Stocks Retrace From HighsStock indexes have pulled back from highs with stronger than expected construction and PMI data putting a damper on the markets' hopes that the Fed will taper their hawkish stance. These hopes were never really justified in the first place, so it was only a matter of time before reality set in. The S&P 500 inched above our level at 3909 and then fell back to support around 3848. We anticipate further support at 3792. The Kovach OBV has slumped so it is possible we may see some ranging here as stocks seek direction. If we can break out the next target is 3963.
DOW
DJI Potential For Bearish MomentumOn the H4 chart with price hitting our previous target, we are looking for a potential sell at 33077.47, where the 78.6% and 23.6% Fibonacci lines are located. We have a relatively safe stop loss set at 34534.39, which is located slightly above the previous swing high and 100% Fibonacci line. Take profit will be set at 30886.18, where the 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci lines are located.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
DJI Potential for Bearish Momentum | 2nd November 2022We are looking for a sell entry at 33272.34, where the 23.6% and 78.6% Fibonacci lines are located. We are looking to take profit at 30775.37 where the 38.2% and 78.6% Fibonacci lines are located. We have a pretty safe stop loss set at 34508.80 where it is slightly above where the 100% Fibonacci line and previous high is located.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
DOW JONES biggest monthly rally since 1976! Bear Market over?The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) closed the October with its biggest monthly gain since January 1976, rising by +14%! The huge green monthly candle suceeded at (marginally) breaking and closing above the 1M MA10 (blue trend-line) for the first time since January 2022, which was the All Time High and practically the start of the current inflation led Bear Cycle. At the same time, the 1M RSI is close to testing its MA.
Just to have some perspective, the previous Bear Cycle of the 2008/09 Housing Crisis, never saw a 1M candle break above the 1M MA10 nor the 1M RSI break or simply come that close to its MA. Can a break above it signal the end of the current Bear Market? A break above the 1M MA20 (green trend-line) should practically confirm it.
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Stocks Edge Higher, Looking WeakStocks have crept up, after rejecting highs at 3909. We had a brief retracement yesterday, which quickly found support and the S&P 500 was able to tick up past 3909, making a new relative high albeit barely. Several red triangles on the KRI suggest that we are running into stiff resistance at these levels. The Kovach OBV has slumped, so we will see if we have enough momentum to break out. If so, 3963 is the next target. If not, then 3792 should be considered a floor price.
Dow Jones Index (US30): Key Levels to Watch This Week 📈
Here is my latest structure analysis for Dow Jones Index.
Support 1: 32377 - 32680 area
Support 2: 30700 - 31200 area
Support 3: 30070 - 30360 area
Support 4: 28600 - 28750 area
Resistance 1: 33250 - 33460 area
Resistance 2: 34180 - 32300 area
The price broke a key structure on Friday, it turned into a key support now.
It will most likely trigger a bullish continuation.
Watch these key levels carefully and consider them for pullback / breakout trading.
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Dow Jones 30 Index: Trending higherCurrent price seems to continue to push above the mid-September highs with further short term (5-25 days) upside potential spotted near 33,785 ( 61.8% retracement from the 52 week low) long positions could be technically supported provided price hold above the 32,135 support, otherwise a break below support opens up the prospects for a test of 31,275 (38.2% retracement from the 4 week high)
Upcoming key economic events:
Wednesday November 02 2022 - United States Fed (FED) interest rate decision
Thursday November 03 2022 - Bank of England (BoE) and Norges Bank (Norway) interest rate decisions
Friday November 04 2022- United States monthly non-farm payrolls (NFP)
Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
DJI Potential For Bullish ContinuationThe overall bias for DJI on the H4 chart is bullish. In addition, price is above the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bullish market. Looking for a pullback buy entry at 31187.32, which contains the 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci lines. To add to the confluence, there is a market gap that appears to be fillable. The stop loss will be set at 29891.21, just below the 61.8% and 23.6% Fibonacci lines. The take profit level will be 34116.75, which is the intersection of the 100% Fibonacci line and the previous high.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
DJI Potential for Bullish Momentum | 1st November 2022On the H4 chart, the overall bias for DJI is bullish . Looking for a pullback buy entry at 30816.78, where the 50% and 38.2% Fibonacci lines are located. We are looking to take profit at 34293.93 where the 100% Fibonacci line and previous high is located. We have a pretty safe stop loss set at 29576.21 where it is slightly below where the 78.6% Fibonacci line and previous low is located.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Stocks Continue to GainThe S&P 500 has edged higher, after a brief retracement from 3887. We seemed to reject this level but found support just above our level at 3758. Dedicated readers will remember that we anticipated support here in previous reports. From there we pivoted nicely and broke through the previous high of 3887 to reach our target of 3909. The Kovach OBV is climbing steadily so we will see if this rally can continue. If we can break through 3909 the next target is 3963. If we retrace, then 3758 should hold as a floor.
Fed WeekGood morning! Batteries are recharged for this week, as we have a very important day on Wednesday. THE FED SPEAKS. Not gonna lie, but Friday's action caught me off guard. As I watched the action, I still wasn't convinced. It still had the feeling of a hope rally. Now look, we can still push to about 3970ish to complete the ABC correction before rolling over. And did you see the VIX? JUst got crushed all the way back to 26 maybe even 25 at one point. Still too many mixed signals in the market with the DOW up almost 15% for the month, the NASDAQ showing more of a Bearish Chart set up and the S&P looking like it's ready to follow the DOW.
So is this rally going to hold tech up? It's looking that way, but the FED can change all of that come Wednesday. 3900 is a key area of resistance so I wouldn't be surprised if we got some sideways movement the next two days before we see any real price action. Tomorrow might be interesting for the JOLTS Report. Why? Well the FED said in their last announcement that they wanted this number to come in lower. Forecast is somewhere around 9.5 million. So if tomorrow we see this number come in lower. Say, 9 million, it could be off to the races and continue higher. But at the end of the day, everyone is still going to want to hear from the FED. Will they admit the economy is slowing? I'm sure they will and the market is going to like that they acknowledge it. But is it enough?
Remember that you get three moves on FED Days. You'll have the initial move, the retracement, then you'll see the direction of the market. So my plan is to just wait for Wednesday to determine if I should go bullish or stay bearish. I still think there are too many uncertainties and the FED will continue its efforts to bring inflation down even more. Either way, it doesn't matter. I need to trade the markets in front of me. Happy trading!
us30 analysis If we look at the past of the chart, we can see that it was a bullish market from June 17 to Agu 17 (2 month).
And for now on our chart, we can roughly imagine this 2-month bullish period for the Dow Jones.
Now, considering that a lot of the uptrend has been done, I am watching this move for the future of the Dow.
DJI Potential For Bullish ContinuationOn the H4 chart, the overall bias for DJI is bullish. To add confluence to this, price is above the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bullish market. Looking for a pullback buy entry at 31187.32 where the 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci lines are located. To add confluence to that area, there is a market gap that looks good to be filled. Stop loss will be set at 29891.21, slightly below where the 61.8% and 23.6% Fibonacci lines are located. Take profit will be at 34116.75, where the 100% Fibonacci line and previous high is located.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
DJI Potential for Bullish Momentum | 31st October 2022On the H4 chart, the overall bias for DJI is bullish. With price tapping onto our buy entry at 31969.69, where the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci lines are located. We are looking to take profit at 34293.93 where the 100% Fibonacci line and previous high is located. We have a pretty safe stop loss set at 30081.25 where it is slightly below where the 61.8% Fibonacci line is located.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
✅US30 NEXT MOVE|SHORT🔥
✅US30 is trading along the falling resistance
And as the pair will hit it soon
I am expecting the price to go down
To retest the demand levels below
SHORT🔥
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US30 weekly analysis. October month was extremely bullish. In-fact, it was the single most bullish month is all of US30.. at 4350 pips!... Successfully taking out Septembers highs just last week. It could possibly make a reversal this week or continue to take out Augusts highs as well since that's only about 600 pips away. Will watch Monday and see how it plays out. probably will push to take out August high and then reverse on Friday for NFP.
S&P 500 RalliesThe S&P 500 has shrugged off Amazon losses, pivoting just above our level at 3758. Amazon has given up $trillion status as weak holiday spending as forecasts project the weakest holiday sales growth quarter ever. We will see if stocks can continue to rally, as a red triangle on the KRI is confirming resistance at current levels. The price action is rounding off and the Kovach OBV has slumped. If we continue to rally, we will face resistance from 3887, and 3909, the latter corresponding to a relative high. If we retrace, anticipate support at 3758 again.
No Man's LandTo recap how the market's ended yesterday, we had the DOW close at 0.61%, the S&P -0.61%, and the NASDAQ -1.63% (I think this even went positive at some point during trading hours). Something is holding this market up. You would think with all these bad tech earnings, the market would be coming down substantially more. But it's not. So is this market rally going to hold tech up? Or is tech going to ruin this rally? We're currently in between the 20 day and 50 day which most call "no man's land". Market is still trying to decide where it wants to go. Wednesday's candle was our reversal signal with Thursday candle being our confirmation candle since it traded lower than the previous day. So naturally, we should expect movement to the downside. Gotta see what today brings us.
The chart on the Nasdaq looks more Bearish to me. Which again. Does Tech bring the market down? Or does the rally save Tech? There are too many mixed signals everywhere. My lean is still Bearish but as the days come, I need to react to what the market is telling me. Be patient, stay disciplined. Happy trading everyone!
DJI Potential For Bearish ContinuationOn H4, with the price tapping onto our sell entry at 32144.40 where the 61.8% and 50% Fibonacci lines are. We are looking to take profit at 29640.37, where the 100% Fibonacci line and previous swing low is. Stop loss will be set at 33364.70, slightly above where the 78.6% Fibonacci line is located.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
DJI Potential for Bearish Momentum | 28th October 2022On the H4 chart, the overall bias for DJI is bearish . With price tapping onto our sell entry at 31896.61, where the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci lines are located. We are looking to take profit at 29653.29 where the 0% Fibonacci line and previous low is located. We have a pretty safe stop loss set at 34519.93 where it is slightly above where the 100% Fibonacci line and previous highs are located.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Euphoric Bounce in DOWYou know, I usually don't follow the DOW as much. I mean, I'll glance at it every day but I think the surge we've seen can't go unnoticed. The question is: Is this surge over? I mean, this thing blew right through the 50, through a resistance level and now it's looking like it wants to go touch the 200 day! Hey, if it does....it does. Two possible outcomes here that I think could happen. Bears will step back in but the Bull's will absorb it and either base or head higher. If the Bull's can't absorbs the Bear's stepping in, we can erase this euphoric move in days. Or, a move similar to what we saw from about the middles of August to the end of September. In the coming days we should know better.
I believe the markets understand that sentiment is Bearish and if this rally we've had is in fact the C wave of this ABC correction, then we should start to expect downside movement. Worse case, we could see some gaps down to 3700ish then 3500ish. These tech earnings are not painting a nice picture. I'm sure everyone has been watching META's plunge overnight. But again, the markets are going to do what they do. I'm still Bearish and plenty to worry about. Always remember to trade the markets in front of you, be patience, stay disciplined. Happy Trading Everyone!
Stocks Edge Higher Despite Earnings MalaiseStocks have rounded off, but still edge higher despite disappointing Microsoft guidance , Meta malaise, and general tech sector weakness. Goldman Sachs is bullish on a recovery for Microsoft, and it is one of the only AAA rated companies on the planet. These facts have weighed on the indexes, but have not contributed to much of a sell off yet. If earnings continue to come in weak, then it is difficult to image that this rally will continue. Technically, we are very close to our next target of 3909 where we will likely face resistance as it is a relative high. The Kovach OBV is still edging up, but does appear to be showing signs of leveling off. Expect support at 3792 if so. We should see further support at 3758.