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The Dollar Index has reversed upward.Hey everyone! Looks like a solid entry for a DXY long and a good time to start ditching EUR and Gold (yes, I do think gold is heading down). On the daily chart, we can see that we've completed five waves down and are now forming a reversal. EUR/USD and GOLD/USD have already started reacting, Index Dollar (DXY) hitting the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Now the climb begins, with the first target around 125 for the Dollar Index. The potential peak? 144, though we’ll likely see corrections along the way. Buckle up—volatile times ahead... 🧐🧐🧐
TVC:DXYLong
by SergioRichi
1
DXY in 1 H timeframeDXY Analysis on RTM Style Here’s an analysis of the **U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the 1H timeframe** based on the **RTM (Read The Market) style** and your drawn arrows: Previous Trend & Break of Structure (BoS)** - The market has been in a strong downtrend, forming **Lower Lows (LL) and Lower Highs (LH)**. - After breaking the **105.485 level (0.5 Fibonacci retracement)**, the bearish momentum continued down to the **103.5 support zone**. Liquidity Zones & Potential Reversal** - The price is currently consolidating around **103.5**, indicating a possible reaction from buyers. - A **Higher High (HH)** is marked, suggesting a potential shift in market structure. Possible Scenario Based on the Arrows** - A short-term **accumulation phase** is expected between **103.5 - 104**. - If the price breaks above **103.998**, bullish momentum may drive it toward the **105.5 - 106.7 zone (Fibonacci 0.5 & 0.786 retracement levels)**. - If this resistance is broken, the final target could be **107.27**, a strong resistance level. - The market is at a **key support level** and may form a bullish structure. - Confirmation of a **Higher High** and a break above **103.998** could trigger an upward move. - **Re-Accumulation** is expected before a strong bullish continuation. - **Bearish Alternative**: If the **103.5 support** fails, the price may drop further to **102.1**. This analysis is suitable for publishing, but I recommend adding an alternative scenario in case the support fails, giving a more well-rounded outlook.
TVC:DXYLong
by mehdi_kb
Fed Expectations Increase Silver PricesSilver surged to nearly $33 as the US Dollar fell sharply, with the DXY dropping to 103.35, its lowest in four months. Concerns over Trump’s tariff policies and their impact on the US economy fueled the dollar’s decline, supporting demand for silver. Investors now await US CPI data for February, which could influence Fed rate expectations. A slower inflation rate may increase the likelihood of a May rate cut, with odds rising to 51% from 37% in a day, further supporting Silver’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. If silver breaks above $32.75, the next resistance levels are $33.15 and $33.80. On the downside, support is at $31.00, with further levels at $30.20 and $29.75 if selling pressure increases.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
Recession Fears Support Gold's StabilityGold held steady above $2,910 per ounce, maintaining a 1% gain. Investor sentiment shifted after Trump reversed his plan to double tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum, just hours after the announcement. Ontario Premier Doug Ford also paused a 25% surcharge on US electricity exports. Trade uncertainties and US recession fears continued to support gold, though geopolitical tensions eased as the US restored military aid to Ukraine following a 30-day ceasefire agreement with Russia. Markets now focus on upcoming US CPI data for clues on the Fed’s rate outlook. Key resistance stands at $2,923, with further levels at $2,955 and $3,000. Support is at $2,860, followed by $2,830 and $2,790.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by ChartMage
Eurozone Spending Plans Boost EuroThe euro surged past $1.09, its highest in four months, gaining 5% since early March. This rally was driven by Eurozone plans to expand deficit spending, stimulating growth prospects. Germany pushed for a €500 billion infrastructure fund, while France and Italy supported joint EU funding for economic and military initiatives. The ECB signaled a shift toward a less restrictive policy after last week’s rate cut, suggesting the easing cycle may be nearing its end. Meanwhile, US economic concerns pressured the dollar, further lifting the euro. Key resistance is at 1.0950, followed by 1.1000 and 1.1050. Support stands at 1.0800, with further levels at 1.0730 and 1.0650.
by ChartMage
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 12, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) continued to lose ground against its US counterpart for the second day in a row and moved away from the highest level since October, reached the previous day. Fears that US President Donald Trump may impose new tariffs against Japan have proved to be key factors undermining the safe-haven yen. Nevertheless, a significant Yen depreciation still seems unlikely amid hawkish expectations from the Bank of Japan (BoJ). Data released today showed that Japan's annual wholesale inflation, the Producer Price Index (PPI), rose by 4.0% in February, indicating that inflationary pressures are intensifying. In addition, hopes that the sharp wage increases seen last year will continue into this year support the market's growing confidence that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates further. This, should serve as a tailwind for the low-yielding yen and help limit losses. In addition, lingering concerns over the possible economic consequences of Trump's trade policies and a global trade war should support the JPY. The US Dollar (USD), on the other hand, is near multi-month lows amid expectations that a tariff-induced slowdown in the US economy will force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut borrowing costs several times this year. This should help limit the USD/JPY pair's rise. Trade recommendation: SELL 148.35, SL 148.95, TP 147.35
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EurUsd ShortEUR/USD Short Idea The EUR/USD pair is approaching the 1.09700--1.09940--1.10204 resistance level, which aligns with a significant supply zone and a potential area for bearish reversal. Key Analysis: Resistance Zone: The 1.09700--1.09940--1.10204 levels marks a critical resistance where selling pressure has previously emerged. Technical Indicators: RSI is approaching overbought conditions, indicating limited upside potential. Bearish divergence may form if momentum weakens near this level. Fundamental Context: A stronger USD due to hawkish Fed sentiment or economic data could pressure EUR/USD downward. Eurozone economic uncertainties may add to bearish bias. Entry: Short positions around 1.09700--1.09940--1.10204 This setup offers a favorable risk-reward opportunity in a high-probability reversal zone.
Short
by realtrademaster
Trade Uncertainty and Fed Stance Keep Silver Prices ElevatedSilver held at $32.50 per ounce after a 4.4% weekly gain, as trade tensions and U.S. inflation data kept investors cautious. Uncertainty grew after Trump warned of new tariffs on Canadian dairy and lumber, following a U.S. delay on 25% tariffs for Canadian and Mexican goods. Canada upheld retaliatory measures, while China’s tariffs on U.S. agriculture took effect. Concerns deepened after Trump avoided recession and inflation questions in a Fox News interview. Fed Chair Powell signaled no rush for rate cuts despite rising economic risks. If silver breaks above $32.75, the next resistance levels are $33.15 and $33.80. On the downside, support is at $31.00, with further levels at $30.20 and $29.75 if selling pressure increases.
FOREXCOM:XAGUSD
by ChartMage
UK Budget Forecasts and GDP Data Set to Shape Pound’s Next MoveThe pound hovered around $1.29, staying near a four-month high as dollar weakness persisted amid U.S. economic concerns and tariff risks. Sterling remained supported by expectations that UK interest rates will stay high, with traders adjusting BoE rate cut forecasts to 52 bps for 2025. Investors now await January GDP data for economic insights, while the UK’s budget watchdog will release updated economic and borrowing forecasts on March 26, potentially influencing market sentiment. If GBP/USD breaks above 1.2920, the next resistance levels are 1.2980 and 1.3050. On the downside, support stands at 1.2860, with further levels at 1.2760 and 1.2660 if selling pressure increases.
by ChartMage
Omnichart presents - NIFTY/(USDINR) long term trend Nifty's performance when compared to US dollar (vs its base currency i.e. Indian Rupee) broke above a long term since 2007 resistance through Dec 2020. As you can see it broke above the blue line in Dec 2020 and has been outperforming the dollar - to -rupee. What this means is that investing US dollars to buy Nifty started becoming more profitable in Dec 2020 vs just keeping the wealth in US Dollars (not converting to INR). This is in a long term uptrend - what this means is that investing US dollars in NIFTY long term is a profitable strategy.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by omnitrade
The US Dollar Index is Decreasing - Positive for Cryptocurrency#DXY #Analysis Description --------------------------------------------------------------- + The Dollar Index has breached its support level and is now trading below it, moving toward the next support zone around $100. + This development is positive for Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market, as the US Dollar Index typically declines during a bull run. + In the long term, I anticipate further declines, potentially reaching the $90 range. --------------------------------------------------------------- Enhance, Trade, Grow --------------------------------------------------------------- Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions. Best Regards, VectorAlgo
TVC:DXYShort
by VectorAlgo
SHORT ON EUR/USDEUR/USD has Reached a Major Resistance Area/Zone and is highly over brought. The Dollar (DXY) is inverted with the Eur/usd negatively. The dollar is highly oversold and should rise from its major Demand zone. This should cause the Euro to Fall from its resistance zone. Dollar has news at 8:30 for Unemployment claims. If the news is somehow good for the dollar and causes it to rise, the Euro will have the potential of reaching about 400 pips over the next few days. I will be selling EUR/USD to the demand level shown.
Short
by BBIDF
2
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 6, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pairing pressed the accelerator pedal and produced another strong session on Wednesday, rising a further 0.85% and marking a third consecutive session of solid gains. Despite warnings that the UK economy as a whole is weakening, markets rose following Wednesday's Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy hearing. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said inflation is expected to rise moderately despite weaker growth figures, prompting markets to adjust expectations of a rate cut before the end of 2025. Rates markets now expect less than 50bp of overall interest rate cuts before the end of the year. ADP's employment change for February showed just 77k new jobs, well below the forecast of 140k and March's 186k. Despite this, ADP results have not consistently correlated with Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) since the reporting change in 2022, so the low reading is of little significance. There is little of note on the UK side of the economic data list this week, so the key data for traders remains US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), which will be released this Friday. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.2900, SL 1.2820, TP 1.3050
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004