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DXY D1 - Short Signal DXY D1 Some large market gaps seen across US30 and US100, XAUUSD also gapping to the downside, trading as low as $2725/oz. DXY still remains below our area of resistance and supply, which trades at around 104.500 price. 105.000 would usually be a good technical psychological trading zone, that being said, there isn't much else on that price that would act as any real method of confluence for the moment. Lets see what happens around this 104.500 price level, we have had a couple of days trading into that zone and a red engulfing candle close on that daily timeframe back on Thursday last week. Could we expect some dumps on DXY this week?
TVC:DXYShort
by Trade_Simple_FX
😱 COLLAPSE OF THE DOLLAR 2022 - 2045 - END OF EMPIREHello ladies and gentlemen! I bring to your attention my very global view of the US dollar solely from the point of view of technical analysis, namely the Elliot wave theory. The graph shows the projection of the missing waves in the impulse of the supercycle - I-II-III-IV-V, the impulse is fully completed and ended back in 1985. In my opinion, from the point of view of technical analysis and the Elliot wave theory itself, a zigzag has been forming globally on the US dollar index in the corrective phase since 1985, with a triangle in wave-(b). The ultimate goal of this zigzag is a collapse of the dollar index by minus -80% from ATH. Ultimately, the Fed will lose in the fight against inflation, after the triangle is fully formed, a descending impulse five will begin in wave-(c) of the zigzag, I believe around 2030 plus or minus the triangle will be broken down, this will be a distress signal and confirmation I'm right, from now on, save your savings, because after the dollar index finds a bottom in the region of 20-30 points, for 100 dollars you can only buy a roll of toilet paper. BRENT oil will be $300-400 per barrel, and gold $5,000-6,000 a troy ounce, and that's even better. Naturally, after this collapse, the dollar will lose its status as the world's main reserve currency, the economy will stagnate amid hyperinflation, it will be many times worse than the Great Depression, and the markets will remember this apocalypse for a long time. After the collapse of the US dollar, a new world order will be established, there will be a new leader and a new major world reserve currency. I believe this will end the approximately 250 year dollar cycle and the US Dollar Index will never again update its ATH. ❌ This trade idea should be reconsidered if DXY exceeds the 121 level, which is unlikely in my opinion. In this case, it will definitely not be a triangle. This is my purely personal author's opinion, whether you share it with me or not is your own business, always think with your own head - I wish you good luck!
INDEX:DXY
by AnonymousTraderAcademy
2
Is EUR/USD oversold? Time to Buy?Is EUR/USD oversold? Time to Buy? EUR/USD has been experiencing a robust downtrend on the 30-minute chart since 30 September. This bearish movement was triggered after the pair encountered a significant resistance area, forming a double top configuration on the daily chart. From a 30-minute perspective, EUR/USD has remained on the same side of the 200-period moving average for 710 candles, indicating that the pair may be in an oversold condition and that the downtrend could be maturing. Statistically, most directional movements typically accumulate between 300 and 400 candles on one side of the 200-period moving average. Shift from Seller to Buyer Interest: Since the inception of the downtrend, this marks the first instance where EUR/USD has made an upward move that corresponds to the preceding downward move. This development signals a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish and could also be interpreted as a bullish engulfing pattern. Currently, EUR/USD is situated in the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level on the 30-minute chart, which may serve as a support zone. Key Levels to Monitor: The main areas of interest for today are 1.0830 and 1.0850, which have the potential to support the price action. A buying opportunity could materialise if EUR/USD manages to break above 1.0855. Should this occur, it may lead to an upward movement towards the 1.0945 area later this week. Conversely, an alternative scenario may unfold if EUR/USD breaks below 1.0820, which could prompt a decline towards the 1.0775 region within the week. Treading Carefully Amidst Potential Changes In summary, while EUR/USD is currently entrenched in a downtrend, emerging indicators and patterns suggest the possibility of a trend reversal. Traders should remain vigilant around the critical levels mentioned, as these will be pivotal in determining the pair's next movements. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Long
by Marketscom
GBPUSD H8 - Long Signal 1.30 HANDLE GBPUSD H8 We broke slightly south of our 1.30 handle and psychological price late last week, that being said, it was fairly minor, merely just 30 points. We have now adjusted our entry price and SL positioning in the case this setup wants to attempt to break higher. We have an attractive area of support and demand, mixed with the previously mentioned confluences. Not a great deal of data out today, so maybe it’s worth monitoring these trading zones and prices and waiting until the volume really starts to drive in. DXY approaching that 104.000 number, this is where we would expect rejections and therefore GBPUSD to climb higher, but in the interim, this may lead GPBUSD to trade south of 1.30 again in the short term. Let’s see what unfolds, but this is certainly on the watchlist this week.
Long
by Trade_Simple_FX
DXY D1 - Short Signal DXY D1 Cleaning up our dollar index chart here, we have previously been following the price level of 103.000, then 103.300 and now we are looking at this 104.000 whole number. This would be an area of resistance we would yet again expect a rejection. Of course, we have exploded through both previous zones, after some consolidation. Without trying to catch a falling knife, so to speak… There certainly should be a correction due on the dollar index in the near future. The bullish D1 candle run has been insane, I’d like to see a correction to around 102.000 after testing 104.000 territory. Barriers in the interim sit at 103.300 support and 103.000 support respectively, simple resistance to support and support to resistance as we break and move beyond certain trading zones.
TVC:DXYShort
by Trade_Simple_FX
GBPJPY H4 - Short Signal GBPJPY H4 We have made a slight adjustment to our trading zone here on GBPJPY. Moving the zone from 195 psychological price, up 60 points to around 195.600. Slight adjustments to accommodate for the recent high press attempts. Supply and resistance no doubt evident on this 195.600 price, stops now covering recent wick high prices of 196.100, with a breathing space of 5-10 points. We are ranging really nicely here, whilst stops may seem quite large, this is a fast moving pair, and the profit target it also large. This pair has been moving 100’s of points in very quick succession over the past few weeks. The range measures a healthy 200-250 points until support price/TP target.
Short
by Trade_Simple_FX
Dollar index LongYesterday everything was unexpected to some extent we will expecting gold to be bearish to its new previous all time high but the asain session rocked and Gold has gained new highs Now taking turn towards Dollar index we are expecting a Bullish move in DXY to its global resistance price can Retest its previous Resistance became Support confluence is geopolitics and 50SMA and Resistance under american elections are also the big reason so we are bullish over dollar index and other co-relations will be bearish
TVC:DXYLong
by Wakeel_Saab
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 17, 2024 USDJPYThe USD/JPY pair is down to 149.400 despite the US Dollar (USD) strengthening during Asian trading on Thursday. Later on Thursday, US retail sales data will come to the fore, which is estimated to rise to 0.3% in September from 0.1% in the previous reading. The US economic data showed a resilient economy, with inflation rising slightly more than expected in September. This, in turn, could boost the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen (JPY). LSEG calculations put the probability of a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut in November at nearly 100%, while the probability of the Fed pausing and keeping the federal funds rate in the target range of 4.75-5.0% is just 0.2%. Nevertheless, ongoing geopolitical risks and uncertainty surrounding the U.S. election could strengthen safe-haven flows, which would favor the yen. A plan for Israel's response to an Iranian attack this month is ready, CNN reported. U.S. officials expect it to happen before the U.S. presidential election. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said separately that Israel opposes a “unilateral ceasefire” in the war with Iran-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon. On Friday, investors await national consumer price index (CPI) data for September for a fresh boost. The CPI excluding fresh food is expected to fall to 2.3% in September from 2.8% in August. Trade recommendation: Watching the level of 150.000, when fixing above consider Buy positions, when rebounding consider Sell positions.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURUSD📌 Trading Instrument: EUR/USD 🔶 Bullish Breakout with Strong Potential 🔶 📝 Market Overview: After 16 days of consolidation, EUR/USD has finally broken out of the diagonal resistance, suggesting a bullish move ahead. I took a position just before the breakout, assessing the potential reward as extremely favorable compared to the risk. The trade has a remarkable Risk-Reward Ratio of 17.5:1, making it highly attractive even with a low initial risk. The breakout is supported by triple bullish divergences, signaling a strong potential for upward momentum. Moreover, the market is currently trading near the 0.61 Fibonacci retracement level, a critical point often signaling reversals. Additionally, we have a solid support zone just below, which has held firm for 750 days. The absence of any significant breakdown from this level strengthens the bullish case. If this support holds, it will continue to fuel the upward momentum. However, any breakdown here could signal a notable trend reversal, so I'm closely monitoring the price action. Given these technical signals, I opted for a day trade with the potential to extend it through the week, depending on price movement and relevant news flow. 🎯 Trade Details: Stop Loss (SL): Today’s low Take Profit (TP): 1.09528 This trade leverages several technical signals: Bullish divergence across multiple timeframes. Holding near the 0.61 Fibonacci retracement level. The strong support that has not broken for 750 days. The lack of a breakdown further solidifies the bullish outlook, and if the breakout gains momentum, this could be a highly profitable setup. 🚨 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly. Markets are highly volatile, and you should only invest money you are prepared to lose.
by RhinoAkaBear