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Djia

Are We Completing the Larger Ending Diagonal Now?The last time I updated followers of my work; I stated that the pattern was advancing, but NOT with confidence, and that it is marked with choppy, overlapping price action that appears to be an ending diagonal. Those sentiments have not changed. However, what has changed is I was forecasting a more pronounced drop first before getting to new highs. It is now possible; this move higher is completing that move on a more immediate basis. Although I cannot rule out the previous larger ABC... it is more likely once this high completes, it could represent the end of the bull market. Only the structure of the decline will inform us what is playing out. I will warn followers that once this more immediate high completes, I am expecting a forceful and swift reversal that will undoubtedly catch most traders off guard. Best to all, Chris
CME_MINI:ES1!
by maikisch
2
Can Dow hit new highs?While the likes of the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are already record highs, the Dow has not achieved that target yet. It continues to make higher highs and higher lows, and the momentum seems to be getting stronger. Soon, it may even flirt with fresh all-time highs, as investors ride the tailwinds of a robust rally that kicked off in early April. There have been a few catalysts behind this rally. First, it was Trump hitting pause on reciprocal tariffs; then, a wave of optimism washed over markets following a sudden de-escalation in the Middle East. The bulls took charge, and markets haven’t looked back since. But with 4 July celebrations on the doorstep and Wall Street due to close at 1pm NY time, today’s shortened session has a singular focus: the all-important US non-farm payrolls report. Will we have enough time to see the Dow march to new highs? The key levels are marked on the chart. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:US30
by FOREXcom
2
DOW JONES about to skyrocket based on the Gold/Silver ratio!Dow Jones (DJI) has been basically consolidating for the past month or so, following the massive April 7th bottom rebound but there is a very distinct indicator that shows it is about to skyrocket. That is the Gold/ Silver ratio (blue trend-line). Gold (XAUUSD) as a safe haven, attracts capital in times of market uncertainty. Silver (XAGUSD), as a metal of industrial use, attracts capital in times of economic boom and prosperity. In the past 6 years more particularly, every time the Gold/ Silver ratio declined, Dow started rising aggressively (exception July-Aug 2019, when the market rose straight after), as investors clearly showed their risk-on appetite by buying Silver (optimism) at the expense of Gold (fear). Dow's current consolidation indicates that there may be high accumulation in the past month and the ratios extended decline suggests a skyrocket move is up next. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DJILong
by TradingShot
A Trend on Borrowed Time, A Micro ED within a Larger ED?Since mid-last month, the broader equity market has been grinding higher — but not with confidence. The advance has been marked by choppy, overlapping price action that feels more hesitant than bullish. Yes, prices continue carving out higher highs and higher lows, but MACD momentum tells a different story. With every push upward, the MACD weakens, flashing warning signs beneath the surface. Taken through the lens of Elliott Wave theory, this unfolding pattern carries all the classic fingerprints of an Ending Diagonal — a structure that often signals a trend on borrowed time. Key Characteristics of an Ending Diagonal: 1. Position in the Wave Structure: A. Occurs in Wave 5 of an impulse wave or Wave C of a corrective pattern (such as a zigzag or flat). B. Rarely, but sometimes, seen in Wave 3 of an impulse, but this is generally associated with a leading diagonal, not an ending one. 2. Structure: A. Composed of five sub-waves, labeled (i), (ii), (iii), (iv), (v). B. Each of these sub-waves subdivides into 3 waves (i.e., they are all corrective or "3-wave" structures, often labeled as a-b-c). C. This gives the whole pattern a distinct 3-3-3-3-3 internal structure. 3. Price Behavior: A. Overlapping waves: Wave 4 often overlaps with the price territory of Wave 1, which is normally a rule violation for standard impulsive structures — but it's allowed in an ending diagonal. B. Converging trendlines: The upper and lower boundaries of the diagonal typically form converging lines (like a wedge), though they can also be parallel in some cases. C. Diminishing momentum: Often accompanied by momentum divergence, meaning price makes a new high or low, but momentum indicators (MACD, RSI) do not confirm. 4. Implication: A. An ending diagonal suggests the current trend is running out of steam. B. Once complete, a sharp reversal or significant correction is expected. In my analytical view, the byproduct of an Ending Diagonal often lures market participants into a conflicted state — cautious, yet unable to ignore the persistent upward grind. You’ve probably heard the old market adage: “Don’t fight the tape.” In this case, that mentality sets in as traders, wary but worn down, finally throw in the towel and join the advance — only for the market to seemingly punish that decision with a sharp reversal. Many experienced traders describe their Ending Diagonal experience the same way: “The moment I finally stopped fighting the trend and got long, it was as if the market was waiting for me — and reversed hard.” That is how I would describe this micro ED we appear to be in the final stages of what I’m counting as the micro wave v of (v) of Minor A. For now, no key structural support levels within the Micro Ending Diagonal have been breached, so the advance can certainly stretch a little higher. But make no mistake — in my opinion, this remains one of the most dangerous, deceptive patterns to engage with. Last week, I closed my short out-of-the-money ES call positions during the micro wave iv pullback (not shown on the above chart). Ideally, I’m looking for an opportunity to reestablish a similar position this week. From there I will reassess the larger Ending Diagonal pattern you see outlined on the chart above.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by maikisch
2
Quick take US indices and the Fed's interest rate decisionQuick look at what can we expect from the Fed's rate decision and press conference on Wednesday. TVC:DJI TVC:SPX TVC:NDQ Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
TVC:DJI
by Marketscom
A Potentially Dangerous Pattern Takes ShapeWhile the futures market has yet to break into new all-time high territory, the previously discussed bearish micro setup has now been invalidated. In its place, we’re witnessing a complex, overlapping advance—creeping steadily toward the prior highs in the S&P 500 (ES). At the micro level, I currently see no compelling bearish setup. However, this grinding upward move—lacking strong conviction from either buyers or sellers—is not necessarily bullish. In fact, it’s a hallmark of a potentially dangerous pattern: a primary degree ending diagonal. If my interpretation is correct, both the “orange” and “purple” wave counts point to the same ominous conclusion. They suggest that what we're seeing could culminate in a sharp, possibly violent reversal—one that would ultimately retrace back to where this entire primary wave began. For reference, that’s just above 4,000, marked by the conclusion of Primary Wave 4 in October 2022. This is the moment for caution—not after the damage is done. Yes, we may push into new all-time highs. But within this fragile and overlapping structure, that outcome is far from guaranteed. Even if we get there, the looming question remains: At what cost?
CBOE:SPX
by maikisch
3
Dow Jones Index Rises Towards Key ResistanceDow Jones Index Rises Towards Key Resistance On Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (Wall Street 30 mini on FXOpen) climbed above the 42,950 level — a high not seen since early March. The index has gained around 1.6% since the beginning of June. Why Is the Dow Jones Rising? → Friday’s US jobs report helped ease concerns about the country’s economic outlook. According to ForexFactory, Non-Farm Employment Change came in at +139K, beating the forecast of +126K. → On Thursday, Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping held a call, easing tariff tensions. Market participants also welcomed news that officials may hold trade negotiations in London on 9 June. Could the DJIA (Wall Street 30 mini on FXOpen) Rally Continue? Technical Analysis of the Dow Jones Chart The chart suggests that the 42,950 level is acting as a significant resistance. The price has repeatedly reversed from the 42,660–42,950 area (as shown by the arrows). At the same time: → Friday’s move above 42,950 triggered selling pressure, forming a candlestick with a long upper shadow; → This may have been a false bullish breakout of the May high; → The price remains within an ascending channel (shown in blue), but the bounces off the lower boundary appear weak. Given this setup, it is reasonable to assume that intensified bearish activity near 42,950 on the USA30 could lead to a breakout below the channel’s lower boundary. Additional pressure on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (Wall Street 30 mini on FXOpen) may come from developments in California, where protests have erupted against immigrant deportations, with President Donald Trump and Governor Gavin Newsom trading accusations. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:WS30M
by FXOpen
DOW JONES starting the new Bullish Leg.Dow Jones (DJI) is rallying off its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), shortly after making a new Higher Low on its 6-week Channel Up. Technically that is the start of its new Bullish Leg. With the 4H RSI being identical to the Bullish Leg at the start of the Channel Up, we expect it to again rise by +4.30% and touch the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. Target 43600. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US30Long
by TradingShot
1
DOW JONES: Inverse Head and Shoulders looking for a breakout.Dow Jones is marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.600, MACD = 267.860, ADX = 21.901) as just now it is attempting to be detached from the 4H MA50. Technically this could be the attempt to break towards the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, after having formed the RS of an Inverse head and Shoulders pattern. With the 4H MACD close to a Bullish Cross, we are bullish, TP = 44,250. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by InvestingScope
1
Tracking a pattern that could signal the Top is In I am tracking a micro pattern with the new local high made in the ES last night and today's price action as a micro 5-down....we should get a slight retrace into the 5960 ish area. Maybe tomorrow...maybe in the overnight session tonight. If price can then breach todays micro low of 5884 in the ES futures...we need to then follow through with a breach of 5857 to give us our first indication, we may have struck a top. From there I am following 2 counts...Purple, or my primary count which is a minor C of Intermediate (A). Best to all, Chris
CBOE:SPXShort
by maikisch
3
Dow Eyes 42,800 Resistance – Key Breakout Ahead?The Dow is currently holding near the neckline of a double-top formation that developed between December 2024 and February 2025, possibly buoyed by ongoing tech and Nasdaq optimism. The broader rebound from the 2025 lows is also forming a diagonal structure, setting up the following scenarios: Bullish Scenario: With weekly RSI holding above the 50 neutral zone after rebounding from oversold levels last seen in 2020, a sustained move above the 42,800-resistance level could extend the rally toward 43,800 and 44,800. A breakout above the all-time high near 45,000 would open the door toward the next major resistance at 46,800. Bearish Scenario: If the diagonal formation breaks to the downside—below 41,400 and 41,000—selling pressure could resume, forming a diagonal correction targeting support levels at 40,400, 39,700, and 39,000. Written by Razan Hilal, CMT
FOREXCOM:US30
by FOREXcom
DOW JONES: Channel Up targeting 43,400.Dow Jones is practically neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.880, MACD = 380.350, ADX = 13.770) as the price is consolidating on its 4H MA50. Despite the neutrality, it remains inside the Channel Up, that is supported by the 4H MA200 and whose 4H RSI squeeze indicates we might be on a similar slow uptrend as late April's. We expect a similar +5.60% rise from the HL bottom, TP = 43,300. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by InvestingScope
S&P 500: Consolidating & forming bull flag on support trendlineSo, we all know that the market is taking a breather, and the past week has been mostly flat (kind of). There have been plenty of headlines, some good, some bad. Most notably, the news about the Moody's US credit downgrade. I woke up one morning, took a look at LinkedIn and saw all the CFA-certified investing experts expecting a massive game-changing moment, potentially a market crash. Except, the market hasn't responded so negatively. In fact, I'd say that while long-term yields have been rising, the market has been doing its own thing . For instance, taking a look at the daily chart of the S&P 500 paints a different picture of the doom and gloom that I've been hearing ALL weekend and ALL week long. As you can see, the index is currently sitting on the daily support trendline which goes back to the 7th April low. On that trendline, taking a closer look, it seems the flat price action has been forming a bull flag. It's quite narrow and tight. But it certainly is a fine-looking bull flag. And a break above that would take the S&P 500 even higher. This would also likely have a positive effect on other indices. Furthermore, it might be worth keeping an eye on the big S&P 500 stocks that are high-beta and like to follow the market. So, to my point about how the market has been doing its own thing...seems that the Moody's downgrade could have possibly been already priced-in. I could be wrong, of course, as markets are still quite volatile and fragile to any sort of macro and global developments about trade and conflicts around the world. Thank you for reading. Note: not financial advice
SP:SPXLong
by michaeldobski
Dow ready to go above 200 MA?The Dow has been coiling for the past few days underneath its 200-day moving average, as it watched the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 break higher. But yesterday support at 41,780 held and this led to a strong bounce. The resulting price action created a hammer candle on the daily time frame. With this latest bull signal, can the index now break above its 200 MA and move higher? The underlying trend is looking increasingly bullish. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:US30
by FOREXcom