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Dollar Index for Next 2 yearsThe Dollar Index (DXY) has been a critical gauge of the U.S. dollar's strength, and its movements are closely monitored by traders worldwide. Based on my analysis, I believe the next two years will bring significant challenges for the dollar, potentially leading to a heavy decline. In my view, the DXY will struggle to hold above 120, even in the case of temporary fake breakouts or sharp rejections. This level represents a strong historical resistance zone, and any attempt to break higher is likely to face immense selling pressure. However, what’s more concerning is the potential for a deep bearish trend, with the index dropping below 95 during this period. Several factors could contribute to this scenario. A pivot by the Federal Reserve toward more accommodative policies, slowing U.S. economic growth, and the growing global efforts to reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar in international trade could all weigh heavily on the index. Technically, the long-term charts indicate that the dollar is already facing structural resistance, and a break below key support levels could accelerate the decline. If the DXY does drop below 95, it could trigger ripple effects across global markets, impacting currencies, commodities, and equities alike. This level represents a critical threshold that could reshape market sentiment and trading strategies. Disclaimer: This analysis reflects my personal opinion and is not financial advice. The markets are highly volatile, and unexpected macroeconomic or geopolitical developments could drastically alter this outlook. Always conduct your own research and manage risk carefully when trading. Let me know your thoughts in the comments—do you see the Dollar Index heading for a crash, or do you have a different outlook? Let's discuss! #DXY #Forex #DollarIndex #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
TVC:DXYShort
by Safari_Trader
DXY in 4H timeframehello dear traders U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and the potential for a correction over the next month: Federal Reserve Monetary Policy: If the Federal Reserve signals a slowdown or pause in its rate hikes, it could put downward pressure on the DXY. Upcoming speeches or FOMC minutes will be key indicators to watch. U.S. Economic Data: Weaker-than-expected economic data, such as lower GDP growth, higher unemployment rates, or declining inflation, could suggest a less aggressive Fed policy, leading to a potential correction in the dollar. Global Economic Trends and Risk Sentiment: Increased risk appetite in global markets could drive investors toward riskier assets (like equities or emerging market currencies), reducing demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset. Geopolitical and International Developments: Any easing of geopolitical tensions or positive trade agreements between major economies could diminish the dollar’s safe-haven appeal and contribute to a potential correction. Correlated Markets like Gold and Oil: Rising prices in gold or oil often correlate with a weaker dollar. If these assets strengthen, it could be a sign of dollar weakness. In summary, weaker U.S. data or dovish signals from the Fed, combined with a more favorable global economic environment, could increase the likelihood of a DXY correction over the next month.
TVC:DXYShort
by mehdi_kb
GBP/USD Trade in Play – Why This Setup Could Be HUGEWhat’s great everyone? Mr. Blue Ocean FX here with an in-depth breakdown of GBP/USD. We’re currently in a trade, having entered at 1.2297, with stops set at 1.2550. Let’s dive into the key levels and what we’re looking for moving forward. On Friday, we identified a significant lower high around the 1.2297 level, which led to a strong impulse move down to 1.2104. After a pullback and rejection, price failed to make a new lower low, closing around 1.2151, and eventually breaking above resistance at 1.2210, creating a new higher high at 1.2297. We waited for a pullback and a push above 1.2297, which we got, confirming our entry with volume supporting the move. Currently, I’m monitoring the H4 candle; if we see a break and close below 1.2272, we could expect a deeper pullback into the 1.2236 zone, which would present an opportunity for a second entry. However, I believe the fair value gap (FVG) around this level will hold, leading to consolidation before another push higher. Looking at the DXY (Dollar Index) on the weekly timeframe, we had a strong push up from December 2nd to January 6th before topping out. It now appears to be rolling over, potentially forming a higher low before continuing higher. Today’s daily candle has broken structure, with a lower high forming around 109.33, suggesting short-term weakness in the dollar and potential upside for GBP/USD. As we monitor price action, the next H4 candle close will be crucial. If price holds above support and volume supports the move, we anticipate further upside. As always, keeping this breakdown short and to the point. If you found this helpful, boost it, like it, and share it with a fellow trader. Stay tuned for the next update.
Long
by BlueOceanFxAcademy
DXY - ANALYSIS👀 Observation: Hello, everyone! I hope you're all doing well. Today, I want to share my personal view on the Dollar Index (DXY) with you. Based on what I see on the chart, I expect the Dollar Index (DXY) to reach the resistance zone of 110.668 to 110.877 . After a small pullback, I anticipate it will start its bullish movement upwards. If the 107.750 level breaks downward and consolidates on the 1H timeframe, a further decline could follow. 📈 Expectation: After a minor pullback, the DXY is likely to initiate a bullish movement and continue its upward trend. 💡 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance Zone: 110.668 - 110.877 💬 What’s your view on the Dollar Index this week? Share your thoughts in the comments below! Trade safe
TVC:DXYLong
by PouyanTradeFX
Dollar strength stopped as December CPI cools The dollar retreated further as the deceleration in core CPI for Dec increased the likelihood of a Fed rate cut. According to the CME FedWatch, the probability of a rate cut in June FOMC rose to 67% from 57%. Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin stressed that inflation is approaching the 2% target again and price pressures were continuing to slow. Failed to hold EMA21, DXY consolidates near the 109.00 threshold. The index briefly broke below EMA78 and the trendline, indicating the possibility of a bearish transition. If DXY fails to hold EMA78 and the trendline, the index may fall further to the support at 108.30. Conversely, if DXY breaches above EMA21, the index could regain upward momentum toward the 110.15 high.
TVC:DXY
by inkicho_exness
Can the Dollar Index Predict Global Chaos?In the intricate dance of global finance, the U.S. Dollar Index has emerged as a pivotal player, reaching heights unseen in over two years. This surge, coinciding with Donald Trump's anticipated return to the White House, underscores a market bracing for significant policy shifts. The index's climb is not just a number; it's a beacon reflecting the resilience of the U.S. economy amidst high interest rates and a low unemployment rate, painting a picture of optimism where investors envision a 'goldilocks' scenario under new economic policies. However, this rise is shadowed by tariff threats, hinting at potential global trade disruptions. The depreciation of European currencies against the dollar signals a market in flux, with investors recalibrating their strategies in light of possible protectionist measures. This scenario challenges us to ponder the broader implications: How will these tariffs reshape international trade dynamics, and what does this mean for the global economic order that has favored open trade for decades? The Dollar Index's ascent also prompts a deeper reflection on currency as a barometer of geopolitical stability. With the U.S. potentially stepping into a new era of economic policy, the world watches closely. This moment invites investors and policymakers alike to consider global economic relations' immediate impacts and long-term trajectory. Will this lead to a reevaluation of the dollar's role as the world's reserve currency, or will it strengthen its position amidst global uncertainties? This question is not just about economics; it's about understanding the undercurrents of power and influence in a world at a crossroads.
INDEX:DXYLong
by UDIS_View
Strong Dollar Puts Bitcoin at Risk: 5 Things to Watch This Week The cryptocurrency market is bracing for a potentially volatile week as the US dollar reaches its highest point since the 2022 bear market. This surge in the dollar's strength has historically presented challenges for Bitcoin, and traders are closely monitoring several key factors that could influence BTC's price in the coming days. 1. The Dollar's Dominance The US dollar's resurgence is a critical factor for Bitcoin traders to consider. A strong dollar often exerts downward pressure on Bitcoin's price.2 This inverse relationship stems from Bitcoin's pricing in US dollars; when the dollar is strong, it takes fewer dollars to buy the same amount of Bitcoin, thus lowering the price. 2. Bitcoin's Price Risks Bitcoin's price has struggled to break free from the shackles of the bear market, and the strengthening dollar adds another layer of complexity. Traders are wary of potential downside risks, especially if the dollar continues its upward trajectory. The psychological barrier of $100k remains a key level to watch; a break below this could trigger further sell-offs. 3. Correlation with Traditional Markets Bitcoin's correlation with traditional markets, particularly the S&P 500, has been a recurring theme. As the dollar strengthens, it can also impact traditional markets, leading to a risk-off sentiment. This could further weigh on Bitcoin's price, as investors may seek safer assets like cash or bonds. 4. On-Chain Metrics While on-chain metrics provide valuable insights into Bitcoin's network activity, they may not offer immediate relief from the dollar's influence. Metrics such as exchange reserves, miner activity, and long-term holder behavior can indicate underlying strength or weakness in the Bitcoin market.3 However, these factors may take time to play out and may not immediately counteract the effects of a strong dollar. Conclusion The confluence of a strengthening US dollar and Bitcoin's existing price risks creates a challenging environment for traders. While the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains positive, the short-term picture is clouded by uncertainty. Traders should exercise caution and closely monitor the factors outlined above to navigate the potential volatility in the Bitcoin market this week.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Gold Long Term and Short TermGold Analysis and Trading Plan Gold prices saw mixed movement yesterday, gaining 0.50% and trading around $2,648. Market dynamics were driven by solid US economic data, improved services sector activity, and President-elect Donald Trump’s remarks, which boosted the US Dollar and capped Gold's rise. Key Developments: Strong US jobs data and increased business activity in services reduced expectations for further Fed rate cuts. China’s central bank increased Gold reserves for the second consecutive month, supporting bullish sentiment. US Treasury yields remain elevated, bolstering the Greenback. Upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) will likely provide the next major catalyst for Gold's movement. Technical Analysis: Short-term: Gold is forming a double top pattern around the $2,665 resistance level. A rejection here could indicate potential downside. Long-term: Gold is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern, with a bullish breakout signaling a continuation of the uptrend. Key Levels: Resistance: $2,665 (double top), $2,675, $2,700 Support: $2,624 (near-term), $2,612 (lower range of the triangle), $2,580 Trading Plan: Breakout Strategy: If Gold breaks above $2,665, it may target $2,700 and higher levels. On a downside breakout below $2,612, watch for a move toward $2,580. NFP Impact: The NFP report on Friday could drive significant volatility and provide clarity for the breakout direction. Use it to refine your entries. Risk Management Disclaimer: Trading involves significant risk. Use proper position sizing, place stop losses to manage risk, and ensure trades align with your overall strategy. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Follow for more Market analysis or if you want to learn more about the markets!
TVC:GOLDLong
by InwardTrader
US Dollar Index (DXY) Rising Channel IntactChart Analysis: The US Dollar Index (DXY) continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel (green-shaded area), signaling sustained bullish momentum. 1️⃣ Ascending Channel: The DXY is consolidating near the channel's midline, with the upper boundary around 110.00 acting as a potential resistance area. A breakout above the channel's upper boundary would signal continued bullish momentum, while a retracement to the lower boundary around 106.00 could provide buying opportunities. 2️⃣ Key Support Levels: The 50-day SMA (blue line) at 106.50 is providing dynamic support, aligning with the channel's lower boundary. The 200-day SMA (red line) at 104.50 reinforces long-term support. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: Currently at 62, indicating bullish momentum but shy of overbought levels. MACD: Momentum remains positive, with the MACD line above the signal line, supporting the bullish bias. What to Watch: Monitor the channel's upper boundary for potential resistance or breakout opportunities. Watch for pullbacks towards the 50-day SMA and lower trendline for potential support levels. RSI and MACD trends will be key in confirming momentum strength or weakness. The DXY remains firmly within its bullish structure, with the ascending channel and moving averages providing a clear technical framework for traders to follow. -MW
TVC:DXY
by FOREXcom
1
When to trade Dollars ($) to Euro's (€) and the other way aroundWhen exchanging dollars (USDT or USDC) for euros, it's best to do so when the dollar is strong against the euro, meaning you’ll get more euros for your dollars. The same goes for the reverse—if the euro is stronger, it's a good time to exchange euros for dollars (or stablecoins like USDT and USDC). For crypto, since stablecoins like USDT and USDC are pegged to the dollar, their value closely follows the dollar's movements. Pay attention to factors such as interest rates, inflation, and global economic events that affect the dollar's strength. If you're holding USDT or USDC and believe the dollar will weaken, converting to euros or another currency could be a good move. Similarly, if the euro weakens, you might exchange euros for dollars or stablecoins to benefit from a stronger dollar.
by Crypto_Warrrior