Dollar
GBPUSD: Bearish Outlook Explained 🇬🇧🇺🇸
I see a nice double top pattern that is formed within a key
horizontal resistance on a 4H time frame.
The price formed a high momentum bearish candle after the release
of the jobs' data yesterday.
I believe that we can expect a bearish continuation today.
Goals: 1.25815 / 1.25425
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XAUUSD Technical Analysis 9th February 2024 1h chart– Thursday Daily candle is 2nd Daily candle closing Doji Bearish for this week, leaving 140 pip rejection wick to the downside as price retrace back into recent 4h Consolidation Zone. I’ll be looking for potential Buys above 2039.000 targeting 4h Rejection formed on Wednesday during New York Stock Exchange session (2044.800) and 1h previous Support formed on Friday last week (Pre NFP) at 2051.400 . I’ll be looking for potential Sells below 2029.300 targeting recent Daily Support at (2025.000) and 4h Support formed on Thursday during the New York session at (2020.300). Sells targets are much smaller than buys simply because of how price rejecting the downside on the Daily timeframe.
XAUUSD Technical Analysis 8th February 2024 1h chart– Wednesday Daily candle closed Doji Bearish around 2035.000 rejecting 2045 area on Daily timeframe, I’ll be looking for potential Buys above 2042.500 targeting Weekly Resistance (2049.200) and Daily Resistance (2055.200). I’ll be looking for potential Sells below 2030.700 targeting Daily Support (2025.000) and Weekly Support (2018.500). Overall price ranged on Wednesday on the hourly timeframe and 4h formed a Rejection to the upside during the New York Stock Exchange session.
Buy the restetI opened a long position last week. Still a good time to buy. Price is testing the broken resistance zone now support, the path with less resistance is to the upside. Aussie is getting stronger, I also have short positions on EUR/AUD and GBP/AUD, and I think the Dollar made a dead cat bounce last week and now is going down again.
USDCAD: Can We Expect a Correction?! 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD may drop from a key daily resistance.
The price formed a double top with equal lows, testing that on an hourly time frame.
We just got a confirmed neckline violation.
I expect a bearish movement at least to 1.3493
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XAUUSD Technical Analysis 7th February 2024 1h chart– Tuesday Daily candle closed Bullish forming Daily Support around 2025.000. I’ll be looking for potential Buys above 2040.300 targeting 30min previous Support (2046.300) and 1h previous Resistance held on Friday last week prior to NFP News release around 2052.800. I’ll be looking for potential Sells below 2032.200 targeting Tuesday Daily Support for a potential retest (2025.000) and the Weekly Support at (2018.500).
GBPUSD: Important Key Levels 🇬🇧🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis for GBPUSD.
Resistance 1: 1.2595 - 1.2620 area
Resistance 2: 1.2763 - 1.2830 area
Support 1: 1.2500 - 1.2535 area
Support 2: 1.2377 - 1.2415 area
Support 3: 1.2186 - 1.2220 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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XAUUSD Technical Analysis 6th February 2024 1h chart– Monday Daily candle closed Bearish respecting Daily Resistance formed on Friday 2nd February around 2055s. I’ll be looking for potential Buys above 2029.700 targeting recent 1h Resistance (2038.100) and previous Weekly Support formed last month January at (2045.500). I’ll be looking for potential Sells below 2016.100 targeting recent 4h Support (2009.100) leaving runners to 2001.800 for potential Monthly Wick Fill for January 2024.
GBPUSD broke below trendline support, short trade setupGBPUSD
price broke below Ascending trendline the after correction, price made a breakdown of the short-term trendline, If price stays below the 1.26900 level I expect the price to move lower
Trade Wisely
*The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
XAUUSD Technical Analysis 5th February 2024 1h chart– Previous Weekly candle closed Bullish rejecting 2 recent Weekly Resistances (2049s) and (2063s) and forming new Weekly Support just below 2020s, Friday Daily candle closed Bearish forming Resistance at 2055s.
– One thing I find interesting on Daily timeframe is how Friday daily candle tapped into previous Daily Resistance held around 2030s then rejected and closed above it so so far the 2030s level is a strong area for gold to break below so we might see multiple rejections or potential Daily Support to be formed above 2030s.
– I’ll be looking for potential Buys above 2044.500 for price to retest the broken 1h Support at the news event held on Friday aka NFP + Unemployment Rate, at 2051.800 and to potentially see wick fill for the previous Weekly High.
– I’ll be looking for potential Sells below 2031.700 targeting 1h Strong Support (2024.700) and recent Weekly Support (2018.500).
EURUSD: Detailed Structure Analysis & Key Levels 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis for EURUSD.
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 1.0724 - 1.0760 area
Support 2: 1.0655 - 1.0670 area
Resistance 1: 1.0895 - 1.0930 area
Resistance 2: 1.0973 - 1.1000 area
Resistance 3: 1.1106 - 1.1140 area
Vertical Structures
Vertical Support 1: Falling trend line
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading next week.
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DXY Analysis:NFP Surge and Fed's Caution Fuel Buying OpportunityIn the context of technical analysis, DXY (US Dollar Index) has recently breached a crucial resistance level at 103.800, signaling a potential buying opportunity. However, it's currently in a corrective phase, retracing towards this breakout area. This technical setup suggests a strategic entry point for traders eyeing bullish positions on the dollar.
Adding a fundamental layer to this analysis, today's Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data has significantly impacted market sentiment. The release of NFP figures showing an impressive 353,000 jobs added in January, far surpassing the expected 180,000, has injected notable strength into the US dollar. Moreover, the Federal Reserve's cautionary stance, particularly the indication that there will likely be no interest rate cuts in March, further supports the bullish outlook for the dollar. These fundamental factors, combined with the technical breakout, reinforce the potential buying opportunity on DXY around the 103.800 zone.
This confluence of technical and fundamental indicators suggests a compelling case for monitoring DXY closely in the coming week, with a keen eye on potential buying opportunities as it retraces towards the breakout area. Traders should remain vigilant and capitalize on this strategic entry point, considering the robust NFP data and the Fed's cautious stance on monetary policy.
NFP Strategy Unveiled: Join me Live on Tradingview📊🔍 NFP Strategy Unveiled: Smart Trades with FX Professor! 💡🔄
Dive into the heart of the forex market with me, your FX Professor, as we anticipate today's Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) and average hourly earnings release. Here's my simple, yet strategic approach to trading EUR/USD amidst this pivotal economic data release.
Decoding the NFP:
A robust NFP with lower average hourly earnings could signal the perfect storm for rate cuts by the Feds. This scenario might just be the golden ticket for a bullish EUR/USD run, as it aligns with a potentially dovish shift in U.S. monetary policy.
EUR/USD Outlook:
With EUR/USD hovering at 1.088, I've got my eyes set on a support channel around 1.07465. Should the pair dip in response to the NFP, I'm ready to bolster my long positions, embracing the lower prices as a springboard for potential gains.
Trading Plan:
I plan to split my strategy – going long with two positions, and hedging with a short. Specifically, I'm thinking two lots long, then another two, making it four lots long against two lots short. If the market dips, the short position will offset some losses, and I'll seize the opportunity to increase my longs, capturing profits as I buy the dip.
Live Trading Session:
Join me in an hour for a thrilling live trading session. We'll be riding the waves of volatility together, with real-time analysis and strategic maneuvers designed to turn market movements into opportunities.
📈🎢 Be there as we navigate the twists and turns of today's NFP release – with the FX Professor at the helm, it's sure to be an educational and potentially profitable journey!
Link: www.tradingview.com (Join me Live!!)
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
ps. i gave it some thought, to maybe select another pair (NZD or AUD for example) since EUR is suffering from more persistent inflation, being more vulnerable to Ukraine and Red sea problems and with the farmers complaining (we love them and we stand with them) but eventually EURUSD is going to be for me for 2 reasons:
- i don't see rate cuts anytime soon
- the price at 1.08 is still a bargain