DXY Dollar Index Market Bearish Heist Plan 🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📉 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A Bear trade can be initiated at any price level.
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4h period, the recent / nearest high level
Goal 🎯: 105.800 (or) Before escape in the market
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, Sentimental Outlook
The DXY (Dollar Index) market is expected to move in a bearish direction, driven by several key factors.
🔴Fundamental Analysis
The DXY is a geometrically weighted index that tracks the value of the US dollar against a basket of six major currencies: the euro (57.6%), Japanese yen (13.6%), British pound (11.9%), Canadian dollar (9.1%), Swedish krona (4.2%), and Swiss franc (3.6%). The index is influenced by interest rates, inflation, and economic indicators such as GDP and employment rates.
🟠Macro Analysis
The US Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions significantly impact the DXY. With the Fed's rate hike cycle, the US dollar has strengthened against other major currencies. However, the recent decline in US Treasury yields has put pressure on the dollar.
🟡Market Sentiment
The market sentiment for the DXY is currently bearish, with 71% of IG client accounts short on this market. However, some analysts believe that the dollar's decline has been overdone and expect a rebound.
🟢Retail Traders' Sentiments
Retail traders' sentiments are mixed, with some expecting a bullish move and others predicting a bearish trend. On TradingView, some analysts have identified a potential bearish pattern, while others see a bullish reversal.
🔵Upcoming Events
The upcoming events that may impact the DXY include:
Federal Reserve Meeting: The Fed's interest rate decision and monetary policy statement may influence the dollar's value.
US GDP and Inflation Data: The release of US GDP and inflation data may impact the dollar's strength.
Trade Developments: Any updates on US trade policies, particularly with China, may affect the dollar's value.
🟣Trading Expectations
Based on the analysis, it's challenging to predict a clear direction for the DXY. However, considering the bearish market sentiment and potential bearish patterns, a neutral to bearish move is possible in the short term. Keep a close eye on upcoming events and market developments to adjust your trading strategy accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
🚨Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
🚨Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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Dollarindex
DXY - 1H still bearish...While some signals indicate buy opportunities on the dollar index, I remain skeptical. As mentioned in our 4H analysis, the third bullish leg has been completed, and I expect a deeper correction in CAPITALCOM:DXY .
In the 1H time frame, we can observe that the second reaction to the support zone is significantly weaker than the first. This could indicate a potential breakdown of the support zone, with the index likely falling below the 107 level.
Let’s see how this plays out! Follow for timely updates and expert insights! 🚀
"BTC/USD Double Top Breakdown: Targeting Key Support at 92,000"This chart for BTC/USD highlights the following key points:
1. **Double Top Formation**:
- A clear double top pattern is visible around the 108,000 resistance zone.
- This is a bearish reversal signal, indicating a potential move downward.
2. **Break of Trendline Support**:
- The price has broken below the ascending trendline, further confirming bearish momentum.
3. **Price Targets**:
- The next major support zone appears to be around 92,000–88,000, which aligns with the highlighted horizontal demand area.
4. **Bearish Volume Profile**:
- Significant selling volume is noted after the rejection from the resistance zone, reinforcing the downside bias.
Summary:
BTC/USD is showing strong bearish signals after failing at the 108,000 resistance and forming a double top. The break of the trendline suggests a continuation to the downside, with a target around 92,000–88,000. Traders should watch for retests of the broken support or confirmation of further downside momentum.
GBPUSD Approaches Major Zone: Monitoring Dollar for Next MoveAt the moment, we are observing the GBPUSD pair with no clear bias, simply monitoring the price action as it approaches a key zone. From a monthly perspective, we can see that the price has been in a bullish trend for several consecutive months. However, it is now reaching an important level where a potential pullback could occur.
The plan is to start monitoring the 4-hour and daily charts, looking for a clear signal that confirms the price's intention to retrace from this area. We are not rushing to take a directional stance until the market provides a more decisive signal.
One key factor to watch is the current behavior of the dollar . It is sitting at a strong support zone, which could be affected by upcoming economic data. If this support breaks, we could see strength in GBPUSD , driven by the dollar's weakness.
It is crucial to keep an eye on the signals coming from the dollar and the forthcoming economic data, as these could trigger significant volatility and help define the next move in GBPUSD. Given the current state of the dollar, the likelihood of a correction or move in GBPUSD is high, but we need confirmation through price action.
Dollar Index for Next 2 yearsThe Dollar Index (DXY) has been a critical gauge of the U.S. dollar's strength, and its movements are closely monitored by traders worldwide. Based on my analysis, I believe the next two years will bring significant challenges for the dollar, potentially leading to a heavy decline.
In my view, the DXY will struggle to hold above 120, even in the case of temporary fake breakouts or sharp rejections. This level represents a strong historical resistance zone, and any attempt to break higher is likely to face immense selling pressure. However, what’s more concerning is the potential for a deep bearish trend, with the index dropping below 95 during this period.
Several factors could contribute to this scenario. A pivot by the Federal Reserve toward more accommodative policies, slowing U.S. economic growth, and the growing global efforts to reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar in international trade could all weigh heavily on the index. Technically, the long-term charts indicate that the dollar is already facing structural resistance, and a break below key support levels could accelerate the decline.
If the DXY does drop below 95, it could trigger ripple effects across global markets, impacting currencies, commodities, and equities alike. This level represents a critical threshold that could reshape market sentiment and trading strategies.
Disclaimer:
This analysis reflects my personal opinion and is not financial advice. The markets are highly volatile, and unexpected macroeconomic or geopolitical developments could drastically alter this outlook. Always conduct your own research and manage risk carefully when trading.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments—do you see the Dollar Index heading for a crash, or do you have a different outlook? Let's discuss!
#DXY #Forex #DollarIndex #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
DXY in 4H timeframehello dear traders
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and the potential for a correction over the next month:
Federal Reserve Monetary Policy:
If the Federal Reserve signals a slowdown or pause in its rate hikes, it could put downward pressure on the DXY. Upcoming speeches or FOMC minutes will be key indicators to watch.
U.S. Economic Data:
Weaker-than-expected economic data, such as lower GDP growth, higher unemployment rates, or declining inflation, could suggest a less aggressive Fed policy, leading to a potential correction in the dollar.
Global Economic Trends and Risk Sentiment:
Increased risk appetite in global markets could drive investors toward riskier assets (like equities or emerging market currencies), reducing demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset.
Geopolitical and International Developments:
Any easing of geopolitical tensions or positive trade agreements between major economies could diminish the dollar’s safe-haven appeal and contribute to a potential correction.
Correlated Markets like Gold and Oil:
Rising prices in gold or oil often correlate with a weaker dollar. If these assets strengthen, it could be a sign of dollar weakness.
In summary, weaker U.S. data or dovish signals from the Fed, combined with a more favorable global economic environment, could increase the likelihood of a DXY correction over the next month.
The Dollar Falls While Bitcoin & Gold Moves Up Hey there,
So in today's Midweek Market Review, we discuss whats been happening lately in these markets, highlighting the impact of Trumps inauguration, while also explaining the recent run on Gold and the New highs on Bitcoin.
Be sure to check out this weeks market review commentary for more insight and ideas on how to best position yourself for these markets moving forward.
GOLD is setting up for the week! Switched to doing my breakdown on the micro contract since is what I actually trade and the forex chart is not moving in sync with it currently so I cant trust that price action. Expecting for a set up on a major play tonight some time between Asian session and London. Price is ultimately bearish so we not looking to get in until price moves outside of value to give us a entry.
GBP/USD Trade in Play – Why This Setup Could Be HUGEWhat’s great everyone? Mr. Blue Ocean FX here with an in-depth breakdown of GBP/USD.
We’re currently in a trade, having entered at 1.2297, with stops set at 1.2550. Let’s dive into the key levels and what we’re looking for moving forward.
On Friday, we identified a significant lower high around the 1.2297 level, which led to a strong impulse move down to 1.2104. After a pullback and rejection, price failed to make a new lower low, closing around 1.2151, and eventually breaking above resistance at 1.2210, creating a new higher high at 1.2297.
We waited for a pullback and a push above 1.2297, which we got, confirming our entry with volume supporting the move. Currently, I’m monitoring the H4 candle; if we see a break and close below 1.2272, we could expect a deeper pullback into the 1.2236 zone, which would present an opportunity for a second entry. However, I believe the fair value gap (FVG) around this level will hold, leading to consolidation before another push higher.
Looking at the DXY (Dollar Index) on the weekly timeframe, we had a strong push up from December 2nd to January 6th before topping out. It now appears to be rolling over, potentially forming a higher low before continuing higher. Today’s daily candle has broken structure, with a lower high forming around 109.33, suggesting short-term weakness in the dollar and potential upside for GBP/USD.
As we monitor price action, the next H4 candle close will be crucial. If price holds above support and volume supports the move, we anticipate further upside.
As always, keeping this breakdown short and to the point. If you found this helpful, boost it, like it, and share it with a fellow trader. Stay tuned for the next update.
DXY (INDEX) analysis This chart shows the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the 1-hour timeframe. Key observations:
1. **Support Zone**: The shaded grey area around 108.800–109.000 is acting as a strong support zone, with multiple rejections visible.
2. **Rounded Retest**: There seems to be a rounded retest pattern forming, suggesting bullish momentum might build if the price sustains above this level.
3. **Structure**: Break of structure (BOS) and change of character (ChoCh) markers indicate recent shifts in momentum. The latest BOS suggests the potential for bullish continuation.
4. **Key Resistance**: Immediate resistance is visible near 109.400–109.600. A breakout above this could lead to further upside.
5. **Strategy**: Watching for bullish confirmation above the support zone or at breakout levels could be prudent. Alternatively, failure to hold this zone may lead to bearish pressure.
Will GOLD Break the yearly High this week???We are still bullish on Gold and looking for more breakouts to happen. Price looks like it is currently establishing a Low for the week. We will look it do its think and look for it to show some signs of support before getting active. if we start making Lower Lows we will hold off and wait for breaks in structure. But overall I think there are some good moves to be caught this week cause we could be moving into full volatility.
Dollar Index Bullish to $111.350!While many people are turning bearish on the Dollar right now & targeting long term downside targets, I remain bullish on the DXY in the mid term. We have 2 zones from where bullish momentum will continue👇🏻
Zone 1: Current Market Price @$109📈
Zone 2: Supply Zone @$107-106📈
DXY - ANALYSIS👀 Observation:
Hello, everyone! I hope you're all doing well. Today, I want to share my personal view on the Dollar Index (DXY) with you.
Based on what I see on the chart, I expect the Dollar Index (DXY) to reach the resistance zone of 110.668 to 110.877 . After a small pullback, I anticipate it will start its bullish movement upwards.
If the 107.750 level breaks downward and consolidates on the 1H timeframe, a further decline could follow.
📈 Expectation:
After a minor pullback, the DXY is likely to initiate a bullish movement and continue its upward trend.
💡 Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Zone: 110.668 - 110.877
💬 What’s your view on the Dollar Index this week? Share your thoughts in the comments below!
Trade safe
"Bitcoin 2025 Peak Projection: Bullish Momentum Towards $110K Based on the chart:
1. **Major Uptrend from 2017-2025**: The long-term trendline shows consistent upward momentum, connecting key lows from 2017, 2021, and beyond. Bitcoin remains in a bullish macro structure.
2. **Key Fibonacci Levels**:
- The **1.382 Fib extension (94,770)** served as a critical resistance but was broken and now acts as support.
- The **1.618 Fib extension (109,690)** represents the next potential resistance, aligning with the projected 2025 peak.
3. **2021 Peak and 2022 Bottom**: The chart emphasizes Bitcoin's cyclical behavior, with the 2021 peak followed by a sharp 80% correction to the 2022 bottom. This highlights the possibility of a significant pullback after a new peak.
4. **Current Price Action**:
- A breakout from a consolidation channel has fueled the bullish rally.
- Bitcoin is approaching the **trendline resistance and 1.618 Fib level**, indicating a possible exhaustion zone near **110,000**.
5. **Projection for 2025**:
- A potential peak around **110,000** is expected, followed by a correction. The downside targets might include a return to the **94,770 level** or the long-term trendline for support.
### Strategy:
- **Short-term bullish bias** as Bitcoin trends toward 109,690.
- **Prepare for a reversal** around 110,000, targeting key retracement levels like 94,770 for support.
- Watch for patterns or confirmations near resistance before initiating any sell trades. CAPITALCOM:BTCUSD
Dollar strength stopped as December CPI cools
The dollar retreated further as the deceleration in core CPI for Dec increased the likelihood of a Fed rate cut. According to the CME FedWatch, the probability of a rate cut in June FOMC rose to 67% from 57%. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin stressed that inflation is approaching the 2% target again and price pressures were continuing to slow.
Failed to hold EMA21, DXY consolidates near the 109.00 threshold. The index briefly broke below EMA78 and the trendline, indicating the possibility of a bearish transition. If DXY fails to hold EMA78 and the trendline, the index may fall further to the support at 108.30. Conversely, if DXY breaches above EMA21, the index could regain upward momentum toward the 110.15 high.