Silver Rallies on Trade War Concerns and Strong Industrial DemanSilver rose above $32 per ounce on Wednesday, a three-month high, as trade and economic uncertainties fueled safe-haven demand. A weaker US dollar also supported prices. The US delayed 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada but enforced a 10% levy on Chinese imports, prompting Beijing to impose its own tariffs and consider sanctions on US firms. Meanwhile, the Silver Institute projected a fifth consecutive year of market deficits in 2025, driven by strong industrial demand and retail investment, offsetting weaker jewelry and silverware consumption.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 32.50 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 33.00 and 33.50. On the downside, 31.80 will be the first support level. 30.90 and 30.20 are the next levels to observe if the first support level is breached.
Dollar
Pound Hits Three-Week High as Markets Await BoE CutThe British pound rose above $1.25, its highest since January 7, as the US dollar weakened and the focus shifted to the Bank of England’s Thursday decision. Policymakers are expected to cut rates by 25bps to 4.5%, reflecting slowing growth and easing services inflation. Market sentiment remained cautious over US tariffs, with concerns about a US-China trade conflict impacting global stability. Meanwhile, UK input price inflation hit an 18-month high in January, according to the latest PMI report.
The first resistance level for the pair will be 1.2500. In the event of this level's breach, the next levels to watch would be 1.2600 and 1.2650. On the downside 1.2340 will be the first support level. 1.2265 and 1.2100 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
Yen Strengthens Past 152 as BOJ Signals Possible 2025 Rate HikeThe yen strengthened past 152 per dollar, an eight-week high after BOJ board member Naoki Tamura suggested raising rates to 1% in late 2025. Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato warned of rising inflation, while strong wage data reinforced expectations of continued BOJ tightening. Real wages rose for a second month in December, with nominal wage growth hitting a 30-year high due to winter bonuses. The BOJ, which raised rates in January, remains open to further hikes. A weaker US dollar and lower Treasury yields, driven by mixed US data and easing trade war fears, also supported the yen.
The key resistance level appears to be 153.85, with a break above it potentially targeting 154.90 and 156.00. On the downside, 151.90 is the first major support, followed by 151.25 and 149.20 if the price moves lower.
DXY Rejection at Key Resistance – Potential Drop AheadThis chart of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the 4-hour timeframe shows a strong rejection from the highlighted resistance zone around 109.800–110.000.
Key Observations:
- Rejection at Resistance: Price attempted to break above but faced strong selling pressure, leading to a rejection.
- Possible Downtrend Formation:** The price could now move lower, targeting the 1st target zone (~109.100–109.136) and potentially the **2nd target zone (~107.500–107.480)** if the bearish momentum continues.
- Break of Structure (BoS) & Change of Character (ChoCh): The previous market structure shifts indicate potential reversals, supporting the idea of a bearish move.
Conclusion:
A pullback from resistance suggests a possible downside move. If price fails to reclaim the resistance zone, a sell-off towards the marked targets seems likely. Watch for confirmation near the 1st target to assess continuation or reversal.
DXY Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DXY has been making some
Pretty wild moves on the
Recent geopolitical news
Lately so we need to be
Trading this index with
Caution, however, the
Dollar index is approaching
A horizontal support of 107.000
From where we will be
Expecting a local
Bullish correction
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
The Stablecoin Revolution: Is the Dollar's Reign Over?
The Future of the Global Cryptocurrency Market: Navigating the Rise of Stablecoins and the Shifting Sands of Global Finance
The cryptocurrency market has exploded in popularity over the past decade, evolving from a niche interest to a global phenomenon. While Bitcoin remains the dominant player, the landscape is rapidly diversifying, with stablecoins like USDC and Tether playing an increasingly crucial role. This article explores the future of the global cryptocurrency market, examining the growing influence of stablecoins and their potential impact on the traditional financial system, particularly in relation to the US dollar and the DXY index.
The Rise of Stablecoins: Bridging the Gap Between Crypto and Fiat
Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies designed to maintain a stable value, typically pegged to a fiat currency like the US dollar. This stability makes them attractive for everyday transactions and as a safe haven within the volatile crypto market. USDC and Tether are the two largest stablecoins, with market capitalizations in the tens of billions of dollars.
The appeal of stablecoins lies in their ability to combine the benefits of cryptocurrencies – such as speed, low transaction costs, and 24/7 availability – with the stability of traditional currencies. This makes them ideal for a variety of use cases, including:
• Remittances: Sending money across borders using stablecoins can be faster and cheaper than traditional methods.
• Payments: Stablecoins can be used for everyday purchases, both online and in physical stores.
• Trading: Stablecoins provide a stable asset for traders to use when navigating the volatile cryptocurrency market.
• Decentralized Finance (DeFi): Stablecoins are a key component of DeFi protocols, where they are used for lending, borrowing, and trading.
The Impact on the US Dollar and the DXY Index
The growing adoption of stablecoins has raised questions about their potential impact on the US dollar and the DXY index, which measures the dollar's strength against a basket of other major currencies. Some analysts believe that the widespread use of stablecoins could weaken the dollar's dominance in global trade and finance.
However, it's important to note that most stablecoins are currently pegged to the US dollar. This means that their value is directly tied to the dollar's performance. As a result, the rise of stablecoins could actually strengthen the dollar's position in the short term.
In the long run, the impact of stablecoins on the dollar will depend on several factors, including:
• Regulation: Governments around the world are beginning to pay close attention to stablecoins. The regulatory frameworks that are developed will play a significant role in shaping the future of these digital assets.
• Adoption: The widespread adoption of stablecoins will be a key factor in determining their impact on the dollar. If stablecoins become a major force in global finance, they could challenge the dollar's dominance.
• Competition: The emergence of other stablecoins pegged to different currencies, or even central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), could reduce the reliance on dollar-pegged stablecoins.
Opportunities and Challenges in the Cryptocurrency Market
The future of the cryptocurrency market is full of opportunities and challenges. The continued growth of stablecoins is likely to play a significant role in shaping this future. Other key trends to watch include:
• Institutional adoption: More and more institutional investors are entering the cryptocurrency market. This is bringing increased legitimacy and liquidity to the market.
• Technological innovation: The cryptocurrency market is constantly evolving, with new technologies and applications being developed all the time. This innovation is driving the growth of the market.
• Regulatory clarity: As governments around the world develop clearer regulatory frameworks for cryptocurrencies, this will help to reduce uncertainty and encourage further adoption.
However, there are also challenges that the cryptocurrency market must overcome, including:
• Volatility: The cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile, which can make it risky for investors.
• Security: There have been a number of high-profile hacks and scams in the cryptocurrency market, which have raised concerns about security.
• Environmental concerns: The energy consumption of some cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, has raised concerns about their environmental impact.
Conclusion
The future of the global cryptocurrency market is bright, with stablecoins playing an increasingly important role. While the impact on the US dollar and the DXY index remains to be seen, it's clear that stablecoins are changing the landscape of global finance. As the market continues to evolve, it will be important to keep an eye on the latest developments and to be aware of the opportunities and challenges that lie ahead.
EURUSD - gap is filled, what’s next? Buys? Sells?Here is our in-depth view and update on EURUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels .
Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at EURUSD from a bigger perspective. For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame .
Now the main focus everyone has is the “ GAP ”. Yes the gap has been filled but sellers who tried to take advantage of it, have experienced drawdown today. EURUSD still has a chance to dig deeper into that gap potentially giving us better entries OR breaking to the upside. So here are the possible scenarios on EURUSD we have pre-planned for the following days .
Scenario 1: BUYS at the break of 1.04334
- We broke above 1.04334.
With the break of this level we can expect a possible move towards the upside. Even though we are extremely bearish on EURUSD for quite some time, short-term TVC:DXY weakness can cause the pair to see possible higher levels.
Scenario 2: SELLS
- We dug deeper into the “gap price” or we stayed below roughly 1.03462.
With sells we have several possible entries. We can expect a deeper dig to the upside potentially giving us better entries. On the other hand, if we don’t experience that, and stay below 1.03462 we can expect more sells to come.
KEY NOTES
- EURUSD is overall still bearish.
- DXY (USD) experiencing short-term bears.
- Breaking above 1.04334 would result in more upside.
- Staying below the gap fill, would result in sells.
- Possible deeper digs to the upside before the sell off.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
DXY Bullish Breakout – USD Strengthening Towards 120+?📊 DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) Monthly Chart Analysis 🚀
📈 Breakout in Progress:
The chart shows a breakout from a horizontal resistance zone (previous highs). This signals bullish momentum.
📊 Trend & Structure:
Higher Lows & Higher Highs indicate an uptrend.
Price has been moving within an ascending channel for years.
📉 EMA 200 Support:
The 200-month EMA (95.63) is well below the current price, acting as a strong long-term support level.
🔮 Future Projection:
A potential pullback to confirm support, followed by a strong bullish move toward 120-125 levels.
Chart Projection Suggests: 🚀 Upside continuation if support holds.
🔥 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Support: 104-108 (Breakout retest zone)
🎯 Target: 116-124 (Upper trendline)
💡 Conclusion: Bullish bias remains strong. If DXY holds above 108, the dollar could gain more strength in 2025. 🚀📊
"Gold Price Breaks Key Support: Potential Downside Ahead"This chart shows a potential bearish setup for gold, with a breakout below a key level. The price recently failed to sustain its move above a resistance zone and has started declining. The structure indicates a shift in momentum, with a possible move toward the lower trendline of the ascending channel. Key downside targets include the areas around 2799 and 2764, with stronger support near 2742. If the price remains below the broken level, further downside movement is likely. OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD Setting up for a nice run!Now that we are in a new week and new month it looks like its setting up for a big move. Just have to wait for the killzones for a solid entry. I just need to see it fill in some gaps. Waiting for the Asian range but it looks like it might be bearish until the London session. For London we could see a sweep and then aggressive push to go bullish. We just have to wait and see.
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Does The Market OVERREACT?
It looks like Dollar Index is preparing for a retracement
after a very bullish market opening.
As a clear sign of strength of the sellers, I see
a head and shoulders pattern on an hourly
and a breakout of its neckline.
The market may drop at least to 108.6
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Fundamental Market Analysis for february 3, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD was subjected to heavy selling on Monday and fell towards 1.0200 early in the Asian session. Spot prices have returned to more than two-year lows reached in January and look set to continue their multi-month downtrend.
The US Dollar (USD) is rising across the board in response to US President Donald Trump's decision over the weekend to impose 25 per cent duties against Canada and Mexico, as well as an additional 10 per cent against China. This marks the start of a new global trade war and has curbed investor appetite for risky assets. The flow of anti-risk sentiment is putting good pressure on the safe-haven quid, which is becoming a key factor putting downward pressure on EUR/USD.
Meanwhile, on Friday evening, Trump announced that he will impose tariffs on goods from the European Union. This comes amid the European Central Bank's (ECB) stance, which continues to undermine the common currency. As expected, the ECB cut borrowing costs by 25 basis points (bps) last Thursday and left the door open for further rate cuts before the end of this year.
This is a significant divergence from the Federal Reserve's (Fed) pause, which favours dollar bulls and supports the prospects for further EUR/USD declines. Meanwhile, the recent sharp pullback in US Treasury yields acts as a headwind for the quid and may provide some support to spot prices. Nevertheless, the fundamental backdrop suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the downside.
Trade recommendation: Trading mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
DXY Dive Incoming? Watch the Liquidity Zones!From the higher timeframe perspective, DXY is currently hovering within a key monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), marked in red. This zone serves as a critical point of interest and could dictate the next directional bias for the dollar.
Key Observations:
Current FVG Zone:
-Price is consolidating within the monthly FVG. A close below this zone would provide stronger confirmation of a bearish move targeting lower liquidity levels.
Bearish Bias:
-The recent price action indicates weakness as sellside liquidity (SSL) is beginning to show signs of attraction.
-The presence of significant sellside liquidity targets below, including:
-105.411 (Weekly SSL - Sweep)
-103.370 (Weekly SSL - Next Zone)
-100.215 (Major Daily SSL Zone)
Messy Market Conditions:
-Due to fluctuating macroeconomic factors, including USD news events, we may observe temporary rallies or retracements. However, these are likely to form lower highs before continuing the descent.
Confirmation Levels:
-Bearish Confirmation: A daily or weekly close below the monthly FVG would solidify the bearish case, signaling that sellside liquidity at 105.411 and lower levels are likely next.
-Bullish Risk: If the current FVG holds as support and price pushes higher, we could see an attempt to retest higher zones (e.g., 109.535) before resuming downside momentum.
Conclusion:
The expectation is for DXY to drop towards sellside liquidity levels at 105.411, 103.370, and potentially as low as 100.215. However, traders should await a clean confirmation (such as a close below the monthly FVG) to validate the move.
DYOR (Do Your Own Research) and trade safely amidst potential market volatility!
Let me know if you'd like any refinements!
**Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Breakout Setup – Targeting $2,818** **Gold (XAUUSD) 1H Chart Analysis:**
- **Current Price:** Around **$2,800.29**
- **Key Resistance:** **$2,818.05** (Potential target zone)
- **Spot Zone:** Previous resistance turned support around **$2,790**
- **Recent Price Action:**
- Gold broke above a key resistance level (now acting as support).
- Price faced a **minor rejection** but is consolidating, potentially forming a bullish continuation pattern.
- **Forecast:**
- If price holds above **$2,790**, consolidation could lead to a breakout toward **$2,818**.
- A strong breakout above **$2,818** could signal further upside momentum.
- A rejection from this level might result in a pullback to **$2,790** support.
Overall, bullish sentiment remains strong unless price drops below **$2,790**.