SPX500 New crisis USADear friends. I want to express my opinion on the US economy. Based on the SPX500 index and graph, it can be seen that the trend for economic growth has changed to negative. We all know very well that economic growth is not possible without a crisis. The vertical growth of the economy forever can not be. 2019 will be very difficult because of trade war and politics USA. Do not miss the chance to earn short positions.
Djx
YM/DJX Bearish Price ActionThe Dow Jones has been quite weak recently, even more so than the other two indices. I'm seeing bearish price action despite record earnings. Currently I believe a tentative short entry with a tight stop is warranted. The DJX recently broke down out of a bearish ascending wedge, but has since retraced into what looks like a bear flag. On the other hand we have a bullish ascending wedge that has been forming for quite sometime with no breakout.
DJX DowJones Potential Correction on The HorizonI was really curious how DJX might look like this days. So I made this.
I hope I'm wrong - so take it with a grain of salt...
DJX seems to have completed a Major Elliot Wave Pattern, starting from the 2008 Crisis.
It's starting to show signs of a correction.
I've put together 3 major scenarios:
Starting from best-case scenario to worst-case scenario
S1) GREEN ABCDE correction
It hold support at ~235 (S3.0)
It will form a descending triangle (from which it could hopefully break out).
Descending triangle forming between S3.0 - S3.1 - S3.2
This is based on "Fib1" retracement.
S2) RED ABC correction - based on Fib1 and MajorFib ( that started in 2008)
Break supports at S2.2 ~235
Meets CA1 - Critical Area 1
Bounceback from S2.1 to previous S2.2
Completes cycle at the end of Fib1, and Major Support S2.0
S3) ORANGE WAVE - based on Fib2 and MajorFib (from 2008)
Break Support at S3.3
Finds Resistance at S3.4
Goes down to S3.2 /or/ S3.1 - S3.1 More likely to fit ElliotWave rules
Find Support at S3.1
Resistance at S3.2
Completes cycle at S3.0 Which is a major Support (it is the end of EW3).
That kind of concludes it for me.
What do you think?
I've started making charts only very recently and I really like it.
Feedback is always appreaciated.
See related ideas for a "zoomed out" view of this.
Also, what do you think this might mean for the global financial market?