The Dollar Index has reversed upward.Hey everyone!
Looks like a solid entry for a DXY long and a good time to start ditching EUR and Gold (yes, I do think gold is heading down).
On the daily chart, we can see that we've completed five waves down and are now forming a reversal.
EUR/USD and GOLD/USD have already started reacting, Index Dollar (DXY) hitting the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Now the climb begins, with the first target around 125 for the Dollar Index.
The potential peak?
144, though we’ll likely see corrections along the way.
Buckle up—volatile times ahead... 🧐🧐🧐
Dollarindex
DXY in 1 H timeframeDXY Analysis on RTM Style
Here’s an analysis of the **U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the 1H timeframe** based on the **RTM (Read The Market) style** and your drawn arrows:
Previous Trend & Break of Structure (BoS)**
- The market has been in a strong downtrend, forming **Lower Lows (LL) and Lower Highs (LH)**.
- After breaking the **105.485 level (0.5 Fibonacci retracement)**, the bearish momentum continued down to the **103.5 support zone**.
Liquidity Zones & Potential Reversal**
- The price is currently consolidating around **103.5**, indicating a possible reaction from buyers.
- A **Higher High (HH)** is marked, suggesting a potential shift in market structure.
Possible Scenario Based on the Arrows**
- A short-term **accumulation phase** is expected between **103.5 - 104**.
- If the price breaks above **103.998**, bullish momentum may drive it toward the **105.5 - 106.7 zone (Fibonacci 0.5 & 0.786 retracement levels)**.
- If this resistance is broken, the final target could be **107.27**, a strong resistance level.
- The market is at a **key support level** and may form a bullish structure.
- Confirmation of a **Higher High** and a break above **103.998** could trigger an upward move.
- **Re-Accumulation** is expected before a strong bullish continuation.
- **Bearish Alternative**: If the **103.5 support** fails, the price may drop further to **102.1**.
This analysis is suitable for publishing, but I recommend adding an alternative scenario in case the support fails, giving a more well-rounded outlook.
Dollar Index(DXY) Rebounds from Key Support–Is a New High Cominghello guys.
Let's see what happened for us index and what will happen:
Uptrend Support:
The price has been respecting a long-term ascending trendline since 2011, indicating a strong bullish structure.
Recent price action suggests that the index retested this trendline and bounced off it.
Key Resistance & Breakout Potential:
The index is in a consolidation phase after reaching a local high.
If the price holds above the trendline and breaks the previous high (~13,250-13,400), it could trigger further upside movement.
The next potential target is near 13,500-13,800 based on historical price action and Fibonacci extensions.
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Possible Scenario:
Bullish Case: If the price holds above the trendline and breaks the current range resistance, it could continue toward new highs.
Bearish Case: A breakdown below the 12,800 support level could lead to a deeper correction toward 12,400-12,000.
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Consequences of This Move:
For USD Strength:
A bullish continuation in the Dollar Index means a stronger USD, which could negatively impact commodities (gold, oil) and emerging market currencies.
Forex pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD could decline as the USD gains strength.
For Global Markets:
A weaker DXY (if the support breaks) would typically support equity markets and commodities like gold and Bitcoin, as a weaker dollar makes them more attractive.
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Conclusion:
The chart suggests bullish momentum, but confirmation is needed with a breakout above 13,250-13,400.
As long as the price respects the trendline and Fibonacci support, the uptrend remains intact.
Keep an eye on macroeconomic events (e.g., Fed rate decisions, inflation data), as they can impact this movement significantly.
The US index is at support level for again pull backThe US index is at support level; just mark the news of Dollars today and wait for confirmations on the H4 level to take the good trades.
Keep in mind!!!!!
If the US index gains some strength from the said level (103.84–103.10) and starts bullish, then the major pairs like EURUSD, GBPUSD, and XAUUSD start falling.
DXY Will Go UP! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
DXY keeps falling down
But the index will soon
Hit a horizontal support
Level of 103.610 and
After the retest a local
Bullish correction
Will be expected
Buy!
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Falling towards overlap support?US Dollar Index (DXY) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 103.53
1st Support: 102.36
1st Resistance: 105.62
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The US Dollar Index is Decreasing - Positive for Cryptocurrency#DXY #Analysis
Description
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+ The Dollar Index has breached its support level and is now trading below it, moving toward the next support zone around $100.
+ This development is positive for Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market, as the US Dollar Index typically declines during a bull run.
+ In the long term, I anticipate further declines, potentially reaching the $90 range.
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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VectorAlgo
DXY will likely bounce here.#dxy the USD Index has dumped , oversold and looks likely wants to bounce here. Bouncing here will give the bullish retest to TVC:DXY .
While #VIX the Volatility Index is very strong now, an impulsive move of #dollarindex will surely damage markets sooner or later. This' not a very short term strategy but short / mid term one. Lowering risky positions will be for your goodness.
Not financial advice. Stay safe.
DXY, About to rally upwardHello guys,
A short quick update on dollar index, we are going to see a temporary upward rally in the dollar index, I am just posting the low hanging fruit target which is very high probability to achieve. and we will defiantly see the momentum changing from bearish to bullish.
NFP protocol: Keep the risk low
DXY - Potential Pull Back before short strategyIn my mind have two scenario .. all with a short view for Dollar.
In the first we can have a strong break of support area directly
In the second we can have a pull back until 108.5 area
In this second way we will have a creation of an H&S pattern
This is my idea.
Eur/Usd Mar/05 Daily biasHello eveyone.
i closed all my longs.last 2 days was great ( check my posts )
price is up almost 3% this week.price above cpr weekly 3rd res . so in this situation i think we will see a pullback.
i'm using tight stop loss.( today ADP...be carefull )
..............................
( This is an idea and entry-tp-sl placed for my own trade , you can change entry-tp-sl depends on your risk management )
XAU/USD Weekly Analysis XAU/USD Weekly Analysis with support and resistance levels tailored between $2,800 and $3,000:
XAU/USD Weekly Analysis: March 3–7, 2025
🔹 Overview:
Gold (XAU/USD) has entered a critical consolidation phase, trading between $2,800 and $3,000. The market remains sensitive to macroeconomic developments, including U.S. jobs data, Fed commentary, and geopolitical events.
🔹 Key Support Levels:
Immediate Support:
$2,835–$2,850: Critical support zone, aligned with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the recent rally.
$2,800: Psychological support and a key structural level, reinforced by the 50-day SMA.
Major Support (Downside Breach Scenario):
$2,765–$2,780: Long-term trendline support from the 2024 lows.
$2,735: Key swing low; a break below here could signal a deeper bearish trend.
🔹 Key Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance:
$2,900–$2,920: Key consolidation range high and near-term target for bullish momentum.
$2,950: Previous week’s high and a critical barrier to further gains.
Major Resistance (Upside Breakout Scenario):
$2,975–$3,000: Psychological resistance and the upper bound of the bullish channel.
$3,075: Fibonacci 127.2% extension and a potential breakout target.
🔹 Technical Scenario Breakdown:
Bullish Case (Breakout):
Trigger: Fed dovishness or USD weakness.
Action: Break above $2,950 confirms bullish momentum.
Targets: $2,975 (psychological level), then $3,075 (breakout extension).
Bearish Case (Reversal):
Trigger: Strong USD or risk-on sentiment.
Action: Breakdown below $2,835 signals bearish shift.
Targets: $2,800 (key support), then $2,765–$2,735 (trendline and swing low).
Neutral/Range-Bound:
Range: $2,835–$2,950.
Action: Fade extremes (buy dips near $2,835, sell rallies near $2,950).
🔹 Price Action Drivers During the Week:
U.S. Jobs Data (March 7):
Weak NFP (<150k jobs) → USD sell-off → Gold rallies toward $2,950–$3,000.
Strong NFP (>250k jobs) → USD strength → Gold tests $2,835–$2,800.
Fed Commentary (March 5):
Hawkish tone → Gold pressured below $2,835.
Dovish tone → Rally toward $2,950+.
Geopolitical Surprises:
Escalations → Safe-haven surge → Gold breaches $2,975–$3,000.
De-escalations → Profit-taking → Drop to $2,800.
🔹 Technical Tools to Monitor:
RSI (14-day): Overbought above 70 indicates pullback risk; oversold below 30 signals potential rebound.
MACD: Bullish crossover above the zero line strengthens upward bias.
Volume: Confirm breakouts above $2,950 with rising volume.
📈 Summary:
Support: $2,835–$2,850 (critical), $2,800 (structural), $2,765–$2,735 (trendline).
Resistance: $2,900–$2,920 (immediate), $2,950 (key breakout), $2,975–$3,000 (psychological).
Catalysts: U.S. data, Fed commentary, and geopolitical factors remain key drivers.
DXY Dollar Index OutlookThis is my current Elliott Wave count for the DXY Dollar index. I have a couple of variations which I will share but this one sees a decline starting with a leading diagonal in red wave 1 which is close to completion. May see a pull back in red 2 before a strong move lower in 3. The alternative is a nesting 1,2,1,2. If that's the case then a strong decline could continue from here.
LONG ON NZD/USDNZD/USD is giving nice uptrend structure from the higher TF.
Currently it has pulled back to a key support area and is looking good for a rise.
Dollar (DXY) is overall bearish and currently falling. (This has a inverse correlation with XXX/USD pairs)
I will be buying NZD/USD to the next resistance level / previous high for about 150-200 pips.