How will the upcoming recession impact META?NASDAQ:META
Although the macro environment is starting to look more negative for the equity market, I believe this to be one of the outliers that may still have some room to run.
Recent earnings showed a modest increase in spending designated for AI, which was a worry of mine going into earning with Zuckerberg's track record of overspending.
They seem to have investor focus with their current business model. This is truly a money printing machine.
At this time it's clear that any company wanting to spend ad dollars is turning to META first and will likely cut spending elsewhere. META's continued ability to help companies target their customers far exceeds that of any other ad-based company.
In addition to their improvements in ad revenue and daily active users across all their platforms, they have been able to make noticeable gains in both VR and AR markets.
How much longer until other hardware plays like Apple (AAPL) risk becoming obsolete? Obviously, it is way too soon to make a call against AAPL, but it seems they are behind the ball on everything they are rolling out. With AI helping developers create hardware, I think this may start cutting into AAPL's competitive advantage. If this ends up being true, META's development in hardware may begin to pay off.
Looking at the chart, it's hard not to see a double top with likely further downside coming in the future. This has also fallen below its 100-day MA and failed to hold levels above when retested it. If the downward pressure continues, I am going to be a huge buyer between $385 and $400. In the short term, I may buy some out-of-the-money puts with these targets and load up on calls if it retraces to the previous all-time high support.
Double Top
BTC → a little bit correction!hello guys.
let's start to analyze Bitcoin!
Double Top Formation:
The chart clearly indicates a double-top pattern, which is a bearish reversal pattern. This suggests that the price might face downward pressure in the short term.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance: The price faced resistance around the 68,000 USDT mark and failed to break through, forming the double top.
Support: The purple-shaded areas around 65,000 USDT and 64,500 USDT mark potential support levels where the price might find some buying interest.
Breakout and Retest:
The price has broken below the neckline of the double top pattern and is currently retesting this level. A further decline towards the lower support levels is likely if the retest confirms the resistance.
Trend Lines:
An upward trend line has been broken, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish sentiment in the short term.
Potential Scenarios:
Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to reclaim the neckline and the support at 65,000 USDT doesn't hold, it could drop further to the next support around 64,500 USDT.
Bullish Scenario: If the price manages to break back above the neckline and sustain the momentum, it might retest the recent highs of around 68,000 USDt.
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Gold Just Left me behind... AGAIN! Here's How you can Avoid This1. Daily Trendline
Description: The yellow trendline running across the chart represents the overall upward trend on the daily timeframe. It shows that despite the recent fluctuations, the long-term trend has been bullish.
Significance: This trendline serves as a dynamic support level. Traders often look for price action around this trendline to gauge the strength of the ongoing trend. A break below this trendline could signal a potential reversal or a stronger bearish movement.
2. Ascending Channel
Larger Ascending Channel:
Description: This channel is characterized by two parallel lines (yellow) sloping upwards. The price has been moving within this channel for a considerable period.
Significance: The upper boundary acts as resistance, while the lower boundary serves as support. The price breaking below the lower boundary can indicate the end of the bullish trend and the beginning of a bearish trend.
Smaller Ascending Channel:
Description: A smaller channel within the larger context, indicating a shorter-term upward movement.
Significance: The break below this smaller channel, as shown on the chart, signifies a potential reversal or correction within the larger trend.
3. Support/Resistance
Description: Horizontal lines marked as support and resistance represent key price levels where the price has historically faced buying or selling pressure.
Significance: These levels are crucial for identifying potential entry and exit points. The support level acts as a floor where buying interest is strong enough to prevent the price from falling further. Conversely, the resistance level acts as a ceiling where selling interest prevents the price from rising further.
4. Higher High (HH) and Lower High (LH)
HH (Higher High):
Description: A peak higher than the previous peak, indicating the continuation of an uptrend.
Significance: The formation of a higher high typically signals bullish momentum. However, in this case, the subsequent failure to maintain this level and the formation of a lower high (LH) suggests weakening bullish strength.
LH (Lower High):
Description: A peak lower than the previous peak, indicating potential trend reversal.
Significance: The lower high after a higher high is a bearish signal, suggesting that buyers are losing control and sellers are gaining strength.
5. 15M/5M Bear Flag Entry
Description: A bear flag pattern on the 15-minute and 5-minute timeframes is highlighted. This pattern consists of a sharp decline followed by a short consolidation in the form of an upward-sloping channel (flag).
Significance: The bear flag is a continuation pattern, indicating that after a brief consolidation, the price is likely to continue its downward movement. The breakout from this flag pattern provides a potential entry point for short positions.
6. Target Profit Levels (TP 1 and Daily LQZ/TP 2)
TP 1 (2,347.560):
Description: The first target profit level is set at 2,347.560.
Significance: This level is likely determined based on historical support levels or a measured move from the recent price action. Traders might look to take partial profits or exit their positions at this level.
Daily LQZ/TP 2 (2,265.195):
Description: The second target profit level is set at 2,265.195, which aligns with the daily liquidity zone.
Significance: This is a more ambitious target, potentially indicating a stronger bearish move. The liquidity zone suggests an area with significant trading volume, which could act as a magnet for the price.
Conclusion
The chart presents a comprehensive analysis of the XAUUSD (Gold Spot) with multiple technical indicators suggesting a potential bearish outlook. The breakdown from the ascending channels, the formation of a lower high, and the bear flag pattern all point towards a continuation of the downward trend. The identified support and resistance levels, along with the target profit zones, provide clear benchmarks for managing trades.
Overlapping double top & double bottom patterns on xrpusdHard to say which one of these patterns are more likely to get validated at this point. Always a chance Bitcoin dumps one last big leg down from now until June in which case one last big capitulation dump could be enough to trigger the double top pattern here. However if the correction for bitcoin has already found its bottom then I think its a higher probability that the double bottom pattern is the one that gets validated. Either way I think a decision will be made on one or the other before June. To actually get the double top pattern to play out and drop as low as this target would be an amazing opportunity of a gift to load up on much more xrp in my opinion *not financial advice*
AMZNIs AMZN exhausting at resistance zone?
As the price is been on high bull run but now it seems like price is lacking bullish momentum after printing double top pattern at resistance level and bearish divergence suggesting the sell pressure is about to start.
If the bears took control , the 1st target could be 185
What you guys think of it?
Time to Consider an Even Bigger Double-TopLose 56.5 by tomorrow's close (3 daily chart), or the weekly close, and we could target at least 45k and possible weekly support (green box starting at ~44k), or even a dip below weekly support to just below ~40k.
Good luck, this idea is invalidated if we bounce off of 56.5k or higher and move back above 67.2k
SPY: Beware of These Reversal Patterns!In the daily chart of the SPY, a potential double top pattern is forming, signaling a bearish reversal. The key resistance level for this pattern is around 550.12, where the price has failed to break through on two recent occasions, marked by red arrows.
This level is critical for traders to watch as it represents a significant hurdle for any upward momentum. If SPY fails to close above this resistance, it might lead to a bearish breakdown towards the neckline support at 542.62. A break below this level would confirm the double top pattern, potentially leading to a further decline towards the next support around 533.07.
On the weekly chart, a gravestone doji pattern has emerged, a strong bearish reversal signal, especially after a sustained uptrend. This pattern indicates that buyers were unable to maintain higher prices, leading to a close near the week's low.
The gravestone doji, appearing near the resistance level around 550.12, reinforces the bearish outlook suggested by the daily double top pattern. If the bearish sentiment persists, the first significant support to monitor is the 21-week EMA, which has historically provided dynamic support during uptrends.
Integrating the daily and weekly charts, SPY is at a crucial juncture. The double top pattern on the daily chart and the gravestone doji on the weekly chart both indicate potential bearish pressure. If you are bullish, a decisive close above 550.12 would invalidate the double top and suggest a continuation of the uptrend. However, the current technical indicators favor a bearish scenario, with the potential for a significant correction if key support levels are breached. For now, we should closely monitor these critical levels to gauge SPY's next move, balancing the bearish signals with the potential for bullish invalidation.
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Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
BITCOINHi guys
If the support range of $65,800 is consumed, the possibility of completing the double top pattern and a downward trend will be strengthened.
It is likely that the announced data will be the driver of this downward trend if it is announced more than expected.
Considering the maintenance of the resistance range, the possibility of continuing the upward trend is weak, and it should be seen how Bitcoin reacts to the specified support range.
What do you think?
M Double tops is on the map This is what I'm looking at for BTC at the moment. Double Tops are in the back of my mind, keeping an eye on that neckline. It could be a Higher Low, but there could be a Liquidity grab in the scope, printing a Lower Low.
in overall This is a healthy correction in my opinion. Check the grey % measured from the top to the EMA 50.
Somehow, the good corrections always come with a dose of FUD.
What if... we lose the EMA 50 on the week ? Well then my next stop could be $43568.85 as in a bullish breaker block on a higher time frame.
Possible Double-Top Targeting 60-63kIf 67k is lost and not reclaimed, Bitcoin may target a drop down to ~63k and then 60-61k (around 60.6k).
This relates to a couple of other charts previously posted:
A smaller double-top on the 4 hour chart that is already confirmed and hit TP 1, which is likely headed towards TP 2:
A daily chart that is targeting 73-75k if it can hold 60k:
$BTCUSD - Oh no, double top?Hi guys! 👋🏻
🔔 $71400 is a static barrier for $BTC. The resistance which #Bitcoin is yet to break. Bitcoin is lacking liquidity to overcome that resistance, thus I'm waiting for the continuation of a correction.
🔔 Any bullish sign will be only above the aforesaid resistance or when #BTC completes the double top pattern and withholds the support at $60800.
🔔 Watch the area marked with rectangle on this chart closely.
✊🏻 Good luck with your trades! ✊🏻
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