Dollar_index
Dollar index short view 108.50-109.50The first week of November was bearish for the dollar index.
The dollar index could drop to the 108.50-109.50 support zone.
A drop in the dollar below this zone could produce a pullback in the next few months.
If the dollar manages to stay above 108.50-109.50, our target is again 115.00, then 118.00.
DXY Dollar New Week Possible Move#DXY Dollar
Time Frame - H1
- We have " LEADING DIAGONAL " and Rejection from the Lower Trend Line #LTL
Time Frame - H4
- " Falling Wedge " Pattern and Rejection from the Lower Trend Line #LTL
- IMPULSE CORRECTION IMPULSE , completed the corrective waves " ABC " will Follow Impulsive Waves again
Time Frame - Daily
- We have " BULLISH CHANNEL "
- Following Corrective wave Pattern and can Follow some Bearish Moves till the Lower Trend Line #LTL
20 REASSON FOR SHORT DXY 🤑TOP DOWN ANALYSIS OVERVIEW🤑
🧐Eagle eye: structural Down
Monthly : structure bullish but there are lot of weakness in monthly candle patterns last month is inside bar 😲insidebar😲 current forming 👎doji😲
weekly : a big Imbalance after it prices are going down and down 🥺
so the bigger picture is not clear and in bear favor
1 Structure analysis time frame :DAILY bear
2 target time frame :DAILY
3 Current Move :IMPULSE
4 Entry Time Frame : H4
4.1 Entry TF Structure: BEAR
4.2 entry move : IMPULSE
5 Support resistance base :H4 BEAR ORDER BLOCK
6 FIB: TRIGGER EVENT
7 candle Pattern: DARK CLOUDS
8 Chart Pattern: DOUBLE TOP
9 Volume : EXTREAMLY HIGH
10 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL Rsi: SUPER BARISH WITH LOUD MOVES
11 Volatility measure Bollinger bands: HEADFAKE BEARISH
12 strength ADX: WICKSAS BEAR
13 Sentiment ROC: BULLISH
14 final comment : SHORT AT RETRACEMENT
15 : decision : SELL
16 Entry: 111.790
17 Stop losel: 112.8
18 Take profit: 107.170
19 Risk to reward Ratio: 1:5
Excepted Duration : 10
Dollar Index Chart Analysis....
In this situation DXY chart Long tarm create bullish rectangle pattern.So, market
first buy correction @ 111:315 and 111:950 resistance level. Then sell to 109.400 support
zone. If breakout 113.080 resistance level, then market Buy UP to 115.250 resistance level.
AronnoFX will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of
reliance on the information contained within this channel including
data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals.
If you like this idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
Traders, if you like this idea or have your own opinion about it,
write in the comments. I will be glad.
DXY Dollar Next Possible Move#DXY Dollar
- According to the Long Time Frame #LTF we have BEARISH CHANNEL and Rejected from the Lower Trend Line #LTL
- Buying Divergence in #RSI
- We have IMPULSE CORRECTION IMPULSE - Completed the Correction " ABC " and Again Following IMPULSIVE WAVE
- RISING WEDGE in Short Time Frame #STF
US dollar index (DXY): Rising Treasury yields boost the dollarThe federal funds rate was increased by 75 basis points at the FOMC meeting in November to a range of 3.75 and 4%, as widely expected.
The press conference of Chairman Jerome Powell was more hawkish than imagined. The Fed Chair remarked that there is still work to be done in terms of rate hikes and that the peak of interest rates would be higher than previously thought, probably referring to the median FOMC predictions made in September (4.6%).
The statement also indicated that monetary policy will remain restrictive for some time, and Powell stated that stopping rate hikes is too far away at this point.
In addition, the Chair reaffirmed that the cost of undertightening is higher than that of overtightening. This is due to the fact that the Fed still does not see any meaningful progress on inflation, while the labour market continues to be exceptionally tight.
As a result of Powell's comments, the market has revised its forecast for Fed rate hikes for next year higher, to an expected 5.1%. US 2-year yields spiked to 4.7%, updating fresh highs and reaching July 2007 levels.
Throughout the year, the US dollar DXY index has been increasingly associated with US short-term yields (2-year), with the 90-day rolling correlation coefficient standing at a very high level of 0.91.
US 2-year rates may increase further after the November FOMC meeting to reflect elevated market expectations for the Fed's terminal interest rate. This keeps the dollar on a bullish trend for longer. A rise in 2-year yields up to the 5% mark, would likely imply a rally in the DXY index up to 115 levels.
The speed of the move will hinge on Friday's US non-farm payrolls data and next week's US CPI data. Higher-than-anticipated numbers for the US employment report and inflation will solidify the Fed's hawkish stance and accelerate the dollar's advance.
DXY Chart Analysis....
In this situation DXY chart long term create bullish bat pattern and short term
create Elliotte wave pattern. So, market need to seem buy correction @ 111.300 and 111.460
resistance level. If breakout @ 110.222 support zone, then market sell up to 109.700 support.
AronnoFX will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of
reliance on the information contained within this channel including
data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals.
If you like this idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
Traders, if you like this idea or have your own opinion about it,
write in the comments. I will be glad.
Dollar Index managed to stay within consolidationThe bearish movement of the United States Dollar Index was extended last week and was poised for a reversal. Supported by the 110.0 level key support region, the Dollar retraced some of its loss but was unable to push higher from the minor resistance at 110.885 region. If price managed to push pass 110.885, we are likely to see the Dollar push towards 111.665 region while if price breakout of the 110.0 support region, we could have a potential reversal (bearish confirmation) of the Dollar.
DXY Dollar Next Possible Move#DXY Dollar
Time Frame - M45
IMPULSE CORRECTION IMPULSE Completed will again Follow IMPULSIVE WAVE ( Bullish )
According to Long Time Frame #LTF - ELLIOT WAVE " 123 " Wave formed will Follow Long to complete " 4 "
In Short Time Frame #STF It has completed ELLIOT TRIPLE COMBO " WXYXZ" Wave will make ELLIOT DOUBLE WAVE " XYZ "
Rejection from the Previous Strong Support Level
Buying Divergence #RSI
US dollar(DXY) technical analysis 23/10/2022
Four critical points highlighted on the daily chart could predict the future direction of the dollar.
113.58 has been a solid resistance level for more than two weeks and could be the breakout zone for the upside, with a potential target at 114.85.
The critical support zone at 111.52 for five consecutive days could give way if the price fails to hold.
The dollar could fall to the support trend line at 111.52 if it fails at 109.45
DXY Next Possible MoveTechnical Analysis Chart Update
DXY - Dollar
Time Frame - H2
According to the Pattern we have " Symmetrical Triangle " in Long Time Frame and Rejection from the Lower Trend Line #LTL
It is also Following " Impulse Correction Impulse " and Making " C " Corrective wave
We need Rejection from the Upper Trend Line #UTL or Fibonacci Level - 78.60%
DXY Dollar Next Possible MoveTechnical Analysis Chart Update
DXY - Dollar
Time Frame - H1
We have Bullish Channel Pattern as a Correction in Long Time Frame #LTF and according to that it will Reject from the Lower Trend Line #LTL and Current Strong Demand Zone
We have Buying Divergence in #RSI
It is also Following the Elliot waves in Short Time Frame #STF and it has completed " 1234 " Impulsive waves and it will Complete its " 5 " Impulsive wave at Daily Resistance Level
DXY USD dollar going down to 110.05 or 108.30USD ELLIOTT WAVE FORECAST... : This X wave (yellow) had reached the golden fib and the intermediate C (pink) reached the 123%.. only one more possible target at 113.57. If the $ is reversing here, we most expect a retracement at least around 110.045, but 108.29, 107.25 and 105.51 are also possible. Other possible targets are 107.25 and 105.51.