Dollar_index
DXY Supercycle analysis. Are YOU hedging vs.declining dollar? Dollar rebounded off 89.56ish and rallied hard today.
If it breaks below 89 we will see a plummet to the mid to low 88, I believe.
I think 2018 is a good benchmark for current DXY behavior, and what to look for in the oncoming weeks.
But what's concerning, in regards to the dollar's current trend, is the length/duration of 2018 decline is shorter than current downtrend, before price recovered.
As you can see in the DXY chart provided, length/duration of current dollar downtrend has superseded 2018's by 30 days...And counting.
If you haven't adjusted your portfolio with an inflation hedge by now, here's some compelling evidence that you may want to.
Good luck m8s and may the odds forever be in your favor.
P.S. First post, so constructive criticism is welcome.
Please and thank you.
DXY begins its next dump to lower lows.DXY
~93.50 has been broken on the downside. The two key remaining support levels to watch are 92.75 and 92.50. If these are both taken out, then lower lows below 91.75 are highly probable. If they hold, higher highs above 94.80 are still ahead. This is important for precious metals and miners, as they have been highly correlated on an inverse basis to this point. If the DXY falls, metals rise, and vice-versa.
Ideally, we are setting up for a negatively divergent higher high before DXY begins its next dump to lower lows.
Deflationary assets go up, inflationary assets go down. Its not rocket science, its pure math.
History doesnt repeat exactly in the same way, except with fiat, with fiat always ends in the same way, doesnt matter how powerful the empire is.
You can't print +25% of shares in a year and expect the value going up in an asset with +100 years of history.
When US dollars were based in a scarce asset like gold the math worked, but after 1971, MBS, CDOs, and other financial products, the value was condemned.
The only way to save the dollar is to peg it again to a new real asset based in deflationary supply, fixed distribution and assured scarcity.
It doesnt matter if you like it or not, the best solution is peg the dollar to Bitcoin.
DXY - Our updated BIG CHARTThe most important asset, the world's exchange currency, the United States dollar.
Our previous chart and calculated support has been working perfectly
It is now highly probable that in the next few days we can experience the dolalr rising against other major currencies. Especially against eur, jpy and gbp
Our small chart will follow to make things clearer for you all
ps. Major support levels mean major opportunity for getting on a new trend early. The next few days can start being great trading opportunities, stick around.
The Bullish and Bearish Arguments for DXYThe bullish and bearish trendlines as we currently stand. Bulls will tell you that we have broken the white resistance and are going sideways before a move up, citing higher lows since (90.0). Bears will tell you we are continually being rejected off the blue line, and are still in a strong downtrend on higher time-frames.
PERSONALLY I tend to agree with the bears in this case. Money printing and government stimulus are driving the economy in the current climate and i feel DXY will range for a bit, and then drop below (90.0) with a 4-5% drop. I say this because on high time frames, previous dips have lasted for over 32 days and drop at least 4.2% each time (planning on publishing a chart on this soon so look to my profile for more info)
If you enjoy my amateur insight and have anything to add please like and/or comment. Best of luck
DXY : Is in a demand zone? Hello to all,
DXY came to a demand zone i think.
Thus we could wait a bullish impulse from this zone. The price is moving between 78.6 and 88.6 of fibonacci levels.
May be it want to test the 88.6 level at least but in every situation i'm waiting the bullish move to 92.50.
At the same time i see a bullish divergence on RSI. Price is making lower low bottoms but the oscillator is not.
After any candle close above the 90.80 the bullish move will be faster. We could follow this breakout with lower timeframes next week.
Have a good weekend all. If you find this analysis useful, please support this idea with LIKE and writing a COMMENT.
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐The MOST IMPORTANT CHART of the year ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐1. Dollar is looking for direction (will it bounce off this level or will it drop/ and how much?)
2. NFP tomorrow is HUGE data coming out and will push Dollar over or off the current level (price is now on a crucial support level )
3. Next inflation data (Dec 10) and trade balances will be crucial data
4. Dollar price will affect most of your trades:
- metals (negative correlation- especially Gold , Silver , Copper )
- indices (positive coefficients, which means that as the value of the U.S. dollar increases, so do the stock indexes )
- stocks (which shares to choose / which to sell / how to diversify and hedge - 40% of shares follow the dollar)
- Bitcoin (the new safe haven to many may increase dramatically if the dollar crashes)
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐The MOST IMPORTANT CHART of the year ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐1. Dollar is looking for direction (will it bounce off this level or will it drop/ and how much?)
2. NFP tomorrow is HUGE data coming out and will push Dollar over or off the current level (price is now on a crucial support level )
3. Next inflation data (Dec 10) and trade balances will be crucial data
4. Dollar price will affect most of your trades:
- metals (negative correlation- especially Gold , Silver , Copper )
- indices (positive coefficients, which means that as the value of the U.S. dollar increases, so do the stock indexes )
- stocks (which shares to choose / which to sell / how to diversify and hedge - 40% of shares follow the dollar)
- Bitcoin (the new safe haven to many may increase dramatically if the dollar crashes)
DXY False Break or begin of a new Down trendMarket is at the bottom of a Bullish channel and is forming a bearish dark cloud cover on the weekly
Prior the market formed a bearish double top but failed to hold. Market found a strong level of support
at the top of the double top. I see the market forming a Bullish head and shoulders with the right tip at
the bottom of the channel.
I expect the market to have a false breakout and test the level of support one more time before the
continuation of the bull run. In doing so the market has formed a double bottom witch is a strong bullish singn.
DXY THE BIG PICTURELooking at 12 year Up-Trend on DXY we are now facing either way on coming near term months.
Rejection could keep the consolidation
A break and close below TL could test 88.2
This is a big picture for DXY and its situation and keep in mind 1 month chart has huge gap.
Thumbs and Thanks,