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The US Dollar Index is Decreasing - Positive for Cryptocurrency#DXY #Analysis Description --------------------------------------------------------------- + The Dollar Index has breached its support level and is now trading below it, moving toward the next support zone around $100. + This development is positive for Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market, as the US Dollar Index typically declines during a bull run. + In the long term, I anticipate further declines, potentially reaching the $90 range. --------------------------------------------------------------- Enhance, Trade, Grow --------------------------------------------------------------- Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions. Best Regards, VectorAlgo
TVC:DXYShort
by VectorAlgo
SHORT ON EUR/USDEUR/USD has Reached a Major Resistance Area/Zone and is highly over brought. The Dollar (DXY) is inverted with the Eur/usd negatively. The dollar is highly oversold and should rise from its major Demand zone. This should cause the Euro to Fall from its resistance zone. Dollar has news at 8:30 for Unemployment claims. If the news is somehow good for the dollar and causes it to rise, the Euro will have the potential of reaching about 400 pips over the next few days. I will be selling EUR/USD to the demand level shown.
Short
by BBIDF
2
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 6, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pairing pressed the accelerator pedal and produced another strong session on Wednesday, rising a further 0.85% and marking a third consecutive session of solid gains. Despite warnings that the UK economy as a whole is weakening, markets rose following Wednesday's Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy hearing. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said inflation is expected to rise moderately despite weaker growth figures, prompting markets to adjust expectations of a rate cut before the end of 2025. Rates markets now expect less than 50bp of overall interest rate cuts before the end of the year. ADP's employment change for February showed just 77k new jobs, well below the forecast of 140k and March's 186k. Despite this, ADP results have not consistently correlated with Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) since the reporting change in 2022, so the low reading is of little significance. There is little of note on the UK side of the economic data list this week, so the key data for traders remains US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), which will be released this Friday. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.2900, SL 1.2820, TP 1.3050
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
XAU/USD Weekly Analysis XAU/USD Weekly Analysis with support and resistance levels tailored between $2,800 and $3,000: XAU/USD Weekly Analysis: March 3–7, 2025 🔹 Overview: Gold (XAU/USD) has entered a critical consolidation phase, trading between $2,800 and $3,000. The market remains sensitive to macroeconomic developments, including U.S. jobs data, Fed commentary, and geopolitical events. 🔹 Key Support Levels: Immediate Support: $2,835–$2,850: Critical support zone, aligned with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the recent rally. $2,800: Psychological support and a key structural level, reinforced by the 50-day SMA. Major Support (Downside Breach Scenario): $2,765–$2,780: Long-term trendline support from the 2024 lows. $2,735: Key swing low; a break below here could signal a deeper bearish trend. 🔹 Key Resistance Levels: Immediate Resistance: $2,900–$2,920: Key consolidation range high and near-term target for bullish momentum. $2,950: Previous week’s high and a critical barrier to further gains. Major Resistance (Upside Breakout Scenario): $2,975–$3,000: Psychological resistance and the upper bound of the bullish channel. $3,075: Fibonacci 127.2% extension and a potential breakout target. 🔹 Technical Scenario Breakdown: Bullish Case (Breakout): Trigger: Fed dovishness or USD weakness. Action: Break above $2,950 confirms bullish momentum. Targets: $2,975 (psychological level), then $3,075 (breakout extension). Bearish Case (Reversal): Trigger: Strong USD or risk-on sentiment. Action: Breakdown below $2,835 signals bearish shift. Targets: $2,800 (key support), then $2,765–$2,735 (trendline and swing low). Neutral/Range-Bound: Range: $2,835–$2,950. Action: Fade extremes (buy dips near $2,835, sell rallies near $2,950). 🔹 Price Action Drivers During the Week: U.S. Jobs Data (March 7): Weak NFP (<150k jobs) → USD sell-off → Gold rallies toward $2,950–$3,000. Strong NFP (>250k jobs) → USD strength → Gold tests $2,835–$2,800. Fed Commentary (March 5): Hawkish tone → Gold pressured below $2,835. Dovish tone → Rally toward $2,950+. Geopolitical Surprises: Escalations → Safe-haven surge → Gold breaches $2,975–$3,000. De-escalations → Profit-taking → Drop to $2,800. 🔹 Technical Tools to Monitor: RSI (14-day): Overbought above 70 indicates pullback risk; oversold below 30 signals potential rebound. MACD: Bullish crossover above the zero line strengthens upward bias. Volume: Confirm breakouts above $2,950 with rising volume. 📈 Summary: Support: $2,835–$2,850 (critical), $2,800 (structural), $2,765–$2,735 (trendline). Resistance: $2,900–$2,920 (immediate), $2,950 (key breakout), $2,975–$3,000 (psychological). Catalysts: U.S. data, Fed commentary, and geopolitical factors remain key drivers.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
3
USDJPY - Potential upside from here?USD/JPY is currently consolidating within a range after a sharp downtrend from the 159.00 level. The price has established support around 148.50-149.00, forming a clear pattern. We're now waiting for a decisive break above the current consolidation area, which would signal renewed bullish momentum. Once we see this breakout, expect a minor retracement to retest the broken resistance as new support – this will be our key buying opportunity. With the descending trendline already broken and the forecast indicating potential upside to the 154.00 area, traders should focus on buy positions following this retracement, with stops below the support zone.
Long
by financialflagship
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 3, 2025 GBPUSDThe US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar against a basket of currencies, started the new week on a weak note and has already cancelled out most of Friday's gains to more than a one-week high. The British Pound (GBP), on the other hand, continues to post relative gains amid expectations of a less aggressive easing policy from the Bank of England (BoE). That said, concerns over US President Donald Trump's retaliatory tariffs and their impact on the UK economy may keep GBP bulls away from new bets. In addition, geopolitical risks could limit deeper USD losses and limit GBP/USD gains. Meanwhile, signs that the disinflation process in the US has stalled, reinforcing the case for the Fed to take a wait-and-see approach to future interest rate cuts, could also serve as a tailwind for the USD. This could help to further contain GBP/USD and warrant some caution before positioning for a resumption of the recent uptrend from levels below 1.2100, or the yearly low reached on 13 January. The main focus will be on the closely watched monthly US employment data on Friday. The widely-reported Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) figure will shape expectations on the path of the Fed rate cut and drive demand for the dollar in the near term. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.2610, SL 1.2560, TP 1.2690
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 28, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD remains under selling pressure near 1.0390 during Asian trading on Friday. The euro (EUR) is weakening against the US dollar (USD) amid risk-off sentiment. The US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index will take centre stage later on Friday. Late Thursday, US President Donald Trump said that 25 per cent duties on imports from Canada and Mexico will take effect on March 4, rather than April 2 as he had anticipated the day before. Trump also said goods from China would be subject to an additional 10 per cent duties. He also promised this week to impose 25 per cent tariffs on shipments from the European Union. Tariff uncertainty from Trump is likely to weigh on the common currency in the near term. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said on Thursday she expects the US central bank's interest rate policy to be put on hold for now amid a search for evidence that inflationary pressures are easing and returning to the 2 per cent target. Meanwhile, Atlanta FRB President Raphael Bostic said late Wednesday that the Fed should keep interest rates on hold, which continues to put downward pressure on inflation. The Fed's cautious stance could boost the US Dollar and serve as a headwind for EUR/USD. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.0380, SL 1.0430, TP 1.0300
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
XAUUSD UPDATED VIDEO ANALYSIS XAU/USD Analysis for 21 February 2025 Here’s a detailed breakdown of the factors influencing Gold (XAU/USD) for tomorrow, based on technical and fundamental insights from recent market data and forecasts: 1. Technical Analysis & Key Levels Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance at 2,940–2,943 USD (record high observed on 19 February) A breakout above this zone could target 2,970 USD (next psychological barrier) or even 3,030 USD (Triangle pattern completion) Support Levels: Critical support at 2,887–2,906 USD. A drop below this range might trigger a deeper correction toward 2,850 USD Indicators: RSI (54.58): Neutral but leaning bullish. MACD & Williams %R: Buy signals Stochastic Oscillator: Overbought, suggesting short-term correction risks, though the broader uptrend remains intact 2. Fundamental Drivers Fed Minutes Impact: The release of the Federal Reserve’s January meeting minutes (scheduled for 19–20 February) is critical. A hawkish tone (e.g., delays in rate cuts) could strengthen the USD, pressuring Gold. Conversely, dovish hints may fuel bullish momentum Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing US-Russia negotiations over Ukraine and Trump’s renewed tariff threats (e.g., 25%+ tariffs on pharmaceuticals and semiconductors) may sustain safe-haven demand for Gold Dollar Dynamics: The inverse correlation between XAU/USD and the USD remains pivotal. A weaker dollar (due to risk-off sentiment or Fed easing expectations) could propel Gold higher 3. Price Action Scenarios Bullish Case: A sustained break above 2,943 USD confirms the Triangle pattern breakout, targeting 3,030 USD Continued safe-haven demand (geopolitical risks, tariffs) and dovish Fed signals may drive prices higher Bearish Risks: Failure to hold 2,900 USD support could trigger a correction toward 2,850 USD Hawkish Fed rhetoric or USD strength (e.g., strong economic data) may cap gains 4. Strategic Takeaways Entry Points: Long positions: Consider buying on dips near 2,900–2,877 USD with a stop loss below 2,850 USD Short-term traders: Target 2,970 USD if resistance at 2,943 USD breaks Risk Management: Monitor Fed Minutes and USD volatility. Adjust stop-loss levels dynamically based on news flow Conclusion Gold remains in a bullish trend, supported by geopolitical uncertainties and inflation hedging. However, tomorrow’s Fed Minutes will be pivotal in determining short-term momentum. A breakout above 2,943 USD opens the door to new highs, while a breakdown below 2,900 USD signals profit-taking or a deeper correction. Traders should align positions with technical levels and news-driven volatility. LIKE US BOOST US SHARE OUR IDEA COMMENT AND MOTIVATE
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
6