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Dollar

dollar Index to fall towards 101, 100Dollar index has been weak on recent weeks and this move is likely to continue. I expect XETR:DAX to continue falling towards it's previous support and resistance levels at around 102, 101 then 100 If this move happens then it is good news for pairs like FX:EURUSD and FX:GBPUSD as they are all set to drift north. Fundamentally news have been against the dollar recently. On monday 3rd we had US ISM Manufacturing figures which came lower than expected. Today 4thmay24 their is JOLTS Job opening report which is also expected to be lower and this will be a negative driver for $dax. Always do your own research before pulling and shots . Use a hard stop loss and good luck. Check my socials and follow for updates
TVC:DXYShort
by alonso780
The Dollar Remains On TrackThe dollar is right on its projected path as expected. Inflation has prevented the Fed from lowering rates at least once. Can we expect a rate drop before the end of the year? My guess is that even with a bit of inflation showing the Fed will drop rates at least once. There are several reasons for my conclusion here not least of which are weakening economic indications which are too numerous to list for the purposes of this post but some of which are the collapsing car market, cc default rates exploding, commercial real estate vacancies still increasing, and many other factors and lead indicators. There is also the fact that the Fed was initially expected to drop rates 3 times in 2024. Failing to drop at least once before the end of the year would have psychological ramifications on the market that potentially could be disastrous. And finally, there is the fun fact that historically the Fed has always adjusted rates in an election year. There is only one exception to this rule …2012. Based upon this statistic alone we can see that the probability of a rate adjustment this year is high. And we know that if there is an adjustment, it will almost certainly be to the downside as that is what has been expected all along. Any anomaly to expectations would cause chaos and catastrophe in the markets. All this being said we can then continue to expect the dollar to travel its expected pathway …down. 103.5 is the next support. Below that is that pink ascending trendline around 102 and rising.
TVC:DXYShort
by stewdamus
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 14 - US10Y - (3rd June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing US10Y, starting from the 3-Month chart. - R2F
TVC:US10YEducation
by Road_2_Funded
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 13 - AUDNZD - (3rd June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing AUDNZD, starting from the 12-Month chart. - R2F
Education
by Road_2_Funded
EURUSD: Your Support & Resistance Levels For Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸 Here is my latest structure analysis and important key levels to focus on EURUSD next week. Resistance 1: 1.0880 - 1.0896 area Resistance 2: 1.0921 - 1.0942 area Resistance 3: 1.0947 - 1.0982 area Support 1: 1.0788 - 1.0800 area Support 2: 1.0723 - 1.0748 area Support 3: 1.0649 - 1.0666 area Support 4: 1.0600 - 1.0619 area Consider these structure for pullback/breakout trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Short
by VasilyTrader
3
USDCHF: Your Trading Plan Explained 🇺🇸🇨🇭 USDCHF is currently testing a key daily horizontal support. To buy this structure with a confirmation, pay attention to an expanding wedge pattern on a 4H time frame. Your confirmation to buy the pair will be a bullish breakout of the resistance line of the wedge. A bullish continuation will be expected at least to 0.9155 then. If the price drops below the underlined green area, the setup will become invalid. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
XAUUSD recent updatexauusd is moving so deep down after various FED talks Gold slumps amid strong US Dollar, high US Treasury yields Gold prices slump on Wednesday amid rising US Treasury yields, boosting demand for the Greenback due to hawkish comments by a Federal Reserve (Fed) official. our recent analysis founds 2330-2328 is a strong support area and 2344 act as major pivot due to simple moving average passing through the point and mayor retracement from that area many times yesterday. above 2344 its a buy like share subscribe
OANDA:XAUUSD
by realmillionairefx
EurUsd Lower ahead of Next weeks Eur Rate Cuts?Usd strength! After those talks of Eur rate cuts next week by Euro central bankers. Lower rates means less monies flow into the Eurozone for the Carry trade. USD is taking advantage of this and strengthening. Look at that shooting star candle on the Daily timeframe. What a pre-cursor to a massive selloff on the Eur today. The price action was giving us hints as to what would eventually occur. If you go look at our previous posts from early in the week , we talked about the clean range to the downisde on EU and bam we just filled the range down to 1.08147 Daily level and have exceeded it by another 20 pips. We have our next key level at 1.0768 Daily support level. I'm anticpating more downside these next sessions but we may observe some shakeout volatility first. Safe trading
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
GOLD is gaining momentum for sell!!!Based on higher time frame analysis, it is observed that Gold is struggling to move higher. It is now caught in a downward spiral as it closes below the EMA's and is slowly gaining momentum in lower timeframes like M15. I believe we might experience a significant downward movement in the market. Trade at your own risk!! this is not a signal service but my analysis on the market NOTE: High alert new for FOMC so be careful Stop Loss =2370 Profit Target = 2292 Follow me for more breakdowns!! Thank you
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ShinForex1
Dollar Loses Shine as US Economy Shows Signs of CoolingThe tide may be turning for the US dollar. After a period of strength, investors are growing less optimistic about the greenback as recent economic data suggests a slowdown in the US economy. This shift in sentiment is reflected in positioning data from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which shows a net short position on the dollar for the first time in six weeks. Signs of a Cooling US Economy Several factors are contributing to the cooling sentiment on the dollar. Recent economic reports have indicated a potential slowdown in the US. Growth may be decelerating after a strong 2023, with factors like inflation and rising interest rates potentially impacting consumer spending and business investment. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has embarked on a series of interest rate hikes to combat inflation. While these hikes are intended to curb inflation, they can also have a dampening effect on economic activity. Businesses may be hesitant to borrow and invest, and consumers may tighten their belts as borrowing costs rise. CFTC Data Reveals Shift in Investor Positioning The CFTC data provides valuable insights into investor sentiment on the foreign exchange market. The data tracks the net long or short positions held by leveraged funds, which include hedge funds and other large speculators, and asset managers. According to the latest CFTC data, leveraged funds still held some net long positions on the dollar last week. However, this bullishness was outweighed by a significant increase in net short positions held by asset managers. This shift in positioning resulted in a combined net short position of $5.36 billion as of May 21st, compared to a net long position of $2.02 billion just a week earlier. Market Implications of the Dollar's Decline A weaker dollar can have several implications for the global economy. It can make US exports more competitive, as they become cheaper for foreign buyers. Conversely, imports into the US become more expensive. This can potentially lead to higher inflation in the US as the cost of imported goods increases. A weaker dollar can also impact other currencies. If investors lose confidence in the US economy, they may seek refuge in other safe-haven assets, such as the Japanese yen or the Swiss franc. This could lead to a strengthening of these currencies relative to the dollar. The Road Ahead: Volatility and Data Dependence Analysts expect currency positioning to remain volatile in the near term. The direction of the dollar will likely hinge on incoming US economic data. Strong economic data could reignite bullish sentiment on the dollar, while further signs of a slowdown could exacerbate the recent decline. The FOMC's monetary policy decisions will also be closely watched. If the Fed signals a more aggressive pace of rate hikes to combat inflation, the dollar could find support. However, if the Fed slows down the pace of hikes or even starts cutting rates in the future, as some analysts predict, the dollar could weaken further. Conclusion The recent decline in bullish sentiment on the dollar reflects growing concerns about the health of the US economy. The CFTC data highlights a shift in investor positioning, with a net short position emerging for the first time in six weeks. The future direction of the dollar remains uncertain and will depend on the trajectory of the US economy and the Fed's monetary policy decisions.
TVC:DXYShort
by bryandowningqln
XAUUSD - 1H Continuation of FallStops and liquidity have been hunted above the resistance zone, suggesting that gold (XAUUSD) can continue its downward trajectory towards the $2315 level. The chart shows a bullish trendline, and a break below this trendline will serve as a confirmation for initiating sell positions. This break would indicate a shift in market sentiment, reinforcing the bearish outlook. Traders should watch for this trendline crossing as a key signal for entering short trades, targeting the identified support level at $2315. Additionally, the previous three bullish legs used the $2310 zone as the base, adding further significance to this support area.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Sober_Trading
xauusd analysis for the week 27/52024- 31/07/2024the last week we have witnessed the biggest fall in a week in last 5 months. what will be going to happen in the coming week is much anticipated thing for traders. our viewpoint is there will be an upward correction in the trend and the retracement zone for the market is from 2327-2333 area and the growing geopolitical tension in the middle east will also be an add on factor for this correction. if the market goes below 2321 area of support then we can see a downfall till 2275 extended up to 2253. bullish targets: 2343 2355 2363 2376 like share and follow us post your comments to enlighten us with your view points
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
XAU/USD Intra Day/Week Play - 27/05/2024With gold being at all time highs our analysis on this week's play was carried out on the Daily and 4hr to set a respectable tone to price action and what we anticipate seeing over the coming day(s) / week. On the daily we see that price has finally exhaused itself to complete its upward move to the extreme supply zone of 2,440.372 and has now started to retrace back to key demand levels leaving behind it some imbalances on the daily and 4 hour. Overall the ema's all support a bullish direction to which I believe we will continur but not before tapping into the unmitigated bullish order block at 2,317.065 and then heading upwards to seek out the extreme supply zone levels of 2,432.198 This all supports the inverse corrolation we anticipate happening with the greenback on this week's analysis also which can be seen below. We are aware that CPI and Unemployment claums will greatly impact this technical analysis so it will be interesting to see how this week plays out. Let me know your thoughts on this. Hope you have a great week ahead. Happy Trading. The FX Capital Club.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FXCapitalClub
DXY (Dollar) Intra Day/Week Play - 27/05/2024On the monthly we can see that the dollar is on aan upward trend after breaking outu of it's previous range at 88.528 which has now become a key level of support. We have seen this extention continue to levels 113.016 and then returned back to create a range between 101.421 (lows) and 107.424 (highs) Price action is suggested to continue ranging to complete distributiob before heading to the downside to test the POC levels of 99.885 and possibly even further to 94.510 to test the bullish order block which has yet to be mitigated before continuing back on the upward trend. On the Weekly we can get a clearer picture of this range and noticeably see that supply side liquidity at 106.726 has been swept which futher confirms our assumption that price will continie to the downside to the POC levels at 99.955 On the 4 hour we are able to get an even cleared picture with some assumptions being made that will test the 105.051 levels to form a bearish head and shoulders pattern and then heading down to test support level of 104.043 as part of a change of character, only to retract back to retest previous support at 104.380 and continue to he downside to reach our POI at 102.517. Taking all these price movements into consideration it is very likely that we'll see the greenback test all these levels to head back int the demand zone area of 100.500 - 102.000 over the coming week. Let me know what you guys think. Hope you have a great week ahead. Happy Trading.
TVC:DXY
by FXCapitalClub