Dollar Index (DXY) – Bearish Minor 5 – Trend ContinuationDollar Index (DXY) – Bearish Minor 5 – Trend Continuation
Dollar Index (DXY) bounced off the Reversal Area pointed out in the previous “Dollar-Index-DXY – Market Crash Road Map – Full Elliott Wave Cycle” and commenced the Corrective Pattern for Minor 4 (red).
It seems like the Dollar Index (DXY) is approaching what is called the “Golden Section” in Elliott Wave Analysis which acts as a Point of Interest or Vibration Level, drawing the Price Action towards it as a magnet. Golden Section usually acts as Trend Continuation Levels, in the Dollar’s case a Bearish Trend Continuation for Minor 5 (red).
If the above would be correct, then the Dollar Index (DXY) could resume the Dominant Trend and finalize Minor 5 (red) and with it the entire Intermediate (C) leg (turquoise), thus completing the Cycle in Primary Wave A (blue).
Dollar Index (DXY) – Corrective Minor 4 – Wave Analysis:
• Minute A (blue) commenced on the up-side showing a 3 Swing Sequence in its Minuette ABC Sub-Waves (orange).
Minuette (a) (orange) shows a typical 5 Swings Motive Structure.
Minuette (b) (orange) shows a deep pull-back in a Zig-Zag Pattern.
Minuette (c) (orange) shows an Extension, which took a form of an Wedge, making the entire Minute A (blue) develop as a Leading Diagonal for the overall Corrective Structure.
• Minute B (blue) retraced as a Triple Three Pattern, showing a Complex Structure in its Minuette WXYXZ Sub-Waves (purple).
• Minute C (blue) is possibly taking form of an Expanding Ending Diagonal, with 2 legs awaiting to finalize, which are Minuettes (iv) & (v) (black).
A Bearish Divergence would be awaited at the end of Minuette (v) (black).
Dollar_index
USD Index - Advance Into Resistance ExpectedWe start the week with price having rejected from the previous area of resistance turned support at 94.030 and is now looking to test next key resistance at 95.270. Next major resistance to the upside after 95.270 sits at 96.695.
USD Index - Breakout Hints At Further AdvancesWe start the week with the USD Index above key resistance of 94.030 hinting at further advances in the USD Index. A pullback and re-test of the 94.030 will provide a great chance to look for Bullish formations and patterns towards the target and next key area of resistance at 95.270
USD Index/DXY SHORT PROJECT (Daily)Good day, All!
The daily bearish DXY project is currently forming.
Once point 5 is shaped, it can provide quite an interesting short opportunity.
If this pattern works, it may also signify the continuation of the major bearish trend which started back in the beginning of 2017:
Not convinced on USD Strength...Looking at the technicals, DXY has attempted to break the fib line more than once. If you look at USD JPY it has tried to penetrate the 114.40 a few times. We are not far from 114.40 again or far from 94.00. If DXY breaks 94 and USDJPY breaks 114.40 then great, on we go...
USD Index - Breakout Of Resistance Hints At Further AdvancesWe start the week with the USD Index above key resistance at 93.455 leading to a Bullish bias in this market next week. A failure of resistance would pave the way for a re-test of support at 92.635 however as long as we remain above 93.455 we will only be looking for longs in the USD Index next week.
Dollar Index - More room to fall back before Bullish Movement?DXY Daily:
- Inverted Head and Shoulders on the daily. Would like to see a break of the neckline before making any big decisions on the USD Pairs
- Break and Retest of the descending channel
- Counter trendline being respected well currently
- Completion of right shoulder matches up with 0.5 / 61.8 fib retracement
USD Index - Near Term Uptrend Still IntactAfter the breakout of an Inverse Head and Shoulders the USD Index hit the 93.635 area as highlighted last week. The near term uptrend is still intact meaning we are looking for further advances in the USD Index. However, price is currently at a key area of resistance (93.635) which has the ability to reverse the near term trend. As long as price stays above the 93.635 we will look to longs up towards the target of 94.63. A break below the 93.635 area of resistance would clear the way for moves back to the 92.865 / 92.565 area.