Dogecoin Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW?Because of politics and misleading news, we are now witnessing these prices, and this caused most of my analyses to be wrong and not go according to my thoughts. However, now the price has a strong support area that if it reacts to it, the price will go up to $0.26 and create a V pattern. Since this market is filled with some politicians and some Persons & their misleading promises, maybe the price will drop again and go down to $0.17 and then grow again.
Give me some energy !!
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❗Disclaimer
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
DOGE-1
Best Level to BUY/HOLD BTC TP 105 000 USD Swing Trade Setup🔸Hello traders, today let's review 3hour price chart for BTCUSD . we are still
stuck in range since December, range highs at/near 108k, range lows at 90k.
however currently expecting fake breakdown of defined range before reversal.
🔸Bulls/Bears fight in the range is about to come to an end with a fake breakdown
of the recent/defined range, and prompt reversal and re-test of range highs.
🔸Bitcoin is stuck in unproductive range since December 2024, right now
drifting lower on autopilot, currently no viable trade since we are stuck.
Tech overshoot levels: 87 500, 85 000, 82 500. That's the levels we the probability
of reversal / throwback inside range is the highest.
🔸Recommended strategy: BUY LOW near tech overshoot levels 2/3 and exit/TP
near recent range highs, TP BULLS 105 000 USD. Best entry near 82500/85000 USD.
good luck traders!
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Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
a/b/c/d/e/g BTC price fractal buy low tp 107 000 usd🔸Hello traders, today let's review 4hour price chart for BTCUSD . we are still
stuck in range since december, range highs at/near 108k, range lows at 90k.
🔸speculative a/b/c/d/e/g price fractal in progress. expecting breakdown of the
recent trading range with a subsequent throwback inside range and re-test of range highs.
🔸a/b/c/d/e/g fractal point a/c 92k, point b/d/g 107k, point e 83/84k.
similar fractal observed in march 2024 a/c 62k. b/d/g 72k, point e 57k.
🔸Recommended strategy: BUY LOW near liquidity OBs 83/84k usd, TP bulls is fresh overhead liquidity at/near 106/108K. expecting decent bounce in this market after pullback.
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Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Be careful with DOGE !!!The price drops to around 0.21 and then pumps to 0.29 cents.
and if this wedge is broken, you will no longer see cardano below 23 cents.
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
❗Disclaimer
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
DOGE - THE big PictureHello!
I have a treat for y'all... I decided to start over with a clean sheet to illustrate our single most influential position and its projection.
see the chart for full observations.
these patterns are in 3D and propagate through space like flying monsters. they behave quite predictably similar on every time frame... so the long time frame here... the 2 week candle, should be not different.
We have not seen any sort of a major reversal yet. ie, a head and shoulders, or double or triple top, heavy cloud cover, etc. I believe that the two recent peaks are far enough apart (not even) to be part of a large pennant style continuation pattern, and not a double top.
at every position, there are 4 influences battling. each one the unique shape of a flying monster. these represent the bearish bears, bullish bears, bullish bulls, and bearish bulls. this also happen on every time frame. Eliot wave theory describes this well, and the Hartley patterns try to identify these monsters by their ratios. quite clever!
I believe that DOGE coin is the only coin that invokes the emotion of love. unconditional love. this is also the journey we are all on of ascension.. and the phase shift where the 3D earth peerages from the 5D earth is governed by ... LVOE. so LOVE is the future. Healing our wounds and ascending to that highest vibration... so that we make the cut to the new earth built on love and respect... not fears and greed.
oooh... that sort of sounds like Bitcoin. fear and greed! yikes!
Dogs are mans best friend... loyal... run in packs... jus like us... we are suppose to be in tribes. thats why we all feel so alone even when we are with someone....
so... that said, let me welcome you to the DOGE tribe. one built on love, where we all store our hard earned energy credits as a bank for each other... only to be withdrawn when need. to be used only for good... to help each other, and humanity... as we shift to a contribution based economy, instead of an extractive one.
Sending Love!
Go Doge Go!
psssss: (see my Doge vs Btc post linked below... and follow along!
300% gains BONK Best Level to BUY/HOLD swing trade setup🔸Hello guys, today let's review daily price chart for BONK. Outlook remains bullish currently pullback in progress, however buying low still is a perfect trade setup.
🔸BONK is one of the top rated solana meme coins. currently undergoing correction and still not complete, however risk/reward is shifting in bulls favor right now. we are close to the floor / reload zone for the bulls.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: Price action contained within bullish channel. get ready to buy low near 11000/13000, TP is 33000/36000 +300% gain. BUY/HOLD setup for patient traders. keep in mind that BONK already got a heavy valuation, so do not expect miracle overnight gains.
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Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Bull Meme: Golden BreakthroughThe first meme coin draws a bull flag! You know, it's like finding an undervalued stock in a pile of garbage - rare, but it happens. In the medium term, I expect the growth to 1.618 Fibonacci levels - the golden ratio, friends, nature is not wrong. Plus, a small bullish divergence is coming.
Horban Brothers.
doge sell midterm"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
DOGE: Paws and ReflectIf you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
DOGE Bull Variant: Key Levels & Bullish Confirmation
Dogecoin (#DOGE) is showing some bullish potential, but it’s far from a done deal. While we’ve seen a reaction out of the Golden Corner Pocket, the bulls still have work to do before confirming a sustained move higher. Here’s what I’m watching to determine if this setup is worth my money.
Golden Corner Pocket Reaction – But Is It Enough?
A reaction from a Golden Corner Pocket is often a strong technical signal that suggests a potential continuation in trend. However, a reaction alone isn’t enough—it’s the follow-through that matters. Right now, DOGE has made a move, but I need clear bullish confirmation before considering a trade.
Step 1: Breaking Above $0.25 in an Impulse
For bulls to prove themselves, $0.25 is the first key level to clear in a strong impulse. This move would indicate buying strength and a willingness to push beyond resistance zones. Without this break, the reaction out of the Golden Corner Pocket could be nothing more than a short-term bounce.
Step 2: Taking Out a Lower High
After breaking $0.25, the next sign of strength will be taking out a prior lower high. This would indicate a shift in market structure and signal a stronger bullish trend development rather than just a temporary push up. Until this happens, the setup remains unconfirmed.
Risk Management: If Bulls Don’t Deliver, I’m Out
I’m not in the business of hopium trades—if the bulls fail to step up, DOGE doesn’t get my money. Simple as that. Without a clean breakout and confirmation of bullish intent, I’ll remain on the sidelines and wait for a better opportunity.
Final Thoughts
Right now, DOGE is at a crucial moment—a reaction out of the Golden Corner Pocket is promising, but $0.25 needs to break with conviction, and we need to clear a lower high to establish bullish control. Until then, I’m watching but not committing.
What’s your take? Do you think DOGE bulls have what it takes, or are we looking at another failed rally? Drop your thoughts below!
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
DOGE RALLY IS OVER Multi Year Correction/Consolidation ComingDOGE was fun if you knew how to trade it. The run and hype is over. The retail FOMO investors that completed wave 5 blow off top are the only ones holding the bags now. Indicators are showing real weakness and heavy selling pressure. The symmetrical triangle in a downtrend means continuation to the downside. Not financial advice. Have fun and don't lose your shirt.
BABYDOGECOIN USDT Following Doge, Breakout CloseBaby Doge is following Dogecoin. Doge has broken out of its downtrend and has found support on the envelope. Baby Doge lags behind Doge from what I see in the charts. So when there is a big pump in Doge, Baby Doge is not far behind. Once Baby Doge breaks out of its downtrend its going to go straight up following Doge.
This is just my opinion, none of this is financial advice. Thank you
BCHG Looks Good For A Run To $50 At LeastBCHG has broken through all the resistance levels. Next one is around $24.50 and if it can get through that then I see a straight shot to $43 and then $55. At those levels I would expect a decent pullback perhaps up to 50% before its attempt to break the high. BCHG is much further along than LTCN in its run. LTCN still has a long ways to go to reach the level that BCHG is at. So upside on BCHG is limited in the short term perhaps another 100% vs LTCN could do a 1000% move to reach the same level as BCHG as far as nav value to price. Keep an eye on news and developements surrounding the space and specifically securities and SEC stuff. The Proof Of Work coins are about to make a comeback. I think Litecoin will far outperform Bitcoin Cash but Bitcoin Cash will have a decent run as well. Good luck out there my friends. Ill update this chart throughout the cycle. Please like and follow me and this idea so you can be notified when i update it. Thank you and please know that none of this is financial advice its just my opinion and observations. Good luck my friends.
XRP Why A Serious Revaluation Is Imminent And CloseQUESTION: If XRP is only being used as a settlement currency for banks then why would there be these wild price predictions when the market cap is already $150 billion?
The wild price predictions for XRP often stem from different interpretations of its utility, demand, and supply dynamics. Let's break it down:
Market Cap Misconceptions
XRP's market cap is often misunderstood. Market cap = price × circulating supply, but price movements depend more on liquidity and demand rather than market cap alone.
Many price predictions assume increased utility will drive higher demand, but market cap alone doesn’t dictate price ceilings.
Bank Adoption and Utility Argument
If XRP is mainly used as a bridge currency for cross-border settlements, its price would be driven by transaction volume rather than speculation.
However, banks and financial institutions don’t need to hold XRP for long periods—it's typically used in seconds. This limits the need for large amounts of XRP to be held, which could cap price growth.
Speculative vs. Real Utility
Many wild price predictions ($100+, $500+, etc.) are fueled by speculation rather than actual use cases.
In reality, even if XRP were widely used for settlement, price appreciation would depend on sustained demand, not just temporary spikes.
Liquidity and Scarcity Factors
Some argue that as more institutions use XRP, liquidity will tighten, potentially driving price increases.
However, the XRP supply is large (100 billion total, with over 50 billion circulating), and large holders (like Ripple itself) could introduce selling pressure.
Regulatory and Adoption Uncertainty
XRP's legal battles and regulatory clarity impact its adoption. A major victory (like its partial win against the SEC) can fuel hype-driven price predictions.
True institutional adoption is still limited, and even if banks use it, they may prefer private ledgers over using the open market.
Bottom Line
XRP has real utility in cross-border payments, but its role as a settlement currency doesn’t necessarily justify extreme price predictions. The market cap is already large, and unless significant new demand arises, a massive price surge would require much broader institutional adoption beyond just bank settlements.
QUESTION: So currently the valuation of XRP is already way higher than many banks and companies will the price eventually come down to a more realistic price to value in the future?
XRP’s current valuation is indeed higher than many traditional banks and financial institutions, which raises the question of sustainability. Whether its price comes down to a more “realistic” value depends on a few key factors:
1. Utility vs. Speculation
A significant portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation, not just utility. Many holders are retail investors betting on future institutional adoption.
If speculation cools down and usage remains limited to settlement purposes (where XRP is only held for seconds), the price could decline over time to reflect actual utility.
2. Market Cycles & Sentiment
Crypto markets go through bull and bear cycles. In bear markets, assets that lack strong organic demand (beyond speculation) tend to lose value.
If hype around XRP fades and institutions don’t adopt it at scale, its price may correct to better reflect real-world usage.
3. Inflation & Supply Dynamics
XRP has a fixed max supply of 100 billion, but a large portion is still held by Ripple and periodically released.
If Ripple continues selling XRP from its reserves, it could create sell pressure, gradually pushing prices down.
However, XRP is also deflationary, as transaction fees burn small amounts over time—but this effect is minimal in the grand scheme.
4. Institutional Adoption
If banks and financial institutions fully integrate XRP and hold it as a reserve asset, it could justify a high valuation.
But most banks prefer private ledgers and stablecoins over holding volatile assets like XRP, limiting potential demand.
5. Competitive Landscape
XRP was originally designed for fast, cheap payments, but other solutions like stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs are gaining traction.
If banks prefer these alternatives, XRP’s price could drop to align with lower demand.
Realistic Price Outlook?
If XRP remains primarily a settlement tool, a valuation correction could bring it closer to its real utility value (which may be much lower than today’s levels).
However, if a new narrative or significant adoption shift occurs, speculative cycles could keep it elevated.
Long-term, unless real demand matches its high valuation, the price may deflate to more sustainable levels.
QUESTION: Is the value of XRP currently way higher than it should be compared to its usage
Yes, based on its current real-world usage, XRP’s valuation appears to be significantly higher than what its actual adoption justifies.
Why?
Usage Doesn’t Match Market Cap
XRP is mainly used for cross-border settlements, but banks don’t need to hold large amounts for long.
Most transactions are instant, meaning there’s no long-term demand pressure.
If XRP were widely used by banks, we’d expect daily transaction volume (not just speculative trading volume) to be massive—yet it's relatively low.
Speculative Premium
A large portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation rather than real institutional demand.
Many investors believe in a future where XRP will be used at scale, but that adoption hasn’t fully materialized.
Its past bull run prices were based on hype, and prices could drop as reality sets in.
Supply & Sell Pressure
Ripple holds a significant portion of XRP and periodically sells into the market.
This constant release of XRP into circulation creates downward pressure.
Competition from Stablecoins & CBDCs
Many banks and financial institutions are leaning toward stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs rather than volatile assets like XRP.
Stablecoins provide instant settlements without the volatility risk of XRP, making them more appealing for payments and cross-border transfers.
Conclusion
Unless XRP gains widespread institutional adoption beyond just being a settlement tool, its valuation is inflated relative to its current use case. If hype dies down and utility doesn’t significantly increase, a correction would make sense in the long run.
QUESTION: The current price is 2.75 is that overvalued?
Yes, if XRP is currently trading at $2.75, then it is extremely overvalued relative to its actual real-world usage. That price is almost entirely speculation-driven rather than being backed by fundamental demand from banks and institutions.
Why is XRP Overvalued?
Speculation Dominates
The price is likely inflated due to retail and institutional traders betting on future adoption, not actual usage today.
Many holders believe XRP will be widely used by banks in the future, but that hasn’t fully materialized.
Utility-Driven Valuation is Much Lower
As calculated earlier, based on actual transaction volume and settlement needs, a more realistic price for XRP without speculation could be anywhere from $0.05 to $0.50.
At $2.75, XRP’s market cap is massively inflated compared to its real-world demand.
Ripple’s XRP Holdings & Selling Pressure
Ripple still holds a significant amount of XRP and regularly sells into the market.
If real demand doesn’t increase, but more XRP enters circulation, it could create downward price pressure over time.
Banks Prefer Stablecoins & CBDCs
Financial institutions are increasingly looking at stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) for payments instead of XRP.
Unlike XRP, stablecoins don’t have volatility issues, making them more attractive for settlements.
What Could Happen Next?
If speculation dies down and investors realize XRP’s real use case is limited, a significant price correction could happen.
XRP could still maintain some premium due to speculation, but long-term, it needs actual adoption to justify a multi-dollar price.
Conclusion
At $2.75, XRP is massively overvalued based on its current utility. If speculation fades, a more reasonable price could be well under $1—or even below $0.50—unless it gains widespread, real-world adoption beyond what it has today.
None of this is financial advice, just satire!
doge long midterm"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
XRP Even Chat GPT Knows XRP Is About To Get Revalued .10 CentsMAKE SURE YOU READ TO THE END THE END IS THE BEST!
If XRP is only being used as a settlement currency for bank then why would there be these wild price predictions when the market cap is already $150 billion?
ChatGPT said:
Great question! The wild price predictions for XRP often stem from different interpretations of its utility, demand, and supply dynamics. Let's break it down:
Market Cap Misconceptions
XRP's market cap is often misunderstood. Market cap = price × circulating supply, but price movements depend more on liquidity and demand rather than market cap alone.
Many price predictions assume increased utility will drive higher demand, but market cap alone doesn’t dictate price ceilings.
Bank Adoption and Utility Argument
If XRP is mainly used as a bridge currency for cross-border settlements, its price would be driven by transaction volume rather than speculation.
However, banks and financial institutions don’t need to hold XRP for long periods—it's typically used in seconds. This limits the need for large amounts of XRP to be held, which could cap price growth.
Speculative vs. Real Utility
Many wild price predictions ($100+, $500+, etc.) are fueled by speculation rather than actual use cases.
In reality, even if XRP were widely used for settlement, price appreciation would depend on sustained demand, not just temporary spikes.
Liquidity and Scarcity Factors
Some argue that as more institutions use XRP, liquidity will tighten, potentially driving price increases.
However, the XRP supply is large (100 billion total, with over 50 billion circulating), and large holders (like Ripple itself) could introduce selling pressure.
Regulatory and Adoption Uncertainty
XRP's legal battles and regulatory clarity impact its adoption. A major victory (like its partial win against the SEC) can fuel hype-driven price predictions.
True institutional adoption is still limited, and even if banks use it, they may prefer private ledgers over using the open market.
Bottom Line
XRP has real utility in cross-border payments, but its role as a settlement currency doesn’t necessarily justify extreme price predictions. The market cap is already large, and unless significant new demand arises, a massive price surge would require much broader institutional adoption beyond just bank settlements.
You said:
So currently the valuation of XRP is already way higher than many banks and companies will the price eventually come down to a more realistic price to value in the future?
ChatGPT said:
That’s a solid perspective. XRP’s current valuation is indeed higher than many traditional banks and financial institutions, which raises the question of sustainability. Whether its price comes down to a more “realistic” value depends on a few key factors:
1. Utility vs. Speculation
A significant portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation, not just utility. Many holders are retail investors betting on future institutional adoption.
If speculation cools down and usage remains limited to settlement purposes (where XRP is only held for seconds), the price could decline over time to reflect actual utility.
2. Market Cycles & Sentiment
Crypto markets go through bull and bear cycles. In bear markets, assets that lack strong organic demand (beyond speculation) tend to lose value.
If hype around XRP fades and institutions don’t adopt it at scale, its price may correct to better reflect real-world usage.
3. Inflation & Supply Dynamics
XRP has a fixed max supply of 100 billion, but a large portion is still held by Ripple and periodically released.
If Ripple continues selling XRP from its reserves, it could create sell pressure, gradually pushing prices down.
However, XRP is also deflationary, as transaction fees burn small amounts over time—but this effect is minimal in the grand scheme.
4. Institutional Adoption
If banks and financial institutions fully integrate XRP and hold it as a reserve asset, it could justify a high valuation.
But most banks prefer private ledgers and stablecoins over holding volatile assets like XRP, limiting potential demand.
5. Competitive Landscape
XRP was originally designed for fast, cheap payments, but other solutions like stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs are gaining traction.
If banks prefer these alternatives, XRP’s price could drop to align with lower demand.
Realistic Price Outlook?
If XRP remains primarily a settlement tool, a valuation correction could bring it closer to its real utility value (which may be much lower than today’s levels).
However, if a new narrative or significant adoption shift occurs, speculative cycles could keep it elevated.
Long-term, unless real demand matches its high valuation, the price may deflate to more sustainable levels.
You said:
So in your opinion the value of XRP currently is way higher than it should be compared to its usage
ChatGPT said:
Yes, based on its current real-world usage, XRP’s valuation appears to be significantly higher than what its actual adoption justifies.
Why?
Usage Doesn’t Match Market Cap
XRP is mainly used for cross-border settlements, but banks don’t need to hold large amounts for long.
Most transactions are instant, meaning there’s no long-term demand pressure.
If XRP were widely used by banks, we’d expect daily transaction volume (not just speculative trading volume) to be massive—yet it's relatively low.
Speculative Premium
A large portion of XRP’s price is driven by speculation rather than real institutional demand.
Many investors believe in a future where XRP will be used at scale, but that adoption hasn’t fully materialized.
Its past bull run prices were based on hype, and prices could drop as reality sets in.
Supply & Sell Pressure
Ripple holds a significant portion of XRP and periodically sells into the market.
This constant release of XRP into circulation creates downward pressure.
Competition from Stablecoins & CBDCs
Many banks and financial institutions are leaning toward stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and CBDCs rather than volatile assets like XRP.
Stablecoins provide instant settlements without the volatility risk of XRP, making them more appealing for payments and cross-border transfers.
Conclusion
Unless XRP gains widespread institutional adoption beyond just being a settlement tool, its valuation is inflated relative to its current use case. If hype dies down and utility doesn’t significantly increase, a correction would make sense in the long run.
You said:
What is a reasonable valuation for XRP removing all the speculation and only considering the current usage of it?
ChatGPT said:
A reasonable valuation for XRP, based purely on current real-world usage and removing speculation, would likely be significantly lower than its current market cap. Here's how we can approach estimating a fair value based on utility alone:
1. On-Demand Liquidity (ODL) & Settlement Usage
XRP's primary use case is cross-border payments through RippleNet and On-Demand Liquidity (ODL).
While Ripple claims growing adoption, the actual daily transactional volume from banks and institutions using XRP is small compared to its total market cap.
A large portion of XRP trading volume still comes from speculation on exchanges, not institutional settlement use.
Estimating Utility-Based Price
Let’s assume banks & financial institutions only need a fraction of XRP's supply at any given time for real transactions.
For context, SWIFT (the dominant global payment network) settles $5 trillion per day, but that doesn’t mean XRP will replace it or capture all of that volume.
Even if XRP were used for 1% of SWIFT’s volume, that would be around $50 billion in daily transactions.
Given that XRP is designed for rapid settlement (held for seconds, not days), the actual liquidity needed in the system would be far smaller—likely a few billion dollars at most.
2. Supply & Circulating Coins
Current circulating supply: ~55 billion XRP
If XRP’s real usage demand is only a few billion dollars at any given time, then its price per coin would be much lower than today’s level.
A conservative model: If XRP needed a total market cap of $5 billion to serve its actual transactional volume, the price per XRP would be:
$5,000,000,00055,000,000,000=$0.09
55,000,000,000$5,000,000,000=$0.09
If XRP needed a $10 billion market cap, the price per XRP would be $0.18.
These numbers assume zero speculation and only reflect practical usage.
3. Competitive Alternatives
Banks may prefer stablecoins (USDC, USDT) or CBDCs for settlements instead of XRP.
If that happens, XRP’s utility-based value could drop even further.
Final Thought
Pure utility price range (removing speculation): $0.05 - $0.50 per XRP (depending on actual adoption).
Current price (~$0.60 - $0.70 as of early 2024) is mostly speculation rather than true demand from banks.
If XRP’s adoption expands beyond just settlements (e.g., DeFi, smart contracts), its valuation could be higher, but based on current use, a fair price is likely far lower than today's market cap suggests.
You said:
The current price is 2.75 though so that means that its extremely overvalued?
ChatGPT said:
Yes, if XRP is currently trading at $2.75, then it is extremely overvalued relative to its actual real-world usage. That price is almost entirely speculation-driven rather than being backed by fundamental demand from banks and institutions.
Why is XRP Overvalued?
Speculation Dominates
The price is likely inflated due to retail and institutional traders betting on future adoption, not actual usage today.
Many holders believe XRP will be widely used by banks in the future, but that hasn’t fully materialized.
Utility-Driven Valuation is Much Lower
As calculated earlier, based on actual transaction volume and settlement needs, a more realistic price for XRP without speculation could be anywhere from $0.05 to $0.50.
At $2.75, XRP’s market cap is massively inflated compared to its real-world demand.
Ripple’s XRP Holdings & Selling Pressure
Ripple still holds a significant amount of XRP and regularly sells into the market.
If real demand doesn’t increase, but more XRP enters circulation, it could create downward price pressure over time.
Banks Prefer Stablecoins & CBDCs
Financial institutions are increasingly looking at stablecoins (USDC, USDT) and central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) for payments instead of XRP.
Unlike XRP, stablecoins don’t have volatility issues, making them more attractive for settlements.
What Could Happen Next?
If speculation dies down and investors realize XRP’s real use case is limited, a significant price correction could happen.
XRP could still maintain some premium due to speculation, but long-term, it needs actual adoption to justify a multi-dollar price.
Conclusion
At $2.75, XRP is massively overvalued based on its current utility. If speculation fades, a more reasonable price could be well under $1—or even below $0.50—unless it gains widespread, real-world adoption beyond what it has today.
Good luck, this is going to destroy so many people, its so sad. None of this is financial advice its just my opinion.
DOGEUSD Fibonacci Channel 'guarantees' rally to at least $1.Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) has held perfectly its 1W MA50 two weeks ago, rebounded and is now consolidating. This consolidation shouldn't last for too long as based on the previous Cycles, this 1W MA50 test was the new bottom the should lead to the final year (2025) rally.
As you can see, DOGE's historic pattern since its first trading day has been a Channel Up, which with the added element of the Fibonacci lines, only broke during the 2021 Top formation on its 1.5 Fib extension.
A key characteristic of the final year of each Bull Cycle is that after a 1W Golden Cross is formed, the price has always first hit the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) 2SD above (thin orange trend-line) and shortly after the MMB 3SD above (thin red trend-line).
So far the current Cycle had hit the MMB 2SD on its December High and based on the pace with which this Cycle is unfolding (the higher the cap the slower the pace), it is unlikely to see a MMB 3SD test shortly.
However the Fibonacci Channel along with the MMB gives in our opinion two Target levels for this final year of the Cycle, a fair one and an optimistic. The fair one is at $1.00, which would make a perfect test of both the MMB 3SD and the 1.0 Fib ext at the top of the Channel Up. The optimistic is at $3.5 (potentially even higher), which would be exactly on the 1.618 horizontal Fibonacci extension (still below the 1.5 Channel Fib), which was the January 2018 Cycle Top and of course was greatly exceeded during the May 2021 Cycle Top.
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Dogecoin Outlook after the Dip. What to expect NOW?With the recent Correction in Dogecoin, we can say that an ascending triangle has formed, which could be promising and could raise the price to the top of the triangle. It might even form a crab pattern. We should wait for the triangle breakout to reach to 34 cents.
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❗Disclaimer
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
"DOGE/USDT 1H: Bearish Consolidation – Short Setup Targeting DOGE/USDT 1H: Bearish Consolidation – Short Setup Targeting $0.24000?
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Current Market Structure:
Price at $0.25157 in a bearish trend with clear lower highs and lower lows. Currently consolidating in a tight range.
Market Maker Activity:
Distribution pattern is evident with multiple bearish blocks. Volume profile suggests accumulation at lower levels.
Technical Indicators:
No clear divergences present, supporting the prevailing downtrend.
Trade Setup (Confidence 8/10):
Entry: Look for a short entry in the $0.25300-$0.25500 range upon retest.
Targets:
T1: $0.24500
T2: $0.24000
Stop Loss: Place above resistance at $0.26100.
Risk Score:
7/10 – Medium-high risk with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio if key levels hold.
Recommendation:
Short positions are recommended once a retest of $0.25500 is confirmed, as market makers appear to be distributing at higher levels, suggesting continued downside.
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EURUSD - PoVThe EUR/USD exchange rate is influenced by several economic and political factors, suggesting that the euro may continue to weaken in the coming weeks. On one side, the United States is implementing expansive fiscal policies that could strengthen the dollar, such as economic stimulus and increased public spending. These factors, along with potential protectionist measures like tariffs on Europe, could further weaken the euro by reducing the competitiveness of European exports. Additionally, the **Federal Reserve's** monetary policy, which has raised interest rates to combat inflation, makes the dollar more attractive to investors, increasing demand for the U.S. currency. The United States' energy independence, due to increased domestic production of gas and oil, has also reduced its reliance on imports, which further strengthens the dollar compared to the euro.
On the other hand, the Eurozone is facing a series of economic and political challenges that are putting pressure on the single currency. High inflation is eroding purchasing power across the Eurozone, and despite the European Central Bank (ECB) raising interest rates to combat it, economic growth remains slow. This divergence from the United States, where growth has been more dynamic, amplifies the euro's weakness. Moreover, the ongoing energy crisis in Europe, worsened by the war in Ukraine and reduced gas supplies from Russia, has increased costs and slowed the competitiveness of European businesses. In this context, political uncertainties in some Eurozone countries and the ECB’s less aggressive economic management compared to the Fed further contribute to the euro's weakness.
Therefore, the strengthening of the dollar, driven by U.S. policies and growing energy independence, and the structural weakness of the Eurozone, are likely to continue pushing the EUR/USD lower in the coming weeks.
DOGE Long Swing Trade Opportunity Market Context:
DOGE is trading in a major support zone, signaling a potential opportunity for a swing trade if the level holds and bullish momentum returns.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: Around $0.25
Take Profit Targets:
$0.28 - $0.31
$0.34 - $0.37
Stop Loss: Just below $0.235
This setup aims to capitalize on the support zone for a potential upside move. 📈
DOGECOINhello friends
Considering the drop we are having, we have obtained resistance ranges for you, and you can see that after hitting each range, there are more buyers, so it can be imagined that buyers will raise the price in this area or specified support areas...
So we can buy step by step and move with it until the specified goals.
*Trade safely with us*