Dollar
GBPUSD Medium cycle GBPUSD was in the bullish channel and now its broken that and its on a supportive level.
According to my last idea,
i said if its hunt the channel sooner that we expected its show the bearish trend power.
Then the bullish channel broke.
but now the price on a supportive level and i think the trend can reversal.
also the DXY confirm that because its in a resistance level.
its show dollar will be weak.
Its just my personal comment please don't trade whit this.
I have no responsibility for your money.
DXY - 4H bullish soonDXY is currently consolidating under a support zone, but from my perspective, this is just a stop-hunting trap. The bottom of the channel is likely to provide strong support for the index. Historically, such setups often lead to a reversal, and the current price action suggests a similar outcome.
Additionally, with the US government likely to support their currency before the upcoming election, this could be a critical time to watch for a bounce. It's essential to consider the broader economic and political context, which may drive the dollar index higher, especially if the support holds and the consolidation phase concludes.
DXY - Bearish SignsThe DXY has shown several bullish pushes but has consistently failed to make significant higher highs, all forming beneath a strong resistance zone.
This behavior indicates a weakening of buyer momentum and suggests potential bearish sentiment. With the index’s current inability to breach this resistance, a downward move could be anticipated as sellers might step in, taking advantage of the weak bullish attempts.
DXY H4 - Long Signal DXY H4
Again, nothing too significant to report at the moment, whilst we are hugging 104.00 we remain bullish bias, it's as simple as that. DXY correlates primarily and fundamentally with FX rather than XAUUSD commodities. But we can still use for comparisons and indications.
Hopefully this 104 level holds as anticipated support to warrant GBPUSD rejections as previously shared.
GBPUSD H4 - Short SignalGBPUSD H4
We are trading very close to out 1.30 handle, this is our key area of resistance. Similarly we have DXY back down on our 104.00 support price. Our final element of support before a potential break and trend change.
On the basis of the above, I would like to see a rejection of 1.30 as indicated and annotated. With targets of around 1.28500 initially.
Will the Disinflation Trend Reinforce DXY Downward Momentum?Macro theme:
- The highlight of the past week was inflation data. US Jun headline CPI slowed to 3% YoY (vs. 3.1% expected, 3.3% previous), and core
CPI was 3.3% YoY (vs. 3.4% expected and previous).
- The core service component has been declining, and rental prices may continue to fall due to delayed contract renewals.
With this inflation trend, markets expect the Fed to make its first rate cut in Sep and another this year.
- The dollar is likely to weaken, depending on the pace of monetary easing by other countries. If all major economies cut rates simultaneously, currency pairs may remain stable.
Technical:
- From a technical perspective, DXY broke its ascending channel and closed below both EMAs, shifting to bearish momentum. The index is right above its key support at 104.00.
- If DXY extends its decline below 104.00, it may aim for a nearby support area around 102.75-103.00.
- On the contrary, if 104.00 can hold the index above for a while, DXY may correct up to 104.90 before resuming its downward movement.
DXY at Critical Support! Massive Move Ahead! Technical Analysis Overview of DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) on 4-Hour Time Frame:
Crucial Structure Point:
The DXY is currently at a significant structural level, which could determine its next major move.
Key Levels:
Weekly LQZ: 108.007
Daily LQZ: 106.524
Daily LQZ: 101.908
Missed LQZ: 100.552
Current Price Action:
The price is hovering around 104.283, a critical support zone. The market's reaction at this level will likely dictate the next direction.
Potential Scenarios:
Yellow Path (Primary Bias): Indicates a potential bearish scenario where the price might break below the current support level and head towards the Daily LQZ at 101.908 or even the Missed LQZ at 100.552. This path suggests a significant downward movement.
Green Path: Represents a bullish scenario where the price could bounce off the current support and rise towards the Daily LQZ at 106.524 or even the Weekly LQZ at 108.007. This path suggests a recovery and continuation of the upward trend.
Orange Path: Another bearish possibility where the price might initially fake out upwards but eventually break downwards, aligning with the yellow path.
Market Sentiment:
The annotations indicate that while the yellow path is favored, it is essential to remain adaptable as "anything can happen" in the market. This emphasizes the importance of not reacting impulsively but rather anticipating and preparing for different scenarios.
Summary:
Current Trend: The DXY is at a critical juncture, and its next move could be pivotal.
Bearish Bias: The yellow path suggests a potential for further downside, targeting lower key levels.
Bullish Recovery: The green path offers a possible recovery scenario, aiming for higher resistance levels.
Strategy: Traders should monitor the price action closely around the current support level at 104.283. Look for confirmation before entering trades, and be prepared for both bullish and bearish outcomes.
CABLE #GBPUSD Can push into 1.40 zone on Risk off moveExpect continued #DXY weakness and corresponding risk on moves across the board
The Pound is a good example that has already triggered a Bullish upside move.
Yet still has decent room to move on up.
#GOLD #BTC #STOCKS can continue ripping with the tailwinds of #Dollar softness.
EURUSD - DailySimple trading - Consolidation
Let's take advantage of a potential Weekly swing!
Below is the weekly chart showing a potential zone for the price to bounce back and forth between the monthly highs and lows.
EURUSD has already poked above the previous week's high. wait for the price to pull back and test the PWH and we can sell confidently with strong bearish price rejection.
*These are my thoughts, not financial advice.
GOLD XAUUSD DETAILED VIDEO ANALYSISyesterday after the cpi xauusd breached major resistance zones and touched our bullish target of 2421 extending up to 2425.
TODAY we have explained the possibilities of our market in video section. And we will bisect the major support resistance point along with pivot.
⬛PIVOT POINT
2395
🟩SUPPORT
2403
2404
2395
2385
2377
2362
🟥RESISTANCE
2414
2424
2433
2438
2442
2450
2465
❇️BOTH THESE SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE CAN BE USED AND BULLISH AND BEARISH ZONES RESPECTIVELY
on us market section there is a major news of ppi which will decide more direction and momentum in todays market.
we willl do more detailed analysis on ppi.
PLEASE FOLLOW SUPPORT AND BOOST US
SHARE OUR IDEA
DXY D1 - Long from 104.000 DXY D1
This really wasn't the expectation of the market open we were anticipating. Given the Trump assassination attempt, I was expecting some more market uproar, for US stocks to fall and XAUUSD to climb. As you would expect from typical risk off markets.
The reason for this, is market uncertainty and follow up headlines. That being said, we are very early on in the trading day/week. Lots to come out this week, expecting a week full of volume and excitement. 104.000 has been the play for some time now. We simply continue this until this zone break and other trading ranges are formed.
Macro View Shows 2-4 Month Max And Then It Starts!Traders,
Some rather ominous signs are showing in various markets not least of which includes the U.S. housing market. As you know, we have been periodically tracking the USHMI as a key leading indicator to show us where and when our coming U.S. (perhaps global) recession begins. We are close if we have not already begun, but I imagine there will be no ability for denial in about 2-4 months time. Before then, markets may continue to blow off and I still expect Bitcoin to hit our 85k target. Today we'll review our USHMI chart along with other key charts for further clues mapping future trajectory.
US30 - Dow Buy OpportunityThe Dow Jones (US30) has reached a critical support zone, aligning with an support trend line. This confluence of support provides a strong foundation for a potential upward move. If the price holds above this zone, we can expect a rise towards the resistance. Traders should watch for bullish signals and consider long positions with appropriate risk management strategies.
R2F Weekly Analysis - 8th July 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
My short-term bias for DXY has switched to bearish. I am looking for a possible lower move on the Dollar Index this week, which should offer some shorts on EURUSD and GBPUSD, the pairs I usually trade. Check out my analysis in the video. I hope you found it insightful.
- R2F
Is It End Road for the BEARS...?Hey Guys!
On the larger timeframe of the Monthly, Weekly and Daily, we see this market is bearish.
Over the past few days leading into weeks, we have seen the market gravitate to the north to reach higher prices. We are tempted to believe that all of that bullishness was to drive the market into our expected bullish reversal zone.
Market price is currently inside our Daily zone. We are looking to see reversals.
Where that happens, we will look to trade bearish.
In the unlikely event that the market breaks our zone and clears our protected high, we will deem come to the conclusion that the bearish of the daily chart is over, and we will look to trade Bullish on the Daily.
Until then, we will hold on to our bearish perspective.
AUDUSD D1 - Long SignalAUDUSD D1
We are on the big daily timeframe here for AUDUSD, breaking the previous resistance price level of 0.67. This was a considerable daily resistance price for us. We are now simply looking for a subsequent retest of this zone to see if we can find support on this price level.
If 0.67000 holds as support, we can likely look to position ourselves long with targets of the previous daily high price, nearing 0.68800 price. Circa 180 points.