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XAU/USD Weekly Analysis XAU/USD Weekly Analysis with support and resistance levels tailored between $2,800 and $3,000: XAU/USD Weekly Analysis: March 3–7, 2025 🔹 Overview: Gold (XAU/USD) has entered a critical consolidation phase, trading between $2,800 and $3,000. The market remains sensitive to macroeconomic developments, including U.S. jobs data, Fed commentary, and geopolitical events. 🔹 Key Support Levels: Immediate Support: $2,835–$2,850: Critical support zone, aligned with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of the recent rally. $2,800: Psychological support and a key structural level, reinforced by the 50-day SMA. Major Support (Downside Breach Scenario): $2,765–$2,780: Long-term trendline support from the 2024 lows. $2,735: Key swing low; a break below here could signal a deeper bearish trend. 🔹 Key Resistance Levels: Immediate Resistance: $2,900–$2,920: Key consolidation range high and near-term target for bullish momentum. $2,950: Previous week’s high and a critical barrier to further gains. Major Resistance (Upside Breakout Scenario): $2,975–$3,000: Psychological resistance and the upper bound of the bullish channel. $3,075: Fibonacci 127.2% extension and a potential breakout target. 🔹 Technical Scenario Breakdown: Bullish Case (Breakout): Trigger: Fed dovishness or USD weakness. Action: Break above $2,950 confirms bullish momentum. Targets: $2,975 (psychological level), then $3,075 (breakout extension). Bearish Case (Reversal): Trigger: Strong USD or risk-on sentiment. Action: Breakdown below $2,835 signals bearish shift. Targets: $2,800 (key support), then $2,765–$2,735 (trendline and swing low). Neutral/Range-Bound: Range: $2,835–$2,950. Action: Fade extremes (buy dips near $2,835, sell rallies near $2,950). 🔹 Price Action Drivers During the Week: U.S. Jobs Data (March 7): Weak NFP (<150k jobs) → USD sell-off → Gold rallies toward $2,950–$3,000. Strong NFP (>250k jobs) → USD strength → Gold tests $2,835–$2,800. Fed Commentary (March 5): Hawkish tone → Gold pressured below $2,835. Dovish tone → Rally toward $2,950+. Geopolitical Surprises: Escalations → Safe-haven surge → Gold breaches $2,975–$3,000. De-escalations → Profit-taking → Drop to $2,800. 🔹 Technical Tools to Monitor: RSI (14-day): Overbought above 70 indicates pullback risk; oversold below 30 signals potential rebound. MACD: Bullish crossover above the zero line strengthens upward bias. Volume: Confirm breakouts above $2,950 with rising volume. 📈 Summary: Support: $2,835–$2,850 (critical), $2,800 (structural), $2,765–$2,735 (trendline). Resistance: $2,900–$2,920 (immediate), $2,950 (key breakout), $2,975–$3,000 (psychological). Catalysts: U.S. data, Fed commentary, and geopolitical factors remain key drivers.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by realmillionairefx
3
USDX, DXYUSDX price is approaching the support zone of 106.45-105.36. If the price fails to break through the main support zone of 105.36, it is expected that there is a chance that the price will rebound. On the contrary, if the price can break through the level of 105.36, it will have a negative impact on the dollar. 🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you. >>GooD Luck 😊 ❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
EIGHTCAP:USDXLong
by Serana2324
8
Potential bullish rise?US Dollar Index (DXY) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could rise to the 1st resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Pivot: 107.09 1st Support: 106.64 1st Resistance: 108.04 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
TVC:DXYLong
by ICmarkets
2
Bitcoin Slips: Buy the Lows or Ride the Sell-Off? Following an extended expanding consolidation from Dec 2024 – Jan 2025, bearish pressure intensified after a downside breakout, increasing the probability of a double-top formation at 108,360 – 109,350. This raises concerns about a potential drop towards the previous major support-turned-resistance zone at 72,000 – 74,000. 🔹 Momentum Check: The RSI has hit oversold levels last seen in Aug 2024, when BTCUSD found a bottom before rallying past 100K. 🔸 Bullish Scenario: If BTCUSD holds above 82,000, upside targets include 86,500, 93,000, and potentially a retest of 109,000. 🔻 Bearish Scenario: A close below 82,000 could accelerate declines toward 79,500 & 72,000, aligning with the 50% & 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the Aug 2024 – Jan 2025 uptrend. - Razan Hilal, CMT
FOREXCOM:BTCUSD
by FOREXcom
XAUUSD - 1hr | Wyckoff Event UPDATEWe await the price to confirm the last step (6) to complete the distribution Phase. The price has fallen to SUPPORT as we predicted. Once a LOWER LOWER is formed, the Distribution Phase is complete. Expect gold turn to remain bearish. Falling as low as 2815. BULLS : If the price can respect the support and bounce back above 2910 with strong bullish momentum, we can see the price rally back up to the 2950 area. BEARS : If the price creates the lower low as we are expecting around 2860-2880. Then look for the price to: 1. retest support as far back up to 2910. 2. dramatically fall and continue its pullback as low as 2800-2820
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by nikdobii
Gold Reversal Confirmed: Bearish Targeting 2,878 SupportThis chart shows a clear double-top pattern at the resistance zone around 2,960, indicating potential bearish momentum. The price has broken below a trendline, confirming weakness. A retest around 2,934 has occurred, and the price is now declining. The next key support level is around 2,878, which could act as a potential target for sellers. If bearish momentum continues, a deeper drop may follow. - First target: 2,900 (psychological level and minor support) - Second target: 2,878 (major support zone) If bearish momentum continues and 2,878 breaks, the next possible target could be around 2,860 for an extended move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
2
2025 – The Year of the Normalized Dollar📉💵 2025 – The Year of the Normalized Dollar! 🔥 The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is showing clear signs of weakness after breaching key support levels. With interest rate cuts on the horizon and a shift in economic policy, we may be entering a new phase for the dollar’s normalization. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch 🔹 Resistance: 107.5 (Immediate resistance) 🔹 Key Mid Support: 100.95 (Next major level) 🔹 Final Target: 94.8 (Major support & potential bottom) 📰 Fundamental Factors Driving the Move 💡 Trump’s Dollar Policy: Historically, Trump has favored a weaker dollar to boost exports. His recent remarks during the Executive Order signing on January 23, 2025, reinforce this stance, as he pushes for interest rate cuts and lower energy costs. Remarks by President Trump at Executive Order Signing (January 23, 2025): Q: Mr. President, you said earlier that you would like to see interest rates come down. THE PRESIDENT: Yeah. Q: How much would you like to see them come down? THE PRESIDENT: A lot. Q: And will you talk with Powell? THE PRESIDENT: I’d like to see them come down a lot, and oil prices will come down. And when oil prices come down, everything is going to be cheaper for the American people — and actually for the world — but for the American people. So, I’d like to see oil prices come down. Q: Are you worried that there’s too much going on at once if you’re trying to bring interest rates down and get the economy back going? THE PRESIDENT: No, no. It just works that way. I mean, it just economically works that way. When the oil comes down, it’ll bring down prices, then you won’t have inflation, and then the interest rates will come down. Q: You said that you would demand that the interest rates come down. Do you expect the Fed to listen to you? THE PRESIDENT: Yeah. 📉 What’s Next for the Dollar? 🔸 If 100.95 breaks, we could see further downside, testing the 94.8 region. 🔸 A retest of resistance at 107.5 would be a key test before further declines. 🔸 The global macro environment (oil prices, inflation, and geopolitical shifts) will heavily influence the dollar’s trajectory. 🌍 Economic & Geopolitical Impact Beyond monetary policy, Trump’s trade and labor policies are also playing a role in shaping the inflation outlook. His push for tariffs and tighter immigration policies has led to higher labor costs, causing short-term inflation. However, on the global stage, Trump's potential deal with Putin to resolve the Ukraine conflict could help ease inflation worldwide by stabilizing supply chains and reducing geopolitical risks. With Trump pushing for rate cuts, the Fed under pressure, and DXY losing momentum, could we see a full-scale dollar correction in 2025? Let’s discuss! ⏬ 📢 Follow for more macro insights & market analysis! One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
TVC:DXYShort
by FX_Professor
GBP/USD Approaching Key Reversal ZoneThe GBP/USD pair has reached a critical resistance area around 1.2658, aligning with the 1.13 Fibonacci extension level of the harmonic Gartley pattern. The price action suggests potential exhaustion in the bullish trend, with signs of rejection near this level. A confirmed reversal could lead to a corrective move towards key support zones at 1.2456 and 1.2320. However, if the pair sustains above 1.2685, further upside towards 1.2732 and the HOP level at 1.2843 remains possible.
Short
by BeaucoupPips
USD/JPY Bullish Reversal Setup: Key Levels and TargetsThe USD/JPY chart on the 4-hour timeframe indicates a potential bullish setup. Here's a breakdown of the analysis: 1. Support Zone & Trendline Confluence** - Price is currently reacting to a strong demand zone** around 149.000–149.500, marked in green. - There's also a visible ascending trendline acting as dynamic support, reinforcing the bullish outlook. 2. Change of Character (ChoCH) & Break of Structure (BOS) - A series of **bearish BOS and ChoCH confirm the prior downtrend. - However, the most recent ChoCH to the upside signals a potential shift in market direction. 3. Target Zone & Resistance Area - The next resistance zone** is marked around 152.000, aligning with a supply area. - This is also the short-term bullish target, as indicated on the chart. 4. Potential Trade Setup - If the price holds above the demand zone and breaks the minor resistance at 150.000, bullish momentum could push it toward 152.000. - A higher low formation** would further confirm bullish continuation. 5. Risk Factors - A break below the **strong low (148.800–149.000) could invalidate the bullish setup and signal further downside. Conclusion USD/JPY is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal. If price respects the support and trendline, it could rally toward 152.000. However, a breakdown below 149.000 would invalidate the bullish bias.
Long
by TRADE_CENTER_1
DXY Dollar Index Market Bearish Heist Plan (Day/Swing Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the DXY Dollar Index Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 108.500 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 105.500 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: DXY Dollar Index Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors. 💠Fundamental Analysis Weakening US Economy: The US economy's growth is slowing down, which could lead to a decline in the dollar's value. Falling Interest Rates: The US Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates could weaken the dollar. 💠Macroeconomic Analysis The US economy's growth, inflation rates, and employment numbers influence the dollar's strength. Global economic trends, such as trade tensions and geopolitical events, also impact the dollar's value. 💠COT Data Analysis Net Short Positions: Institutional traders and large banks have increased their net short positions in the DXY Dollar Index, indicating a bearish sentiment. COT Ratio: The COT ratio has fallen to 1.2, indicating a bearish trend. 💠Market Sentimental Analysis Bearish Sentiment: 55% of client accounts are short on this market, indicating a bearish sentiment. Option Skew: The 25-delta put option skew has increased to 15, indicating a bearish sentiment. 💠Positioning Data Analysis Institutional Traders: Institutional traders and large banks are positioning themselves for a bearish trend, with some predicting a decline to 105.50. Corporate Traders: Corporate traders are also monitoring the index's performance, considering factors like interest rates and global economic trends. 💠Overall Outlook Bearish Trend: The DXY Dollar Index is experiencing a bearish trend, with a potential decline to 105.50. Key Support Levels: 106.57, 105.50. 💠Technical Analysis Moving Averages: The 50-day MA is indicating a bearish trend. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI has fallen to 40, indicating oversold conditions. Bollinger Bands: The lower band breakout indicates a bearish trend. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
FXOPEN:DXYShort
by Thief_Trader
5
XAUUSD - 1hr | Wyckoff EventSimple Trading: Distribution Phase First, we can see that gold has started to consolidate. Once we see this, we look back at previous candles to identify the patterns in this phase: (1) preliminary resistance (2) the last buy (3) a retest to confirm support (4) confirm resistance without making a higher high. (5) Higher high (typically a FAKEOUT) We are waiting for the price to confirm the last step (6) to complete the pattern. If the price falls to SUPPORT, creating a LOWER LOWER, the Distribution Phase is complete. Expect gold turn to remain bearish. Falling as low as 2815.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSDShort
by nikdobii
1
DXY weekly Perspective 23.02.25DXY Analysis & Bias for This Week My outlook for the Dollar Index (DXY) remains bearish, which aligns with my bias for bullish moves on pairs like GU, EU, and Gold. Since price has already broken structure to the downside, I anticipate a retracement to mitigate the newly formed 14-hour supply zone before continuing lower. While price may react bullishly from the 3-hour or 2-hour demand zones I’ve marked, the overall momentum still favors the downside, as seen from the strength of recent bearish candlesticks. Plan of Action: 📌 Once price reaches the 14-hour supply zone, I will wait for lower timeframe confirmations before taking action. 📌 I will also check for any corresponding demand zones on my other pairs to ensure alignment across the board.
TVC:DXYShort
by Hassan_fx
1
DXY - 4H Bearish SignsTVC:DXY has shown an impressive rally from the 100 zone, forming three major bullish legs, each contributing approximately 4% gains. These bullish phases have now brought the index close to the critical 110 level. However, in the third major leg, we observe the formation of three minor legs, signaling some hesitation as it nears the resistance zone. While many expect the index to break through 110 easily, I anticipate price swings around the 109-110 range, and even the possibility of a deeper pullback before resuming its upward trend. With the NFP data release today, we might see increased volatility, offering opportunities for a potential DXY decline before any further rise. Stay alert for sharp market moves! 📉
TVC:DXYShort
by Sober_Trading
9