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Bitcoin below $96K – Miners trigger a sell-offThe price of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has dropped more than 3% in the past 24 hours, closing around $96,000 amid aggressive selling by miners. Over 2,000 BTC have been transferred to centralized exchanges since Bitcoin’s recovery to GETTEX:98K , intensifying downward pressure on the market. This price decline is driven by miners’ efforts to reduce their reserves in response to market instability. At the same time, Bitcoin mining difficulty has increased by 5.6%, signaling new challenges for the industry and adding pressure on the cryptocurrency’s value. Typically, asset transfers to centralized exchanges indicate a readiness to sell, whereas transfers to custodial wallets suggest long-term holding. Over the past two weeks, Bitcoin has repeatedly dropped below the $100K mark, influenced by uncertain U.S. trade policies and negative macroeconomic signals from the Labor Department report. A brief recovery failed to sustain bullish momentum, leading to large-scale sell-offs and further price declines, keeping altcoins under constant pressure. As a significant part of institutional Bitcoin demand, miners continue to shape market dynamics. However, over the past seven days, selling activity has slowed as investors anticipate a potential price rebound. FreshForex analysts forecast that BTCUSD retains the potential for recovery and even new all-time highs, while Standard Chartered suggests Bitcoin could reach $500K by 2028.
SAXO:BTCUSDLong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Silver Steady Amid US Tariffs, China Retaliation, and EU Trade WSilver trades around $31.8 per ounce on Wednesday, steady as safe-haven demand rises after Trump’s 25% tariff on steel and aluminum, with more expected. China’s retaliatory tariffs take effect today, while Germany warns of an immediate EU response to US tariffs. Silver is also supported by strong industrial demand, particularly in renewables, and ongoing supply shortages. Technically, the first resistance level will be 32.50 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 33.00 and 33.50. On the downside, 31.40 will be the first support level. 30.90 and 30.20 are the next levels to observe if the first support level is breached.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Gold Falls from $2,940 Peak Amid Fed’s Hawkish StanceGold fell below $2,900 per ounce on Wednesday, extending losses after hitting a record $2,940. The drop followed Fed signals that rate cuts aren’t imminent, shifting focus to US inflation data. While inflation hedging supports gold, the Fed’s stance limits its appeal. Safe-haven demand remains strong amid Trump’s tariffs, trade war fears, and geopolitical tensions, with Israel threatening to end the Gaza ceasefire. Dovish central banks and rising gold purchases also provide support, while India’s gold leasing rates hit record highs. Technically, the first resistance level will be 2949 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 2975 and 3000. On the downside, 2885 will be the first support level. 2830 and 2760 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
TVC:GOLD
by ChartMage
GBP/USD Rises as Traders Scale Back Aggressive BoE Easing BetsThe British pound rose to $1.2440, rebounding from a three-week low as traders adjusted rate cut expectations after BoE policymaker Catherine Mann’s comments. Although she voted for a 50bps cut, she clarified it wasn’t a signal for aggressive easing but aimed to improve market communication. She emphasized the need to maintain monetary restrictions due to structural challenges in returning inflation to 2%, leading traders to lower 2025 rate cut expectations to 62bps. Focus now shifts to upcoming GDP estimates, Q4 figures, and December’s industrial and manufacturing output. The first resistance level for the pair will be 1.2500. In the event of this level's breach, the next levels to watch would be 1.2600 and 1.2650. On the downside 1.2340 will be the first support level. 1.2265 and 1.2100 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
by ChartMage
EUR/USD Steady as Markets Await Key US Inflation ReportEUR/USD trades near 1.0450, with the dollar index steady at 108 on Wednesday, as markets await a key inflation report. January CPI is expected to show core inflation rising to 0.3% from 0.2% MoM, while annual inflation may ease to 3.1% from 3.2%. Fed Chair Powell told Congress the Fed isn’t rushing to cut rates, citing economic strength and inflation risks. He warned that premature easing could stall inflation progress, while delays could harm growth. Markets also assess the impact of Trump’s latest tariff hike. From a technical perspective, the first resistance level is at 1.0400, with further resistance levels at 1.0460 and 1.0515 if the price breaks above. On the downside, the initial support is at 1.0275, followed by additional support levels at 1.0220 and 1.0180.
by ChartMage
Yen Falls Below 153 as BOJ Offers Little Policy ClarityThe yen fell below 153 per dollar on Wednesday, hitting a one-week low after BOJ Governor Ueda gave little clarity on rate policy. He reiterated the BOJ's commitment to a 2% inflation target, despite board member Tamura suggesting rates may rise to 1% in late 2025. The yen also weakened as Trump’s escalating tariffs raised inflation concerns, limiting the Fed’s ability to cut rates. The key resistance level appears to be 153.85, with a break above it potentially targeting 154.90 and 156.00. On the downside, 151.90 is the first major support, followed by 151.25 and 149.20 if the price moves lower. 
by ChartMage
"Gold Bullish Continuation XAUUSD is expected to reach 3000 soonThis chart shows a strong bullish momentum in gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour time frame, with a clear breakout above a recent high. The price action is following a rounded trend, indicating a continuation of the bull run. A key support zone (spot area) has been tested, and the price is pushing higher. The 1st target is around 2,935, the 2nd target at 2,970, and the final target at 3,000. If gold holds above the spot area and continues respecting the trendline, it could move towards these targets. However, a breakdown below the spot area might lead to a pullback before further upside.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
2
xausd key areas to watch with detailed analysisHere's an analysis of XAU/USD at 2,861 as of February 10, 2025, incorporating technical and fundamental insights from the search results: Current Context Gold (XAU/USD) is trading near 2,861, a critical juncture given recent market dynamics. This level aligns with forecasts and technical patterns discussed in the search results, offering insights into potential bullish or bearish scenarios. Key Technical Levels Immediate Support: 2,861: Coincides with the lower bound of February 2025’s forecasted range (2,861.25–2,991.30). A hold here could signal bullish resilience. 2,746–2,695: Deeper support zones if a correction occurs, based on Fibonacci retracement levels and trendline analysis . Resistance Levels: 2,868–2,900: The next psychological and technical hurdles, with 2,868.56 (R2) noted as a swing high target . 2,991–3,000: Upper bound of February’s projected range and a key breakout target . Long-Term Trend: Gold remains in an ascending channel (up ~27% since 2024), supported by geopolitical uncertainty and central bank demand . The 100 SMA is above the 200 SMA on the 4-hour chart, indicating underlying bullish momentum . Bullish Scenario Triggers: Fed Policy & Inflation: Continued dovish signals from the Fed (e.g., rate cuts) and persistent inflation could drive gold higher . Geopolitical Risks: Escalating tensions (e.g., Middle East conflicts, U.S.-China trade policies) may boost safe-haven demand . ETF Inflows: Positive gold ETF flows, as seen in late 2024, could reignite upward momentum 3. Technical Outlook: A bounce from 2,861 could target 2,900–2,991, aligning with February’s forecast . A break above 2,991 opens the path to 3,000+, with institutions like JPMorgan forecasting $3,150 by year-end . Bearish Risks Triggers: USD Strength: A stronger dollar (e.g., from robust U.S. data or hawkish Fed rhetoric) may pressure gold . Profit-Taking: Overbought signals (RSI at 57) and resistance at 2,868 could trigger short-term pullbacks . Reduced Safe-Haven Demand: Easing geopolitical tensions or risk-on sentiment might reduce gold’s appeal . Technical Outlook: A breakdown below 2,861 could test 2,746–2,695 (Fibonacci and trendline support) . Sustained selling might invalidate the uptrend, risking a drop toward 2,625 (critical 100-day SMA). Macro Drivers to Watch U.S. Economic Data: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), CPI, and Fed rate decisions will influence USD and gold . Geopolitical Events: Developments in Ukraine, Middle East, and U.S. trade policies under Trump . Central Bank Activity: Continued gold purchases by central banks (e.g., China, India) may stabilize prices Short-Term Forecast Base Case: Consolidation near 2,861–2,900 as markets digest recent gains and await catalysts. Upside Bias: Favored if gold holds above 2,861, targeting 2,991–3,000 . Downside Risk: A close below 2,861 could trigger profit-taking toward 2,746 Conclusion At 2,861, XAU/USD is at a pivotal level. While the broader trend remains bullish (supported by inflation, geopolitics, and central bank demand), short-term volatility from USD fluctuations and technical resistance could dominate. Traders should monitor 2,861 as a key support and watch for breaks above 2,900 or below 2,746 to confirm directional bias. support and resistance for short term: Resistance: 2872 2885 2894 2900 2911 2920 these resistance points can be used as bullish targets Support: 2855 2851 2841 2833 2830 2819 2800 2782 these support points can act as bearish targets LIKE BOOST AND SHARE US SUPPORT US
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
6
"Gold (XAU/USD) Breakout and Retest: Bullish Continuation or RevThe chart shows a strong bullish momentum in gold (XAU/USD) with a rounded retest pattern. Price recently broke a key resistance and is now testing it as support. There is an indication of a potential sell from the current high, but a successful retest of the breakout zone could confirm further bullish continuation. The buy target is set around 2,931, while the sell target is near 2,882. If the price holds above the breakout zone, buying pressure is expected to continue. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
DXY (Dollar index) short from 108.800My DXY analysis aligns with the expectation of a bearish move, which suggests that my pairs—EU and GU—could push higher. However, before that, we may see a minor pullback as price moves toward a demand zone. Price has recently broken structure to the upside, leaving behind a fresh demand level. Once price reaches this area, I anticipate accumulation before a potential move upward. I will look for opportunities to capitalize on this movement across the pairs I trade, such as Gold, EU, and GU. The price action has been very clean so far, which is promising, and we can expect more of the same as we move further into Q1. Have a great week ahead and remain vigilant!
TVC:DXYShort
by Hassan_fx
1
XAUUSD analysis for the weekLet’s craft a forward-looking analysis for XAU/USD (gold) based on plausible macroeconomic narratives, historical patterns, and potential catalysts. Keep in mind this is a speculative exercise—actual outcomes depend on unpredictable events. Key Factors Shaping XAU/USD 1. Federal Reserve Policy Bullish for Gold: Lower real interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold. Risk: If the Fed pauses or signals a "higher for longer" stance due to sticky inflation, gold could face headwinds. 2. U.S. Dollar Dynamics A weaker USD (due to rate cuts or fiscal concerns, e.g., U.S. debt sustainability debates) would amplify gold’s appeal. A stronger USD (safe-haven demand during a global recession or Fed policy reversal) could pressure gold. 3. Global Recession Risks If major economies (EU, China) slide into recession, gold may rally as a safe haven, even if the USD strengthens temporarily. 4. Geopolitical Landscape U.S. Election Aftermath: Policy uncertainty post-2024 election (taxes, tariffs, fiscal spending) could drive volatility. New Conflicts: Escalation in Taiwan, Middle East, or Russia-NATO tensions would boost gold demand. 5. Central Bank Demand Continued diversification away from USD reserves (e.g., BRICS+ nations) may sustain structural gold buying. 6. Inflation Trends A resurgence of inflation (e.g., energy shocks, supply chain disruptions) would reignite gold’s role as an inflation hedge. Scenario 1: Bullish Rally (2900–3000) Catalysts: Fed cuts rates aggressively (150+ bps total) amid a U.S. growth slowdown. China’s property crisis spirals, triggering global risk-off sentiment. Middle East conflict disrupts oil flows, spiking inflation. Technical Outlook: A breakout above $3,000 (psychological barrier) could trigger algorithmic buying and FOMO momentum. Scenario 2: Bearish Correction (2800-2600) Catalysts: Fed halts cuts due to stubborn inflation (CPI rebounds to 3.5%+). USD surges as EU/Japan face deeper recessions. Central banks slow gold purchases, ETFs see outflows. Technical Outlook: A drop below $2,800 (hypothetical 2024 support) could trigger stop-loss cascades. Scenario 3: Sideways Churn (2750-2900) Catalysts: Markets digest conflicting data (mixed growth, moderate inflation). Geopolitical “cold wars” (U.S.-China tech/trade) persist without escalation. Technical Outlook: Range-bound action as bulls and bears await clarity. Strategic Takeaways Prepare for Volatility: Gold will react sharply to Fed policy shifts and geopolitical “surprises.” Watch the USD: A sustained DXY breakdown below 106 could turbocharge gold’s rally. Risk Management: Use options or trailing stops—gold’s moves could be exaggerated in thin liquidity. Final Note By February 2025, gold’s path will depend on how 2024’s unresolved macro risks (debt, inflation, elections) unfold. While the long-term bullish case for gold remains intact (debasement hedging, de-dollarization), short-term swings will hinge on Fed credibility. PLEASE BOOST US FOLLOW US AND SHARE OUR ANALYSIS
OANDA:XAUUSD
by realmillionairefx
USDZAR sailing in turbulent Trump tidesLast week has been a rollercoaster for the ZAR after gaping up and touching a high of 19.00 in the early hours of Monday morning following the news of Trumps executive order. The rand however regained its footing as the news got digested which allowed the rand to pull the pair below the 50-day MA currently at 18.45. It seems as if an ABC corrective wave has taken place which is indicative of another 5-wave impulse higher for the pair. The 50-day MA at 18.45 and the current yearly low of 18.30 serve as the critical levels to watch on the pair. A failed break below 18.30 will create a double bottom at this level which will leave the rand stranded ready to be pulled higher towards 19.22. A break below 18.30 will however allow the rand to pull the pair out of the current upward channel and test the 200-day support at 18.12. This move will invalidate my current idea on the pair. The main event to watch for the week is the US CPI print for January, which is expected to remain unchanged at 2.9%, just like it did back for the December print. US inflation has been ticking higher since October last year, almost right after the Fed started their cutting cycle and anything other than an inline or lower than expected CPI print will have the USDZAR packing and making its way above 19.00 since it will indicate that the Fed will stay higher for longer.
Long
by Goose96
US CPI week for the DXY It has been a topsy turvy week for the dollar after the week opened with news of 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada from the US as well as a 10% import duty on Chinese goods. The DXY spiked to a high of 109.9 before closing the week marginally lower at 108.1. The weaker than expected US NFP print however and surprisingly provided support for the DXY. This week’s price action is indicative that the ABC corrective wave has run its course and that another leg higher towards 112 is on the cards for the DXY. The critical support range is the blue range between 107.2 and 107.5. As long as the DXY remains above this range and maintain levels above the 50-day MA at 107.8 there is nothing stopping the DXY from moving higher as the dollar milkshake theory continues to suck the DXY higher. A break below 107.2 will however invalidate the idea and allow the DXY to drop onto the 200-day MA level of 104.8. It is CPI week for the DXY and a stronger than expected CPI print will allow the DXY to regain its momentum and commence the start of another leg higher for the index. The US CPI print for January, which is expected to remain unchanged at 2.9%, just like it did back for the December print. Inflation has been ticking higher since October last year, almost right after the Fed started their cutting cycle and anything other than an inline or lower than expected CPI print will have the DXY packing and making its way to 110 and 112 thereafter since it will indicate that the Fed will stay higher for longer.
TVC:DXYLong
by Goose96
3