USDX "Dollar Index" Bullish Heist PlanHello! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist USDX "Dollar Index" Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry 📈 : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Low Point take entry should be in pullback.
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 4H timeframe
Target 🎯 : 107.500
Attention for Scalpers : Focus to scalp only on Long side, If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
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Dollar
S&P500 Is Approaching the Daily TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US500 for a buying opportunity around 5940 zone, S&P500 is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 5940 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUD/USD Analysis (1-Hour Timeframe)I'm monitoring AUD/USD closely as the price approaches a black trendline. If the trendline is broken, it could signal a bearish move.
My target for this setup is the green support level, which has historically acted as a strong zone of buyer activity. This area could present opportunities for either reducing short positions or watching for a potential bounce.
Key points:
Wait for confirmation of a trendline breakout.
Observe volume and candlestick patterns to validate the move.
Be cautious around the green support level for possible reversals.
Patience is essential for the best entry!
Is DXY Heading Above Previous High?Hey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring DXY for a buying opportunity around 106.800 zone, DXY is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 106.800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Why Gold will sell off again!!As we saw in previous year gold always has a pattern that it follows after a massive rally, we now in the phase of accumulation and it rotating around the POC level of massive move down,
now its try to break the recent resistance but I think it will fail cause of it accumulation nature.
Watch out for new and trade has nice risk to reward!!
Use proper risk management!!
FOLLOW me for more breakdown!!!
AAPL Winding up for a Pump or Massive Drop - Inflection PointWithin the next few quarters we're likely to see some impressive fireworks in the various markets around the world as we gear up for multiple black swan events IE negative oil prices.
The storm isn't over, it's just begun.
3 Month
Monthly
Weekly
Daily
DXY - 4H Dollar Index more FallTechnical Perspective:
TVC:DXY experienced two significant bullish legs in October and November on the daily time frame. However, the index started to fall sharply at the end of November, and this bearish momentum remains strong.
On the 4H chart, DXY reached a key resistance zone and faced a significant rejection with notable bearish momentum, signaling the continuation of the downtrend.
The current movement indicates a high likelihood of further declines, potentially to the bottom of the trading range. Many USD pairs are at critical support or resistance levels, and expected reactions from these zones could amplify downward pressure on the DXY, making it increasingly vulnerable to a substantial fall.
Fundamental Perspective:
In December 2024, the bearish sentiment surrounding the DXY is driven by key fundamental factors. The Federal Reserve is anticipated to implement another 25 basis point interest rate cut during its December 18 meeting, following earlier cuts in September and November. This dovish policy reflects the Fed’s commitment to supporting economic growth amidst a slightly cooling labor market and growing global uncertainties.
Adding to the pressure, inflation data showed a 2.7% year-over-year increase in November, a slight uptick from 2.6% in October. Despite this, the Fed remains focused on easing monetary conditions to mitigate recession risks. Additionally, the recent U.S. presidential election has raised prospects of fiscal policy changes, including proposed tax cuts and potential tariff adjustments, which contribute to market uncertainty and weigh on the dollar.
These fundamental shifts align with the bearish technical setup, suggesting that the DXY’s downtrend is likely to persist in the near term. Keep an eye on upcoming Fed announcements and inflation data for further confirmation of this trajectory.
NZDUSD BULLISHWe saw CPI news injecting some bearish intention to the dollar
In NZDUSD, price just swept some lows on the W, D, 4H and 1H timeframe, making a choch on the fractual structure.
In the same way, price have been pushing lower for so many time, so there is so much liquidity above to be taken during a potential retracment on the higher timeframes.
Lets see how it goes.
DXY 1W Forecast until the end of MAY 2025Up-trend will resume and last until the end of February 2025 topping no higher than 114. Current bottom is in at 105.9
Hence, it shouldn't fall below.
After February a consolidation period of 1,5 months will trap price action between the bottom of 122.16 and upper level of 114.9
The spring squeezed during consolidation will provide enough energy for further upwards movement starting in the end of April 2025. This will ignite a chain of devaluation of national currencies followed by epidemic inflation across the globe. This will finish/cool-down at DXY reaching the mark of 148.
New reality after May 2025?
USD/JPY - Bullish Momentum in Action!Following yesterday's shared analysis, USD/JPY has aligned perfectly with the expected bullish scenario:
- 15-Minute Chart Breakdown:
- The structure shifted, transitioning from bearish to bullish as the market began forming higher highs and higher lows .
- After the structure shift, the price entered a reaccumulation phase , consolidating before the next impulse move.
- Indicator Precision:
- The WiseOwl Indicator identified a high-probability entry signal at the right moment, during the reaccumulation phase, allowing us to capitalize on the bullish trend.
- The trade has shown minimal drawdown and is now trending in profits.
- Outlook:
As long as the market respects the bullish structure, we anticipate continued momentum to the upside.
Key Takeaway:
This trade showcases the importance of combining **structure analysis** with precision tools like the WiseOwl Indicator to maximize opportunities in trending markets.
Dollar Index Bullish to $109! (UPDATE)The DXY is up 600 PIPS (6%) in profit, after rejecting our grey buying zone. We still have much more upside left to go in the COMING MONTHS!
There are many people who are now panicking & trying to sell the Dollar because bullish momentum has slowed down. Bare in mind, this is only a correction for buyers, not a complete reversal. Hold firm & let the market do its thing🦾
S&P 500: Riding the Wave of OptimismS&P 500: Riding the Wave of Optimism Amid Economic and Political Dynamics
The S&P 500 continues its upward trajectory, buoyed by tech-driven gains and investor optimism, even as mixed economic data and geopolitical uncertainties loom. Here’s a deep dive into the current market landscape and what it means for the benchmark index.
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Economic and Market Drivers
Tech-Led Rally and AI Optimism
The S&P 500's performance has been significantly influenced by gains in the technology and AI sectors. Investors are betting on the transformative potential of AI, propelling stocks like Microsoft and Meta to the forefront. However, regulatory scrutiny, such as the FTC's probe into Microsoft's AI software sales, introduces a layer of uncertainty.
Resilient Labor Market
While the Challenger Layoffs report showed a slight uptick, JOLTS job openings rose to 7.744 million in October, indicating a stable labor market. This balance supports the Federal Reserve’s cautious approach to monetary policy, as Chair Jerome Powell reiterated the economy’s strength and gradual progress in reducing inflation.
Mixed Economic Indicators
- **ISM Services PMI** fell to 52.1, below expectations of 55.7, suggesting a slowdown in service sector growth.
- **Durable goods orders** increased by 0.3%, meeting expectations and reinforcing the narrative of economic stability.
- **Construction spending** rose 0.4%, signaling robust investment activity.
- **University of Michigan 1-Year Inflation Prelim** came in at 2.9% (forecast: 2.7%, previous: 2.6%), showing slightly higher inflation expectations.
- **University of Michigan Sentiment Prelim** reached 74 (forecast: 73.2, previous: 71.8), reflecting improved consumer confidence.
These data points reflect a U.S. economy navigating challenges while avoiding a hard landing—a scenario that fuels investor confidence.
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Federal Reserve Policy: A Turning Point?
Fed officials, including John Williams and Christopher Waller, have hinted at the potential for a December rate cut, with futures markets now pricing in an **85% likelihood of a 25-basis-point reduction**, up from **67%** before the recent jobs report. Inflation progress appears to have stalled, with Fed Governor Michelle Bowman cautioning that more robust measures may be necessary to meet the 2% target by 2025.
The November jobs report further influenced expectations:
- US Nonfarm Payrolls rose to 227k (forecast: 220k, previous: 12k, revised to 36k).
- US Unemployment Rate ticked up to 4.2% (forecast: 4.1%, previous: 4.1%).
- US Average Earnings YoY remained steady at 4% (forecast: 3.9%, previous: 4.0%).
These figures reflect a labor market resilient enough to accommodate rate cuts, which could provide an additional boost to equity markets.
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Corporate Highlights:
- Salesforce reported Q3 revenue of $9.44 billion, exceeding estimates, but missed on adjusted EPS, reflecting mixed investor sentiment.
- Meta (Facebook) is aligning its strategies with evolving political landscapes, as CEO Mark Zuckerberg seeks to navigate regulatory and policy shifts.
- *Microsoft faces FTC scrutiny, underscoring increasing regulatory challenges in the tech sector.
Despite these challenges, corporate earnings have largely supported market valuations, adding another layer of support for the S&P 500.
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Seasonality and Sentiment:
December has historically been a strong month for the S&P 500, driven by:
- Holiday-driven consumer spending.
- Portfolio rebalancing.
- End-of-year tax considerations.
snapshot
The Fear & Greed Index, currently at 53, indicates a greed-driven sentiment. This optimism aligns with traders pricing in a higher likelihood of Fed rate cuts, reflecting a favorable market environment.
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Outlook: Optimism with Caution
The S&P 500’s upward momentum is underpinned by strong tech-sector performance, resilient economic data, and seasonal tailwinds. However, challenges such as geopolitical risks, regulatory scrutiny, and uneven progress in disinflation could temper gains.
The Fed's flexibility and potential rate cuts are positive signals for the market, bolstering growth-oriented sectors. Nonetheless, investors should remain vigilant, monitoring corporate earnings, economic releases, and geopolitical developments.
In the near term, the S&P 500 appears poised to end the year on a strong note. However, with inflationary pressures, mixed economic indicators, and geopolitical uncertainties still in play, the path forward will require a delicate balance between economic stability and investor confidence.
Gold: A Beacon in Economic UncertaintyGold: A Beacon in Economic Uncertainty
Gold has long been a symbol of stability, value, and security. In today’s turbulent economic and political environment, its role as a safe-haven asset is more critical than ever. Global events, ranging from monetary policy shifts to geopolitical crises, are shaping the price of this precious metal. What does the future hold for gold, and what does it mean for investors?
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A Safe Haven in Chaotic Times
During periods of global uncertainty, when financial markets grapple with volatility, gold remains one of the most sought-after assets. Recent events, such as the government crisis in France, fiscal policy uncertainties in the United States, and OPEC+ decisions to extend oil production cuts, have highlighted its enduring appeal.
Gold is often viewed as a stabilizer amid market turmoil, especially when investors are concerned about rising inflation and economic slowdowns. In Europe, the European Central Bank’s plans for further interest rate cuts enhance the attractiveness of assets like gold, which serve as a hedge against currency devaluation.
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Macroeconomic Trends Supporting Gold Prices
1. Monetary Policy and Real Interest Rates
Both the U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank are adopting dovish stances, which bodes well for gold prices. In an environment of low real interest rates—where inflation outpaces bond yields—investors increasingly turn to gold as a protective asset.
2. Growing Demand for Gold
Central banks worldwide, particularly in China and India, are ramping up gold purchases, increasing global reserves. This reduced market supply acts as a catalyst for price growth.
3. Geopolitical Tensions
Political crises, such as budget impasses in the U.S. and uncertainty in the European Union stemming from France’s leadership challenges, drive investors toward safe-haven assets, lifting gold's value.
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Gold in the Digital Age
Modern technologies like blockchain are revolutionizing gold investment. Tokenization is making the gold market more accessible, blending the stability of traditional assets with the flexibility of digital solutions. Individual and institutional investors are increasingly leveraging these advancements, recognizing their potential to shape the future of the gold market.
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Forecast: Will Gold Hold Its Shine?
Experts predict that gold will remain in the spotlight in the coming years. Anticipated developments include:
- Further interest rate cuts in Europe and the United States.
- Rising geopolitical and political tensions, increasing demand for protective assets.
- Sustained high demand from central banks and financial institutions.
In the long term, gold appears to be an excellent hedge against inflation and market volatility.
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Conclusion
Gold, throughout history, has been synonymous with value and security. Amid today’s global economic and political challenges, its role is more crucial than ever. Investors should view gold not only as a means of capital preservation but also as a cornerstone of a well-diversified investment portfolio.
Is gold part of your financial strategy? In times of uncertainty, it may be precisely what you need for stability and peace of mind.
Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance that has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 105.16
1st Support: 103.68
1st Resistance: 106.96
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DOLLAR DROPPING?This week, I anticipate the DXY to retrace before continuing its recent bearish trend. Since reaching the weekly supply level, the price has consistently formed lower lows and lower highs. This bearish momentum aligns with the bullish trends seen in pairs like GBP/USD and EUR/USD, which I use as additional confluence.
I’ll be watching for the price to retrace to around 106.400, a key area for potential sell opportunities on the dollar. This level aligns well with points of interest (POIs) in my other forex pairs, adding further confidence to this setup.
Note: As we approach the final month of the quarter and year, market conditions may become less predictable due to lower volume. Stay alert, but manage expectations accordingly.
Stay vigilant, and trade safe!
What about DXY?I haven't updated my DXY analysis for a while. So let's dust it off.
The last update was in September when the atmosphere was changing in a way that we couldn't predict the US Election clearly and for a short period, the market thought the results wouldn't be as it is today. That was why I was a bit bearish on DXY. By getting closer to Election Day the clouds were going away and it got easier for the market to see the outcome. So, it strengthened the dollar while weakening the Gold as we expected the geopolitical tensions to cool off.
What's next?
For now, I see the 10-year bond yield can show a bit more weakness to come just below 3.99%. Then after that, we should update our analysis and see what comes next. But I think ~4% is low for now and after that, I like to see a jump back up. In this short-term correction DXY would follow the 10-year bond yield and most probably come into the range of 104 to 105. That's also can be a small driver for Gold to go higher a bit.