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Double Top or Bottom

EURUSD DUMP Easily anticipating a lock for high of week. If not, I will cove to .055 Rapid 1.2.3 (i) (ii) (iii) on Monday's open running straight to previous week highs before bearish ChoCh, BOS and change in market structure. LO premarket move anticipating to control risk with SL to BE targeting equilibrium or 50% retracement to open the week ***Unfortunately price is currently trading above VWAP. A strong high volume move across is required to validate the move*** -YungEmsi
Short
by YungEmsi_254
1
GBP/NZD - 1H Analysis & Prediction📉 GBP/NZD - 1H Analysis & Prediction 🔹 Key Market Structure & Levels: ✅ Choch (Change of Character) & BOS (Break of Structure) confirm bearish sentiment. ✅ Fair Value Gap (FVG) in the supply zone indicates potential rejection. ✅ Demand Zones: 2.18352 - 2.18687 (Potential reaction area) 2.16800 - 2.17231 (Stronger demand zone) 📌 Scenarios to Watch: 1️⃣ Bearish Move Before Reversal: Price might reject from the FVG zone and drop towards the 2.18352 - 2.18687 zone. If it breaks below, expect further downside to 2.16800 - 2.17231 before a potential bullish move. 2️⃣ Bullish Move to 2.21504: If price reacts from the demand zone, it may push towards 2.21504, a key liquidity target. Watch for a bullish confirmation after tapping the demand zone. 💡 Trading Plan: ✅ Look for short entries around the FVG zone. ✅ Monitor bullish price action at 2.18352 - 2.18687 for potential long positions. ✅ If price sweeps 2.16800 - 2.17231, expect a strong reversal to the upside. #FXFOREVER #GBPNZD #SmartMoney #LiquidityHunt #ForexTrading #PriceAction
Long
by FXFOREVER_87
1
NATGAS Short Squeeze on the Cards? NATURAL GAS – INTEGRATED PREMIUM TRADING/INVESTMENT REPORT (All data current as of Feb 21, 2025, unless otherwise noted. No major updates post-Feb 21. Any contradictory signals are flagged in context.) 1) EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Natural Gas (NG) has shifted into a bullish structure on higher timeframes after a prolonged 2022 downtrend. Macro indicators suggest that while U.S. gas storage is somewhat below the five-year average, Europe’s inventories remain comfortable due to strong LNG inflows. On the positioning side, hedge funds are still net short, yet price has rallied significantly off sub-$2.00 levels—a textbook setup for a potential short squeeze. Technically, NG shows a weekly uptrend with higher highs and higher lows, supported by strong momentum (price above long-term moving averages and Ichimoku Cloud). Lower timeframes (daily, 4H) remain bullish but reveal short-term consolidation around the 4.50–4.57 resistance zone. The biggest “conflict flag” is the gap between stubbornly high short interest and ongoing price strength. Bullish Arguments • Confirmed uptrend on weekly and daily charts • Price trading above major SMAs and Ichimoku cloud levels • Potential for a short squeeze if large net shorts unwind Bearish/Contradictory Arguments • Significant hedge-fund net shorts persist • Mild European winter and stable US production could cap demand-driven spikes • Price nearing technical resistance around 4.50–4.57 2) MACRO & MARKET SENTIMENT OVERVIEW Global Macro Context • US Storage: Most recent data showed weekly withdrawals leaving storage levels roughly 5% below the five-year average. • Europe: EU gas inventories remain higher than typical for this time of year, thanks to increased LNG imports. That limits immediate winter crisis worries but does not fully remove upside price risks in case of abrupt cold or supply disruption. • Speculative Positioning: Money managers continue to hold net short positions, indicating a degree of skepticism about sustaining higher prices. Still, the spot market has climbed off its lows significantly since early 2023, underscoring potential volatility if shorts unwind. Conflict Flag: Persistent short positioning vs. a rising price environment suggests an unstable equilibrium—either further short covering fuels a continued move higher or renewed selling pushes NG lower if bullish catalysts fade. 3) ECONOMIC CALENDAR Below are key dates/events over the next 1–2 weeks that could shape Natural Gas price action: Date Event Potential Impact Wed (Weekly) EIA Petroleum Status Report Can affect overall energy sentiment, though more relevant for crude. Minor spillover to NG possible. Thu (Weekly) EIA Natural Gas Storage Report A surprise in weekly storage data can trigger strong NG moves. Feb 29 (Fri) China PMI (February) Strong manufacturing may support global LNG demand; weak data might weigh on energy complex. Next 1–2 Weeks Unscheduled OPEC+ or Russia updates Any disruption or policy shift in global energy markets can indirectly impact gas sentiment. All references are based on last known data as of Feb 21. If these dates pass without new surprises, the market may focus on other factors such as weather or any unexpected LNG facility outages. 4) TECHNICAL OVERVIEW Weekly Timeframe • Market Structure: Transition from 2022’s downtrend to clear higher highs/lows in 2023. Price is above the 10, 50, 100, and 200-week SMAs. • Ichimoku: Price is above the weekly cloud, with a bullish Tenkan–Kijun cross. • Momentum: RSI near 70 (approaching overbought), MACD strongly positive, ADX around mid-30s indicating a strengthening trend. • Key Weekly Support: ~3.00–3.30, a major pivot where strong accumulation previously took place. • Key Weekly Resistance: ~4.50–5.00, historical supply blocks from the 2022 sell-off. Daily Timeframe • Trend: Continues forming higher highs/lows, price remains above all daily SMAs. • Indicators: RSI around 60–65 (positive), MACD above zero, Bollinger upper band near 4.50. • Support Levels: 4.00–4.10 (key pivot and volume cluster), 3.60–3.70 (bullish order block). • Resistance: 4.50–4.57 area (recent swing high, Bollinger upper band). 4H & Intraday • Short-Term Structure: Still bullish, though momentum has cooled below ~4.57. • Momentum Indicators: 4H MACD rolling over near zero, RSI near 59–65. • Key Intraday Levels: • Support ~4.13–4.15 (recent local low). Below 4.00 would signal deeper pullback potential. • Resistance ~4.50–4.57 (local supply). No new price or indicator updates beyond Feb 21. Any significant market move after that date is not reflected in these technicals. 5) KEY LEVELS & CONFLUENCE • Major Weekly Support: 3.00–3.30 • Daily/Intermediate Support: 3.60–3.70, 4.00–4.10 • Near-Term Support: ~4.13–4.15 intraday pivot • Resistance: 4.50–4.57 overhead; if cleared, 5.00 becomes the next psychological barrier Fibonacci extensions from the rally low (~1.90) point to 4.23–4.30 (already tested) and ~5.00 as a further extension if momentum continues. 6) TRADE SCENARIOS & FRAMEWORK Bullish Scenarios 1. Aggressive (High Risk) • Entry: Near 4.13–4.15 or a dip that reclaims 4.10 on short-term charts. • Stop: Tight, below 4.00–4.05. • Targets: 4.50–4.57 (T1), then 4.70–5.00 (T2). • Rationale: Quick bounce play, potential short squeeze continuation. • Risk: High whipsaw risk if support fails. 2. Moderate Risk • Entry: 4H close above ~4.20–4.25, confirming renewed upside momentum. • Stop: Below 4.00. • Targets: Same T1 and T2. • Rationale: Waits for short-term structure to turn clearly bullish again. 3. Conservative • Entry: 4H or daily close above 4.45–4.50. • Stop: Wider, below ~4.00. • Targets: 4.57 (T1) then 5.00 (T2). • Rationale: Ensures resistance is cleared, aligning with the dominant uptrend. Invalidation: A decisive close below 4.00 on strong volume would undermine the bullish outlook. Bearish Scenarios (Deeper Correction) 1. Aggressive (High Risk) • Entry: Breakdown under 4.13 or a rejection at 4.40–4.45. • Stop: Above 4.50. • Targets: 4.00 (T1), 3.70–3.60 (T2). • Rationale: Catch a short-term reversal if momentum stalls. • Risk: Countertrend trade in a larger bullish market. 2. Moderate Risk • Entry: 4H close below 4.13, confirming short-term structure break. • Stop: Above 4.50. • Targets: 4.00, then 3.70–3.60 if deeper selling unfolds. 3. Conservative • Entry: Daily close under 4.00. • Stop: Above 4.40–4.50. • Targets: 3.70–3.60, potentially more if weekly uptrend truly unravels. Invalidation: Reclaiming 4.50 on a closing basis would negate the bearish thesis and likely resume the broader uptrend. 7) RISK MANAGEMENT • Volatility (ATR): Weekly ATR ~0.44, daily ATR ~0.25. NG can move swiftly, so calibrate stops and position sizes accordingly. • Position Sizing: Consider risking only 1–2% of trading capital per trade, scaling out at interim targets. • Data/Events: The EIA Natural Gas Storage report each Thursday often sparks volatility. Unexpected weather or LNG facility disruptions can also move prices quickly. • Conflict Flags: Large net shorts in futures vs. rising spot price. Keep watch if short covering intensifies or if fresh sellers step in. 8) CONCLUSION & ACTION STEPS • If price sustains above 4.00–4.10 and we see momentum pick up (e.g., a 4H close >4.25), then a retest of 4.50–4.57 is likely, and possibly up to 5.00 on a breakout. • If price drops below 4.00 (especially on a daily close), then expect deeper pullbacks toward 3.70–3.60. • Keep an eye on the weekly EIA data release and any abrupt weather or geopolitical shifts. • Use prudent stops: Natural Gas is inherently volatile, so a balanced approach to position sizing and partial profit-taking is advisable. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. All trading carries risk—exercise caution, maintain adequate stops, and stay updated on real-time market developments.
PEPPERSTONE:NATGASLong
by EliteMarketAnalysis
Embraer S.A. Stock Quote | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Embraer S.A. Stock Quote - Double Formation * (Uptrend Argument)) | Completed Survey | Subdivision 1 * (Area Of Value)) At 36.00 USD | Bottom Structure - Triple Formation * ABC Flat Feature & Potential Entry | Subdivision 2 * 1st Retracement Configuration | 0.5 Area | Subdivision 3 * Daily Time Frame | Trend Settings Condition - (Hypothesis On Entry Bias)) * (Long Condition)) At 50.00 USD * Ongoing Entry & Channel Feature Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; European-Session(Upwards) - East Coast-Session(Downwards) - Asian-Session(Ranging) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Buy
CAPITALCOM:ERJLong
by TradePolitics
Oscar health triple bottomThis stock looks bottomed out here, many touch points along the point of interest. We noted a bearish downfall of momentum and volatility. This has passed and it looks like we have a pivot here. RSI is rising alongside a falling price, this is divergence. Often times trend lines and patterns work out better on indicators than actual price action. My plan: I am slowly buying low risk LEAPS 35$ strike for Jan. This keeps my capital allocation low but my upside tremendous due to potential delta expansion
NYSE:OSCRLong
by Apollo_21mil
4
CAD/JPY: Potential Reversal as Buyers Step InCAD/JPY has shown signs of exhaustion in its bearish momentum after completing a deep Bat harmonic pattern. The pair has reached a key Fibonacci extension zone, where price action suggests a possible reversal. Bullish interest is evident with price stabilising near the 105.50 level, supported by oversold conditions on momentum indicators. If buyers sustain pressure, a corrective move towards 106.50 and potentially 107.18 could unfold. Confirmation through a breakout of local resistance would further validate a bullish recovery scenario.
Long
by BeaucoupPips
Bitcoin Rallies, but Institutional Caution RemainsBitcoin extends its bullish momentum, supported by increased risk appetite in the cryptocurrency sector, marking three consecutive sessions of gains and heading towards a positive weekly close after three weeks under pressure. Currently, it is trading around $99,000, reinforcing the perception that, despite recent volatility, investors still maintain support and interest in crypto assets. However, signs of caution emerge from the institutional front. This week, Bitcoin ETFs recorded significant outflows, with $364 million withdrawn yesterday and a total of $490 million so far this week. This behavior suggests that some institutional participants prefer to stay on the sidelines amid macroeconomic uncertainty. A relatively positive factor comes from the derivatives market, where short liquidations far exceed long positions, indicating that traders have closed their bearish exposures after being pressured by the recent rally. Meanwhile, open interest rose 7.2% to reach $35.2 billion, mostly driven by long positions. On the monetary front, the Federal Reserve's restrictive stance continues to weigh on Bitcoin's potential. Recently, FED members reaffirmed their intention to keep interest rates in the 4.25%-4.50% range, maintaining pressure on higher-risk assets. This high-rate environment limits the appeal of riskier assets, affecting the performance of Bitcoin and crypto-related stocks. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSD
by Pepperstone
Bitcoin End of 20258 Bullrun price EstimationFor a long time now (since 2017) I've been observing and analyzing Bitcoin. My previous long-term predictions were accurate regarding the time of happening, so with that in mind, the end of this bull run should start in October of 2025. The price is unknown to anyone but as for the logarithmic scale we should be getting 200k If we're lucky 300k and if everyone goes crazy on Bitcoin then 400k or even more would be possible. I rather stay in a more realistic range and look for 200k as a great point to start the exit.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by estimyth
ETHUSD and Crypto Signaling Risk On?So typically for equities I use the one hour, but when it comes to crypto being that a trading day is 4x a typical day for equities, I use the 4 hour. The one thing about my momentum indicator, is that forward testing has indicated that the longer a trade survives, the more likely it is to win! This one looks like we have a double bottom in the works as it approaches the neckline. If it can breakout, instead of testing that take profit, we are likely to smash thru it. I guess patience pays... The signal was created by the King Trading Momentum Strategy combines the 5 EMA crossing above the 13 EMA, RSI strength, favorable momentum as measured by ADX plus evaluating recent volume changes and even something that measures breakout momentum called Beta for some equities! ETHUSD and over 100 equities are built into this script, as well as, BTCUSD and SOLUSD with optimal backtest take profits and stop losses and can be toggled on by simply checking a box (default they are turned off). I always enable Using Bar Magnifier and On Bar Close in Properties.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by KingTrading999
The SECRET to BULLISH CHART PATTERNS | EducationBullish chart patterns play out towards the upside... atleast most of the time. In some cases, a bullish pattern forms - seemingly strong- but ends up going the complete opposite direction. There is a way to navigate this very frustrating outcome - by waiting for confirmation. Through waiting a little longer, you will surely reduce the profits - but this greatly reduces the risk of playing a "failed" pattern. Keep a close eye on this bullish chart pattern forming on SUI: __________________________
by CryptoCheck-