DOW JONES Strongest sell signal since August!Dow Jones / US30 has hit the top of its Channel Up.
Once the 1day MA50 breaks (has been in support since November 2nd 2023), we will have a sell validation.
In addition, the 1day RSI is on the strongest Bearish Divergence since February 2020 and the start of the COVID crash.
Sell than and target 36700 the 0.382 Fibonacci level from the top.
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DOW
DOW JONES: Mega sell signal formed.Dow Jones has hit the top of the 18 month Channel Up and is already being rejected, turning neutral on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.769, MACD = 112.170, ADX = 21.784). This is a rejection that can evolve into a full bearish reversal as the 1W RSI broke under its MA trendline. This is important because every time this break out happened (dashed vertical lines), the index had technical corrections.
Inside the Channel Up those initially hit the 0.382 Fibonacci level. Consequently, we can target at least the S1 level (TP = 37,030) but it is equally likely to reach even below the 0.382 Fib and contact the 1W MA50.
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#XAU #XAUUSD #GOLD #Short #ShortSetup #Eddy#XAU #XAUUSD #GOLD #Short #ShortSetup #Eddy
I'll Think Its Time to short Gold ;-)
In the monthly time frame, it looks like we have the third collision and the completion of the monthly divergence.
What you think!?
Related Analysis of Gold : (( XAU/USD )) : Check Link :
DOW JONES Short-term correction has began.Dow Jones (DJI) has had yesterday the strongest red 1D candle since February 13 and 2nd strongest since the October 27 2023 bottom. Just as recently as last week (February 26, see chart below) we called for a 'very clear bearish signal' as not only was the price near the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 1.5 year Channel Up but also the 1W MACD was on a Declining Histogram similar to the August 2023, December 2022 and August 2022 tops:
To get a better idea of the shorter term implications of that signal, we view Dow today from the 1D time-frame, where the 1D RSI has been on a Bearish Divergence (Lower Highs against the index' Higher Highs) December 19 2023. Again within the structure of the Channel Up, the same RSI pattern was formed during the August 01 2023 and December 2022 Higher Highs. Both declined by virtually the same percentage (-9.25%).
Such a decline would push the price as low as 35650, which is where the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) currently is. Instead we would like, as mentioned, to keep a shorter term perspective here and time a 3-4 week target. Once the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) breaks, it will be the most optimal sell confirmation, with a conservative short-term Target being Support 2 at 37120.
Notice that this would be near the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level of the Channel and if it takes place in early April, it will be as close to the 1D MA200 as possible. In any case, the 1D RSI touching the 30.00 oversold barrier, is technically always a solid level to start buying again for the long-term. Note also how the current top is virtually the same rally % (+21.00%) as December 13 2022. This shows that we shouldn't neglect the symmetry of waves within this long-term Channel Up.
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The Dow Jones index fell
By examining the trend in the four-hour time frame, the Dow Jones index has an important support range in the range of 38,799-38,645, and it seems that if it is maintained, the rate can increase up to the resistance of the middle level of the upward channel at the limit of 39,509.
The whole market looks bullishBitcoin has a insane large descending triangle or wedge which already broke out from the upside and will have a bullish continuation until end of the year most likely.
S&P, Dow, Nasdaq have all a large descendinge broadening wedge which is ultimately bullish. Momentum is being built up and we can foresee a sudden but steady rise as well.
Gold has been hammering on the 2000 usd/ounce resistance for the 3th time, but might have a break out as well.. though it could have an averse effect if the stockmarket and cryptomarket turns bullish.
Nothing more to say.
Place your bets.
#BAT #BATUSD #BATUSDT #Analysis #Eddy#BAT #BATUSD #BATUSDT #Analysis #Eddy
(("All the relevant areas and explanations on the chart are clear and clear, the trading setups need to get confirmation to enter, if you don't know how to get a trigger and confirm entering into transactions, this analysis is not suitable for you, the above analysis is for professionals. and if you are a beginner, my suggestion is that you don't destroy your capital and first learn technical analysis and basic trading along with psychology and risk and capital management from reputable sources and courses, and then enter the financial markets."))
(("The above analysis and setups and points and areas are combined with most of the combined styles such as price action, supply and demand, RTM, ICT and also with the analysis of important indicators such as Dominance Tether and Bitcoin.
If you are familiar with the mentioned styles and know how to get approval to enter the above styles, use the above analysis.
This is not an investment proposal and only my opinion, please act based on your experience and decisions."))
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I also suggest you to view my #Analysis of #Bitcoin from the link below :
#JTO #JTOUSD #JTOUSDT #Analysis #Eddy #JTO #JTOUSD #JTOUSDT #Analysis #Eddy
(("All the relevant areas and explanations on the chart are clear and clear, the trading setups need to get confirmation to enter, if you don't know how to get a trigger and confirm entering into transactions, this analysis is not suitable for you, the above analysis is for professionals. and if you are a beginner, my suggestion is that you don't destroy your capital and first learn technical analysis and basic trading along with psychology and risk and capital management from reputable sources and courses, and then enter the financial markets."))
(("The above analysis and setups and points and areas are combined with most of the combined styles such as price action, supply and demand, RTM, ICT and also with the analysis of important indicators such as Dominance Tether and Bitcoin.
If you are familiar with the mentioned styles and know how to get approval to enter the above styles, use the above analysis.
This is not an investment proposal and only my opinion, please act based on your experience and decisions."))
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
I also suggest you to view my #Analysis of #Bitcoin from the link below :
DOW JONES Very clear bearish signal.Dow Jones (DJI) is approaching the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the the 1.5 year Channel Up, while flashing a very unique medium-term sell signal. That is the 1W MACD Histogram, which is declining, a Bearish Divergence that during that period of time, has initiated 3 declines of more than -9% each.
Given the fact that the current Bullish Leg of the Channel Up has extended to almost 21.9%, which is almost as high as the October - December 2022 sequence, we are expecting a medium-term correction back to at least the middle of the Channel Up. Target is 37120 (Support 1) and if a 1W candle closes below the middle, we expect a bottom around the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) at 36000 (Support 2).
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DOW JONES: Still bullish inside the Channel Up.Dow Jones has turned neutral on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.990, MACD = 135.700, ADX = 29.049) as it crossed under the 4H MA50 and is on a lengthy consolidation phase inside the two month Channel Up. The 4h RSI is on a Bearish Divergence, which doesn't mean much unless the 4H MA200 breaks, as the very same divergence emerged during the December - January consolidation. If the 4H MA200 breaks, we will prepare our short under the S1 level and target the top of the S2 zone (TP = 37,200). Until then, the Channel Up favors buying (TP = 39,500).
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Hellena | DJI (4H): Short to 61.8% Fibo 37810.Dear colleagues, the price has gone down. I believe that the price has not yet finished its downward movement and wave 2 will go even lower. I assume that the price will reach the 61.8% Fibonacci level of 37810.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
AUDCZK - 1D - LONG ENTRY & SHORT ENTRY - DOW THEORYIn this Pair we see a visible Trends in DAILY time frame, in which you can see a Declining Phase, Accumulation phase and then currently in Bullish trend.
THE DEFINITION OF DOW THEORY IS WINNING.
So currently we plan a small SHORT ENTRY of around 170-200 pips
as the Short TP hits we take a LONG Entry from there for 200 pips more.
HAPPY TRADING.
Dow Jones H4 | Potential bullish breakoutDow Jones (DJ30) is rising towards a potential breakout level and momentum could potentially carry price towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 38,448.86
Why we like it:
There is a potential breakout level
Stop Loss: 38,048.50
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 38,891.09
Why we like it:
There is a swing-high resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
US30: Thoughts and Analysis Post-CPIToday's focus: US30
Pattern – Diagonal
Support – 38,135, 37,135
Resistance – 38,810
Hi, traders; thanks for tuning in for today's update. Today, we are looking at the US30 on the daily chart.
What a solid run we have seen till yesterday's CPI data. After US CPI came in hotter than expected, this shocked the market and led to heavy selling on stock indexes and risk currencies with a flight to safety (USD).
We have broken down price action, price patterns and levels we are watching. Is this nothing more than a buying opportunity, or is this a potential momentum change?
Good trading.
blowing target for applelet's forget about current situation and circumstance of economy here.
All pals are worry too much about economy.
we all know that there will be recession in near term.
But market tends to go opposite.
chart looks strong and I personally apple's winning earning will obtained by spring.
Let's hold apple until it shows the new high in march.
DOW JONES Channel Up with the 4H as the key level.Dow Jones (DJI) is trading within a Channel Up pattern on the 4H time-frame with the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) supporting since the January 19 break-out, being right on its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line). As long as the price action is closing candles above it, we remain bullish, targeting a Higher High at 39100.
If it closes a 4H candle below the 4H MA50, we will take the loss and sell instead, targeting the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) at 37800. Note that the last medium-term Support has been the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) on January 18 and being overbought for too long on the 1D time-frame while the 4H RSI is on a Bearish Divergence throughout the index' whole Channel Up, a short-term correction to the 1D MA50, would technically be quite likely here.
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US30 / 4H / TECHNICAL ANALYSIS CAPITALCOM:US30 The daily pivot is 37105, the first support is 38062, and the second support is 37764. As long as they do not fall below, my target is 38743.
Like and comment if you find value in our analysis.
Feel free to post your ideas and questions at the comments section.
Good luck
Dow Jones H4 | Falling to 38.2% Fibo supportDow Jones (DJ30) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 38,159.35
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 37,769.85
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 38,792.50
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Dow: Heading South 👇We continue to locate the Dow stock in the bearish wave (Z) in magenta and expect the price to fall back to our dark green Target Zone on the south side (coordinates: $46.66 - $42.79). Traders could place a stop for long positions 1% below the lower edge of the Target Zone, or in this case 1% below the support level at $42.79. However, it should be noted that our alternative scenario has a 40% probability and would see break above the resistance level at $57.74. Wave alt. (B) in dark green would have already been completed in this scenario.
Most overbought condition 1) Most overbought condition since May 2021 on the weekly RSI 14.
2) Converging trendlines at 38,200 stretching back since late 2021 create solid roof tested 3 times at least on 2 separate trend-lines which would make for a very tough level to break, especially when it's this overbought.
***A correction down to retest the connecting lows trend-line since late 2022 would make a lot of sense even if a new high would be reached in the future, a correction down is very likely in the current technical condition - Which would be down to the 34,200 floor.
DOW JONES Why you don't want to miss this rally.Dow Jones (DJI) is pulling back on a technical correction as the 1W RSI got overbought (above the 70.00 mark) on the December 26 1W candle. That was basically the first time since June 01 2021 it got overbought and that time also gave a technical pull-back.
What draws our attention more than that time though is the December 19 2016 pull-back when the 1W RSI was again overbought. The difference here is that the price action and patterns that preceded that pull-back/ consolidation are very similar. A Lower Lows bottom on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) that took place on a 1W RSI Higher Lows Bullish Divergence, gave way to a break and sustainable rise above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). Following the current pull-back/ consolidation we are at, a very strong Channel Up took place.
As a result, even though the sentiment is bearish on the short-term, possibly until the January 31 Fed Meeting, it is clear that the long-term trend is bullish. Every such correction has high probabilities from now on to be a buy opportunity. The target can be as high as 43000 within 2024.
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Dow failed to breakout of the 1929 & 2000 Trend - Crash IncomingThese are serious setups, I found a trendline that connected to the Feb 2020 top and it drop from there the next day. This is BIG we failed to breakout of the trendline connecting 1929 to 2000, it went above and came back under, this is VERY Bearish. First target 26000 under that it gets nasty.