USD firm with decision from FedMarkets are awaiting a release of crucial US Final GDP data today, which is expected to tick up from an annualized rate of 1.3% to 1.4%.
A meaningfully higher or lower number might change expectations of when the Fed will begin rate cuts.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, the next rate hike is expected in September this year.
In the Forex market, the Australian Dollar is the strongest major currency since the Tokyo open, while the US Dollar is the weakest.
However, it is worth noting that the US Dollar remains within a valid long-term bullish trend.
US New Home Sales data came in just a fraction below expectations yesterday.
The Governor of the Bank of England will be holding a press conference about the Financial Stability Report today.
There will be releases of Unemployment Claims and Pending Home Sales later today in the USA.
The USD price is still on the rise and solid when information about future bond interest rates increases. However, we do not rule out the case that the Fed will reduce inflation to stimulate employment and strengthen the economy. international
Dollar
DXY - Daily start of bullish legThe Dollar Index (DXY) has experienced two significant bullish legs followed by pullbacks. Currently, it is at the end of the most recent pullback. Notably, the falling momentum appears to be weakening, as evidenced by the shorter and less intense downward legs during the pullback phases. This weakening momentum suggests that the bearish pressure may be subsiding, and the DXY could be preparing for another upward movement.
As illustrated on the chart, the previous pullbacks were marked by substantial declines. However, the current pullback is characterized by weaker downward legs, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment. This could lead to the DXY resuming its bullish trend if it manages to break above the recent resistance levels. Traders should closely monitor the price action for confirmation of a reversal, which would be supported by stronger bullish legs and the continuation of the uptrend.
GBPUSD: Time For Pullback 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD leaves clear bullish clues after a test of a key intraday support:
the price formed a bearish trap that was followed by a bullish breakout
of a minor resistance and a confirmed local change of character.
I think that the pair may bounce to 1.266 level.
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US Dollar Index (DXY) Outlook ICT Concepts💰 Welcome to Your Channel!
Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on DXY , dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains.
📊 Using DXY as an Indicator for Trading Decisions
The DXY ( US Dollar Index ) can be a valuable indicator for guiding trading decisions. Traditionally, the EUR/USD and DXY exhibit an inverse relationship. When the US Dollar strengthens, EUR/USD tends to weaken, and vice versa. This inverse correlation is rooted in the fact that the Euro represents the alternative currency in the pair.
📈 Analyzing Price Action Since the Start of June
In June, significant price action unfolded. The market swept the previous month's low ( PML ) and broke its structure decisively, initiating a bullish movement. The key confirmation of the bullish momentum was the strong hold of the Inversion Fair Value Gap ( IFVG ).
🔄 Current Market Developments
Currently, the market has surpassed the previous week's high ( PWH ) and established an Equal High ( EQH ). We are now approaching the significant resistance level of the previous month's high ( PMH ).
📉 Internal Levels and Price Reactions
Below the price chart, a Volume Imbalance ( VI ) emerged, triggering a reaction marked by a wick before the market approached the PWH . There's potential for price to revisit this VI , along with addressing the Fair Value Gaps ( FVG ) and Order Block ( OB ) formed in that area.
📈 Forecast and Strategic Considerations
Looking ahead, there's an expectation for further upward movement, targeting the EQH and PMH . Subsequently, a new bearish phase might unfold. For any bullish positions, it's crucial to wait for the absorption of sell-side liquidity before considering entry.
🙏 Thank you for joining us!
Exploring DXY today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning!
⚠️ Disclaimer
The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Dollar Index (DXY): Bullish Trend Continuation Pattern
I see a nice bullish pattern on an hourly time frame on Dollar Index.
After the price set a new higher high, the market started a correctional
movement within the expanding channel.
Such a channel is called a bullish flag pattern.
Bullish breakout of the resistance of the flag is a strong bullish
trend-following signal that indicates the strength of the buyers.
With a high probability, the market will keep growing.
Next resistance - 106.25
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Wyckoff Bullish Patterns - Dollar getting stronger! Easy MoneyICEUS:DX1!
Dollar getting stronger on daily and weekly chart! Wyckoff Wave Indicator shows the power of buyers who are taking control.
How Wyckoff Wave Indicator works?
The Wyckoff Wave Indicator and the Weis Wave Indicator are both technical analysis tools derived from the principles of Richard D. Wyckoff, a pioneer in the field of market analysis. Here’s a breakdown of each:
Wyckoff Wave Indicator
The Wyckoff Wave Indicator is designed to track the cumulative volume flow of the market. It helps traders understand the underlying strength or weakness by showing the overall trend of buying and selling pressure. The indicator accumulates volume with price movement to depict the market's overall sentiment. Key features include:
Volume Analysis: It considers the volume associated with price movements, indicating whether the market is being driven by strong buying or selling.
Trend Identification: It helps in identifying the primary trend of the market, whether it's bullish, bearish, or sideways.
Divergence Signals: It can show divergences between price movements and volume flow, providing potential reversal signals.
Weis Wave Indicator
The Weis Wave Indicator is a more modern adaptation of Wyckoff's principles, developed by David Weis. It simplifies volume analysis by plotting cumulative volume as waves, making it easier to visualize the flow of buying and selling pressure. Key features include:
Wave Calculation: It aggregates volume over price waves, making it easier to see the ebb and flow of market pressure.
Wave Counts: By tracking the volume associated with each wave, traders can see whether buyers or sellers are dominating.
Market Structure: It helps in understanding the market structure by breaking down movements into distinct waves, each associated with specific volume patterns.
Comparison
Purpose: Both indicators aim to analyze volume in relation to price movements, providing insights into market strength and potential reversals.
Visualization: The Wyckoff Wave Indicator typically presents cumulative volume in a straightforward manner, while the Weis Wave Indicator uses wave patterns for a more intuitive visual representation.
Application: Both indicators are used in conjunction with other Wyckoff principles and tools to develop a comprehensive market analysis strategy.
Usage in Trading
Identify Trends: Both indicators help in determining the dominant market trend, which is crucial for making informed trading decisions.
Spot Reversals: By analyzing volume flow, traders can spot potential reversals ahead of time, improving their entry and exit points.
Confirm Breakouts: The indicators can confirm the validity of breakouts or breakdowns by showing whether there is sufficient volume to support the move.
Tools and Platforms
VolumeDayTrader offers script of such indicators on TradingView. For more details check our profile or DM us.
Dollar Index (DXY): Bullish Trend Continues
Dollar Index set a new local higher high higher close
on a daily time frame yesterday, violating a key daily horizontal resistance.
With a high probability, the broken structure and a rising trend line
compose a demand zone now.
The market will most likely keep growing.
Next resistance - 106.3
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EUR/USD - Forecasted Potential Setup for the Next Few DaysCurrently, the price is forming a descending triangle pattern. I expect it to take liquidity at the 1.07100 level before making another higher low. My focus is on the 1.07350 level as a potential entry point for short positions. Given that the price is down across all timeframes, I am not considering long positions at this moment.
If the price breaks the daily highs, this setup will become invalid, and I will then look for long opportunities on a pullback. However, for now, my strategy is exclusively oriented towards shorts.
Confluences:
Forecast for negative DXY news on 27/06/2024, which is expected to cause a pullback.
Anticipation of positive results in Friday's news, potentially causing a breakout in this pair and a test of the weekly highs for DXY.
Like and comment if you agree with my setup idea.
DXY 4H ( institutional price action )hello dear trader and investors
there are 2 senario for dollar currency index:
senario 1:
We have a price gap.... from 2023
The indicator can fill it with its shadow around the area of 106.65
after testing the 106.65 price can drop ...
senario 2:
Let's wait for the 107 zone to see how the institutions want to play with liquidity...
I expect a HH and a lower low, after removing the stop on both sides (buy and sell ), I expect the dollar to fall...
stop loss need for any position
good luck
GBPUSD 160 Pips Sell setup!! Must Watch!!Based on our technical analysis we are seeing massive rejection on the weekly timeframe
We see price has changed structure after the rejection and breaking the trendline, we had a nice pull back to 38.2 fib level and its In confluence with trendline as resistance
Please manager your risk!!
Follow me for more analysis
DXY 1W long-term view for future referenceCurrently Dollar is expected to grow for 2 consecutive weeks up to the level of 107 followed by a cooldown period and classic correction ending in the last week of October 2023 at level 100-101.
Starting from November 2023 Dollar seems to be having a powerful boost rising for 5 months up to 113 in mid March 2024.
Something is going to happen in November, isn't it?
USDCHF: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis 🇺🇸🇨🇭
Here is my latest structure analysis for USDCHF.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Resistance 1: Falling trend line
Vertical Support 1: Falling trend line
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 0.882 - 0.884 area
Support 2: 0.872 - 0.875 area
Resistance 1: 0.898 - 0.902 area
Resistance 2: 0.908 - 0.911 area
Resistance 3: 0.915 - 0.916 area
Resistance 4: 0.919 - 0.922 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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USD INDEX DXYLast one week we have seen a serious upward rise in us dollar index based on various positive and negative events happened. the us market and dollar is being controlled by various turbulent economic and geopolitical situations.
In geopolitical aspects if israel hisbullah issue may bring usa into full on war support to israel against hisbullah in lebanon then the us dollar will fall drastically like hell.
on the financial end if us treasury bonds moves good and new financial policies enacted the dollar will get more boost,
but we expect a retracement of usd dollar index either from 105.57 area or from 105.88 area.
if both these areas are breached then gold will fly to an area of 106.40
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xauusd first buy and sell targets for monday marketthe last week our prediction of xauusd become 100% true, for monday we are posting a simple buy and sell target. more detailed analysis will be followed.
buystop ;
entry 2322
tp2332
sl better to hedge
sell stop
entry 2320
tp 2312
sl better to hedge
The US Dollar emerged as the clear winner on Friday, buoyed by a robust performance in the latest S&P Global PMI data. In contrast, Gold prices tumbled after the data signaled continued resilience in the US economy, dampening expectations for aggressive interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
The Markit PMI data, a key gauge of business activity, surprised analysts across the board. The composite PMI for June clocked in at a healthy 54.6, exceeding expectations of 53.5 and remaining steady compared to the previous month's reading of 54.5. This broad-based strength suggests the US economy is likely on track for a solid second-quarter performance.
Manufacturing Resilience: The manufacturing PMI also impressed, rising to a three-month high of 51.7. This figure surpassed forecasts of 51.0 and the prior reading of 51.3, indicating continued expansion in the sector despite ongoing global supply chain challenges.
Booming Services: The services sector, which accounts for a larger share of the US economy, delivered an even stronger performance. The S&P Global Services PMI for June surged to a 26-month high of 55.1, exceeding expectations of 53.7 and the previous month's reading of 54.8. This robust expansion reflects healthy consumer spending and business investment, underpinning optimism for continued economic growth.
Gold Feels the Heat: The robust PMI data sent shockwaves through the Gold market. Investors, anticipating a dovish pivot from the Fed due to potential economic slowdown, had flocked to the safe-haven asset in recent months. However, the PMI results suggest that the Fed may hold off on aggressive rate cuts, dampening the appeal of Gold. Spot Gold prices plunged after the data release, falling by over 1% in a single day and slipping below the crucial $2,330 mark.
Dollar Winning Streak Extends Into Fifth Week! Time to Go LongI wanted to share some exciting news from the forex world: the dollar has extended its winning streak into the fifth week! 🎉 A key gauge of the dollar's strength continues to rise, driven by the ongoing uncertainty surrounding the timing of the Federal Reserve's first interest-rate cut. With the yen showing signs of weakness, the USD is shining brightly on the global stage.
This is a golden opportunity for us traders to capitalize on the dollar's momentum. If you haven't already, now might be the perfect time to consider going long on the US dollar. 🌟
Why should you consider this move?
1. **Strong Performance**: The dollar's consistent growth over the past five weeks clearly indicates its robust performance.
2. **Market Uncertainty**: With the Fed's interest-rate cut timeline still unclear, the dollar is likely to remain strong in the near term.
3. **Yen Weakness**: The yen's current weakness further bolsters the USD's position, making it an attractive option for traders.
Don't miss out on this opportunity to ride the wave of the dollar's success! Dive into the market and make the most of this winning streak. 💪
Happy trading, and here's to continued success in all your endeavors!
BTCUSDThe cryptocurrency market capitalization has increased by 1.2% to $2.56 trillion. Bitcoin's gain contrasts sharply with the declines seen in altcoins. Ethereum rose by 1.3%.
The main upward momentum occurred during the Asian morning session. As of this writing, Bitcoin's price appears to have moved away from extremes. Nonetheless, the latest momentum indicates that bears still dominate the cryptocurrency market.
Bitcoin earlier fell to $64,041, the lowest level since May 15. Bitcoin has been on a downward trend for the past 12 days, significantly breaking below the 50-day SMA and the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement level of the January to March gains.
Due to a shift in market sentiment, the crypto market has suffered significant losses over the past two weeks; however, it has not relinquished key support levels, showing signs of being undervalued. The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) indicator over a 30-day period indicates bullish signs for these assets.
on technical side Bitcoin's price has dropped from around $67,300 to the support level of $64,041, forming a bullish "inverse head-and-shoulders" pattern.
The observed uptrend today has broken through the channel's midline and the "neckline" of the aforementioned pattern. Therefore, from a technical analysis perspective, it can be reasonably argued that bulls are taking control by leveraging support levels.
The RSI and oscillators support the rebound. The lower low formed on June 18 was not reflected in higher highs during the same period. This development, known as bullish divergence, typically leads to a trend reversal or short-term rebound.
If the bulls are active and the overall outlook for the cryptocurrency market is optimistic, Bitcoin's price could increase by 6% to the previous resistance level of $71,280.
In a negative scenario, a decline from current levels below the previous point of $64,041 poses further downside risks.
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