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Dow Jones - Trading 2025 Is Pretty Clear!Dow Jones ( TVC:DJI ) will create another green year: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 For the past 15 years, the Dow Jones has been respecting two significant rising trendlines. With each of the previous cycles being around +80% and corrections always starting with the new year, everything is pointing towards another phenomenal stock market year. Levels to watch: $50.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:DJILong
by basictradingtv
7
US30 Bullish After Retest Amid Policy UncertaintyFutures Dip Amid Trump Policy Uncertainty; Data and Earnings Awaited U.S. stock index futures dipped on Friday, weighed down by uncertainty surrounding President Donald Trump’s trade policies. Investors are also awaiting key economic data and corporate earnings reports to gain insight into the state of the economy. US30 Technical Analysis The price is expected to retest 44400 before resuming its bullish trend. As long as the price trades above 44400, the bullish trend is likely to continue, targeting 44760. Key Levels Pivot Point: 44410 Resistance Levels: 44750, 44920, 45090 Support Levels: 44270, 44120, 43900 Trend Outlook Retest: Likely at 44400 Bullish Trend: As long as the price remains above 44400 previous idea:
OANDA:US30USDLong
by SroshMayi
1
Sankara’s Brain: Why does Hegemony and Supremacy work? US30/DowTrumpian economics ushers the Neo Titanic era of late-stage capitalism. But are you really ready? Blessings people. Are you well? I'm just easing back into the site myself. I've given you the most basic chart for your head tops!! You're welcome. It just illustrates my main direction today. I entered the premarket with the hands-off (alerts only) approach and a wide stop. Targeting 250 points of the US 3 to close out and historic week I may also use a scalping strategy between the LSE and NYE opens The pips are falling out of the sky. The bulls 🦬 can smell the blood. Even us bears 🐻can't resist the fresh meat in the woods this evening. As the Fed looks to justify every reason slash rates and discount public spending it's truly a feast indeed. As always on the menu is the working class, as the new deconstructionists claim their deck chairs on the reality TV show on Trump Neo-Titanic. In short lads, just like the first time around - it's a good year to get rich. (Again) Stay safe and profitable. ✊🏿 🔚 —————————— Important❗️: Whether you agreed or disagreed with this content, hopefully, you found it useful. Please remember to like, comment and follow. Let’s support each other to improve, learn and grow. —————————— Disclaimer⛔️: Please do NOT use my ideas as the basis for any financial investment. This content is time, price and market sensitive and intended for educational purposes only. -—————————— Bio 🅱️: Charles Sankara Day Trader
BLACKBULL:US30Long
by CharlesSankara
US30 : Bullish Zone Stabilization with Key Correction LevelsUS30 Technical Analysis The price has surged approximately 620 points ahead of Earnings Season and is still attempting to stabilize within the long-term bullish zone, as highlighted in our previous analysis. Currently, a bearish correction toward 43900 is expected before the continuation of the uptrend. However, if the price breaks above 44400, it is likely to push higher toward 44750 and potentially 44920. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 44270 Resistance Levels: 44400, 44750, 44920 Support Levels: 43900, 43760, 43350 Trend Outlook: Bearish Correction while below 44400 Bullish Trend if the price breaks above 44400 Previous idea:
OANDA:US30USDShort
by SroshMayi
EUR/USD : Possible Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #EURUSD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price finally hit the 1.044 target, delivering a 250-pip return. Currently, EUR/USD is trading around the 1.041 level. If a strong rejection occurs at this zone, we can anticipate a potential drop toward 1.035 as the first target and 1.025 as the second target. This analysis will be updated accordingly! The Main Analysis : Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
22
Heading into 78.6% Fibonacci resistance?Dow Jones (US30) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which is an overlap support. Pivot: 44,343.65 1st Support: 43,729.99 1st Resistance: 44,765.65 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:US30Short
by ICmarkets
3
DOW has a full Bull year ahead based on PRESIDENT'S CHEATSHEETDow Jones (DJI) has started the year on a positive note and that is anything but a coincidence. On this 1W chart you can see Dow's price action since the early 2009 bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis. That happened to be Obama's 1st year of Presidency. As you can see, 2009 was an incredibly bullish year with the index rising more than +60% from the year's bottom. Four years later in 2013, which was the 1st year of Obama's 2nd term in office, Dow had again a strong year, rising by +25% (naturally the previous term was more aggressive as the market had tremendous upside potential to recover from one of the worst economic crises in history). Moving forward again 4 years (2017), we can see yet another bullish (+35%) 1st year of Presidency, this time Trump's first term. Biden also had his fair share of bullish 1st year of Presidency in 2021 (+23%). The pattern is evident and shows the euphoria the market has when the U.S. President assumes his duties on his 1st year. It also shows that (excluding as mentioned 2009, which was natural to see a stronger recovery) on average it is fair to expect a price increase during the 1st year of around +25% to +30%. In fact, the price action that led to the current 1st year of Presidency that has just started (Trump's 2nd term), is very similar to the one that preceded Obama's 2nd term (2013). Both formed a Channel Up after the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) was tested and held. That pattern pushed the price higher until the 1st year of Presidency, that found the index on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). Even the 1W MACD sequences that preceded this, are similar between the two fractals. As a result, investors have a strong reason to be bullish in 2025 and if pattern achieves the bear minimum of 2021 (+23%), we can expect to see 51000 by the end of the year. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DJILong
by TradingShot
1
Market Forecast UPDATES! Jan 20 MondayIn this video, we will update the forecasts for the following markets: ES \ S&P 500 NQ | NASDAQ 100 YM | Dow Jones 30 GC |Gold SiI | Silver PL | Platinum HG | Copper Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:HG1!
by RT_Money
DOW JONES: Crossed above the monthly Channel Down. Buy signal.Dow Jones turned bullish again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.829, MACD = -79.310, ADX = 34.732) as it crossed over the Channel Down that is the bearish wave of the long term bullish trend. The 1W MA50 held and we have to go back to October 30th 2023 to find the last time that the index was under it. If the 1W RSI crosses above the MA trendline, we will confirm that most likely we are going to have a November 6th 2023 type of bullish breakout. The major rallies of the past years have been at least +20%. Buy and TP = 50,500. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by InvestingScope
US Stocks Surge as Trump Takes Office: Will the Rally Continue?The US stock market is buzzing with excitement as President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration on January 20 approaches. On Friday, January 17, the major indices saw significant gains, with: ● S&P 500 SP:SPX rose 59 points, or 1% ● Dow Jones Industrial Average TVC:DJI increased 335 points, or 0.8% ● Nasdaq composite NASDAQ:IXIC surged 292 points, or 1.5% ◉ Major Sector Driving Gains The technology sector, particularly the "Magnificent Seven" stocks, has been instrumental in this upward momentum. ◉ Investor Sentiment Investors are optimistic about Trump's policies, but concerned about potential inflationary pressures. Experts believe Trump's administration could lead to significant growth due to: 1. Increased Government Stimulus: Trump's background as a real estate developer may result in policies designed to stimulate economic growth. 2. Technological Innovation: Rapid advancements in technology are expected to create new industries and opportunities. 3. Lower Interest Rates: There is speculation that Trump may implement lower interest rates to further encourage economic expansion. Overall, the market is cautiously optimistic, with investors closely monitoring Trump's policies.
SP:SPXLong
by NaranjCapital
USD/JPY: Key Pullback After 320-Pip Drops, Another Decline AheadBy analyzing the USD/JPY daily chart, we observe that after a significant drop to 155 (yielding 320 pips), the price has reacted to a key psychological level and is currently in a pullback phase. Following a short upward move, we can look for a suitable trigger to align with another potential downside move. This chart will be updated again soon—stay tuned! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
9
EUR/USD : Approaching Critical Demand Zones! (READ THE CAPTION)By reviewing the #EURUSD chart in the three-day timeframe, we can see that the price has currently reached a very important demand zone, and the probability of a price reversal from this level is high! However, note that I personally have another scenario in mind, which is that after an initial short-term rise in the current area, the price will decline again to the very important demand zone of 1.005 to 1.007 , and then, with a suitable trigger in this area, we can look for an attractive BUY position ! All key levels and important zones have been marked on the chart! If you have any questions, be sure to ask, and I will try to respond as soon as possible! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
37
Dow Jones Likely Trending Up in the Next Four YearsCBOT: Micro E-Mini Dow Jones Futures ( CBOT_MINI:MYM1! ) #Microfutures The United States will enter a new presidency on Monday, January 20th. Will the stock market continue its upward trend under the 47th U.S. President? Before we set our sight on the future, it’s prudent to look back in history first. While it is not a guarantee for future performance, history does provide good intelligence. To find clues for our answer, I conducted an analysis on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). How the Dow Performed Under Different Presidencies My research setup is as follow: • I look at DJIA daily close prices for the past 50 years (from Aug. 1974 to Jan. 2025). This period covers 9 presidents and 13 four-year presidential terms. • For all the presidents, I use their Inauguration Day January 20th as the start day, while setting the end day for January 19th four years later. I compare the changes in DJIA closing prices from start to finish for each 4-year term. • The exceptions: Gerald Ford, who started his term on August 9, 1974, after Richard Nixon resigned; and Joe Biden, for whom I use the latest trade day January 15th. Here is what I found: • Gerald Ford (Aug. ‘74 – Jan. ’77): DJIA went up 181.7 points (+23.4%) • Jimmy Carter (Jan. ’77 – Jan. ’81), down 8.4 points (-0.9%) • Ronald Reagon (Jan. ’81 – Jan. ’89), up 1,288.1 points (+135.5%). The data can be further broken down to +68.6% in his 1st term and +45.7% in the 2nd term • George H.W. Bush (Jan. ’89 – Jan. ’93), up 1,020.6 points (+45.7%) • Bill Clinton (Jan. ’93 – Jan. ’01), up 7,345.6 points (+226.6%), including +110.8% in the 1st four years and +54.7% in the 2nd four years • George W. Bush (Jan. ’01 – Jan. ’09), down 2,306.4 points (-21.8%), for which -0.4% and -20.9% for his 1st and 2nd terms, respectively • Barack Obama (Jan. ’09 – Jan. ’17), up 11,783.3 points (+148.2%), including +71.7% in the 1st term and +44.6% in the 2nd term • Donald Trump (Jan. ’17 – Jan. ’21), up 11,060.2 points (+55.8%) • Joe Biden (Jan. ’21 – Jan. ’21), up 12,202.8 points (+39.5%) Dow Jones advanced the most points under current administration (+12,203 points), with Obama coming in 2nd for 11,783 points. The DJIA index gained the most in percentage terms under the Clinton administration (+226%). Across all nine presidents, DJIA was lower for one, flat for another, but moved up 7 out of 9 times. If you look deeper into the worst-performing years under George W. Bush, you will find that 9/11 terrorist attack happened in his first term and the 2008 financial crisis occurred in his second term. Both can be considered extreme events and outliners in the dataset. Regardless which political party commands the White House, the Dow is more likely to move up than down. From the first day Gerald took office to the last week of the Biden administration, DJIA went from 777 to 43,133, a huge gain of 5,449%! Trading with Micro E-Mini Dow Jones Futures The above analysis gives us comfort in the upward mobility of the US stock market. Further analysis of the DJIA shows strength in its Top 5 component companies. • As of January 15th, DJIA went up 15.5% in the past 12 months • Gold Sachs, which holds an 8.2% share by index weight, was up 57.5% in a year • 1-year returns for the other top components are: United Health (+4.2%), Microsoft (+9.0%), Home Depot (+12.2%), and Caterpillar (+31.5%) An investor may simply deploy the time-honored “Buy and Hold” strategy. The longer the holding period, the better the returns, barring extreme circumstances. Given that the DJIA is trending up over the long run, active traders may consider using stock index futures to enhance their investment returns. Micro E-Mini Dow Jones futures (MYM) offer smaller-sized versions of CME Group’s benchmark Dow Jones futures (YM) contracts. Micro futures have a contract size of 0.5 times the DJIA index, which is 1/10th of the standard contract. CME data shows that the E-Mini and Micro Dow Jones futures have a combined open interest of 103,077 contract as of this Monday. According to the CFTC Commitment of Traders report, as of January 7, 2025, Leverage Funds hold 17,504 long positions and 11,695 short positions. With DJIA nearing its all-time high, “Small Money” is still bullish. Longs outweigh shorts by a 3:2 ratio. Buying or selling one MYM contract requires an initial margin of $1,077. With Wednesday midday quote of 43,376, each March contract (MYMH5) has a notional value of $21,688. Compared with investing in stocks, the futures contracts offer a built-in leverage of about 20 times (=21688/1077). Hypothetically, if Dow futures price moves up 10% to 47,714 in 2025, the index gain of 4,338 points will translate into $2,169 for a long position, given each index point equal to $0.50 for the Micro contract. Using the initial margin of $1,077 as a cost base, the trade would produce a theoretical return of 201.4% (=2169/1077). Futures contracts have expiration days, and you may not hold them forever like stocks. To stay Long in the DJIA, a trader may consider a futures rollover strategy. An illustration: • A trader would buy the lead contract March now, and hold it till the end of February • He would then sell March and buy June, which will become the next lead contract • He would repeat this process: buy September and sell June at the end of May • Repeat this again to buy December and sell September at the end of August This series of trades allows a trader to establish a long position in the DJIA throughout the year, while holding the most liquid contracts. There is no guarantee that each trade will yield positive returns. But if the Dow is trending up over time, the winning would likely outpace the loses. The leverage feature in futures works both ways. It would magnify the losses as well as improving the winnings. The good news is, a trader could put stop-loss on his futures trades, limiting the downside risks. For example, our trader may set stop-loss at 42,000 when he buys the MYM at 43,376. If the Dow falls to 40,000, his position will be liquidated well before that when the price hits 42,000. The maximum loss incurred will be $688 (= (43376 - 42000) * 0.5). The combination of Futures Rollover with Stop-loss could yield higher returns (thanks to the leverage) while maintaining a limited loss exposure. If the index bounces up and down but trends up in the long stretch, the trader will see both wins and losses. Since the wins are unbounded but the losses are contained, the overall returns would likely be positive. The risk to long Micro Dow is that the US stock market enters a bear market, and DJIA trends down over a long period of time. The trader could incur a series of limited losses, and the gains were not sufficient to cover those losses. Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
DJ:DJILong
by JimHuangChicago
8
DOW JONES Falling Wedge to break upwards soon.Dow Jones is trading inside a Falling Wedge. Right now it is on the MA50 (4h) after rising on a bullish wave to the pattern's top. The pattern is very close to be completed and Falling Wedges tend to break to the upside once completed. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the next pull back. Targets: 1. 43500 (under the 2.0 Fibonacci extension). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) is on higher lows, i.e. a bullish extension since December 18th. Sign that a bullish break out is ahead. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by TradingBrokersView
"Analyzing the Dow Jones Chart: Current Market in a Trading RangCurrently, the Dow Jones is exhibiting a trading range pattern, as seen on the chart. The price is consolidating between key support and resistance levels, indicating indecision in the market. According to my trading plan, it is essential to remain patient and wait for a clear breakout or breakdown from this range to confirm the next directional move. Key Observations: The market is respecting the boundaries of the trading range. No significant trend is currently forming, suggesting potential opportunities after a breakout. Maintaining discipline and waiting for confirmation is crucial to avoid premature entries. I'll monitor the price action closely for any signs of a breakout above resistance or a breakdown below support to align with my strategy. For now, patience is key.
BLACKBULL:US30
by Tradeaione
DJI Short Trade Nets $2100 Dip: A 4.7% Market Move!Dow Jones Industrial (DJI): $2100 Drop Captured On December 11, 2024, the Risological Options Trading Indicator provided a clear signal to initiate a short trade on the Dow Jones Industrial (DJI). This trade capitalized on a significant bearish move, capturing an impressive $2100 dip, equating to a massive 4.7% decline from the entry point. The trade was identified using the Risological Options Trading Indicator, which accurately captured the strong bearish momentum. The red overlay in the histogram confirms increasing selling pressure, coinciding with the downward trajectory. This setup highlights how the Risological Options Trading Indicator leverages market structure to pinpoint high-probability trades. The captured $2100 move reinforces its precision in navigating even the most volatile markets. All the best! Namaste.
TVC:DJIShort
by ProfitsNinja
DOW JONES: contact with the 4 month Support Zone. Strong hold.Dow Jones approached the oversold limit today on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 38.566, MACD = -404.260, ADX = 33.712) as it hit the S1 Zone, which is in effect since late September 2024. The last test of this Zone (November 4th 2024) also coincided with the 4H RSI getting oversold (under 30.000) and the price was also trading inside a Channel Down. By early next week, we expect the index to initiate a similar rebound, aiming at the 0.786 Fibonacci level (TP = 44,300). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by InvestingScope