Dow Jones Industrial Average relative strength on the riseThe overall US equity market is still having a hard time stabilizing and catching its footing, however, if we examine the major US indices closer we do notice more and more relative strength coming out of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
This past week it never took out its September lows, the MACD momentum oscillator continues to climb aggressively, and on Friday we remained in the top 1/3 of Thursday's bullish engulfing bar.
I started a position on Thursday and will keep a tight leash risk managing it going forward. More notes on the chart.
DOW
US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 OCT 17US30USD YM1! DOW 2022 OCT 17
Support at 28886 long was fruitful.
Market is in rotation of 1800pts. Next target should be toward bottom
of rotation range 28635.
Possible scenarios:
1) Rotation play = trades to be taken at boundary of range.
2) Signs of breakout = look for higher lows / market loitering near
-> breakout of zone, --> test and accept of breakout = long
3) Signs of breakdown = look for lower highs / market loitering
near bottom of range --> breakdown of range --> Short on test and
reject of breakdown
Price reaction levels
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
32789 31793 31385
30513 28732 29639
29315 27741 26876
26212
Weekly: High vol up bar close off high toward middle = undecisive
Daily: Ave vol down bar close off at low = minor supply
H4: Very high vol down bar close at low = demand present
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable week ahead.
DJI Potential for Bullish Momentum | 14th October 2022On the H4 chart, the overall bias on DJI is on the bearish side with the price underneath the Ichimoku cloud , adding confluence to the bearish bias. However, the US CPI data release was better than expected so we can expect a short-term bullish momentum. Looking for a retracement buy entry at 29050.53 where the -61.8% Fibonacci expansion line and 23.6% Fibonacci line intersects. Stop loss will be at 28531.37, slightly below where the previous low is located. Take profit will be at 30851.83, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is located.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
DJI Potential For Bearish ContinuationThe overall bias for DJI on the H4 chart is bearish. In addition, the price is below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Look for an immediate sell entry at 30033.46, which is the 23.6% Fibonacci line. The stop loss will be set at 30840.50, which is the 382% Fibonacci line. The take profit point will be at 27215.49, which is the -27.2% Fibonacci expansion and 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
DJI Potential for Bullish Momentum | 14th October 2022On the H4 chart, the overall bias on DJI is on the bearish side with the price underneath the Ichimoku cloud, adding confluence to the bearish bias. However, the US CPI data release was better than expected so we can expect a short-term bullish momentum. Looking for a retracement buy entry at 29050.53 where the -61.8% Fibonacci expansion line and 23.6% Fibonacci line intersects. Stop loss will be at 28531.37, slightly below where the previous low is located. Take profit will be at 30851.83, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is located.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
DOW can retest the 3k? 🦐DOW after Fridays's NFP news dropped back at the 2900 level.
The main outlook remain bearish and a retest of the 3000 level can be seen.
How can i approach this scenario?
I will wait for the US market open and if the market will test the 0.618 fibonacci level and show us a sign of inversion i will check a possible short order according to the Plancton's strategy rules.
––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
• 🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
• 🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
• 🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
• 🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
• ⚫️ Black structure -> >4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
Stocks Await CPI DataStocks remain subdued, with the S&P 500 maintaining a narrow range all week and hugging lows. The APAC session suggests that the markets are bracing for another extremely hot CPI figure, which some are saying could still be in the 8% range. A hot figure would confirm the Fed's hawkish stance and stymie hopes of a pivot to more dovish rhetoric. The Kovach OBV is completely flat as the markets await this print. We have a vacuum zone down to 3547, if current levels do not hold. On the other hand, we must break through 3617 and 3624, which have formed a hard uppr bound for now, if we hope to establish higher levels.
Dow Jones Index (US30): The Next Bearish Wave... 📈
Dow Jones Index is currently trading within a major weekly structure support.
To catch a trend-following movement, we should wait for a bearish breakout of 28600 - 30000 area.
Weekly candle close below that will most likely initiate a bearish continuation to 26500 support.
Be patient and wait for a breakout, traders!
❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section.
Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Weakness Prevalent in the S&P 500Stocks appear to have bottomed out at 3584, with support confirmed by green triangles on the KRI. As predicted, we made an attempt for higher levels, but two levels at 3617 and 3624 are providing tough resistance. This is exactly what we predicted yesterday. If we are able to break through the next area of resistance is likely 3676. Risk sentiment is still slighted to the risk-off side, so we don't anticipate any significant rally in stocks any time soon. If we fall further, then 3547 is the next target.
DJI Potential For Bearish ContinuationOn the H4 chart, the overall bias for DJI is bearish. To add confluence to this, price is below the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. Overnight, price has continued to consolidate around the 29650 area where the previous swing low is located. Looking for a sell entry at 30033.46 where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is located. There is a market gap near the sell entry which adds confluence to the area. Stop loss will be placed at 30840.50 where the 382% Fibonacci line is located. Take profit will be at 27215.49 where the -27.2% Fibonacci expansion and 161.8% Fibonacci extension is located.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
DJI Potential for Bearish Momentum | 12th October 2022The current overall bias for DJI is bearish, according to the H4 chart. To add to this bias, the price is currently below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. To add to the confluence of this sell entry, there is a market gap at 29672.85 close to the sell entry that appears to be fillable. To avoid missing out on this probable trade, the entry is positioned at the bottom of the market gap. Look for a sell entry at 29672.85, which is the intersection of the 100% Fibonacci line and the preceding swing low. Stop loss will be set at 30454.46, which is just over the 23.6% Fibonacci line. The take Profit region has been refined to be located at 28394.45, where the 127.2% Fibonacci extension line and -27.2% Fibonacci expansion line intersects.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Stocks Correct the RallyThe S&P 500 has completely retraced the small rally we saw at the beginning of October as sobering reality smacks down hopeful exhuberance. The markets are pricing in more hawkish rhetoric, and bracing for CPI on Friday. We made a valiant attempt to hit 3800, but quickly rejected the move all the way back to lows at 3584. We are seeing some support from green triangles on the KRI, but the price action is looking weak and if we break through, 3547 is the next level down. A relief rally will hit resistance at 3617 or 3624.
DJI Potential For Bearish ContinuationThe general bias for DJI on the H4 chart is bearish . To add to this bias, the price is below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market. Looking for a retracement sell entry at the market gap of 29672.85. To avoid missing out on trades, the sell entry is positioned at the very beginning of the market gap rather than at the top. Stop loss will be at 30454.46, which is just above the 88% Fibonacci line and the 23.6% Fibonacci line. The take profit point will be around 27215.49, which is the intersection of the -27.2% Fibonacci expansion line and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension line.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
DJIA1! SHORTS 1HI'd like to say to everyone reading this hello! I like to draw symmetrical lines and uncover hidden meanings in their relationships. This is a chart of lines I have drawn. Sometimes I like to illustrate my drawings with icons. Historiclese ensures the historical accuracy of each drawing. I hope it speaks to you too!
DJI Potential for Bearish Momentum | 11th October 2022Looking at the H4 chart, the current overall bias for DJI is bearish. To add confluence to this bias, the price is currently under the Ichimoku cloud which indicates a bearish market. To add confluence to this sell entry, there is a market gap at 29672.85 near the sell entry that looks good to be filled. The entry is placed at the bottom of the market gap to prevent missing out on this potential trade. Looking for a sell entry at 29672.85, where the 100% Fibonacci line and previous swing low is located. Stop loss will be placed at 30454.46, slightly above where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is located. Take Profit will be placed at 28395.10, where the 127.2% Fibonacci extension line is located.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
DOW JONES RSI and MACD patterns hint to a June-Aug like rebound.The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) has been highly volatile today following a two day selling sequence on last week's closing. Following the NFP on Friday, the market is entering the anticipation mode over this week's CPI report, which is crucial on the Fed's rate policy. Amidst this high volatility we have spotted a recurring pattern, which has been previously bullish on the medium-term during this year's Bear Market.
As you see, every time the MACD formed a Bullish Cross while the RSI (both on the 1D time-frame) bounced on its Oversold Zone and made a Lower High, Dow formed a temporary Low and started a 2-month rebound. During the June - August rebound, the index reached as High as the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level before getting heavily rejected on the 1D MA300 (yellow trend-line).
As a result, as long as last week's Support holds, we are expecting a medium-term rebound towards at least the upper Fib levels and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Short-term traders can target the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
Remember this doesn't constitute a long-term trend change, which remains bearish. In order to see the sentiment reverse to bullish, we should see at least a closing above the 1D MA300. A closing below last week's Support, should invalidate the medium-term pattern and instead extend the selling all the way to this Bear Market's Lower Lows trend-line at least.
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DJI Potential For Bearish ContinuationThe general bias for DJI on the H4 chart is bearish. To add to this bias, the price is below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Looking for a retracement sell entry at the market gap of 29672.85. To avoid missing out on trades, the sell entry is positioned at the very beginning of the market gap rather than at the top. Stop loss will be at 30454.46, which is just above the 88% Fibonacci line and the 23.6% Fibonacci line. The take profit point will be around 27215.49, which is the intersection of the -27.2% Fibonacci expansion line and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension line.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
DJI Potential for Bearish Momentum | 10th October 2022On the H4 chart, the DJI has a bearish bias. Look for a possible retracement sell entry at 29672.85, which is the location of the 100% Fibonacci line, prior swing bottom, and market gap. Enter at the very beginning of the market gap rather than at the top to prevent missing out on a trade. The stop loss will be set around 30454.46, which is just over the 23.6% Fibonacci line. The take profit level will be 28398.65, which corresponds to the 127.2% Fibonacci extension line.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
DJI Potential For Bullish MomentumOn the 4-hour chart, the DJI has a bearish bias. However, before the bearish momentum continues, we are searching for a corrective buy entry to the upside. Looking for a buy entry at 29926.68, which is where the market gap lies. The stop loss will be at 28715.85, which is the previous low and the 0% Fibonacci line. Take profit will be at 31886.07, where two of the 61.8% Fibonacci lines intersect.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
DJI Potential for Bullish Momentum | 7th October 2022On the H4 chart, the general bias for DJI is bearish. Look for a possible retracement buy entry at 29826.67, which is the 38.2% Fibonacci line and market gap. To avoid missing out on a trade, enter at the very beginning of the market gap rather than at the bottom. The stop loss will be set at 28715.85, the previous low and the intersection of the 100% Fibonacci and 0% Fibonacci lines. The take profit point will be at 32026.06, which is where the 61.8% Fibonacci line and the 38.2% Fibonacci projection lines intersect.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
Two Factors Weighing on StocksStocks have wavered as the markets digest higher weekly unemployment rates and new statements from the Fed. The Fed remains unconvinced at how effective the 'Inflation Reduction Act' will be and Kashkari has stated that the Fed has 'more work to do' to bring down inflation. The S&P 500 has topped out at 3810 with multiple red triangles confirming resistance. We are seeing support in the 3750's, suggesting that we may be forming a bull wedge or other consolidation pattern. If things turn south, 3714 should provide support. A breakout could test 3825.
DJI Potential For Bearish ContinuationDJI has a bearish bias on the H4 chart. In addition, the price is below the ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. For the sell entry, price should retrace upwards to the 61.8% Fibonacci line at 32160.05. To add to the confluence of this sell area, there is a market gap that appears to be fillable there. The stop loss will be placed at 33364.70, just above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement line. The take profit level will be 27848.20, which is where the 161.8% Fibonacci extension line and the -27.2% Fibonacci expansion line intersect.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.