1/20 Weekly Watchlist + NotesWeekly Watchlist and Market Analysis Using #TheStrat
Indexes - SPY went failed 2D week following the previous week going 3 and we nearly went 3 on this last week, but came up short with little room to go to previous week highs. This week we look to go 3-2-2U to confirm the month being failed 2D that has now retraced more than 50% of the previous months range, meaning we are now closer to taking out previous month highs than we are to reclaiming previous month lows. With full timeframe continuity green, we know that buyers are full in control at the moment, and this upcoming week looks to confirm that further as we look to target previous weekly highs on our way up to ATH levels. No daily actionable signal and a couple daily gaps to the downside, so we will see what happens Tuesday pre market whether we gap down to give last weeks buyers some corrective activity, whether we gap up, clear weekly magnitude (at the high of the weekly 3 from the week prior to this last week) before seeing if we expand further to confirm the month attempting to go 3 or begin reversing back through last weeks range. Finally, we may just open flat and see where intraday signals and continuity take us.
(Slightly pressed for time at the time of writing so I apologize for the lack of detail like my normal posts)
Watchlist:
Bullish:
NVDA - 2-1-2U Daily, 2-2 Weekly. Daily BF looks interesting
PLTR - 3-2-2U Weekly. High rVOL
WMT - Hammer 2-2 Week, MoMo Hammer Daily. Inside green Month which isn't great this late in the month, but not bad enough to ruin this setup for me
DLTR - Hammer 3-2-2U weekly after month went 3. Looking to go back through the months range now. Note: DG full FTFC red so no sector support
IONQ - 3-1 Week at M Exhaustion. MASSIVE range on this one. Nearly 30% underlying move from weekly trigger to magnitude
HIMS - Hammer failed 2D, Weekly 3-1, Failed 2D month attempting to go 3
Bearish:
DOCU - Weekly 3-2-2 Shooter. Daily Big red 3 following double inside day so potential 3-2D daily to trigger shooter week down. Filling in massive gap from the last earnings report
Neutral:
DAL + UAL: Both have inside weeks. DAL at exhaustion risk. UAL bright green. Relative strength in the airline industry
Djt
Official Trump will be listed on Coinbase soon!Official Trump will go crazy when it becomes fully available to Coinbase users. It seems to Still Be EARLY for a 10x or 100X. This will be a worldwide phenomenon. Looking for places to DCA against the 5 min 100 EMA. May see larger pullbacks to the 1hr 50 EMA as price rises.
$DJT Drama, Risks, and Valuation WoesNASDAQ:DJT – 🚨 Drama, Risks, and Valuation Woes
1/ 🔥 NASDAQ:DJT (Trump Media & Technology Group) boasts a $7.8B market cap with just MIL:1M revenue in 2024. Speculative bubble or untapped opportunity? Let’s break it down. 🎭📉
2/ The Numbers Don’t Lie 📊
Last quarter: Net loss of -$19.25M, a -17.6% decline QoQ.
2024 revenue: $1M.
For comparison, NASDAQ:META earns that in minutes. But what if the narrative is just beginning? 💡
3/ Hype or Genius? 🗞️
NASDAQ:DJT thrives on sentiment. Stock spikes align with political events like Trump transferring his stake to a trust.
If sentiment drives innovation, as @elonmusk has shown with Tesla, could NASDAQ:DJT leverage its brand into real growth? 🤔
4/ Compared to Giants ⚖️
NASDAQ:META and NYSE:SNAP have billions in revenue to justify valuations.
NASDAQ:DJT ’s negative P/E ratio isn’t great, but could its brand power offer future potential? 🚀
5/ Big Risks Ahead ⚠️
Political dependence: Heavily tied to Trump’s image. 🗳️
Speculative volatility: Pump-and-dump risks are real. 💣
Regulation: Crypto (TruthFi) and social media ventures face scrutiny. 🚫
6/ SWOT Breakdown 🧩
Strengths: Trump’s brand guarantees visibility. 🌍
Weaknesses: Minimal revenue, negative earnings, lofty valuation. 🕳️
Opportunities: Crypto adoption 🚀 and politically charged engagement.
Threats: Competition ( NASDAQ:META ) and legal risks loom. 🛡️
7/ Valuation: Sky-High 🚀
Every $1 in revenue supports $7,800 in market cap.
Musk once said, "People don't buy the car; they buy the vision." Could NASDAQ:DJT ’s vision be its real value driver? 🌌💸
8/ Drama or Disruption? 🎭
NASDAQ:DJT thrives on emotion, but could a shift to fundamentals make it a serious player? If Musk taught us anything, it's that bold bets sometimes pay off. 💥
9/ What’s Your Take?
Your move. Vote and share your thoughts below. 👇
Buy for the brand 🔥
Hold for the vision 🤷♂️
Too risky, avoid 🚫
Can DJT Trump Media & Technology Group Hit 171? Hey, trading family
DJT from Trump Media & Technology Group is hovering around $42 right now. If we can rally it up to $62.50 and break out of that triangle, we're in for an epic run. We're talking potential jumps to $106, then $142, and if the stars align, we could see $171! With all the buzz around the inauguration, this could be DJT's moment to shine.
If you're as excited about this potential breakout as I am, please give this post a boost, leave some love in the comments, or share it around! And if you want to chat more about this or need more trading insights, feel free to DM me or check out my profile for more.
Let's watch this one together and see if we can hit those numbers!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
DJT DJT (Trump Media & Technology Group) is showing strong bullish momentum this week, breaking through key resistance levels around $36 with high volume and confirming a potential continuation toward the $45 target. The weekly chart highlights expanding Bollinger Bands and solid price action, while the hourly chart shows bullish EMA alignment and strong momentum, supported by elevated RSI levels. With buyers clearly in control, $45 is a realistic target for this week as the stock maintains its upward trajectory.
DJT: Will It Break $33.85 or $38.55 First? DJT is at a tipping point, and it could go either way. Here’s what to watch so you’re ready for the next big move.
1) If DJT Drops Below $33.85
If this level breaks, things could get rough. Here’s what might happen:
-$28–$26: This is the first stop where the price might chill for a bit.
-$10: If the selling gets heavy, this is where we could end up.
2) If DJT Pops Above $38.55
If the bulls take charge, it could be time to ride the wave higher:
A break above $38.55 could spark a nice rally and push the price upward.
What’s the Plan?
-Keep an eye on $33.85 and $38.55—they’re the magic numbers.
-Be patient and wait for a clear move before jumping in.
If this makes sense, toss me a like or follow. Got questions about DJT or another stock you’re stuck on? Hit me up in the DMs—I’m here to help.
And hey, if you’re feeling burned out or stressed about trading, let’s talk. I’m all about helping you find your balance and keeping things sustainable. Chill, stay focused, and let’s catch the next wave together!
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT): Big Moves Ahead?Good morning, trading family!
Trump Media & Technology Group (DJT) is at a critical juncture, and here’s what we’re watching:
If the price falls below $33.87: It could drop to $30-$28, with a chance of bouncing back to $59.57 afterward.
If the price breaks above $38.51: We could see momentum push it to $59 or higher.
If it fails to hold $28: Deeper declines may follow.
These levels are key, and how the price reacts will set the direction. Let’s stay sharp and trade smart!
Comment, like, follow, or send me a DM if you want more insights on this setup!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
$DJT Analysis of the Chart: Trump Media & Technology Group CorpThis daily chart shows Trump Media & Technology Group Corp., currently trading at $34.71, slightly below the pivot level (P: $34.58) and experiencing a minor pullback. The white dashed lines represent dark pool levels, indicating significant institutional activity zones. The price is consolidating near critical levels, with a potential for either a bullish recovery or a bearish continuation, depending on upcoming price action.
Technical Analysis
Trend Analysis
Prior Trend:
The stock has exhibited a downtrend from August through mid-September, characterized by lower lows and lower highs.
A bullish reversal began in late September, leading to a strong rally into November, crossing major resistance levels and forming a clear uptrend.
Current Trend:
After hitting a peak at $53.99 (R3) in early November, the stock entered a correction phase.
The price has been consolidating near the $34.58 pivot level, testing the 8 EMA for support.
Key Levels
Resistance Levels:
R1 ($41.99): First key resistance and potential profit target for a bullish move.
R2 ($46.57): Secondary resistance where sellers might reappear.
R3 ($53.99): Major resistance, representing the upper boundary of the previous rally.
Support Levels:
S1 ($27.16): First critical support level below the current price, coinciding with prior consolidation.
S2 ($22.58): Secondary support level, marking the midpoint of the September rally.
S3 ($15.17): Significant long-term support, indicating the lower end of the bearish phase.
Dark Pool Levels:
The white dashed lines indicate dark pool trading activity, with notable levels at $34.58 (Pivot) and $30.28, both acting as significant support or resistance depending on price action.
Volume Analysis
Volume spiked during the rally in October and early November, signaling strong institutional participation.
Recent volume is declining, which is typical during consolidation, but a volume breakout would signal the next directional move.
Moving Averages (8 EMA and 21 EMA):
8 EMA (yellow line): The price is currently testing this short-term support level. Holding above this line would indicate potential bullish momentum.
21 EMA (blue line): Acts as medium-term support. A break below it would suggest bearish continuation.
Potential Scenarios
Bullish Case:
Key Factors:
The price holds above $34.58 (Pivot) and the 8 EMA, confirming strong buying interest.
A breakout above R1 ($41.99) would signal a resumption of the bullish trend.
Entry: Enter a long position above $35.00, confirming a bounce off the pivot or a breakout above the 8 EMA.
Profit Targets:
First Target: $41.99 (R1).
Second Target: $46.57 (R2).
Stretch Target: $53.99 (R3).
Stop Loss: Close below $32.75, as a break of this level invalidates the bullish setup.
Bearish Case:
Key Factors:
The price breaks below $34.58 (Pivot) and the 8 EMA, confirming selling pressure.
A breakdown below $32.75 would likely lead to further declines toward support levels.
Entry: Enter a short position below $32.75, confirming a breakdown.
Profit Targets:
First Target: $30.28 (Dark Pool Level).
Second Target: $27.16 (S1).
Stretch Target: $22.58 (S2).
Stop Loss: Close above $35.50, as it would invalidate the bearish setup.
Conclusion
The stock is currently at a critical juncture, consolidating near the $34.58 pivot level and the 8 EMA. A decisive move in either direction, accompanied by volume confirmation, will determine the next trend. Traders should watch for a breakout above $35.00 for a bullish setup or a breakdown below $32.75 for a bearish move. Clear profit targets and stop-loss levels are essential to managing risk in this trade.
Bitcoin Swinging to 100K?Bitcoin (BTC) Swinging to $95k then $100k? With confirmed interest in crypto from the Trump Media (DJT). They are signaling that crypto will be the next hot thing. We are at all time high for crypto Market Cap at $3 Trillion. More money will pour in if banks and the US become more Crypto-friendly!
BAKKT gets the Trump PumpCrypto custody, trading, and on ramp solutions provider BAKKT just got a pump i price that sent it above the double bottom enckline thanks to Donald trump’s media company suggesting they want to acquire the platform. Bodes well for price flipping this neckline to support and valdating the double bottom breakout in the near future. *not financial advice*
DJT at a Crossroads: Bullish Momentum or Potential Pullback?The DJT stock is showing signs of a potential trend reversal after a prolonged downtrend. For an extended period, the stock moved in a clear downward trajectory, forming lower highs and lower lows. Recently, however, a significant breakout above the downward trendline has occurred, accompanied by a noticeable increase in trading volume, signaling renewed buying interest.
The price has established a strong support zone between 28.50 and 30.00, where it has shown stability and a sharp rebound. This zone highlights a key area of buyer activity, making it a crucial level to watch. On the upside, the levels of 66.42, 70, and 92.50 represent important resistance zones. The first at 66.42 may act as a near-term barrier, while 70 is a natural psychological resistance level and the next logical target. Finally, 92.50 serves as a long-term target if bullish momentum persists.
Recent price action also reflects strategic liquidity plays. Liquidity was swept from the lows below 30.00, likely allowing for significant accumulation by institutional buyers. The subsequent price recovery above this level reinforces the potential for a sustained upward movement. Breaking and holding above 66.42 will confirm strength in the upward trend, potentially paving the way toward 70, and eventually 92.50, a key historical level.
Additionally, moving averages are aligning toward a bullish crossover, further supporting the outlook for continued upward momentum. The recent increase in trading activity at current levels underscores growing market interest and confidence in the stock.
Looking ahead, if the price remains above the 28.50–30.00 support zone , the next targets are 66.42, followed by 70, and finally 92.50 as the primary resistance levels. However, caution is warranted in the event of a break below 28.50, as this could lead to further downside toward 13.01.
In conclusion, the stock is at a critical juncture. Monitoring price action and volume near key levels will be essential to confirm the next direction. Risk management remains paramount, especially when navigating strong support and resistance areas.
Money over Politics - Trump Media(DJT) to buy Bakkt(BKKT)?Money over politics - Donald Trump Media( NASDAQ:DJT ) in talks to buy crypto company Bakkt ( NYSE:BKKT ). Follow the money. I am thinking that this is a very bullish sign if the government starts to change regulation around bitcoin and other crypto. It will be in the president's personal interest to make the US more crypto-friendly. If this acquisition goes through then Bitcoin to the moon!
Is the Trump Trade Fading? The sugar high from Trump’s victory may be wearing off in a few areas.
Tesla, once a post-election favorite after Elon Musk’s support of Trump’s campaign, has now reversed direction. Reports suggest that Republicans will end the $7,500 EV tax credit—a move that’s sent Rivian tumbling 9%, while Tesla is down nearly 4%.
Shares of Trump Media & Technology slid 8% today. But being a meme stock, analysis here won't tell us much. In a notable signal, the CFO and two other insiders sold over $16 million of stock in the week following the election.
Yet, the U.S. dollar remains resilient, possibly buoyed by the Cabinet picks coming out of the Trump administration. Marco Rubio’s nomination as Secretary of State suggests a tough stance on China. Known for his anti-communist positions and support for Hong Kong’s democracy movement, Rubio has advocated for tighter export controls on U.S. technology and visa sanctions against Chinese officials, hinting at a policy that may go well beyond tariffs.
DJT a winner in life. A winner in the market? Hello Traders,
Quite obvious large wedge pattern emerging here, with price action sitting on a solid support. If it breaks support below shown on the chart, we will more likely than not, come down between $10 & $11. This would have course be our best entry point. Could it happen? OF COURSE, this is why we do TA! It is to assure we have a plan for all possibilities and minimize risk along the way!
That being said, where price action is currently, we could very likely start next week with a green candle and continue it through mid week and if so my plan is to start buying some contracts If the week closes green. Possibly a few if we get two green closes M & T. it’s very likely to break out in the next month or two. Maybe within another 1-2 weeks. If we see a solid green candle close next week.
In addition, look at that massive sell volume that couldn’t even break support. My money is on the bounce and then breakout here where we stand! Best of luck and always follow the path of less resistance and have a plan for a diverging outcome! This is law if you want to be consistently profitable!
Stay Profitable,
Savvys
Trump wins? $DJT to fall into election, then rally after?I've been watching the DJT chart for a while now. I originally took a trade at $17 with intention to hold, but got scared out of the position on the loss of $16. It ended up bottoming at $13. Since then, it's gone 3x with people anticipating a Trump win.
We've corrected in the last few days and the chart looks like it wants to see more downside into the $27-20 levels. That's where I'll start scaling into positions in both spot and calls.
To me, that looks like a great buying opportunity. On higher timeframes, it looks like the stock is getting ready for a large move above $100 post election.
Let's see how it plays out over the next week.
IRON CONDOR ON DJTTHIS STOCK HAS SUCH CRAZY WILD VOLATILITY.
Be smart with this position, but understand you can sell puts and calls and bring in gorgeous premiums.
I will do the 80-85 20-15 iron condor OVER election. Obviously this is what brings in so much premium and risk on this trade.
But ... I am certainly willing to get put shares at $20 IF trump does get elected because it seems I would be able to sell that stock $20+ at SOME point during his election..?
TRUMP MEDIA (DJT) Skyrockets After NYC Rally! Next Big Move?TRUMP MEDIA (DJT) Analysis:
Trump Media & Technology Group Corp (DJT) experienced a sharp rise in price, gaining over 10% in Tuesday’s pre-market trading following a high-profile rally by Donald Trump at Madison Square Garden. This rally, which attracted a wave of attention, likely fueled the surge in buying interest. The stock closed 21.59% higher the previous day, marking a significant increase.
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: $30.15
Stop Loss: $20.95
Target Levels:
TP 1: $41.53
TP 2: $59.93
TP 3: $78.33
TP 4: $89.70
Technical Indicators:
The Risological dotted trend line indicates bullish momentum, suggesting that buyers are stepping in forcefully. With TP 1 already reached, the stock has shown strong momentum, making the higher targets achievable if this rally sustains.
Market Sentiment:
Post-event enthusiasm and Trump’s push on key issues seem to resonate with certain investor groups, potentially sparking further interest. Given the volume spike to 110.35M, far above its 30-day average, momentum remains high.
Outlook:
With further upside potential, the stock could reach its higher target levels if the rally and media attention continue to bolster confidence. Keep a close watch on volume and price action to capture potential profit-taking points or to ride the bullish wave to higher targets.
Trump Media Surges! TP1 & TP2 Done – More Targets in Sight!DJT (Trump Media) on the 15-minute time frame, long trade.
Entry: $28.64
Current Price: $34.33 (TP2 hit)
TP1: $30.81 (Hit)
TP2: $34.33 (Hit)
TP3: $37.85
TP4: $40.03
Stop Loss (SL): $26.88
With two targets already hit, the momentum suggests we could see the next targets getting hit soon!
$DJT Climbs 18.55%—Boosting Trump’s Net Worth By Over $500 MlnShares of Trump Media & Technology Group (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DJT ) surged by 18.55% on Monday, significantly increasing Donald Trump's net worth by over $500 million. This marks a notable rebound for the stock, which has faced volatility in recent months. Trump Media, which owns the social media platform Truth Social, saw its stock price rise to nearly $30 per share. Trump, who holds a 57% stake in the company, benefited from the sharp rise, bringing his net worth to $5.5 billion.
The surge in Trump Media stock comes as speculation around Trump’s potential election win intensifies. Betting markets have given Trump higher odds of winning, with Election Betting Odds trackers showing Trump leading Kamala Harris at 53.2% to 45.8%. The stock, often labeled a “meme stock,” has reacted strongly to these political developments.
Political Influence & Investor Sentiment
Trump Media’s stock price often mirrors the former president's chances in the upcoming U.S. election. As election betting markets sway in favor of Trump, so do investor sentiments surrounding $DJT. The rise in stock value can be largely attributed to Trump's increasing chances of a successful political comeback, leading investors to bet on the company’s future under a potential Trump presidency.
Additionally, the company's recent launch of Truth+ streaming services has contributed to the renewed attention. Trump Media (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DJT ) recently announced the rollout of Truth+ on the web, with future plans to expand into iOS, Android, and major smart TV platforms. This move is expected to broaden the company’s user base and provide an additional revenue stream.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical perspective, (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DJT ) is displaying strong bullish signals. As of the time of writing, the stock has formed a bullish engulfing pattern, confirming a potential continuation of upward momentum. The stock is currently trading above key moving averages, with the RSI sitting at an overbought level of 76. While the stock is in an overbought zone, this is a common feature for NASDAQ:DJT during sharp rallies, especially given the influence of political and media news on its price movement.
The stock's current resistance level is set at $40, a significant pivot that mirrors a previous support level from June 2024. Breaking through this resistance could lead to a new rally, especially if Trump's election prospects improve further. On the downside, support is positioned around $23, which is also near the stock’s one-month high. A move toward this zone would likely lead to consolidation before the next leg higher.
Election Impact on Long-Term Prospects
The outcome of the U.S. presidential election could have a dramatic effect on the future of NASDAQ:DJT stock. If Donald Trump emerges victorious, it is highly likely that the stock could test or exceed its all-time high (ATH) of $66, a level reached in February 2022. However, if Trump loses, the stock could face steep declines, with experts like Matthew Tuttle suggesting it could plummet to zero.
For now, Trump Media’s performance remains heavily influenced by external factors, particularly political events. Investors are advised to keep a close watch on polling data and election betting odds, as these will be critical in forecasting the stock's trajectory over the next several months.
What to Watch For
The next major catalyst for NASDAQ:DJT will be its third-quarter earnings report, expected in mid-November. The previous report showed lower-than-expected revenue, leading to a stock price drop. Investors will be watching closely to see if the company's new streaming platform and growing political momentum can offset earlier losses. If Trump’s political influence continues to rise, the stock could easily outperform expectations.
Trump Media & Technology Group Stock Surges as Musk Backs TrumpShares of Trump Media & Technology Group (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DJT ) surged by over 15% on Monday, buoyed by renewed political momentum after former President Donald Trump’s rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, where he appeared alongside Tesla CEO Elon Musk. The event, held just a day prior, saw Musk publicly endorse Trump for president, a move that has energized Trump’s supporters and investors alike. Musk’s endorsement, along with the rally’s broader media coverage, has acted as a significant catalyst for NASDAQ:DJT stock, which has seen a strong uptick in trading volume and investor interest.
Musk-Backed Momentum and Media Buzz
The rally in Butler marked a high-profile return for Trump to the site of a previous assassination attempt in July, with Musk's appearance further amplifying the media attention. In his 90-minute speech, Trump spoke at length about his vision for the country, while Musk labeled himself “Dark MAGA” and expressed strong support for Trump’s re-election, stating, “President Trump must win to preserve the Constitution.” This public backing by one of the world's most influential tech entrepreneurs has provided a jolt to NASDAQ:DJT , which had previously been on a steady decline.
Adding to this momentum is the recent U.S. Supreme Court dismissal of a lawsuit filed by Musk’s X Corp. The lawsuit alleged that Special Counsel Jack Smith violated the First Amendment in obtaining a search warrant for Trump's communications on Twitter. The dismissal was seen as a victory for both Trump Media and Musk, helping to restore some investor confidence.
However, challenges remain. Trump Media recently revealed in regulatory filings that its Chief Operating Officer, Andrew Northwall, resigned in late September, marking yet another leadership shake-up within the company. Additionally, the firm is set to release nearly 800,000 shares of its stock to an early investor, per a Delaware judge’s ruling. Despite these internal challenges, the company’s chief product, Truth Social, continues to depend heavily on Trump’s popularity and his continued presence on the platform.
Technical Outlook
Technically, NASDAQ:DJT appears to be in the early stages of a potential bullish rebound. The stock is currently up 10.67% as of this writing, capitalizing on the rally’s momentum and Musk’s endorsement. However, NASDAQ:DJT has been in a falling trend pattern since its all-time high (ATH) back in March 2024, signaling a long-term downward trend.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 54.54, indicating that the stock is not yet overbought and has room to grow further. This gives traders optimism that the stock could continue its upward trajectory. A key concern, however, is that NASDAQ:DJT is still trading below critical moving averages (MAs), particularly the 50-day and 200-day MAs. These levels represent important resistance points that NASDAQ:DJT will need to break through to confirm a sustained bullish reversal.
Price targets suggest that the next major pivot for the stock is set at $33, aligning with the 200-day MA. Should NASDAQ:DJT continue to capitalize on its recent gains, breaking through this level would be a strong indicator of further upward movement. However, until the stock moves above these key averages, caution is warranted as NASDAQ:DJT remains vulnerable to retracement.
Outlook: Political Tailwinds Could Drive Future Gains
The rally in Butler, Musk’s endorsement, and recent legal victories have given NASDAQ:DJT a fresh boost of momentum, but the stock still has significant hurdles to overcome. Investors are eyeing the upcoming 2024 election cycle as a potential catalyst for further gains, particularly if Trump’s popularity continues to rise.
While the stock is still trading below its key moving averages, the formation of a bullish pattern and steady RSI suggest that there may be room for further upside. As NASDAQ:DJT recovers from its post-March lows, long-term investors and traders will be watching closely to see if the stock can break through the $33 resistance level, which could signal a full-blown reversal of its current trend.
For now, NASDAQ:DJT is riding a wave of political and media momentum, and the road ahead is one of cautious optimism. Investors would do well to keep an eye on both Trump’s political fortunes and the company’s internal management developments as key factors that will influence the stock’s trajectory.