US30 LOCAL SHORT|
✅DOW JONES is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 40,947
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 40,314
SHORT🔥
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Dowjones
Potential Formation of a Triangle Pattern ObservedOn the daily timeframe, the Dow Jones movement currently presents two possible scenarios.
Under the black label, there is a potential formation of a triangle pattern, suggesting that the Dow Jones may enter a prolonged consolidation phase to complete wave B, with an expected range between 38,200 and 40,400.
However, under the red label (alternative scenario), a bearish triangle could be forming as part of wave X.
Trade Idea: US30 Long (BUY LIMIT)Technical Analysis Summary
Daily Chart (Macro View)
• Price has bounced off a key support near 37,700 and reclaimed the psychological level 40,000.
• MACD is starting to reverse higher from oversold conditions, showing early bullish divergence.
• RSI is recovering from below 30, now near 49, indicating a potential trend reversal.
• Trend: Medium-term recovery from a correction; possible continuation to recent highs around 44,000.
15-Minute Chart (Tactical Entry Zone)
• Price has broken a downtrend and is now consolidating above previous resistance at 40,000.
• MACD is bullish (histogram rising), and signal lines are above zero.
• RSI at 62.6, suggesting bullish momentum but not yet overbought.
• White MA shows clear upward curvature.
3-Minute Chart (Precision Entry)
• Recent pullback retested the MA and bounced.
• RSI at 66, nearing overbought, but price is in clear short-term uptrend.
• MACD just crossed bullish again after a small consolidation.
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Fundamental Context
• Recent Fed signals suggest potential rate pause or cuts, which is bullish for indices.
• Earnings season has generally surprised to the upside, especially among large caps.
• Macro backdrop: Slowing inflation + strong labor market = supportive of equities.
• Risk appetite is increasing, as seen in tech and industrials rebounding.
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Trade Setup
• Position: Long US30
Entry
• Buy: 40,200 (current price action confirms upward momentum)
Stop Loss (SL)
• SL: 39,700 (below recent 15-min swing low & psychological level)
Take Profit (TP)
• TP1: 41,200 (recent intraday high and near resistance)
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
US30 - Signs Point to Deeper Correction AheadBased on the chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, there appears to be a significant probability of a deeper correction from the current resistance levels. The index has formed what looks like a double top pattern near the 40,400 level, with notable resistance zones highlighted in blue on the chart. After recovering from the early April selloff that took the index down to around 36,600, the Dow has been unable to reclaim previous highs, instead facing rejection at these resistance levels. This price behavior, combined with the technical setup shown on the chart, indicates that we could see a more substantial pullback in the coming sessions if these resistance levels continue to hold.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Market Digesting Trade War Fears — But Risks RemainSimilar to the early stage of Trump's previous administration, escalating trade tensions and tariff threats have once again rattled market sentiment, triggering a broad-based correction in equity indices down to key support levels.
Over the past two weeks, extreme trade war rhetoric shocked the market, causing the index to break below the 40,000-point support, reaching a low of 36,439 — near the 200-day moving average on the weekly chart. As this level coincides with a significant technical support zone, buying interest emerged, prompting a rebound back above the 40,000 mark.
This suggests that the market has begun to digest the trade war narrative, with investors gradually positioning in tranches around the 40,000 level. However, ongoing uncertainty surrounding trade policies may continue to weigh on sentiment. Should the index revisit 36,439 and fail to hold, further downside toward the next major support at 34,969 could be expected.
Navigating Trump Tariffs on the Dow JonesNavigating the movements of the **US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average)** can be challenging, especially amid shifting economic policies. The Dow, which tracks 30 major U.S. companies, is highly sensitive to trade policies, corporate earnings, and geopolitical risks. Trump’s plan to impose **10% across-the-board tariffs** and **60%+ tariffs on Chinese goods** has sparked concerns about inflation, supply chain disruptions, and retaliatory trade measures. Investors are closely watching how these policies could impact multinational companies within the index, particularly those reliant on global trade, such as **Boeing, Apple, and Caterpillar**.
For everyday Americans, higher tariffs could mean **rising prices on imported goods**, from electronics to household items, worsening inflation. While tariffs aim to protect domestic industries, they often lead to **higher production costs** for businesses that rely on foreign materials, potentially triggering job cuts or reduced consumer spending. The stock market’s reaction—volatility in the US30—reflects these uncertainties, as investors weigh the risks of slower growth against potential benefits for U.S. manufacturers.
Traders navigating the US30 must monitor **Fed policy, corporate earnings, and trade war developments**. If tariffs escalate, defensive stocks (utilities, healthcare) may outperform, while industrials and tech could face pressure. Long-term investors might see dips as buying opportunities, but short-term traders should prepare for turbulence. Ultimately, Trump’s tariff policies could reshape market dynamics, making adaptability key for those trading the Dow.
Us30 Upward or downward?In the 5-minute timeframe, you can sell at the top of the trading range and buy at the bottom of the trading range (by observing reversal candles and patterns).
Alternatively, you can wait for a breakout and enter in the direction of the breakout.
Be mindful of fake breakouts
Dow Jones INTRADAY capped at 40954Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 40954
Resistance Level 2: 41510
Resistance Level 3: 42216
Support Level 1: 39600
Support Level 2: 38534
Support Level 3: 37832
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Another Gap to Watch
US30 is on its way to fill the gap up that was formed 2 days ago.
It looks like the market will reach a gap opening level soon.
I expect a bearish movement at least to 39285
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DOW JONES New long-term bottom being formed on the 1W MA200.Dow Jones (DJI) hasn't yet broken above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) following the April 07 Low, but is nonetheless consolidating and holding the 1W MA200 (red trend-line), which hasn't broken as Support since October 17 2022.
That was a few days after the bottom of the 2022 Inflation Crisis was formed and the current Channel Up started. In fact, the rallies that started on both Channel Up bottoms since, have been almost identical in range (+22.60% and +23.80% respectively) so technically we should be expecting at least 44800 (+22.60% from April's Low) on the medium-term.
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Dow Jones INTRADAY oversold bouncebackKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 40954
Resistance Level 2: 41510
Resistance Level 3: 42216
Support Level 1: 39600
Support Level 2: 38534
Support Level 3: 37832
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Short-Term Opportunity in Dow Jones: Limited UpsideCurrently, I estimate that under the best-case scenario (black label), the Dow Jones is forming wave of wave B. This implies that the upside movement is likely to remain limited, with a potential retest of the 39,310–39,649 area.
Caution is advised for a possible reversal, especially if the Dow Jones fails to break above the 40,791 resistance level.
Weekly Market Forecast: Stocks Markets Are Stalled! Patience!In this video, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, and DOW JONES futures for the week of April 21 - 25th
The Markets are stalled! No bullish follow through from the previous week. Last week failed to break the previous weekly high. This stall out looks consolidative and unclear. Wait for clarity! Let the markets break the high or low of the range convincingly... and trade accordingly.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Dow INTRADAY key resistance at 41333Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41333
Resistance Level 2: 42000
Resistance Level 3: 42800
Support Level 1: 39220
Support Level 2: 37554
Support Level 3: 36620
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAU/USD: Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart in the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that the price managed to register a new high at $3245, but after that, it was followed by a correction and created a change in market structure. I expect that if the price stabilizes below $3213, it will be accompanied by further decline.
The targets are respectively $3187, $3177, $3155, and $3138.
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DOW fulfilled all Market Bottom conditions. 2year rally started!Dow Jones (DJI) has cemented a strong Support zone last week. Not only did it almost test its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and successfully held but also the former All Time High (ATH) Resistance trend-line that started from the previous Cycle Top and now turned into Support.
This previous ATH trend-line held and offered its Support on the previous 2 major market bottoms as well (October 03 2022 and March 23 2020). Actually on all 3 previous Cycle bottoms that turned out to be the best level to buy long-term, the 1W RSI was oversold on the 30.00 limit.
All the above conditions were fulfilled on last week's (April 07 2025) Low. Even though Dow is expected to reach 53000 on its next Top in around 2 years, the most optimal Sell Signal has been given by the 1W RSI. After the 1W RSI breaks for the first time above the 70.00 overbought limit again, the best Sell Signal would be after it drops and re-tests again 70.00 for the 2nd time.
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DOW/US30 - RETAIL DATA AND POWELL SPEECHTeam,
The market has been a roller coaster due to the Trump Tariff plan
. We are in an entry long position now but with small volume only.
The current for US30 price is 40248
We are using a swing stop loss at 40120
Once the price reaches above 40300, bring stop loss to BE
the data consensus shows that 700% retail increase is more than last month.
this will likely support the market. Also, Trump's tariff plan would improve exports and bring down the DOLLAR.
Therefore, if you are risking a trade 1R buts 5R as a reward
Please assess your risk and make the decision.
NOTE: However, if the price drop toward 39800-39200, I will double and triple my money on long position
will get our money back easily.
Every trade you enter requires a risk and reward
ask yourself and analyst carefully
We can easily get 40300 then bring stop loss to BE for target the range above