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DOW JONES Secret Cycles you didn't know existed!On this analysis we examine the Dow Jones index (DJI) from the longer term perspective of the 1M time-frame. A lot of market participants has started to get nervous because of this month's pull-back and this is the best way to keep a calm mindset and view the price action objectively. In order to see if the market has a legitimate reason to panic or not, the answer can be given by observing the index from a cyclical point of view. To begin with, the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) has been the absolute multi-year Support level (since October 2010 only two candle closings below it, March 2020 COVID flash crash and recently the September 2022 inflation bottom). The market deems every pull-back towards it, a buy opportunity with the lowest possible risk. Since the bottom of the 2008-2009 Housing Crisis, the 1M RSI bottoms on Lower Lows help us classify the multi-month phases into Cycles. The duration of each Cycle since the 1st, has been pretty consistent (39 to 48 months so far). When the index closes a 1M candle below the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), the correction towards the 1M MA50 is usually under way. Also there is a striking consistency on the growth of each Cycle. As you can see, with the exception of the first (naturally the most aggressive since it was the start of the recovery after a Bear Cycle), every Cycle sees gains within the range of +70% and +77%. As a result assuming the new Cycle follows a similar pattern, we can expect a minimum Target of 48850 (+70% from Low) and a Cycle ending on December 2025 (39 months from previous Low). Technically the index should peak around the the start of 2025, entering a volatile period towards the end of the year. This is as close to a projection one can make on such a long-term horizon and with tons of fundamental risks involved. Where do you think Dow Jones will top at? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DJILong
by TradingShot
2
Hellena | DJI (4H): Long to the resistance area of 39419. Dear colleagues, the price has passed many points in the downward movement and at the moment I suppose that the price is completing the corrective wave "4" and very soon will start the upward movement in the wave "5". It is possible to update the low in the area of 38458 and then move to the resistance area of 39419. It is possible that the price will immediately start an upward movement, so I consider only long positions and will look for the best entries to this position. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
TVC:DJILong
by Hellena_Trade
DOW JONES below the 1D MA50 after 5 months!Dow Jones (DJI) gave us an excellent sell entry following our last analysis (March 28, see chart below) as it got rejected and made a bearish reversal exactly where we expected it to: Last Thursday it even broke below the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time in exactly 5 whole months (since November 03 2023)! This is a bearish break-out confirmation signal and we expect a new sell-off soon. As you can see the former (dotted) Channel Down broke downwards and has given way to a (blue) Channel Down. The 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) has now been turned into Resistance with one confirmed rejection already (April 04). The Channel Down has fairly symmetrical Bearish Legs so far, -2.36% and -2.20%. Assuming the new will be at a -2.20% minimum, we are expecting a Lower Low at 38200. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by TradingShot
Dow Jones Industrial Averages Weekly Technical Analysis(1) We have witnessed a sharp fall from 29,500 level in Feb’20. This was almost 38% fall from the top. Market had gone in a oversold zone. (2) Around 18,300 level, price found a support and bounced back from this level. (3) With an upside rally, price managed to breakout its previous resistance. (4) After the breakout, we have seen a sharp upside rally further and the price reached at 36,950 level. (5) A corrective decline has been seen from there and the price started making lower highs and lower lows at reached to 28,800 level. (6) Price again bounced back from there and gave a upside move. (7) In this entire consolidation phase, a Cup & Handle chart pattern has been formed, which gave us positive indication. (8) With a strong breakout of the Cup & Handle pattern, price started its journey upside. (9) Currently the price is standing near its All Time High. More upside move is expected from here.
TVC:DJI
by NaranjCapital
DOW JONES At the edge of the cliff.Dow Jones (DJI) is approaching the top of the 1.5 year Channel Up, while at the same time holding the Inner Higher Highs trend-line. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) Support is getting increasingly weak as it is now on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, the closest it has been to the price action since the the November 2023 break-out. Technically this is as overbought as it can get on the 1D time-frame and the 1D CCI gives a clear sell signal that is consistent with the late July and January 2023 peaks. On this scale, the time to buy is far from the current prices, quite the contrary, the RR favors selling on the short-term. We are expecting 38050 (Support 1) to be tested on the 0.618 Channel Fib level. Even though the previous two corrections made -9.25% dips, the time to buy would be when the 1D CCI posts a Higher Low on oversold territory. That was a solid buy signal in 2023. The ideal price level for that would be as close to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as possible, although it is not necessary. Profit by selling short-term and buying the dip long-term. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by TradingShot
3
DOW JONES: Short term decline started.Dow Jones is still on a bullish 1D technical outlook (RSI = 61.232, MACD = 275.500, ADX = 55.346) but today's red 1D candle, being the strongest since February 13th, is a first hint that a short term correction is starting. The price has almost made a HH at the top of the 18 month Channel Up, so the probabilities of a technical pullback are getting stronger. Both prior HH touched the 1D MA200 and the middle of the Channel Up. As a result a -6.90% decline (like December 20th 2022) seems a modest target (TP = 37,300) as it will hit the middle of the Channel Up, even approach the S1 level. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30
by InvestingScope
Dow Jones getting closer to hitting first inv h&s targetAn update from a previous Dow Jones chart. I will post a link to the previous as well. We are getting very close to the smaller inverse head and shoulders breakout target here. Always a chance it corrects before continuing up to the second larger inv h&s target but then again always a chance it just keeps going to reach the 2nd target without a correction first(less probable) Best to consider both outcomes. *not financial advice*
TVC:DJI
by DrDovetail
An update to my Dow Jones chart I posted July 18th 2023The original chart was on a much larger time frame, but we are getting so close to the second measured move target now I figured I’d make this update on the daily chart. We are now about 3 pips away from hitting the 2nd bigger invh&s pattern’s full measured move breakout target. Always amazes me how these things come to fruition, and in this case I was able to predict with macro chart patterns it would reach these heights 7 months before it happens. That’s not to say it wasnt happening this whole time because it essentially was, just had to not fall for the initial break above the necklines and also the follow up break back below the neckline….classic head fakes I expect to see this higher target hit in February, where the market will go from there I’m really not sure..this could indeed be a fulcrum point but it could also behave like solana just recently did and just blast well above the target or after reaching the target continue to pump. Either way I expect this will at least reach within a half pi of the target but think probability is high of it hitting the target 100% still. *not financial advice* I will post a link to the original chart from last July down below. Thanks for reading, following, and rocket boosting my charts. Much respect.
TVC:DJI
by DrDovetail
2
Hellena | DJI (4H): Long to target is the area of 39297.Dear colleagues, despite the fact that the price is in a downward movement, I believe that the five-wave movement has not been completed. I expect that the price will not update the minimum of wave 4 38463, but will approach it, and then the upward movement in wave 5 will begin. The nearest target is the area of 39297. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
TVC:DJILong
by Hellena_Trade
2
DOW JONES Head and Shoulders formed. Potential visit of Feb lowsDow Jones (DJI) had formed a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern on the 4H time-frame and ahead of the first 4H Death Cross in 7 months (since August 21 2023), the probability of a short-term correction seems stronger than ever. Technically H&S patterns target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension but we will settle for a slightly higher target on Support 1 at 38050. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by TradingShot
DOW JONES - We Could See A Major Collapse Within 12 Months...I've compiled my latest comprehensive analysis of the stock market, as I strongly believe it offers crucial insights into market psychology, spanning across Cryptos, Stocks, and various assets. To dispel any notions of spreading fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD), I meticulously outline the pattern and highlight key levels to monitor. Should this analysis hold true, it would elucidate why Cryptos might experience further decline, particularly considering many were introduced at the market's peak, potentially reflecting the rampant speculation prevailing in all sectors. While I evaluate each chart independently, the broader implications on market psychology could catalyze a widespread sell-off across all markets. Please keep in mind: This methodology isn't based on Elliott Wave theory, so any assumptions suggesting otherwise would reflect a misunderstanding on your part. AriasWave is a unique approach I've developed over almost a decade.
TVC:DJI
by AriasWave
1
DOW JONES: Mega sell signal formed.Dow Jones has hit the top of the 18 month Channel Up and is already being rejected, turning neutral on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.769, MACD = 112.170, ADX = 21.784). This is a rejection that can evolve into a full bearish reversal as the 1W RSI broke under its MA trendline. This is important because every time this break out happened (dashed vertical lines), the index had technical corrections. Inside the Channel Up those initially hit the 0.382 Fibonacci level. Consequently, we can target at least the S1 level (TP = 37,030) but it is equally likely to reach even below the 0.382 Fib and contact the 1W MA50. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by InvestingScope