DXY - downside movementDXY is in a daily correction move after an upward impulse, but on the lower timeframes after a sharp down movement, it is correcting and we have MACD divergence. Im waiting for it to break to the downside touching at least the recent lows at the 61.8 fib level before going up again.
Dollar-index
Dollar devaluation: A clear relief valve for US economic policy As the FED continues to push for policy normalisation, it is unable to do so and maintain its mandate for keeping stock propped up (more formally known as the 'wealth effect' or explicitly acted upon in the eyes of 'ensuring market stability').
A pricy dollar does not economically benefit the US, for example: with much exposure to energy junk debt through its banks, the devaluation of the Dollar helps support the revaluation of Oil despite the continued glut. This helps stabilise various risks in the economy which poise risk to policy normalisation.
$USDOLLAR Bullish Wolfe Wave @ Geo's Off-Set RuleHello Traders,
A while back I posted a Bearish Wolfe Wave on the Dollar Index(Linked below). That is a weekly view of strength of the dollar. Zooming in we can see that the dollar is not quite ready to make a move to the downside.
Here we have a perfect setup for a bullish move.
1. The larger Wolfe Completed at 5'. This give the Geo's Off-Set Rule @12211 as a target.
2. The smaller Wolfe Wave in the triangle also gives a signal of bullish moves ahead.
If you'd like to learn more about the Wolfe Wave and Geo's Off-Set rule you can visit the links below:
wolfewave.com
www.tradingview.com
US DOLLAR LONG TERM OUTLOOK IS GREATLooking back since the 60's the DXY chart creates a falling wedge. Which we have now broken out of. The current chart shows a double bottom that began with the leg down in 1986. This entire double bottom is accumulation. The MACD shows a divergence, which supports accumulation.
This latest run up seems to have a lot of upward momentum, there is 30 years of accumulation behind it so thats not necessarily surprising. Many people are currently speculating another recession in the US economy but it is my belief we will see a strong dollar in the coming years. Maybe even a new all time high.
$EURUSD Wolfe Wave, Eyeing Point 5Hello Traders,
Looking at the EURUSD pair we have a Wolfe Wave that just completed at point 4. Looking at the 1-4 line trajectory we can see that it has acted as an anchor throuhgout the formation of this Wolfe Wave. I'm looking at 5 and potentially 5' to complete.
If we see completion at point 5 look for the 1-4 line as your exit target. If we make a lower AND hit the 5' line off of point 3 look for an exit at Geo's Off-Set rule at point 4.
-Chartistry
$AUDUSD Wolfe Wave, Point 4 In SightHello Traders,
In this Wolfe Wave I want to highlight the internal moves between the points.
Points 1-2: You want to look for an abcd pattern in the development of points 1-2. Though it is not always the case this usually helps define whats coming later on.
ab=cd
Points 2-3: Similar to 1-2, 2-3 also forms an abcd pattern. 2-3 is typically the longest wave in length and time. It can also possess more complex internal wave patterns as the points are being created.
Points 3-4: This path is similar to point 1-2 as it forms another, smaller, abcd pattern. If point 1-2, for example, is an impulse move, look for 3-4 to act in the same manner.
Points 4-5: There are a number of moves that can develop between these points, another abcd, ZigZag pattern, or a swift move to the downside is possible. This move is really what I am interested in seeing in this chart!
Finally, I want to hone in on the 1-4 trajectory line and how it can potentially help us figure out where point 4 is. Notice how I place the trajectory at an angle that acts as an anchor throughout the formation of this Wolfe Wave. I would also be interested to see how this plays a role in this formation.
If you find this chart helpful please let me know by liking and following! :-}
Thank you,
-Chartistry
USDOLLAR TARGETING 98.9 on USDx (12200 USDOLLAR)Index currently coming off point of control at 12100. Next key PoC is 12200. Bear this in mind when trading USD pairs. Could be an indication of risk on sentiment returning, however divergence between the index and safe havens (JPY and CHF) could lead to strong indication that risk off sentiment is still applicable.