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DOW JONES Buy signal to 35300 short termDow Jones crossed again over the former Falling Resistance after making a bounce near the 1day MA100. This is the third time this level holds in almost one month. This keeps the long term Channel Up pattern intact. The 1day RSI is on the exact level of the June 2nd break out, showing a high level of symmetry of waves inside the Channel Up structure. Buy and target the 0.786 Fibonacci level (35300). Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by TheCryptagon
11
DOW JONES, Massive Bull-Flag-Formation Completed, Targets Ahead!Hello, Welcome to this analysis about the DOW JONES Index, we are looking at the 4-hour timeframe perspectives, the recent events, the established formational structure, and what we should consider in the upcoming times. In my analysis I discovered that the Index has completed a substantial formation on which it can build up on and approach main target-zones. This formation is a descending-bull-flag-formation and is marked in my chart with the black boundaries, what is important here is that the Index already fully completed the ABC-wave-count in the structure and holds above the 35-EMA marked in red. Recently the Index formed a dedicated breakout above the upper-boundary of the formation as it is marked in my chart and is forming this consolidational development in this structure marked in my chart in blue. All these events indicating the further continuations to the upside and as the Index already completed the bull-flag with the confirmational breakout this activated the upside-targets at the 35625 level. When the targets are reached it has to be elevated if the Index continues further bullishly right away or a pullback firstly establishes. In this manner, thank you for watching my analysis about DOW JONES Index and its bull-flag-formation completion with the activated target-zones and upcoming perspectives, will be great when you support it with a like and follow or comment, great contentment for everybody supporting, all the best! "There are many roads to prosperity, but one must be taken." Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
TVC:DJI
by VincePrince
22
Weekly Update: Strap-In and be PatientToday, we have clearly started our descent down to the low 4300 level. I have posted about this sort of move for a while now. This move to the 4300 level will not happen in a day, nor do I think it will reach my target by next week. However, I do think this will be the type of descent that will not allow for good short entries. That day has come and gone. We now track a pattern that is in the very initial stages of carving out a 5-wave structure towards the low 4300. I offer one thing of support to those who are already short. This is now an incomplete wave 1 and should finish today or Monday...but if you think this is swift and scary...wait for wave 3. LOL Best to all, Chris
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by maikisch
DOW JONES Strong bullish leg within a Bullish Megaphone.Dow Jones (DJI) gave us a strong bottom buy signal 8 days ago (see chart below): On today's idea we look at the 1H time-frame, which offers a buy opportunity for quick 1-2 day profit as the index is on a strong bullish leg within a newly formed Bullish Megaphone. Based on the 1H RSI which turned overbought and the 1H MACD which just formed a Bearish Cross, this sequence resembles the August 28 - 31 fractal and we could be on a similar position as on August 30. That was the final consolidation before the bullish leg made its peak on Resistance 1 (35100). Due to the Bullish Megaphone, this time it can go a little higher, so today's buy position targets 35150. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by TradingShot
3
DOW JONES, Clean Breakout Of The Descending-Triangle!________________________________________________________________________________________________ Hi Traders, this is a signal I give to you for free today. The DOW INDEX has formed a clear triangle breakout with volatility and completed above the 400-EMA where entry with pull back is possible. ________________________________________________________________________________________________ ENTRY: 27800-27300 MINIMUM TARGET: 28500 STOP LOSS: 26300 MINIMUM RISK REWARD: 1 REASON: Descending-Triangle Breakout ________________________________________________________________________________________________ In this manner, thank you for watching and support for more market insight. Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets. ________________________________________________________________________________________________
TVC:DJI
by VincePrince
2
D-JONES, The Gap Filled Properly And Sourced High Volatility!Hello Traders Investors And Community, Welcome to this update-analysis where we are looking at the DJIA 4-hour timeframe perspective, the index has recently shown high volatility movements to the downside which was expected after the gap-fill and the ending of the wave-count as pointed out previously this move now confirmed and the index testing the back-up-zone if you did not see this analysis already I highly recommend it by going on my account and watch it to have a full-depth-overview. Now there are important mechanisms the index has to show when considering a possible recovery there are significant levels to confirm, in this case, I detected the important zones and possible outcomes we should anticipate currently with the index destinies. Looking at my chart you can watch there the index confirmed the preliminary short-zone bearish to the downside and now testing the blue back-up-cluster where several supports lying, firstly the EMA and secondly the upper boundary of the channel besides that it is a support zone formed by past price action. This cluster is highly important to hold when considering a bullish continuation and test of higher levels again because when the cluster does not hold and price moves below bearishness will increase till there is solid support found where the price can stabilize again, for a continuation the index needs to confirm the cluster and consolidate there as it is seen in my chart, a possible continuation can be confirmed when the index moves to the 28800 level again. The index is in a situation where it has to show if the support levels can hold sustainably or lower levels will visit next times, when the index does not manage to stay above the back-up-cluster and closes below the next level to considered to be visited is the 27.000. Fundamentally speaking the decline was supported by the big divergences still existing in the real economy and stock market where the real economy is still damaged by corona increase it is important that these two factors grow together to provide a healthy market environment. Next times will show how the index can possibly stabilize however we should not keep the bearish case by side which will follow up when the index closes below the cluster, therefore it is inevitable to wait on the mentioned confirmation before going in the proper direction. In this manner, thank you for watching, support for more market insight, good weekend to you and all the best! "The ambition to transform opportunity into hold remains the most significant tool for a trader." Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
TVC:DJI
by VincePrince
6
D-JONES, Gap Will Fill Soon, Possible Reversal Ahead!Hello Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this analysis where we are looking at the DOW JONES 4-hour timeframe perspectives, the upcoming decisive events in the structure, what we can expect after these events occurring and how possible outcomes can show up in the schedule. The DOW like other major indices recovered somewhat from the corona-breakdowns and lows seen this year where the SPX already made a new all-time-high the DOW is below it and although the indices recovered we should not ignore the fact that the rallies aren't necessarily fundamentally backed as many retailers rushed into the market smart-money staying outside and waiting on the sidelines, not to mention the divergence between real economy and stocks it is important that smart-money enters also where the question pops up if the breakdowns are already over or there is more to come, these facts also coming up in the technical picture of the DOW which is sending some interesting signals at the moment I detected how they possibly can play out over the next times. Looking at my chart you can watch there that the index is just about to fill its gap which it still has lain there at around the 29.000 level, this gap-fill will highly possible play out the next times and this is also confirming on the smaller timeframes as the index is forming a triangle formation, this highly possible gap-fill can be traded in the long-side with overall targets at the 29.000 level from where the next moves are significantly important. Normally what happens often after such gap-fills reaching the gap and filling it is that supply entered the market as orders get filled and traders take profit, this is what also can show up here making the gap-fill-range around 29.000 a possible short-entry-zone as it is marked in my chart, what is supporting this preliminary pull-back is the fact that the index also ending with a wave-count in this level. This pull-back-scenario will be confirmed when the rising grey trendline is broken with a decisive volatile move to the downside the targets at the blue range can be expected where a support-cluster is lying in which the price can stabilize and back-up. In this manner, thank you for watching, support for more market insight, all the best! Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
TVC:DJI
by VincePrince
3
Weekly Update: Next Stop 4312.25The rally off the August 18th lows is an overlapping mess that stands a high probability of concluding very soon, if not TODAY. However, yesterday's CPI report market reaction marked a unique opportunity to remind followers, that markets are not linear. You can choose to look at the CPI report positively through a bullish or bearish lense. The reality was the pattern forming prior to the release was overlapping and signaled traders were uncommitted to higher or lower price action. In my trading room we debated the micro pattern the night before and, in the end, we had nothing constructive to the downside, nor the upside. Therefore, it really didn't matter what the report said, we had no micro pattern pointing us down. The upside was well contained within a larger counter trend rally and that was because we had no impulsive pattern up either. I commented in my trading room, "Does anyone still feel markets are moved by news or events"? A hotter than expected CPI discredits the narrative the Fed may be done raising rates. Therefore, one would expect the markets to sell off. But the opposite happened. You can choose to embrace any narrative you would like to explain that sort of price action. You can choose to invest or trade based on your personal perspectives…all of those buys and sells create a pattern. In reality, traders were telling us prior to the release...there was indecision about market direction and therefore we remained mired in this consolidation. But I do think market participants will get the memo shortly. That’s because outside of the micro patterns, the larger patterns are telling us we have a meeting at 4312.25 regardless of your narrative, or perspective. …and attendance is mandatory. See you all at the meeting. Best to all, Chris
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by maikisch
2
DJIA, Flag-Formation Confirmed, Continuation Ahead!________________________________________________________________________________________________ Hi Traders, this is a signal I give to you for free today. Support will be great with a like and follow when useful. ________________________________________________________________________________________________ ENTRY: 27820-27950 MINIMUM TARGET: 28250 STOP LOSS: 27410 MINIMUM RISK REWARD: 1 REASON: Bull-Flag Confirmation ________________________________________________________________________________________________ In this manner, thank you for watching and support for more market insight. Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets. ________________________________________________________________________________________________
TVC:DJI
by VincePrince
6
DOW JONES 1st 1W Bullish Cross since 2016. Can we see 42k next?Dow Jones (DJI) is forming this week the first MA50 (blue trend-line) / MA100 (green trend-line) Bullish Cross (when the former crosses above the latter) on the 1W time-frame since September 2016 (assuming January/ February 2021 was flat due to the COVIC flash crash). This on its own is a major long-term buy signal, especially since the 1W MA50 has been supporting since March. As you can see the 2022 - 2023 price action is very similar to the 2015 - 2016 sequence. Both fractals started on a Bear Cycle under Lower Highs, which bottomed after marginally breaking below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). The new Bull Cycle was confirmed after the price broke above the Lower Highs trend-line and turned it into a Support being formerly a Resistance. The 1W MA50/100 Bearish Cross signified the bottom. Notice how even the 1W RSI and 1W MACD fractals are identical with their respective Higher Lows. It appears that Dow is currently past the initial Channel Down and on the Circle pattern, which in 2016 was the final consolidation before a hyper aggressive rally that topped in January 2018. Before that top it reached the 1.5 and 1.786 Fibonacci extensions. We treat the current pull-back as the last opportunity to buy this upcoming rally while the price is still that low. Having relatively low expectations, we expect to see at least 42000 (1.5 Fibonacci) by the end of Q1 - start of Q2 2024. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DJILong
by TradingShot
8
D-JONES, It Will Be An Huge Historical Test In Stock-History!Hello Traders Investors And Community, welcome to this analysis about the recent events, the current price-formation-structure and what we can expect the next times in one of the major leading stock-indices worldwide and one of the oldest participants in stock-markets the DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE, after we have seen the huge corona-crisis-breakdown which hit all global markets heavily we see a slowly moving uptrend right now, the big question which we have to ask our selves at the moment is if this uptrend is a stabile uptrend which will continue on a solid foundation or if it is just a huge bull-trap selling the shares to smart money on higher prices. As there are not only fundamental but also technical signals which I detected and which play an important role in the further outcome of the market we are looking at the 4-hour local timeframe. When considering an index which builds the stock-market we have to also compare it with the current real economic situation and the things going on worldwide, and this situation is in fact a high volatile right now as the real economy is still damaged from the corona-crisis which has caused big failures due to lockdowns and the conservatism of the investors in this time. Also, we have massive protests going on worldwide which hasn't been seen since many 10th of years in that a mass-fashion. So taking all these factors together we can examine a divergence in the real economy and the stock market which shouldn't be the case because it is unnatural for the market and when it goes on for longer it has a big speculative impact on the market because the real economy isn't growing but the stock-market due to massive money printing from central banks, therefore, these two should build the same line together to provide a possibility for prosperity. Technically speaking we see the index currently approaching a historical resistance level which is also the all-time-high-level you can see marked in my chart in red, when we approach this level firstly we can expect an pull-back because it is still a strong resistance level when this happened there are basically two possible scenarios which can play out within the index, once it is a second test of the resistance level where the price can succeed and make a new all-time-high to continue further and the second case will be that we break the current uptrend line you can see in my chart marked in grey to the downside which will cause bearish pressure and a test of the neckline of the inverted head and shoulder formation. When considering the bullish case it is important to keep in mind that the breakout needs to confirm with high volatility and sustainable price-action otherwise it can be a bull trap factly till the head and shoulders formation target confirmed. It has to be noted that when we confirm a new high and advance further this will be a highly speculative rally as the real economy and the stock-market are still in divergence together firstly when these both run together we can get a healthy market environment. When considering the bearish side we can get bearish pressure after the uptrend line crossed to the downside, from that point it is possible for the index to test the neckline of the head and shoulder formation from where we can form a reversal and advance further but it can also turn out to come more bearish pressure to the downside which can invalidate the head and shoulder formation, therefore when we cross the 22690 mark to the downside this will get a definite bearish breakdown and need to be kept in the schedule for further considerations. At all the test of the resistance will be the critical factor in the further continuation of the index. In this manner, thank you everybody for watching, support for more market insight and all the best! There are many roads to prosperity in the modern economy, but one must be contemplated. Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
TVC:DJI
by VincePrince
6
Weekly Update: We Hear You and Choose NOT to ListenIf you’re a parent, you’ll certainly understand that children do things despite being told not to. Is it out of curiosity? A rebellious nature? An issue with authority? Or my favorite, they know more? Yes, yes, and yes. It could be those answers or a variety of other reasons. Nonetheless, we don’t expect market participants to act like children. Maybe as adults, some of us never grew up and continue to do things for the same reasons we did as children. Impulse control. Patience. Some of the hardest lessons to learn, and undoubtedly can also be the costliest. I recently read an interesting article trying to make sense of why the market has been up since March. In this article an individual, Michael Darda, with Roth MKM is quoted as saying… “ The equity markets are ignoring the bond markets and that is a mistake ”, says Michael Darda, chief economist and market strategist at Roth MKM. “ I (Darda) examined seven-decades of the yield curve and how it relates to the business cycle and equity market performance. I found there have been 12 inversions since the 1950’s. Importantly, during these occasions the inversion was shown to have preceded the eventual recession by a wide range of between seven to 25 months, with an average lag of 14 months. What is more important is my research shows based on news articles for each of the 12 previous inversion cycles, the narrative of a soft or no landing thesis was prevalent. Upon conclusion of the cycle these narratives were proven incorrect .” In my trading room I constantly rail against CNBC. Nowadays they only serve as a mouthpiece for money managers talking up their books or interview anyone with an incorrect, albeit intelligent sounding narrative. Very little push back from the hosts...(ahem, I mean entertainers). As I have mentioned many times to my members, I’ll never know what the catalysts are that tend to fulfill on my analysis…however, they tend to show up on time. But as an Elliottition, I’m fascinated by the behavior of large crowds, and when they act in a manner that the EWT analysis forecasts…it never gets old. To this day, I’m still blown away on how price can go directly to a particular Fibonacci level and reverse, or bounce. On Friday we hit a dozy of a Fibonacci level in the indices, and this upcoming week, we should have a front row seat to witness just how bad it is. But in a broader context I find myself asking the question. If the market has told its participants in 12 of the past 12 cycles that a particular outcome has happened, why would market participants choose to ignore this one? Equally baffling, why would the same narratives be resurrected to validate the flawed perspective? I simply do not have answer. However, I must offer my most gracious thanks to those crowds of traders who continue to act in a manner that defies rational thought…. Nonetheless, is highly forecastable. I thank you irrational traders. My family thanks you…and on behalf of many of my members…keep doing what you’re doing. Rock on. Best to all, Chris
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by maikisch
11
Will the Bears get Bold?As many of you may recall I recently posted that the areas of ES 4250-60 is my next target. What happens there will determine the price action for the remainder of 2023. You can read the post here. However, from a sentiment standpoint, we look next to see if boldness develops on the part of the more bearish thesis. To breach the 1.0 on the ES in any meaningful way at 4250-60 brings the ES 4150 into view for minor wave 3 of intermediate degree wave 1, which would then conclude around the 4040 area before getting a wave 2 bounce. First, let's see if the bears develop a bold sentiment. Best to all, Chris
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by maikisch
Evening Update: What Worries Me in the Short Term?It’s not the Fed. My perspective is Chairman Powell has been fairly clear in his updates to the markets. The markets simply don’t want to hear any of it. It’s not bonds, or interest rates. Those are trackable and I have posted on the 2yr and 10yr bond yields. Yields are creeping higher and have done so since the October lows. It’s also not corporate earnings. If NVDA couldn’t save the Nasdaq…then all hope is lost. Well…not all. Lol Nope, it’s none of that. It’s the potential for a government shutdown with an October 1st deadline. Is that going to be our catalyst? In truth, I don’t know. But according to CNBC, since the United States is in a Presidential election year, the stock market can’t go down. Have I mentioned CNBC is more detrimental to trading for profit than anything. I have long contested that the US markets are in a multi-generation reversion to mean cycle. In EWT terms…a super-cycle wave IV. These excuses mentioned above, are all the old paradigms of a 100-year-old bull market which carved out our super-cycle advance in what I am forecasting as a super-cycle wave III top that occurred in January 2022. If my analysis is correct, (and it is by no means a slam dunk as to where we are right now in the indices)…the January 2022 highs will NOT be revisited for a long, long time. In the short term, let's see if the US Congress proves Fitch's downgrade of US Debt was warranted. Best to all, Chris
SP:SPXShort
by maikisch
2
Dow Jones on a continuous and strong uptrend in 2023Raising inclination trend has confirmed on the Dow Jones. What this means is that the rising trend is going up at a higher degree. A normal trend is around 45 degrees. A stronger trend is 60 degrees. and once it starts rallying above 60 degrees this is where GREED kicks in and you should prepare for downside. Also there is a strong Rising Channel which I'm sure countless range traders are loving at the moment as well as Trend traders. Price>200 RSI>50 Target 37,000
DJ:DJILong
by Timonrosso
1
Indian and US market OutlookNifty has made a significant recovery after hitting a low of 19223 on August 31, 2023. According to Elliott Wave Theory, the Nifty made its low as Wave iv of Minute Degree Wave {iii} within Wave (i). Until November 2023, Wave (i) of Minute Degree Wave {iii} might drive the index toward 20400-20600. As Wave (ii) of Minute Degree Wave "{iii}," a pullback toward 19000 is what we can anticipate. On Friday, September 1, 2023, Banknifty may have completed Wave (ii) of Minute Degree Wave "{iii}." By November 2023, it may move toward 48800. The S&P 500 may rise as Wave (v) of Minute Degree Wave "{iii}" toward 4800. Minor Degree 1 and Minute Degree Wave {v} may peak between 4900 and 4950 till the year's end. Until November 2023, the Nasdaq 100 appears to be peaking as Minor Degree Wave 1 in the range of 16370 to 17450. In a sequence known as Wave 1-2 and 1-2, DJIA is expanding. Thus, given its current structure, the DJIA may outperform other major US indices through the end of the year.
NSE:NIFTY
by BISHNU_P_BASYAL
DOW JONES sets course for the All Time High in the next 2 monthsDow Jones (DJI) held its 1D MA100 as Support and as projected on our analysis last week (see chart below), it formed a Higher Low on the 5-month Channel Up and rebounded: We now move to the 1W time-frame where this week's 1W candle is so far the strongest since July 17 and already recovered the 1D MA50 (red trend-line). After completing the standard -4.70% correction to the Channel's bottom, the norm within this pattern is to first post a +6.15% rise and ultimately complete the Higher High with a +9.00%. As a result, our short-term target is 36100 (+6.15%) and by the end of October 36960 (+9.00%), which is the All Time High since January 2022! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by TradingShot
4
Weekly Update: Why Couldn't NVidia Save Us?Maybe the catalyst higher starts at Jackson Hole and Chairman Powell's speech at 10am? If not that, then the market will move higher because of either a soft, or NO landing recession thesis. As I continue to update my sentiment chart for my followers, these are the current narratives being discussed...but it will not matter to the sentiment chart what the narrative is. The Sentiment Chart simply is a repeating visual of trader sentiment. The narratives will change. The Sentiment Chart doesn't. It simply repeats. If intermediate waves 1-2 are done then this is about to get ugly. Best to all, Chris
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by maikisch
DOW JONES First time near the 1D MA50 since July 10.Dow Jones is having the strongest pull-back since late May, so far still within the technical boundaries of the 5 month Channel Up. In doing so, it is only a few points before hitting the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been intact since the July 10 Low. Despite that contact, the index hasn't closed a 1D candle below the 1D MA50 since June 01, which was at the start of that Channel Up Higher Low. As a result, we remain bullish aiming at a +6.10% rise to 36800, as long as the 1D candle closes above the 1D MA50. If it fails we will take the small loss and quick sell instead towards the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) at 34200, which is exactly at the bottom of the 5-month Channel Up. If that scenario is materialized, then we will only buy again after the 1D MACD completes a Bullish Cross, most likely (but not necessarily) closer to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). In that case our buy target will be 36900, just below the All Time High of 2021. P.S. The 1D RSI already broke below its Higher Lows trend-line, potentially an early bearish warning. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US30
by TradingShot
1