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"Gold Bullish Continuation XAUUSD is expected to reach 3000 soonThis chart shows a strong bullish momentum in gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour time frame, with a clear breakout above a recent high. The price action is following a rounded trend, indicating a continuation of the bull run. A key support zone (spot area) has been tested, and the price is pushing higher. The 1st target is around 2,935, the 2nd target at 2,970, and the final target at 3,000. If gold holds above the spot area and continues respecting the trendline, it could move towards these targets. However, a breakdown below the spot area might lead to a pullback before further upside.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
2
xausd key areas to watch with detailed analysisHere's an analysis of XAU/USD at 2,861 as of February 10, 2025, incorporating technical and fundamental insights from the search results: Current Context Gold (XAU/USD) is trading near 2,861, a critical juncture given recent market dynamics. This level aligns with forecasts and technical patterns discussed in the search results, offering insights into potential bullish or bearish scenarios. Key Technical Levels Immediate Support: 2,861: Coincides with the lower bound of February 2025’s forecasted range (2,861.25–2,991.30). A hold here could signal bullish resilience. 2,746–2,695: Deeper support zones if a correction occurs, based on Fibonacci retracement levels and trendline analysis . Resistance Levels: 2,868–2,900: The next psychological and technical hurdles, with 2,868.56 (R2) noted as a swing high target . 2,991–3,000: Upper bound of February’s projected range and a key breakout target . Long-Term Trend: Gold remains in an ascending channel (up ~27% since 2024), supported by geopolitical uncertainty and central bank demand . The 100 SMA is above the 200 SMA on the 4-hour chart, indicating underlying bullish momentum . Bullish Scenario Triggers: Fed Policy & Inflation: Continued dovish signals from the Fed (e.g., rate cuts) and persistent inflation could drive gold higher . Geopolitical Risks: Escalating tensions (e.g., Middle East conflicts, U.S.-China trade policies) may boost safe-haven demand . ETF Inflows: Positive gold ETF flows, as seen in late 2024, could reignite upward momentum 3. Technical Outlook: A bounce from 2,861 could target 2,900–2,991, aligning with February’s forecast . A break above 2,991 opens the path to 3,000+, with institutions like JPMorgan forecasting $3,150 by year-end . Bearish Risks Triggers: USD Strength: A stronger dollar (e.g., from robust U.S. data or hawkish Fed rhetoric) may pressure gold . Profit-Taking: Overbought signals (RSI at 57) and resistance at 2,868 could trigger short-term pullbacks . Reduced Safe-Haven Demand: Easing geopolitical tensions or risk-on sentiment might reduce gold’s appeal . Technical Outlook: A breakdown below 2,861 could test 2,746–2,695 (Fibonacci and trendline support) . Sustained selling might invalidate the uptrend, risking a drop toward 2,625 (critical 100-day SMA). Macro Drivers to Watch U.S. Economic Data: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), CPI, and Fed rate decisions will influence USD and gold . Geopolitical Events: Developments in Ukraine, Middle East, and U.S. trade policies under Trump . Central Bank Activity: Continued gold purchases by central banks (e.g., China, India) may stabilize prices Short-Term Forecast Base Case: Consolidation near 2,861–2,900 as markets digest recent gains and await catalysts. Upside Bias: Favored if gold holds above 2,861, targeting 2,991–3,000 . Downside Risk: A close below 2,861 could trigger profit-taking toward 2,746 Conclusion At 2,861, XAU/USD is at a pivotal level. While the broader trend remains bullish (supported by inflation, geopolitics, and central bank demand), short-term volatility from USD fluctuations and technical resistance could dominate. Traders should monitor 2,861 as a key support and watch for breaks above 2,900 or below 2,746 to confirm directional bias. support and resistance for short term: Resistance: 2872 2885 2894 2900 2911 2920 these resistance points can be used as bullish targets Support: 2855 2851 2841 2833 2830 2819 2800 2782 these support points can act as bearish targets LIKE BOOST AND SHARE US SUPPORT US
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
6
"Gold (XAU/USD) Breakout and Retest: Bullish Continuation or RevThe chart shows a strong bullish momentum in gold (XAU/USD) with a rounded retest pattern. Price recently broke a key resistance and is now testing it as support. There is an indication of a potential sell from the current high, but a successful retest of the breakout zone could confirm further bullish continuation. The buy target is set around 2,931, while the sell target is near 2,882. If the price holds above the breakout zone, buying pressure is expected to continue. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
DXY (Dollar index) short from 108.800My DXY analysis aligns with the expectation of a bearish move, which suggests that my pairs—EU and GU—could push higher. However, before that, we may see a minor pullback as price moves toward a demand zone. Price has recently broken structure to the upside, leaving behind a fresh demand level. Once price reaches this area, I anticipate accumulation before a potential move upward. I will look for opportunities to capitalize on this movement across the pairs I trade, such as Gold, EU, and GU. The price action has been very clean so far, which is promising, and we can expect more of the same as we move further into Q1. Have a great week ahead and remain vigilant!
TVC:DXYShort
by Hassan_fx
1
XAUUSD analysis for the weekLet’s craft a forward-looking analysis for XAU/USD (gold) based on plausible macroeconomic narratives, historical patterns, and potential catalysts. Keep in mind this is a speculative exercise—actual outcomes depend on unpredictable events. Key Factors Shaping XAU/USD 1. Federal Reserve Policy Bullish for Gold: Lower real interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. Risk: If the Fed pauses or signals a "higher for longer" stance due to sticky inflation, gold could face headwinds. 2. U.S. Dollar Dynamics A weaker USD (due to rate cuts or fiscal concerns, e.g., U.S. debt sustainability debates) would amplify gold’s appeal. A stronger USD (safe-haven demand during a global recession or Fed policy reversal) could pressure gold. 3. Global Recession Risks If major economies (EU, China) slide into recession, gold may rally as a safe haven, even if the USD strengthens temporarily. 4. Geopolitical Landscape U.S. Election Aftermath: Policy uncertainty post-2024 election (taxes, tariffs, fiscal spending) could drive volatility. New Conflicts: Escalation in Taiwan, Middle East, or Russia-NATO tensions would boost gold demand. 5. Central Bank Demand Continued diversification away from USD reserves (e.g., BRICS+ nations) may sustain structural gold buying. 6. Inflation Trends A resurgence of inflation (e.g., energy shocks, supply chain disruptions) would reignite gold’s role as an inflation hedge. Scenario 1: Bullish Rally (2900–3000) Catalysts: Fed cuts rates aggressively (150+ bps total) amid a U.S. growth slowdown. China’s property crisis spirals, triggering global risk-off sentiment. Middle East conflict disrupts oil flows, spiking inflation. Technical Outlook: A breakout above $3,000 (psychological barrier) could trigger algorithmic buying and FOMO momentum. Scenario 2: Bearish Correction (2800-2600) Catalysts: Fed halts cuts due to stubborn inflation (CPI rebounds to 3.5%+). USD surges as EU/Japan face deeper recessions. Central banks slow gold purchases, ETFs see outflows. Technical Outlook: A drop below $2,800 (hypothetical 2024 support) could trigger stop-loss cascades. Scenario 3: Sideways Churn (2750-2900) Catalysts: Markets digest conflicting data (mixed growth, moderate inflation). Geopolitical “cold wars” (U.S.-China tech/trade) persist without escalation. Technical Outlook: Range-bound action as bulls and bears await clarity. Strategic Takeaways Prepare for Volatility: Gold will react sharply to Fed policy shifts and geopolitical “surprises.” Watch the USD: A sustained DXY breakdown below 106 could turbocharge gold’s rally. Risk Management: Use options or trailing stops—gold’s moves could be exaggerated in thin liquidity. Final Note By February 2025, gold’s path will depend on how 2024’s unresolved macro risks (debt, inflation, elections) unfold. While the long-term bullish case for gold remains intact (debasement hedging, de-dollarization), short-term swings will hinge on Fed credibility. PLEASE BOOST US FOLLOW US AND SHARE OUR ANALYSIS
OANDA:XAUUSD
by realmillionairefx
USDZAR sailing in turbulent Trump tidesLast week has been a rollercoaster for the ZAR after gaping up and touching a high of 19.00 in the early hours of Monday morning following the news of Trumps executive order. The rand however regained its footing as the news got digested which allowed the rand to pull the pair below the 50-day MA currently at 18.45. It seems as if an ABC corrective wave has taken place which is indicative of another 5-wave impulse higher for the pair. The 50-day MA at 18.45 and the current yearly low of 18.30 serve as the critical levels to watch on the pair. A failed break below 18.30 will create a double bottom at this level which will leave the rand stranded ready to be pulled higher towards 19.22. A break below 18.30 will however allow the rand to pull the pair out of the current upward channel and test the 200-day support at 18.12. This move will invalidate my current idea on the pair. The main event to watch for the week is the US CPI print for January, which is expected to remain unchanged at 2.9%, just like it did back for the December print. US inflation has been ticking higher since October last year, almost right after the Fed started their cutting cycle and anything other than an inline or lower than expected CPI print will have the USDZAR packing and making its way above 19.00 since it will indicate that the Fed will stay higher for longer.
Long
by Goose96
US CPI week for the DXY It has been a topsy turvy week for the dollar after the week opened with news of 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada from the US as well as a 10% import duty on Chinese goods. The DXY spiked to a high of 109.9 before closing the week marginally lower at 108.1. The weaker than expected US NFP print however and surprisingly provided support for the DXY. This week’s price action is indicative that the ABC corrective wave has run its course and that another leg higher towards 112 is on the cards for the DXY. The critical support range is the blue range between 107.2 and 107.5. As long as the DXY remains above this range and maintain levels above the 50-day MA at 107.8 there is nothing stopping the DXY from moving higher as the dollar milkshake theory continues to suck the DXY higher. A break below 107.2 will however invalidate the idea and allow the DXY to drop onto the 200-day MA level of 104.8. It is CPI week for the DXY and a stronger than expected CPI print will allow the DXY to regain its momentum and commence the start of another leg higher for the index. The US CPI print for January, which is expected to remain unchanged at 2.9%, just like it did back for the December print. Inflation has been ticking higher since October last year, almost right after the Fed started their cutting cycle and anything other than an inline or lower than expected CPI print will have the DXY packing and making its way to 110 and 112 thereafter since it will indicate that the Fed will stay higher for longer.
TVC:DXYLong
by Goose96
3
XAUUSD WEEKLY WRAP UP This week, Gold (XAU/USD) continued its upward trajectory, achieving a sixth consecutive weekly gain. The metal reached a new record high above $2,880, reflecting sustained bullish momentum. Key Influencing Factors: Federal Reserve Commentary: Remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell contributed to market optimism, supporting the rally in gold prices. Technical Levels: Gold approached the significant psychological level of $3,000 per ounce, with analysts suggesting that surpassing this threshold could be a potential game-changer for the metal. Outlook: The market's focus is now on upcoming U.S. economic data, particularly the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which could serve as a catalyst for further price movements. A higher-than-expected CPI reading may bolster expectations of a more hawkish Federal Reserve, potentially exerting downward pressure on gold. Conversely, a softer CPI could support continued gains in gold prices. Traders are advised to monitor these developments closely, as they will play a crucial role in shaping gold's trajectory in the near term. FOLLOW US BOOST US FOR MORE MARKET RELATED NEWS ANALYSIS AND UPDATES
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
NFP LESS THAN EXPECTED. KEY LEVELS TO WATCHThe U.S. Non-farm Payrolls Changed By 143,000 In January, Compared With Expectations Of 175,000 And A Previous Value Of 256,000 KEY LEVELS. We expect a rise in xauusd value to 2894 . 2869 2874 2883 2889 2894 2910 Alternative scenario if 2860 is broken it may fall to 2855 and 2840 can act as a strong support. the ultimate support for current scenario is 2833. follow us for further updates boost us so that we can reach more people
OANDA:XAUUSD
by realmillionairefx
3
"Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Breakout Setup with 2,888–2,900 Target"This chart shows a bullish structure in gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe, with a rounding bottom pattern forming. Multiple break-of-structure (BOS) and change-of-character (ChoCH) points indicate a continuation of the uptrend. The price is currently consolidating near resistance, with a potential breakout targeting the 2,888–2,900 zone. If the weak high is broken, momentum could push higher. Support zones are visible around 2,840 and lower in case of a pullback. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Surging Dollar Spurs Jump in Corporate FX HedgingThe relentless rise of the U.S. dollar is sending ripples of concern through the global economy, and businesses are taking notice. Faced with a strengthening greenback, corporations are increasingly turning to foreign exchange (FX) hedging strategies to mitigate the impact of currency fluctuations on their bottom lines. This surge in hedging activity reflects a growing awareness of the risks associated with currency volatility and a proactive approach to protecting profits in an increasingly uncertain global landscape. The Dollar's Dominance The U.S. dollar has been on a tear, appreciating significantly against a basket of other major currencies. This surge is driven by a confluence of factors, including the Federal Reserve's hawkish monetary policy, safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions, and the relative strength of the U.S. economy. While a strong dollar can have some benefits, such as lower import costs, it also poses significant challenges for multinational corporations.1 Impact on Corporate Earnings For companies that generate revenue in foreign currencies but report earnings in U.S. dollars, a strong dollar can create a significant headwind. When foreign revenues are converted back into dollars, they are worth less than they were before the dollar's appreciation. This can lead to lower reported earnings, even if the company's underlying business performance remains strong. Conversely, companies that import goods priced in dollars but sell them in other currencies see their profit margins squeezed as their input costs rise. The Hedging Imperative In this environment of heightened currency risk, FX hedging has become a crucial tool for corporations.2 Hedging involves using financial instruments, such as forward contracts, options, or swaps, to lock in exchange rates for future transactions.3 This allows companies to insulate themselves from adverse currency movements and provides greater certainty about their future cash flows and earnings.4 Surge in Hedging Activity Market data suggests a significant uptick in corporate FX hedging activity. Treasurers and finance departments are increasingly prioritizing currency risk management, recognizing that even small fluctuations in exchange rates can have a material impact on their financial results. This increased focus on hedging is driven by several factors: • Heightened Volatility: The dollar's rapid appreciation has created significant volatility in currency markets, making it more difficult for companies to predict future exchange rates. This uncertainty underscores the need for hedging strategies to protect against unexpected currency swings. • Earnings Protection: As mentioned earlier, a strong dollar can erode corporate earnings. Hedging allows companies to mitigate this risk and ensure that their financial performance is not unduly impacted by currency fluctuations.5 • Strategic Planning: Hedging provides greater predictability in cash flows, which is essential for strategic planning and investment decisions.6 By locking in exchange rates, companies can make more informed decisions about future investments and expansion plans.7 • Shareholder Expectations: Investors are increasingly scrutinizing companies' currency risk management practices. Companies that proactively hedge against currency risks are often seen as more prudent and better managed, which can be a positive factor for investor confidence. Types of Hedging Strategies Companies employ a variety of hedging strategies depending on their specific needs and risk tolerance.8 Some common approaches include: • Forward Contracts: These contracts obligate a company to buy or sell a specific amount of currency at a predetermined exchange rate on a future date.9 This is a straightforward way to lock in exchange rates for future transactions. • Options: Currency options give a company the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell currency at a specific price on or before a certain date.10 Options provide flexibility and allow companies to benefit from favorable currency movements while limiting their downside risk.11 • Currency Swaps: These agreements involve exchanging principal and/or interest payments in one currency for those in another currency.12 Swaps can be used to manage currency risk associated with long-term debt or investments.13 Challenges and Considerations While hedging can be an effective way to manage currency risk, it's not without its challenges. Hedging strategies can be complex and require specialized expertise. Furthermore, hedging involves costs, such as premiums paid for options or fees for forward contracts.14 Companies need to carefully weigh the costs and benefits of hedging and choose strategies that are appropriate for their specific circumstances. Looking Ahead The strong dollar is likely to remain a significant factor in the global economy for the foreseeable future. As such, corporate FX hedging is expected to remain a priority for multinational companies. Companies that proactively manage their currency risk are better positioned to navigate the challenges of a strong dollar environment and protect their earnings from adverse currency movements.15 The current surge in hedging activity reflects a growing recognition of this reality and a proactive approach to mitigating currency risk in an increasingly interconnected world. As global economic conditions evolve, companies will need to remain vigilant and adapt their hedging strategies accordingly to ensure they are adequately protected from currency volatility.
TVC:DXYLong
by bryandowningqln
"Gold (XAU/USD) Breaks Key Support – short term targetsThe 1-hour chart for XAU/USD shows a potential bearish setup with a recent breakout below a key support level. The price is currently hovering around 2,857, with a strong downward move anticipated if the breakdown sustains. The marked "Breakout Below" indicates a possible continuation toward the first target around 2,850, and if further selling pressure persists, the second target near 2,835 may be reached. The previous bullish structure saw multiple breakouts and changes in character (ChoCh), but the current price action suggests a shift in momentum. If price fails to reclaim previous levels, a deeper correction could be in play.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
2
DXY - Looking to Big PictureWhen we look back, when Trump first came, Dxy showed a 5.5% increase, Dxy goes to 103.5. And Trump Dxy is too expensive, the dollar is too expensive, it should fall, the statements started. Then Dxy's 14% decrease went to 88.5. Now Dxy is around 102. I bought it directly as a fractal from August 15, 2016. If Dxy comes to around 104 until the election, the rapid increase with Trump's arrival corresponds to 110s. It has been an expected area for a long time and when Trump Dxy is at 110s, similarly, if the decrease starts with him saying the dollar is too expensive, it goes to 94s, fractal. Here, my hopes begin and I say that it is still expensive at those levels, we will go down to 86s. This means a 4-year never-ending mega bull. I applied the same fractal to the euro, and the much-anticipated 1.02s are here again. If I can get a fund, I will look for swing shorts at 1.12s. The fractal and events looked pretty good to me. It also fit the channel nicely. FX:EURUSD
TVC:DXY
by mooniron
1
$GBPUSD DOLLAR EDGES UP, STERLING DIPS & YEN STEADIESDOLLAR EDGES UP, STERLING DIPS & YEN STEADIES 1/7 Dollar’s on a slight uptick today but still near recent lows. 💵🔎 All eyes are on upcoming U.S. economic data—could it shake the greenback out of its range? 2/7 Sterling falls as traders brace for a possible Bank of England rate cut. 💷❓ Recent economic signals point toward a policy adjustment—markets are watching closely! 3/7 The yen hit an 8-week high overnight after a BoJ board member hinted at further rate increases. ⬆️🇯🇵 But it pulled back in European trade, settling into a steady groove. 4/7 Why the mild dollar strength? 1️⃣ Easing trade war fears 2️⃣ Anticipation of Friday’s big U.S. data drop Investors remain cautious, but a surprise on the data front could shift sentiment fast. 5/7 Sterling’s dip reflects the BoE’s potential pivot. 👀💼 A rate cut could lower borrowing costs, but also typically pressures a currency downward. 6/7 Which currency do you think will see the biggest move after the BoE decision? 1️⃣ Dollar 2️⃣ Sterling 3️⃣ Yen 4️⃣ Something else? Vote below! 🗳️👇 7/7 Uncertain times call for tight risk management! ⚠️💹 Currency markets hinge on central bank signals—stay vigilant and nimble with your trades.
Long
by DCAChampion
1