"US30 / DJI" Indices Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US30 / DJI" Indices Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (44200) swing Trade Basis Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 42200 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
"US30 / DJI" Indices Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
🟣Fundamental Analysis
Earnings: Q4 2024 EPS growth strong (e.g., 16.9% for S&P 500 proxies)—bullish, but US30 firms face tariff uncertainty.
Rates: Fed at 3-3.5%, no cuts signaled—real yields ~1% (10-year Treasury 3.8%) pressure equities—bearish.
Inflation: PCE 2.6% (Jan 2025)—persistent inflation supports Fed stance, bearish for stocks.
Growth: U.S. consumer spending wanes (Schwab)—mixed, neutral impact.
Geopolitics: Trump tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China)—short-term volatility, long-term bullish for U.S. firms.
🟤Macro Economics
Federal Reserve Policy: The Federal Reserve has been raising interest rates to combat inflation, which has led to a strengthening of the US dollar.
US Economy: The US economy has been showing signs of slowing down, with GDP growth rates decreasing.
Global Economy: The global economy has been experiencing a slowdown, with many countries experiencing recession.
⚪Commitments of Traders (COT) Data
Speculators: Net long ~55,000 contracts (down from 65,000)—cooling bullishness.
Hedgers: Net short ~60,000—stable, locking in gains.
Open Interest: ~125,000 contracts—steady global interest, neutral.
🔴Market Sentimental Analysis
Bullish Sentiment: Some analysts believe that the US30 will break above the resistance at 45,000 and continue rising.
Bearish Sentiment: Many investors expect a correction, with a potential target of 42200.
Risk Aversion: The market is experiencing risk aversion, with investors seeking safe-haven assets.
🔵Positioning Analysis
Long Positions: Some investors are holding long positions in US30, expecting a breakout above 45,000.
Short Positions: Many investors are holding short positions in US30, expecting a correction.
🟠Quantitative Analysis
Technical Indicators: The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 45, indicating a neutral sentiment.
Moving Averages: The 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) is at 44,404, providing resistance for US30 prices.
🟡Intermarket Analysis
DXY: 106.00—USD softness aids equities—bullish.
XAU/USD: 2910—gold rise signals risk-off, bearish for US30.
NDX: ~20,000, tech softening—correlated pressure on US30—bearish.
Bonds: U.S. 10-year 3.8%—yield stability neutral.
🟢News and Events Analysis
Federal Reserve Meeting: The Federal Reserve is scheduled to meet on March 15-16, with investors expecting a potential rate hike.
US Economic Data: The US economic data, including the Non-Farm Payrolls report, is being closely watched for its impact on US30 prices.
🟣Next Trend Move
Bullish Trend: Some analysts believe that the US30 will break above the resistance at 45,000 and continue rising.
Bearish Trend: Many investors expect a correction, with a potential target of 42,200.
🔴Overall Summary Outlook
Bullish Outlook: Some analysts believe that the US30 will break above the resistance at 45,000 and continue rising.
Bearish Outlook: Many investors expect a correction, with a potential target of 42,200.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Djisignals
Dow Jones Testing Key Support – Bounce or Crash Ahead?The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is currently testing a key rising trendline support, which has been a strong foundation for its uptrend since 2023. Holding this level could signal a continuation of the bullish momentum, while a breakdown may lead to a deeper correction. If the price fails to hold above this trendline, the next significant support lies around 41,000-40,000, a zone that previously acted as resistance and is now a psychological support level. In case of further weakness, the long-term trendline support around 38,000-39,000 could come into play, aligning with the Ichimoku cloud support.
For the bullish scenario to remain valid, DJIA needs to sustain above the rising trendline and reclaim recent highs. However, if sellers gain control and push prices lower, a broader pullback could unfold. Overall, the market remains in an uptrend as long as key support levels hold, but price action in the coming weeks will determine whether the index continues upward or undergoes a deeper correction.
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Dow Jones (DJI) Primed for a Bullish Move – Fresh Long Entry!DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL (DJI) Technical Analysis:
In the 15-minute timeframe, Dow Jones Industrial (DJI) has signaled a fresh long trade entry at 42,406.00 with potential upside movement, supported by the break above the Risological dotted trendline.
Key Levels:
Entry: 42,406.00
Stop Loss (SL): 42,294.50
Target 1 (TP1): 42,543.81
Target 2 (TP2): 42,766.81
Target 3 (TP3): 42,989.81
Target 4 (TP4): 43,127.63
Observations:
The price has gained bullish momentum, with a clean break above the Risological trendline.
If momentum sustains, this trade could see all targets successfully hit.
A solid long trade entry is in play for DJI, with upside potential. The Risological dotted trendline serves as strong support, and if buyers maintain control, higher targets are likely to be reached.
US30 DJI on 20-11-2023 : BEARISH BIASEDUS30 Index can go Bullish if,
H1/H4 closing happens above 35000, it can move bullish upto 35150 level.
or it can go Bearish if,
H1/H4 closing happens below 34880, it can move bearish upto 34730 level
#️⃣ Trend expectations from 8:00AM to 12:30PM USA Time EST.
#️⃣ Trade with 1-2% risk only.
Is Dow's correction really over?As we all know, Dow30 (All American indices in fact) started to drop since the beginning of the year.
However, looking at a longer chart we can see that this drop is overlapping suggesting correction.
At the beginning of October, Dji made a new low under 30k, followed by a second drop in that zone, making a small double bottom.
After the break back above 30k, the index traded to the upside in a very nice and constructive way and recently also broke above the falling trend line.
If this is a bull trap or not remains to be seen, but strictly technical, the index is bullish at this moment and it will stay this way as long as the price is above 32k.
A break above 34k would call for further gains and February's 36k high could be the target.
DOW JONES Critical level separating the Bull from Bear Market!It hasn't been more than a month ago (October 10) when we first posted the 1D MA300 (yellow trend-line) as our long-term target for Dow Jones (DJI):
The index came just a few points below it and so far we see a minor pull-back and consolidation, attributed both to profit taking as well as risk aversion before the important CPI report on Thursday.
As mentioned on the previous analysis, the range Dow is currently in is the technical Rejection Zone that has formed all previous Lower Highs of the 2022 Bear Cycle Megaphone pattern, all of which initiated massive selling legs to new Lower Lows. Even though the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) is the current short-term Support, typically breaking below the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) confirms the downtrend. Another strong confirmation of the bearish legs is when the MACD on the 1D time-frame makes a Bearish Cross.
The 1D MA300 (yellow trend-line) is practically what separates the Bull from the Bear Cycle. It is no surprise that since the August 16 Lower High, the 1D MA300 is trading parallel to the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 2022 Bearish Megaphone. A closing above it effectively confirms the shift to a long-term bullish trend with first target 34300 (August 16 High) and second the 35550 (April 21 High).
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DOW JONES close to a rejection zone. Bullish if it breaks.The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) fulfilled our buy signal given in late June after the price made a Lower Low on its long-term Channel Down:
Right now the scene has slightly changed as the 1D RSI broke above its 8 month Resistance Zone and even though the price is now exactly on the Lower Highs (top) trend-line of the Channel Down, this may be the first sign that the trend is about to change from long-term bearish to bullish.
There is still a chance to break above the Channel Down without breaking the bearish trend as the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) are above it. Those are the levels where Dow got rejected last time (April 21) and started a downtrend to a new Lower Low on the -0.236 Fibonacci extension.
As a result a plan that offers excellent R/R opportunities is to sell just above the 0.618 Fib (see rejection zone) with a tight SL on the 1D MA200. Short-term target the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), where you can short if it breaks before hitting 0.618. Medium-term target 30450. If we get that candle close above the 1D MA200 then its minimum loss on the SL and switch to a break-out buy on the long-term. In that case the short-term targets can be the previous Lower Highs (33540 and 35875).
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DOW JONES Strong long-term Buy SignalPattern: Channel Up on 1D.
Signal: Buy as the price rebounded on the 1D MA50.
Target: 29000 (1.2 Fibonacci extension).
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DOW JONES Sell SignalPattern: Bullish Megaphone on 4H.
Signal: Bearish as the price was rejected on the Megaphone's Higher High trend-line and broke through the (dashed) inner Higher High line.
Target: 24250 (roughly a -6% decline like the previous Higher High rejections, as well as contact with the 4H MA200).
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Previous DOW JONES trade:
DOW JONES Trading PlanPattern: Emerging Channel Down on 4H.
Signal: Bearish as long as the 24395 trend-line is intact. Bullish if it breaks.
Target: 23350, 22950 and 22380 in succession (Supports 1, 2 and 3 respectively) depending on how much risk you want to take (R/R ratio).
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DOW JONES Signs of the Great Depression?This is a DJI comparison of the Great Depression and the phase that preceded it against the current COVID sell-off and the phase since the DotCom bubble that led to it.
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As you see both time phases are Megaphone patterns. Both started on high volatility (A,B,C,D) while the Megaphone was emerging and after testing the Higher High trend line for the longest time of the phase (E), the price broke above it making an over-extension (F). This is usually where most retail and other dumb money are trapped during recessions. What followed (F) during the Great Depression was of course a complete and lengthy collapse of the system, the worst recession in history. Also look how harmonically the 1M MA100 is moving on both patterns.
Will history repeat itself? I want to know your opinion about it.
*For the record the purpose of this comparison is not to spread panic, I will leave it to the mainstream media to do so. But it is so intriguing that I think can make a great discussion in the comment section below! So will it fill the gap?
DOW JONES Sell SignalPattern: 1H Channel Up.
Signal: Bearish as the price failed to break the medium term Higher High trend line (bold black) was rejected sideways and formed a Death Cross (MA50 crossing below the MA200) while the 1H RSI is trading on a bearish divergence.
Target: 28,030 (1H Support) and 27,800 (4H Support).