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Dollarshort

Time for the Dollar to be realisticWith the news of Donald Trump being the united states new president we have seen nothing but euphoric bullish price action of the dollar. However, I believe that it is finally time for that to come to an end and for the dollar to continue in it's gradual and slow demise. I believe the dollar push to the upside was nothing but a retracement on the HTF and with the bitcoin becoming more of a powerhouse we will continue to see the dollar lose its value. This is supported through my analysis as we can see the dollar reacting from the weekly imbalance and creating LL and LH and Breaking structure to the downside. I believe that this will continue this week and be looking to sell after price takes the ASH and forms Wyckoff in my 3H supply. My only hesitation is that my other pairs that go against the dollar I am also predicting to sell, Although we haven't seen the usual correlation between the pairs they normally have i am still cautious but my analysis remains ever true. If the dollar decides to push further up it will simply be filling the remainder of the Imbalance in order to have a proper reaction from the weekly supply.
TVC:DXYShort
by JamelCapital
DXY Shorts from the daily supply at 104.200 back down.The dollar has broken significant structure to the downside, leaving a clean, unmitigated daily supply zone with an imbalance that adds validity to this point of interest. Once price reaches this level, I'll likely refine the zone and wait for a CHOCH on the lower timeframe. If price moves down first, I’ll watch for it to enter the newly created 3-hour demand zone, which swept previous higher-timeframe structure. This could propel the dollar up to the supply zone. Confluences for DXY Shorts: Strong bearish momentum on the higher timeframe, breaking previous structure. Significant liquidity to the downside. A solid daily supply zone caused this move, with an imbalance below. This pro-trend trade aligns with my other pairs. P.S. I expect Monday to start slow, with consolidation before either zone is mitigated. We'll make our move from there.
TVC:DXYShort
by Hassan_fx
DXY (Dollar Index) Shorts from 103.400 back down!As the dollar has been consolidating in the past week, opportunities near the current price are limited. However, my nearest Point of Interest (POI) is a supply zone on the 14-hour chart. I am looking to capitalize on this by selling to continue the bearish trend observed in the dollar index. I'll be patiently waiting for a breakout from this range, aiming to fill the imbalances above and eventually reach our identified supply zone. On the flip side, if price breaks below the consolidation, it could tap into a demand zone, sweeping liquidity beneath the range. In this scenario, I anticipate a bullish reaction, possibly a temporary move to the upside before eventually targeting our supply zone. Confluences for Dollar sells are as follows: - Overall temporary trend for this pair is bearish so this idea aligns with that bias. - Bullish pressure is now getting exhausted as you can see from the ranging price action - Price has left imbalances just below the supply that needs to get filled, validating our POI. - There is lots of liquidity to the downside that needs to be taken. - Price is due for a pullback to enter a level of supply if price wants to keep dropping lower. P.S. If price unfolds in a manner similar to how EURUSD is behaving, I will patiently await a breakout from this area. Subsequently, I will assess its behaviour and adapt my approach based on the information the market presents. Have a great week ahead traders!
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Hassan_fx
1
DXY (Dollar) Shorts from 103.300 down to 102.200This Weeks DXY bias is to expect another major move to the downside to continue its bearish trend that it has now set. To capitalise on this movement we will wait for a minor pull back up to a near unmitigated supply, (which will be the 9hr) to look for entries to get into this selling trend. From this we will look for our usual wyckoff distribution to play out on the lower time frame and a CHOCH inside our POI to the enter our sell positions. I would love to see the asian high get swept as well because it will increase our confluence for a stronger sell bias. Overall I am temporarily bearish for the dollar and I expect price to keep dropping for the rest of this year. Confluences for DXY (dollar) sells are as follows: - Price is temprorarily bearish due to the perpetual BOS to the downside. - There's still trend liquidity left to the downside that hasn't been taken. - For price to react off next there is a demand zone below on the 4hr region. - There is a clean supply 9hr that caused an impulsive to the downside. - By the candle stick anatomy bearish candles are very strong holding lots of momentum. P.S. I would ideally wait for this structure to break first before seeing the correction back up to the 9hr however, if price goes that low I see it continuing going down to reach our next demand. Which we will then anticipate a potential short term buy back up. ALSO WE HAVE REACHED 100 FOLLOWERS, SO MANY THANKS! BE SURE TO SHARE THE PAGE TO YOUR FELLOW TRADERS AND HAVE AN AMAZING TRADING WEEK AHEAD!!!
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Hassan_fx
1
DXY$ Shorts from 105.800 down towards 105.200As expected our last week scenario (A) played out perfectly like we anticipated which was seeing a bullish reaction from the 4hr demand. For this week's bias we are still temporarily bearish with the dollar as it's approaching a clean 14hr supply zone. As soon as it gets tapped in I will be waiting for my lower time frame confirmation i.e. a Wyckoff distribution schematic and a clean CHOCH to the downside. I would preferably wait for the asian high to get swept inside the zone before looking for a drop in the dollar index. I am bullish long term but, as price has broken structure a few times to the downside I would like to catch sells down towards the next demand at least. My confluences for DXY$ Shorts are as follows: - Price approaching a 14hr supply zone that has broken structure the downside. - Imbalances have fully been filled and momentum has slowed down (good sign for a reversal) - Huge trend line left way below that price would want to grab and theres also lots of liquidity below to target as take profit levels. - In order for price to keep pushing up it will need to enter a level of demand, so as of now we will be trying to catch sells down towards a demand. P.S. Only if my extreme 7hr supply zone gets violated, we will then know if price wants to continue in its bullish trend or not. But as of now I see price dropping more due to the perpetual BOS's. Also, as the dollar is a direct negative correlation to most of my pairs, the bias will suggest a bullish move to take place for EU, GU and gold If DXY$ decides to continue bearish.
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Hassan_fx
1
USDCAD on a fall USDCAD since early this morning is on a consistent fall on the 15 minute chart. AMEX:USD Dollar strength issues have continued with the latest hike in prime interest rates trying to cool down inflation. Canadian dollar is buoyed by the rising spot price of gold and oil which are more prominent parts of the Canadian economy than they are in the USA> The chart shows a ride down the lower Bollinger Bands with no signs of reversal as of yet. As a leveraged forex trade heading into the market close I will open a good sized position scalping into 5-10 minutes before the close for the week,
Short
by AwesomeAvani
US Inflation Slows for Ninth Month: What's the Plan, Jay Powell?The US annual inflation rate has slowed down for the ninth month in a row, hitting 5% in March of 2023. While this is the lowest it's been since May of 2021, it's still well above the Fed's target of 2%. Investors are trying to figure out when the central bank will put the brakes on its hiking campaign to slow inflation. The March FOMC minutes (released this morning) revealed that some Federal Reserve policymakers discussed hitting the pause button on interest rate increases, following the collapse of two regional banks. However, ultimately, all policymakers decided that tackling high inflation was still the top priority. In the end, they went ahead with a rate hike, despite the potential risks Complicating matters, core CPI (which excludes food and energy components) has gone up to 5.6%, after rising by 5.5% in February. This has led some people to believe that more tightening is in the cards. Initially, money markets thought that the Fed might not raise interest rates in May, but expectations have since risen to 70.5%. The Dollar index remains at its lowest since February 2nd, steady near 101.5. As for Canada, things are looking up - the Bank of Canada has left its key overnight interest rate on hold at 4.50% as expected, while curbing language warning of a potential recession. The Canadian dollar has responded positively, inching up to around 1.34 per USD. Meanwhile, the British pound has risen towards $1.25, nearing a ten-month high of $1.2525 that was touched on April 4. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey has stated that he doesn't see any signs of a repeat of the 2007/8 global financial crisis, which is reassuring news for investors. They're betting that the Bank of England will continue to raise interest rates to combat inflation, adding some fuel to the GBP.
TVC:DXY
by BlackBull_Markets
Dollar Index Chart Analysis.... In this situation DXY Short time chart create Bearish BAT Pattern. So, market short term Buy UP to 104:930; and 105:100 resistance level. Then market need long sell correction to nearest Support 103.700 and 103.400 level. AronnoFX will not accept any liability for loss or damage as a result of reliance on the information contained within this channel including data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals. If you like this idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow. Traders, if you like this idea or have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad.
TVC:DXYLong
by AronnoFx
USDJPY - bearish impulseHello everybody! We are currently in a downtrend on USDJPY on a daily and weekly timeframe, and we could expect another aggressive impulse, creating a lower low. The price has just retested the daily support that became resistance, and also the EMA. MACD lines are below 0 and the moving averages are also showing confluence to this bearish scenario. Moreover, the CS Indicator is indicating USD getting weaker, while JPY strengthening. OANDA:USDJPY FX:USDJPY
Short
by m_maia14
6
Off to 133 for a decisive Check of S/RUSDJPY gave us a bit of trouble over 147 and then it became a beautiful trade/opportunity once below that level. I have explained before how the US has become toxic for it's allies. You can read about it here: As well as here: and here: Unlike non traditional assets, this kind of charts offer us amazing opportunity. Similar to going short on EURUSD right at the very top: What happens at 133? Price under that level ends up free falling to 107.7. Then again that same 133 could be a massive rebound...to be seen. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR
Short
by FX_Professor
9
USD/RUB - Regime Change IndicatorRegime Change Indicator The Russian ruble will let us know when the madness might end. The Russian ruble has halved in value over the last four months, accelerating that trend recently, coincident with economic sanctions being imposed by governments and by corporations themselves. At the start of the war, some economists noted that the Russian economy might be able to withstand sanctions given that it has made itself less reliant on foreign capital over the past decade. This is up for debate, but what is not, is the prospect of rampant consumer price inflation and increasing unemployment in Russia. Attention is turning to how long the Putin regime can last before the Russian people rise up against it. Perhaps Elliott waves can give us a clue as to when that might happen. Should the Putin regime be toppled, it will no doubt be subsequent to, or coincident with, an appreciating ruble. The chart of USD-RUB offers a compelling wave count whereby a Fibonacci 13-year advance in USD-RUB (depreciating ruble) is coming to an end. Within this count, Primary degree wave 5 (circled) will equal 1.618 times the length of waves 1 through 3 at 167.32 (a typical turning point when wave 5 is extended). This count also offers an Elliott channel target, connecting waves 2 and 4 and paralleling from wave 3, which comes in around current levels. Thus, there appears to be quite strong evidence that USD-RUB is close to a top (i.e., a low in the ruble). Of course, the ruble can appreciate without the Putin regime being toppled but given the zeitgeist, a lasting low in the ruble (top in USD-RUB) would seem to be probable only with Russia re-entering the global economy, and that would mean Putin no longer being there. If this wave count is correct, therefore, it might be a sign of hope that the madness will end soon.
Short
by ferGOD
13
Dollar complete W pattern ready to SELLDollar index ready to short from 109.4 to 106.4. Technically, Dollar create strong bearish divergence in weekly time frame. Big Picture! Dollar now on solid bullish trend or up trend and still dominates the higher price. DISCLAIMER Remember, there is no place for luck in trading - only strategy! This analysis can change at anytime without any update and it is only for the purpose of assisting traders to make independent investments decisions. We are the only one person who is responsible for our physical, mental health, relationships, success, and money in our lives. So taking a trading or investment risk on the markets based on this idea. You deserve the profit and you are responsible for your potential loss. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, or other information discussed in this idea. Here i anticipated by price action, please do not consider investment advice, Because i'm not your official financial advisor. The author of this analysis does not accept liability for any loss or damage.
TVC:DXYShort
by mahfuzazim_TA
EURO USD LONG EUR/USD LONG TO 1,35 As per technical side SANK as per 1M Stoch RSI. That factor will certainly prevail which will cause stronger EUR and regaining the ratio in a favor of EU currency. *MACD. multy cross on 1W *1M KDJ bottomed. *RSI hit the bottom on 1M timeframe. Strong EURO will make Europe less competitive and leading towards implosion in certain timeframe (strong currency, bigger export prices, unable to " compete" and participate "under same conditions". ECB made 2 stimulation packages in an amount of 500 bn + 250 bn euros in order to increase liquity. US added few trillions too, now continualy increases interest rates. As every other stornger economy, Europe will become less competitive, (gas price is 3000$) and so on. Petro dollar benefits from this, but, eventualy, US economy will collide and EU will follow.
Long
by milanjelic
13
The Dollar Hasn't Done this in 20 years! What does this mean?Hey guys, It's been a couple of weeks since I put out an update. I am seeing some interesting indicators in the market as I come back to studying these charts. Today we'll take a close look at the dollar, the vix, and we'll also jump to Bitcoin, and talk about unemployment and OIL prices. These are all valid indicators of future price action in the market and if I am reading the charts right, we should see some relief here over the next few weeks. - Stew
TVC:DXY
by stewdamus