DJI #BEAR be ending? Time will tell IMO chances are NOT for BUT As stated MANY TIMES #markets are NOT logical What about $NDX $SPX & $RUT? Short answers no, bleh & actually looks like head & shoulder recently lol
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
$DJI forms Outside Week (DAY)Had no plan for trades 2day barring huge opportunity, which not seeing BUT like $META action in "bear" market Did say keep this in mind BUT THIS IS NOT THREAD FOR @facebook It's for $DJI and its cronies #DJIA $DIA $UDOW $SDOW WE HAVE HUGE MOVE in place with more to follow Being this is WEEKLY the paint = more important 31.7k is 50% retracement but IMO we're likely retesting 30k next year, just don't see bloodbath ending year Another post which may or may not post here later AFAIK no such thing as HOVER pattern🤣 Me having FUN BUT could be precursor to one! IHS patter is hint
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
Dow Jones Analyze (Road Map)🗺️(Update)!!!As I said in a previous Idea about Dow Jones, If DJI touches 31885$, we can verify the first scenario.👇 DJI will make the Expanding Leading Diagonal, and I expect that DJI will go down to the end of main wave 5(zones). Dow Jones Analyze (DJIUSD), Timeframe Daily⏰(Log Scale) 🔴Resistance zone: 33700$ until 33260$ 🟢Heavy Support Zone: 31260$ until 29680$ Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
TVC:DJIShort
by pejman_zwin
1
DOW JONES Can the 1st Golden Cross since Aug 2020 save the day?Yes the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJI) formed a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame (1D MA50 (blue trend-line) crossing above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line)) for the first time since August 05 2020 (!) with the price approaching today the 1D MA50, the closest it has been since October 24. Can this provide Support and save the day for Dow preventing it from having a similar sell-off as in August - September and May - April? Well we have to look at it step by step. As long as the price closes daily above the 1D MA50, we have a positive sign that the market treats it as Support. At the same time closing above the former Lower Highs trend-line (since the January 04 High) puts additional buying pressure. That will help at forming a Megaphone pattern (green dashed lines), which can be the necessary transition tool that offers the needed pull-back on profit taking and takes the index into the new Bull Phase. At the same time keep an eye on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), which was previously the Resistance of most of the 2022 correction and made the August 16 rejection. Prior to the 2022 correction, the 1W MA50 has been the absolute Support of the 2021 rally. If all the above keep supporting, we can expect Dow to test the 35550 (April 21 High) Resistance by the end of January. On the other hand, a closing below the 1D MA200 will most likely initiate a sell-off that will reach at least as low as the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels, similar to what happened in September and April. Additionally, the RSI on the 1W time-frame got rejected on the Higher Highs trend-line that since February has caught all major peaks. It can be used as a very effective buy indicator as well as its Higher Lows trend-line has also caught all major Lows since May 23. On a side-note, this 1W RSI Channel Up can be a major bullish divergence signifying the trend change to long-term bullish. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
U
by TradingShot
3
DJI Potential For Bearish ContinuationLooking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for DJI is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Looking for a sell entry at 33418.59, where the previous low is. Stop loss will be at 33899.17, where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is. Take profit will be at 32485.23, where the 161.8% Fibonacci extension line is. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
TVC:DJIShort
by VantageMarkets
1