Get started

Dollar

Euro Stablecoin BOOMS: Bye, USD?The Euro Stablecoin Ascends: EURC Hits Record High as Traders Eye Dollar Alternatives Amid Global Uncertainty For years, the digital asset landscape has been dominated by the US dollar, not just in trading volume but fundamentally through the ubiquity of USD-pegged stablecoins. Tokens like Tether (USDT) and Circle's own USD Coin (USDC) have become the bedrock of the crypto economy, acting as crucial bridges between volatile cryptocurrencies and traditional fiat, facilitating trading, lending, and yield generation within decentralized finance (DeFi). However, the winds of change may be subtly shifting. Amidst a backdrop of persistent global trade tensions, geopolitical maneuvering, and questions surrounding the long-term trajectory of the US dollar, alternative fiat-backed stablecoins are gaining traction. Leading this nascent charge is the Euro Coin (EURC), Circle's Euro-backed offering, which recently surged to a record market capitalization exceeding $246 million. This milestone, while still dwarfed by its multi-billion dollar USD counterparts, is significant. It signals a growing appetite among traders, investors, and institutions for stable digital assets pegged to currencies other than the greenback. The rise of EURC isn't happening in a vacuum; it reflects a confluence of factors challenging the dollar's undisputed reign in the digital sphere and highlighting the strategic appeal of diversification. Understanding the Stablecoin Status Quo and the Dollar's Dominance Stablecoins are indispensable cogs in the crypto machine. They offer price stability relative to a specific asset (usually a major fiat currency), allowing market participants to park funds, calculate profits, pay for services, and interact with DeFi protocols without the wild price swings characteristic of Bitcoin or Ethereum. USDT and USDC have achieved massive network effects, integrated across countless exchanges, wallets, and DeFi applications, making them the default choice for liquidity and settlement. Their success, however, inherently ties a vast swathe of the digital economy to the US dollar's fate and US monetary policy. For international users, particularly those operating primarily within the Eurozone or holding significant Euro-denominated assets or liabilities, relying solely on USD stablecoins introduces foreign exchange (FX) risk and potential conversion inefficiencies. Enter EURC: A Regulated Euro On-Chain Launched by Circle, the same regulated fintech firm behind the highly successful USDC, Euro Coin (EURC) aims to replicate the trust and utility of its dollar sibling, but pegged 1:1 to the Euro. Each EURC token is intended to be fully backed by Euros held in dedicated, segregated bank accounts under Circle's custody. This emphasis on transparency and regulatory compliance, mirroring the approach taken with USDC, is crucial for building trust, especially among institutional players wary of less transparent stablecoin issuers. The recent surge in EURC's supply to over €246 million (equivalent to ~$246 million at the time of the record, assuming near parity for simplicity, though the exact USD value fluctuates) indicates accelerating adoption. This growth isn't just passive accumulation; it suggests active minting driven by real demand. Why the Shift? Trade Uncertainty and the Allure of Diversification The primary catalyst cited for this growing interest in non-USD stablecoins is the pervasive sense of uncertainty clouding the global trade environment and the US dollar's outlook. Several factors contribute to this: 1. Geopolitical Tensions & Deglobalization Trends: Ongoing conflicts, shifting alliances, and a move towards regional trading blocs can create volatility and potentially weaken dominant currencies like the dollar as nations explore alternative payment and reserve systems. 2. US Economic Concerns: Debates around US national debt levels, inflation trajectory, and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions can lead some international investors and traders to hedge against potential dollar depreciation. 3. Desire for FX Hedging: Businesses and traders operating significantly within the Eurozone may prefer a Euro-native stablecoin to minimize the costs and risks associated with constantly converting between EUR and USD stablecoins. Holding EURC directly aligns their digital cash position with their operational currency. 4. European Regulatory Clarity (MiCA): The implementation of the Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulation in the European Union provides a clearer framework for stablecoin issuers and users within the bloc, potentially boosting confidence in well-regulated Euro stablecoins like EURC. 5. DeFi Diversification: As the DeFi ecosystem matures, users are seeking more diverse collateral types and trading pairs. EURC allows for the creation of Euro-based liquidity pools and lending markets, catering to a specific user base and reducing systemic reliance on USD assets. Traders aren't necessarily predicting an imminent dollar collapse, but rather strategically positioning themselves to mitigate risk. Holding a portion of their stable digital assets in EURC provides a hedge – if the dollar weakens against the Euro, the value of their EURC holdings, when measured in dollars, would increase, offsetting potential losses on USD-denominated assets. Use Cases and Potential Beyond Hedging While hedging FX risk is a significant driver, the utility of EURC extends further: • Seamless Euro Transactions: Facilitates frictionless payments and settlements within the Eurozone using blockchain technology. • European DeFi Growth: Enables the development of DeFi applications tailored to the European market, offering Euro-based borrowing, lending, and yield opportunities. • Remittances: Potentially offers a more efficient channel for cross-border Euro transfers compared to traditional banking rails. • Trading Pairs: Allows exchanges to offer direct EURC trading pairs against various cryptocurrencies, simplifying the process for Euro-based traders. Challenges and the Road Ahead Despite its record supply, EURC faces hurdles. Its market capitalization and liquidity remain a fraction of USDT's and USDC's. This lower liquidity can mean higher slippage on large trades and limits its immediate utility as deep collateral in major DeFi protocols, which thrive on multi-billion dollar liquidity pools. Building the network effect – getting listed on more exchanges, integrated into more wallets, and accepted by more DeFi platforms – takes time and concerted effort. Furthermore, EURC's success is intrinsically linked to the stability and economic health of the Eurozone itself. It diversifies away from the dollar, but not away from fiat risk entirely. The regulatory landscape, while clarifying under MiCA, will continue to evolve and shape the operational environment. Conclusion: A Sign of a Maturing Market The surge in Circle's EURC supply to over $246 million is more than just a numerical milestone; it's a tangible indicator of a maturing stablecoin market seeking diversification beyond the US dollar. Driven by global trade uncertainties, geopolitical shifts, and a desire among European users and savvy traders to hedge FX risk, Euro-based stablecoins are carving out a growing niche. While the dollar-pegged giants still dominate, the ascent of well-regulated alternatives like EURC signifies a crucial step towards a potentially multi-polar stablecoin future. It underscores the demand for trusted, compliant digital representations of major world currencies, offering users greater choice and resilience in an increasingly complex global financial landscape. The journey for EURC and its Euro counterparts is still in its early stages, but the trend towards diversification is clear, promising a more varied and potentially more stable digital asset ecosystem ahead.
Long
by bryandowningqln
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 15, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) is declining during the Asian session on Tuesday, which, along with a modest rise in the US dollar (USD), is lifting the USD/JPY pair closer to the mid-143.00s. US President Donald Trump's cancellation of tariffs on major consumer electronics and the signal that he may temporarily exempt the auto industry from the 25 per cent duties continue to support market optimism. This in turn undermines demand for traditional safe-haven assets, including the yen. However, the rapidly escalating trade war between the US and China and lingering concerns over the potential economic impact of Trump's crippling tariffs should temper market optimism. Meanwhile, expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates are strongly at odds with bets on more aggressive policy easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed). This, along with hopes of a trade deal between the US and Japan, should limit losses for the low-yielding Yen. Trade recommendation: SELL 142.80, SL 144.50, TP 140.50
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Gold Holds Haven Status Above 3200Gold maintains its safe-haven appeal, holding firmly above the $3,200 mark. The current trend met resistance near $3,250, and a decisive breakout could drive further gains toward $3,290–$3,300, fueled by rising trade war tensions and ongoing dollar weakness. • Downside Risks: If the dollar reverses or U.S.–China trade talks show progress, a drop below $3,200 may lead to pullbacks toward $3,190 and $3,170. A deeper decline could trigger a broader correction toward $3,100 and $3,090, helping to reset overbought momentum on higher time frames or set the stage for a deeper downturn. - Razan Hilal, CMT
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FOREXcom
EURUSD Setup: Buy First, Sell Later – Don’t Miss the Move!EURUSD has been trending upward for a while now, just as we discussed in the last post. We're reaching higher levels, and while it does look like we could be approaching a potential sell zone, I’m staying patient. I believe there are still some highs above us that need to be taken out first. What we’re seeing right now could be manipulation—an attempt to trap early sellers. That’s why I won’t be selling yet. Instead, I’m watching for buy setups today and tomorrow off key levels on my chart. Once those highs are swept and we get confirmation, that’s when I’ll start looking for potential sells. Give this a boost if you found it useful!
Long
by omz_zz
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 14, 2025 GBPUSDThe initial market reaction to US President Donald Trump's decision last week to suspend sweeping reciprocal tariffs for 90 days was short-lived amid heightened fears of a US recession amid an escalating trade war between the US and China. China's 84 per cent tariffs on US goods went into effect on Thursday, and Trump raised duties on Chinese imports to an unprecedented 145 per cent. Given that the US still imports a number of hard-to-replace materials from China, these developments have weakened confidence in the US economy. Meanwhile, data released last week showed that the US consumer price index (CPI) declined 0.1% in March, while core CPI rose +2.8% year-on-year, below consensus forecasts. In fact, markets are now pricing in the likelihood of a 90 basis point rate cut before the end of this year. Conversely, investors believe the likelihood of a Bank of England (BoE) interest rate cut next month is slightly less likely. The aforementioned favourable fundamental backdrop supports a positive outlook for spot prices in the near term, although bulls seem reluctant to make aggressive bets and prefer to wait for important UK macro releases. Tuesday will see the release of the all-important monthly employment report, followed by the latest consumer inflation data on Wednesday. In addition, this week investors will be keeping an eye on the release of monthly US retail sales data and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech, which will play a key role in influencing dollar price action. This, in turn, should give a significant impetus to the GBP/USD pair in the second half of the week. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.3130, SL 1.3010, TP 1.3310
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis 🇪🇺🇺🇸 Here is my latest support and resistance analysis for EURUSD for the week ahead. Resistance 1: 1.1456 - 1.1552 area Resistance 2: 1.1640 - 1.1700 area Resistance 3: 1.1860 - 1.1915 area Support 1: 1.1150 - 1.1280 area Support 2: 1.0730 - 1.0900 area Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by VasilyTrader
4
EuroDollar : When Does the Dust Settle? Tariffs 25'Rather quiet to begin the week as the EuroDollar remains unchanged during the Initial 3 sessions of the week. A "Doji" Daily Candle printed, informing us those of us more technically minded to write off the day's price behavior and look to preceding candles for indication of future direction. It is important to note the longer top wick of 38.5 pips versus the 23.5 pips bottom wick. We can observe yet another daily candle wicking into the Weekly level 1.087. This Price remains very important in the short term because it may facilitate a pullback on EurUsd to the downside. This follows a historic Week of volatility for the EuroDollar as Trumps Tariffs shook the markets to say the least. If we are considering Bullish targets for the week, Daily Level 1.093 , or even Daily Level 1.098 which would be the most generous for buyers. When fundamentals are this strong, it's more difficult to discount those larger, irrational moves that you see in the markets sometimes. So although one could argue how over-extended the EuroDollar is, we must remember the game we are playing. In Considering Bearish targets, a retest of Daily Support level 1.0786 seems reasonable. A Deeper retracement could see price around 1.0694 , the beginning of Last Tuesdays very clean bullish NY session. A pullback seems technically sound, considering the outlier and extent of last weeks upside move. Job Openings on Tuesday is the appetizer to the Inflation CPI data on Wednesday which will surely see some volatility rock these already rattled markets. CPI/Inflation is forecasted to Cool for the Dollar which technically supports more strength for the Euro and a further upside push for this pair. Please Leave a rocket or comment if you enjoyed this Analysis. Have a good trading week !
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
2
USD Breakdown – Trump, Tariffs, and the End of King Dollar?📉 USD Breakdown – Trump, Tariffs, and the End of King Dollar? In my February post, I said: 2025 would be the Year of the Normalized Dollar — where political pressure meets policy hesitation. Now that scenario is unfolding. The dollar is unwinding. The technicals are confirming it. And the macro backdrop? Only intensifying the move. 📊 Chart Breakdown 100.95 — the key mid-level — is now broken That level is resistance Target remains 94.00 — the zone I first called as a bottom back in 2020 From that zone, I called the bull run. Now, we’re completing the circle. The King Dollar move is done. 🌐 Macro Pressure Mounts CPI cooled to 2.4% Trump wants a weaker dollar to push exports Tariffs are back — and escalating The Fed is paused , but still under fire to cut rates Meanwhile: 🇨🇳 China is accumulating gold aggressively 🪙 Gold is at all-time highs 🧠 Bitcoin is rising as the U.S.'s digital hard asset hedge ⚔️ This Isn’t Just a Chart — It’s a Shift What we’re watching is more than a breakdown in DXY. It’s the realignment of monetary confidence: → Gold for protection → Bitcoin for evolution → Dollar for... survival? The breakdown in USD may be normalizing on the surface... But underneath it’s signaling a changing of the guard. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
TVC:DXYShort
by FX_Professor
13
Markets On Edge: Gold Soars, Dollar Stumbles, Bitcoin Bounces 🔍 Midweek Market Outlook: What’s Driving DXY, Gold & Bitcoin Right Now? We’re in the middle of one of the most eventful trading weeks of the year. The U.S. Dollar is retreating under policy pressure Gold has officially gone parabolic, smashing through $3,000 Bitcoin is pulling back hard, down nearly 30% from its highs These aren’t just price moves — they’re reflections of real economic stress and shifting capital flows. In this week’s outlook, I break down: 📌 The key macro drivers behind these moves 📌 How the latest inflation data, Fed tone, and geopolitics are shaping sentiment 📌 Why gold is rallying like it’s 1980 all over again 📌 And what traders should anticipate next on DXY, XAUUSD, and BTCUSD If you trade or invest in these markets, this is one of those weeks where fundamentals can’t be ignored. 🧠 Insights. 🎯 Forecasts. 🛠️ Trade Prep. Check it out — link in the comments.
TVC:DXY
by DeanMuller
Dollar Under Pressure from Recessionary SignalsEUR/USD climbed about 80 pips to 1.1040 on Wednesday as the dollar index slipped below 105.5, marking a second day of losses. The U.S. dollar weakened amid growing fears of recession, triggered by President Trump's sweeping tariffs. China now faces a 104% levy, with Beijing vowing to "fight to the end." Market sentiment remained cautious as trade negotiations stalled, despite Trump’s outreach to major partners. Concerns that the escalating trade war may tip the U.S. into recession have increased expectations of further Fed rate cuts, weighing on the dollar. Key resistance is at 1.1100, followed by 1.1150 and 1.1215. Support lies at 1.0900, then 1.0850 and 1.0730.
by ChartMage
DXY at Make-or-Break Level Ahead of Trade Deal UncertaintyGood day Traders, Take a moment to go through my outlook of DXY. Currently, DXY is moving within a clearly defined ascending channel, showing a short-term bullish correction after the sharp drop seen last week. Price is respecting the channel's boundaries, making higher highs and higher lows, characteristic of a pullback phase in a broader bearish move. However, attention is now drawn to the resistance zone around 103.80 – 104.19 zone. This area coincides with: 1. Top of the channel (confluence resistance) 2. A harmonic pattern completion zone or reversal block 3. A previous structural support-turned-resistance area In my view, the recent price action suggests a potential reversal at or just above this zone, leading to a new bearish leg that could see DXY breaking below the current trend channel and targeting sub-102.56 and 102.00 levels. From the fundamentals, it appears that optimism around a trade deal is helping the USD recover short-term. The market may be pricing in hope, not reality. If sentiment shifts, or deal details (between US and China) disappoint, a swift reversal is highly likely—aligning with the anticipated turn near 104.00 from the technicals. I think this makes the current zone a high-alert area for dollar bulls and bears alike. A fake-out to the upside into this supply zone could trap late buyers before the larger macro and technical forces push the dollar back down. By implication, we then expect to see a slight drop then rally on EURUSD, GBPUSD etc. Cheers and Happy trading!
TVC:DXYLong
by Samuel124
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 8, 2025 EURUSDAfter a tense week in which the US fully adopted a protectionist trade policy - despite lacking the necessary industrial infrastructure - tariffs on imports were imposed. The US now applies a general 10 per cent import tax on all goods from each country, as well as various ‘reciprocal’ tariffs calculated by dividing US imports by exports. After imposing a 34 per cent tariff on Chinese products, China responded with its own 34 per cent tariff on all goods imported from the US. Unable to find alternative solutions, the Trump administration threatened to impose an additional 50 per cent tariff on all Chinese goods, which is set to take effect on April 8. US data takes centre stage again this week, with the release of Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Thursday. On Friday, producer price index (PPI) data and the University of Michigan (UoM) consumer sentiment survey are expected. Investors are raising bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin cutting interest rates to reduce recession risks. Markets are factoring in nearly 200 basis points of rate cuts through the end of 2025, despite the Fed issuing cautious policy statements indicating that trade uncertainty complicates any potential rate cut. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.0950, SL 1.1030, TP 1.0830
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Weekly Outlook | Elliott Wave Analysis This DXY weekly chart highlights a potential (A)-(B)-(C) corrective structure unfolding after a completed 5-wave impulsive rally. Wave A bottomed out around the 100 level, followed by a retracement in Wave B which tested the 111.893 supply zone. Currently, price is reacting strongly from that level, suggesting a possible move toward completing Wave C. Current Market Structure: Wave B faced strong rejection near the 111.893 resistance/supply zone. Price is now hovering near a short-term support zone (light green) around 102–100, which could serve as a decision point. Two scenarios are in play: 1. Bullish Rejection from Support: If buyers defend the support, a new bullish leg may begin, retesting 111.893 or even pushing slightly higher. 2. Break Below Support: A decisive breakdown could initiate a deeper decline toward the major demand zone (highlighted in beige) near 90.00–92.50, completing Wave C. Key Technical Zones: Resistance (Supply Zone): 111.893 Immediate Support: 100.00–102.00 Major Demand Zone (Wave C Target): 90.00–92.50 Current Price: 102.892 Elliott Wave View: The ongoing move appears to be part of a Wave C correction, which will be confirmed only if price breaks below the current support. On the flip side, a higher low and bullish continuation could mean the correction ended early, transitioning into a fresh impulse. Conclusion: The DXY is at a critical juncture. Traders should monitor price action closely at the 100–102 zone. A bounce could trigger a bullish setup back toward resistance, while a breakdown would likely bring Wave C to completion in the 90–92.50 zone. Stay tuned and trade with discipline.
TVC:DXY
by Greenfireforex
1
USDJPY - 4H more fall expectedFX:USDJPY - 4H Update 🔻 If you've traded USDJPY in recent years, you're no stranger to the significance of the 150.00 zone. This level has historically acted as a critical resistance and psychological barrier. Now, the pair is trading below this key level and has also broken the ascending channel support on the daily timeframe, signaling that bulls are likely out of the game. The recent drop to 147.00 and bounce toward 151.00 could be setting up the next short opportunity. 📌 What to watch for: A liquidity grab above the 151.50–152.00 zone could occur before the next fall. This aligns with institutional behavior, hunting stops before continuing the trend. We're now in a sell-the-rally phase, watching for confirmations around the red zone. Remember, I previously signaled a short from the 157 zone, which played out beautifully. We’re now gearing up for the next big short, and this setup might just be it. 📉 Stay cautious, wait for price action signals, and trust the structure. 💸 If you’ve missed previous entries, don’t miss what’s coming next! 🔔 Follow for real-time updates and live trade ideas!
Short
by Sober_Trading
14