DJI LONG BREAKOUT 15.3.2019 11:30 NYTNow we have an interesting sign here.
DJI has break ot of the short channel (i have marked them in red)
and comes bak to our well known blue trendline from 11.3.2019
Thats a really strong sign.
DJI managed not only to go sideways out .
Strong up and trading along the long line in blue.
I exspected now higher prices
Also to notice
We have taken out the resistance at 25757 and thats also a fine
long sign.
I will update that at end of todays trading.
Djialong
DJI SHORT end of 12.3.2019In the opposite direction to the Nasdaq situation we have here now the DJI.
DJI is still caught in the bigger short channel i have marked in red lines.
He tried to go out at end of yesterday and start of todays trading but
the outbreak failed.
Now the upper line (i have matrked the channel in red lines)
is the important resistance line for the ext trading days.
Unfortunately for the bulls the yesterday established
long trendline has been broken today (now in orange color)
That not a strong sign.
It is to exspect either a fall dwon in the trend channel or a
sideways go out, but also these possibility is NOT a long
setup.
If that occures we have to check the situation new
whether there comes up a new long trendlie or similar strong signs
or not.
So for now situation is still Short in the channel
--This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only .Alllways do your own research---
DJI SHORT end of 8.3.2019 Short trendchannels establishedDJI is now rading in he new short trendchannel
i have marked them with red lines.
These channel is split in a smaller more shorter range
i have marked ht upper line of that part of channel in purple and the its own lower side , marked in red.
So in a few words:
Between the lower red and the purple line
has been the shortest range.
1 Time Buyers have tried to put DJI out of them
but since end to 8.3. they have not really been succesfull.
We have to check on monday whether the next try which has been started at end of yesterdays trading (25548) will be now successfull.
That would be a first sign of a litte bit revocery.
Next step would be to get on the upper side and upper trendline
(upper red line) of the channel
If DJI reach the level of 25600 till end of monday trading
and climb avove that aerea the setup will going to neutral.
All below this is stay in short
Situation DJI end of 5.3.2019 SHORT Resistance not brokenAs i wrote in the chart
the resistance line at 25880 (nearly) is to beat for long.
For today the bulls havent had enough power to kill it.
That seems to be at the moment that situation is still short
but we have a chance for a long change if that resistance will be took out from the market.
On the other hand if the next days the come back above this line will not come true
that a clear sign of weakness and we shall see more trend to the downside
SHORT Dow Jones might have topped out around 24860 levelsThe Dow Jones turned bearish yesterday, indicating that a meaningful top could be in place at 24860 levels, but be prepared for yet another high around 25100 levels as well. Kindly note that a major price resistance is seen at 26000 levels, which is potential Wave (2) termination as labelled on the chart view here, and prices should ideally stay below that, to keep the bearish structure intact. Also note that a resistance trend line is passing close to 25000 levels, which is converging with fibonacci 0.786 resistance of the drop between 26000 and 21800 levels respectively. Believe it or not, the 24860 to 25100 region could prove to be a strong resistance zone and a bearish reversal cannot be ruled out.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Dow is at a fibonacci confluence around 24000 levels!The Dow Jones hits fibonacci resistance at confluence around 24000 levels. It could just be a matter of time, before bears take control back and continue lower, as Wave iii progresses. Believe it or not, the wave counts are clear as highlighted here, and a potential higher degree Wave (3) has been unfolding since the 26000 levels. Furthermore, a lower degree wave iii extension could be potentially unfolding at the moment, since 24800 highs. If the above structures hold good, ideally we should see prices remain below 24800 levels and broadly below 26000 levels going forward. A safe trading strategy still remains on the south side with potential risk at 26000 and targeting below 21800 respectively.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Dow might be unfolding an extended Wave iii within Wave (3)?The Dow Jones inched higher to 24000 levels yesterday before closing at 23879 levels in the spot segment. If the earlier wave counts discussed were correct, the Wave iv projection stands invalid for now since prices penetrated Wave i termination at 23881 levels. As discussed yesterday, the structure still continues to remain bearish and in fact a lower degree wave iii could be still unfolding as a potential extension. Please note that the recent boundary that is being worked out could be between 26000 and 21800 levels and the rally is seen to be stalling close to fibonacci 0.618 resistance at 23662 levels. Also note that the rally from 21800 through 24000 is just a counter trend (3 waves) and a bearish confirmation here could resume lower again.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Dow Jones Wave iv finally in place at 23675 levels ?The Dow Jones managed to rally and close higher yesterday, making intraday highs at 23675 levels. It seems that the corrective rally (3 waves) that began from 21800 levels earlier might have terminated at 23675 levels, just ahead of 24000 as discussed earlier. We could still label this lower top as a potential Wave iv termination, and until prices remain below 24000 levels, a sharp 5 waves decline can be expected. It could either be an impulse drop or an ending diagonal but the termination point could be at least below 21800 levels going forward. The higher degree wave structure also remains intact for now with Waves (1) and (2) in place at 24122 and 26000 levels respectively and Wave (3) into progress now. If the above structure holds true, we could see fresh lows below 21800 levels.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Dow Jones still carving Wave iv, within Wave (3) lowerThe Dow Jones is seen carving out Wave iv at a lower degree with Wave (3) as labelled on the daily chart view here. Believe it or not, the rally on Friday which saw Dow Jones closing on a higher note at 23430 levels, should not be considered as a change in trend. It could still be carving out a wave iv, as a potential zigzag and resume lower anytime soon. If the above structure should hold, prices should ideally stay below the 24000 mark (please note wave iv ideally stays away from wave i termination) and resume lower towards 21800 levels. Please also note that the 38% fibonacci retracement of the entire drop between 26000 through 21800 levels is also passing through 23400 levels, which could be potential termination of wave iv. Overall bearish bias remains until prices stay below 24000 levels.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Dow Jones Wave (3) still in progress below 21400?The Dow Jones produced an intraday rally towards 23327 levels yesterday but it still remains vulnerable to turn lower one more time and print below 21400 levels. Looking at the wave counts, the Dow Jones seems to have completed Waves (1) and (2) at 24120 and 26000 levels respectively. Since then Wave (3) has been in progress lower and has produced 4 waves. The 4th wave might have terminated at 23381 levels last week and if this holds true, we could witness wave v lower towards 21000 levels, to complete a higher degree Wave (3). Also please note that if the above structure should hold valid, prices should remain below 24000 levels, which is wave i termination point as presented on the chart view here. Overall bearish momentum should remain until prices stay below 24000 levels.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Dow Jones ready to drop below 21400 levels now?The Dow Jones is progressing well into its Wave (3) at a higher degree as labelled here. Within the 3rd wave, a lower degree wave iv was unfolding last week and we had discussed the possibility of its termination around 23200/300 levels. Last Friday, Dow Jones managed to hit 23365 levels intraday and closed around 23000 levels as seen on the chart displayed here. It could be a potential wave iv termination and prices could resume lower from here below 21400 levels. If the above structure holds true, prices should remain below 23370 levels and bears in control from here on. Once Wave (3) is terminated lower, it would be interesting to see if Dow Jones turns higher again. At least for now, the bearish pressure remains against 24000 levels.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
The Dow's run to 265 offers a great opportunity for fast cashAfter breaking the symmetrical triangle last Friday, the DJIA's run to 26500 looks likely.
I expect a very good next two week; starting with a price target this week of 26000, and 26500 next week. It is fair to say that the Dow could face a lot of pressure from its January high. Therefore I believe that the price will be dancing between 265-266 for a week before a break-out occurs, and then, I think that a consolidation will follow.
I will be trading it this way:
1. I will buy DIA Calls with a Mar 16 Exp and sell them when the index reach 26500;
2. I will wait for a drop to hopefully 26000 before re-entering the trade but this time with a Apr 20 Exp. My target for this one will be 27000. I will wait a bit after that to see where the market is heading.
Good trading everyone!
DJI (CBOT)B&B Pattern. Trade setup with Buy Limit position (EP) at 25387 Stop Loss (SL) at 24531 and Take Profit (TP) at 26186.
Money Management
I have 22,800 USD in my portfolio. I can lose 10% of the port which is 2,280 USD. I will Trade MINI DOW JONES ($5)
Position Sizing
1 Tick = $5
1 Contract size need IM = $3,685 (I can open not more than $22,800 / $3,685 = 6.187 Cons)
It is 856 Tick from EP to SL, with 1 Con, I will lose 856 * $5 = $4,280
To lose 2,280 USD I need to open 2,280 / 4,280 = 0.53 Con
Then I will put 1 Contract
If I win, I will gain (26186 - 25387) * $5 * 1 Con = $3,995
P.S. I will not trade this position because stop loss is beyond my acceptable number
DXY going to test 91 and lowerDXY is heading to $91 and even lower if we break below there. Sentiment towards the dollar everywhere is trying to pick a bottom which isn't good for dollar bulls. My current positions are short DXY , long EURUSD , long XAUUSD , short USDJPY , short USDCAD , long USOIL , long DJIA and long SPX. I will be holding these positions until sentiment turns the opposite way. I see very big moves in all of these pairs coming through 2018.