DXY 16May2023In my opinion, the dollar index this week will tend to be bullish, where the price looks to breakout from the previous swing high, even though there is a possibility of a correction, as long as this correction does not fall further than the invalid line, then the bullish trend is still a priority analysis
Dollar_index
DXY short to mid-term analysis (Update)This post is an update to my original post few weeks ago where I presented the case for DXY bottoming out. Following is the link to that, please go through it to understand the context.
On Thursday DXY closed above 34( Red )EMA, on the daily, as mentioned in previous post, it a sign of strength and possible breakout, and we did breakout the following day and closed much higher.
I expect this breakout to hold, and the rally should continue for a while.
We can come down and flirt with 13( Green ) and 21( Blue ) EMA's again, this happens until 13 and 21 EMA's start moving up and crosses above 34 EMA, when that happens and sustains for few days, that's the confirmation of bull run and that's the most likely scenario.
Fundamentally also, we have reasons for Dollar gaining strength in short to midterm, mostly because of Hawkish Fed and no intention of stopping rate hikes in the coming months, with each upcoming rate hike DXY should keep pushing higher. We also have indications of a stronger than originally expected US economy and decreasing unemployment as contributing factors adding to DXY's strength.
Now talking about targets, The Boxes in my chart are very strong S/R zones going back months and years. So, the next zone of mid-size resistance for DXY is 103 price level, where I expect some retrace, then the big one is 104 which may cause a pause in the rally and some consolidation for big retrace.
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Dollar Index Chart Analysis....
In this situation, DXY chart creates ab=cd Pattern. So,if a breakout market 101:000 support level is then market sell to the nearest 100.800 and 100.230 support levels. If breakout 101.700 resistance level is, then the market will go up 102 resistance level.
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DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaIn this video we look at the #DXY dollar index and analyse its potential trend reversal. The daily timeframe shows a pattern of higher lows and highs, with a clear formation of a bottoming structure. Throughout the video, we will discuss the current market conditions, including price action, market structure, and the trend, and identify a potential swing trade opportunity for the upcoming week. It's important to note that the information presented in this video reflects only my personal opinion and should not be considered as financial advice.
DXY mid to long term analysisLong term I am Bearish on DXY, with De-Dollarization happening in the world especially BRICS countries preparing to create a new currency to use for trade amongst them and 24 other nations joining them. So, we will see the dollar lose its value over the next few years.
But in the short to midterm (Few Months to a year) I am seeing a nice bottom form for DXY.
I have drawn two rounded curves in purple where I see rounded double bottom formations which in my experience are immensely powerful Market structure for explosive move to the upside a move to 109 is expected because of this structure.
I have also drawn two smaller Rounded bottoms in yellow and Red which I see playing out to the upside in the short-term A move to 104 is expected if these structures continue to develop.
PA is also reacting to the PRZ 1.414 of butterfly, if DXY comes down to play the red rounded bottom, we can see a strong move up from 1.618 extension of the butterfly as a Type 2 return on the harmonic.
We also have the 3 key EMAs (13 21 and 34) on daily start to curve to the upside, these are initial signs of Trend reversal. Right now, PA is above 21 and 13, but below 34, As long as 34 EMA is not broken through on Daily Time Frame 21 and 13 EMA act as weak support and 34 EMA will continue to act as resistance, and we will be in a down trend. Once the 34 EMA is claimed on Daily and held for few days, we get a confirmation for the uptrend and then 21 and 13 EMA will start to act as strong support along with 34 EMA.
With FOMC coming up, if the news is favorable for Dollar, we can break thorough 34 EMA and confirm the trend reversal.
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DOLLAR INDEX Correct to support & levels to watch. DXY💲Hello my friend, Everything is marked on the chart like always. We can consider it and entering safe in the Gold , Euro , Pound and etc. key point is 103.
Good luck.
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Salam doostan aziz, hame chiz rooye chart baraye shoma moshakhas shode. mitoonim in ro dar nazar begirim va vorood haaye behtari dar Gold va euro va pond va ... dashte bashim. noghte kelidi 103 hastesh.
moafagh bashid.
like va follow faramoosh nashe :)
DOLLAR INDEX Correct to support & levels to watch. DXY💲updateHello my friend, Everything is marked on the chart like always. The market on the way from last week and now on the minor support base which we can consider it and entering safe in the Gold , Euro , Pound and etc. key point is 103.
Good luck.
If its useful please like it as a support and follow me to next analysis :)
Salam doostan aziz, hame chiz rooye chart baraye shoma moshakhas shode. market dar masir morede entezare ma az hafte gozashte dar haal harkat hast va dar haale hazer rooye yek base hemayati minor hast ke mitoonim in ro dar nazar begirim va vorood haaye behtari dar Gold va euro va pond va ... dashte bashim. noghte kelidi 103 hastesh.
moafagh bashid.
like va follow faramoosh nashe :)
Are You Selling The Dollar?The dollar is declined again last week creating a new lower price. This is a good opportunity for sellers to take advantage of a potential sell opportunity. If you believe in the sell, will you take action?
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DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) Will a Bullish Movement Continue?! 💵
Dollar Index reached a solid horizontal support on Friday.
The market nicely reacted to that, forming a bullish engulfing candle.
I believe that the Index may go higher next week.
Goal will be a falling trend line.
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Dollar Index (DXY): Bearish Outlook Explained💲
Dollar Index is trading in a minor bearish trend on a daily.
The market is steadily falling within a falling parallel channel.
The market is currently approaching a very important confluence point based on a resistance of the channel
and a broken horizontal resistance.
I believe that chances will be high to see a bearish move from the underlined zone to 101.0 level.
Alternatively, remember that a bullish breakout of the resistance of the channel will initiate a correctional movement on the index.
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DOLLAR Index 1H - 4/4/23 AnalysisInteresting level here, price finally got a break below 102, Job reports were lacking by close to a million jobs and factory orders are down to -0.7% when -0.4% was expected.
On a macro sense, there appears to be a large amount of indecision in the market and it is reflected in the price movements. Fundamental news vastly supports the level of indecision that is present.
Looking at the 1H, I'm curious to see if price will show magnetism towards this level considering its a long-term major reversal area. Magnetism supports longer consolidation period or zone and could again be reflected in the news. I think Market Sentiment is key now when preparing trades for the Dollar simply because they is so much happening in the news. There has been some latency in the market, this could be a period where volatility and momentum could pick up as we move throughout the year.
Near-term, I'm expecting price to seek down 101.100 before stagnating and determining where to go from there.
Dollar Index (DXY): Waiting For Breakout💲
Dollar Index retraced from a solid horizontal support.
The price is currently approaching a falling trend line.
If ithe market breaks and closes above that on a 4H,
it will initiate a correctional movement of the index.
Goals will be 102.74 / 103.09
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Possible Bullish move on DXY I posted a lot of Short Position setups (EU, GU & AU) against the dollar because of this.. I always look at the DXY before anything. My reasoning is based on purely technical analysis and if this level holds, but as we all know, anything can happen in the market. Always gotta be careful. Confirmations are important
Dollar Index (DXY): Key Levels to Watch This Week 💵
Here is my latest structure for Dollar Index.
Resistance 1: 103.11 - 103.63 area
Resistance 2: 104.74 - 105.1 area
Resistance 3: 105.667 - 105.88 area
Support 1: 100.82 - 100.88 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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