US30 4HIt is expected that the price will move towards the middle range after hitting the upper resistance and then again move towards the lower target.
I also expect that after hitting the lower range, the price will change direction upwards; however, I will wait to see if an engulfing pattern occurs or not.
Dowjones
Major Indexes Face Downturn: What's Coming Next?◉ S&P 500 SP:SPX
● The long-term trendline support has been breached.
● The immediate support range is identified around the 5,650 to 5,700 levels.
◉ Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC
● The Nasdaq Composite has rebounded from its long-term trendline support, demonstrating resilience amid economic uncertainty.
◉ NYSE Composite TVC:NYA
● The NYSE Composite has found support at its trendline and may bounce back from this important level.
◉ Dow Jones Industrial Average TVC:DJI
● After a consecutive decline over ten days, the index has surpassed its trendline support and is approaching the next support zone between 41,500 and 42,800.
Overall, all indices are anticipated to recover shortly, with expectations of robust performance from major stocks.
DOW JONES: 5 month Channel Up bottomed and 1D MA100 hit. BullishDow Jones turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.675, MACD = -65.830, ADX = 38.532) after yesterday's sharp drop due to the Fed announcing an outlook shift to 2 rate cuts in 2025 from 4 previously. Technically though that fall presents a unique long term buy opportunity as despite crossing under the 1D MA50, it managed to hit the 1D MA100 for the first time since Aug 8th while touching the bottom of the 5 month Channel Up. Today the price is showing the first signs of rebounding. The 1D RSI rebounding from below 30.000 (oversold) is also a great bullish indicator. The drop that resembles most December's is the first bearish wave of the Channel (July-August). When it recovered, the rebound hit the R1 level at first and that is our target (TP = 45,000).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Dow Plummets 1,100 Points Amid Fed’s Hawkish GuidanceMarket Reacts to Limited Rate Cut Projections and Elevated Economic Uncertainty
Dow Drops 1,100 Points in Turbulent Session After Fed Announcement
Investors rushed to reduce exposure to risk assets on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell signaled a shift in the central bank's outlook for 2025.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged over 1,100 points following the Fed’s anticipated 25-basis-point interest rate cut and its updated forward guidance. While the rate cut was expected, the announcement that only two cuts are projected for 2024 rattled investors. Powell’s message marked the end of an extended period of monetary easing, further weighing on market sentiment.
This marked the Dow’s tenth consecutive losing session, a streak not seen since 1974, when the index endured eleven straight losses.
Technical Analysis
The Dow's price dropped more than 4.5% ahead of Powell's speech, maintaining a bearish momentum. Stability below the pivot point of 42,590 suggests further downside potential, while a close above this level could indicate a reversal.
Today, the U.S. GDP release will be a key driver of market movement:
If the GDP comes in below 2.8%, it may support a bullish move toward 42,770 and possibly 42,900.
If the GDP exceeds 2.8%, bearish momentum could drive the index toward 42,380 or even as low as 41,120.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 42,590
Resistance Levels: 42,770, 42,900, 43,190
Support Levels: 42,380, 42,150, 41,970
Trend Outlook
Bullish Momentum: If the price stabilizes above 42,590.
Bearish Momentum: Likely to persist with stability below 42,590.
US30 / Consolidation Ahead of Key Breakout LevelsTechnical Analysis
The price has reached the support level we mentioned earlier and is now consolidating between 43,350 and 43,765 until a breakout occurs. Initially, the price may attempt to test 43,760 or 43,900, driven by the Fed’s 25 bps rate cut. However, it is also possible for the price to drop again, potentially breaking the support zone at 43,350.
A break below 43,350 and 43,200 would confirm a bearish trend, with further downside targets at 42,900 and 42,770.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 43580
Resistance Levels: 43765, 43900, 44070
Support Levels: 43350, 43210, 42900
Trend Outlook:
Bullish Momentum: Possible within the consolidation range of 43,350 to 43,900
PREVIOUS IDEA:
Sell Recommendation Note for Dow Jones IndexSell sINGAL
Current Price: 44,800
Stop Loss: 45,150
Target: 43,400
Disclaimer:
This note is for study purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor and evaluate risk exposure before taking any action. Investing involves risks, including the loss of principal.
US30: Bearish Momentum with CPI-Driven VolatilityTechnical Analysis
The price dropped about more than 500 points as we mentioned previously, and is still under bearish momentum because already broken the bearish correction which is 44410.
So as long as trade is below 44270 and 44410 it will drop to touch 43900, on the other hand, we have a CPI effect Today that will be expected with more than the previous result, in this case, will support the bearish movement for indices, especially realizing more than 2.7%.
due to the high volatility, we have a bullish correction till 44300 or 44410.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 44270
Resistance Levels: 44410, 44590, 44750
Support Levels: 43900, 43760, 43490
Trend Outlook:
Bearish Momentum
previous idea:
SELL SPX FROM 4100 OR 4000 AND TP ON 3800 AND WAIT Patience !! Time to Sell or Wait to 4100 anyways Going back to 3800 TP and wait for second confirmation Going back to 3200 !!!
stay Profitable
do not add to losers
add to winners
do not over leverage
do not open many positions
only trade what you know
dot get sentimental with trades . close it if did not work !!!
HAVE A GOOD WEEKEND !!!
SEE YOU GUYS ON PROFIT FRIDAYS !!!
DOW JONES 13-year pattern that never failed eyes $48000.Dow Jones (DJI) gave us the best bullish break-out signal exactly 1 year ago (December 13 2023, see chart below), as our buy entry at 36577 hit our 42900 long-term Target last October:
At that time we made a clear point why that rally 'shouldn't surprise you' and it is because of this pattern's consistency for so many years. This 1W time-frame chart shows the cyclical behavior of the index, which peaks (Sine Wave top), then pulls back and starts forming a Rising Wedge (Sine Wave bottom) and when it breaks above the Rising Wedge, is where it flashed the bullish break-out signal we got a year ago.
As you can see it then starts a gradual rise on the BB20 and completes the Cycle again (Sine Wave top) after roughly a +47% rally. The title mentions that this pattern 'never failed', practically it only broke during the COVID flash crash, which was a non-technical event than occurs once every 100 years. As you can see even the 1W MACD sequences between the cyclical patterns are identical.
As a result, our Target towards the Sine Wave peak is 48000. If this is achieved in Q2 2025, based on Dow's current Channel Up (dashed), then we expect the index to remain on those high levels but turn more neutral sideways towards the end of 2025 and then eventual start of the new Bear Phase.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Dow Jones (US 30) Pullback to Channel SupportChart Analysis:
The Dow Jones Industrial Average remains firmly within an ascending channel (green zone), with the current price nearing key channel support after a pullback.
1️⃣ Ascending Channel:
The price continues to respect the upward-sloping channel, which has been intact since mid-August. The lower boundary, near 43,450, is a critical support level to monitor.
2️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): The price is testing this level at 43,514, which aligns with the channel support, acting as confluence.
200-day SMA (red): Positioned at 40,705, reinforcing the broader bullish trend and serving as a long-term support zone.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: Currently at 39.77, approaching oversold territory. A bounce from this level could signal renewed buying interest.
MACD: Bearish momentum persists, with the MACD line trending downward. However, traders may watch for signs of a crossover near support.
What to Watch:
A successful defense of the ascending channel support and 50-day SMA could provide a foundation for a rebound toward the channel's upper boundary.
If the support fails, the next significant area of interest would be the 42,000 level or the 200-day SMA near 40,705.
RSI movement and MACD signals will be key for confirming shifts in momentum.
The Dow remains within its bullish channel, but traders will be closely watching how price reacts to this critical support zone.
-MW
US30 H4 | Potential Bullish Bounce ?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our buy entry at 43,502.40, which is a pullback support close to the 78.6% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 43,502.40, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss will be placed at 42,720.14, which is a pullback support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
S&P500 Is Approaching the Daily TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US500 for a buying opportunity around 5940 zone, S&P500 is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 5940 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Weekly Forex Forecast: Buy The S&P & NASDAQ. Wait On The DOW!This forecast is for the week of DEC 16 - 20th.
The SP500 & NAS100 are bullish and buys are the order for the week. The DOW Jones is weeker, sliding down as the USD climbs. Be careful here, as the DOW tends to travel it's own path at times.
FOMC is Wednesday. Stay vigilant and disciplined this week!
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Dow-n Memory Lane: Is History About to Repeat Itself?🚨 Breaking News Alert! 🚨
The Dow Jones might be partying like it’s 1929 again! 🎉 Except this time, the crash might make your portfolio flatter than a pancake at a bodybuilder's breakfast. 🥞💪
Let’s talk about the elephant in the chart 🐘—every time the Dow hits the ceiling of this oh-so-perfect wedge pattern, it nose-dives harder than your New Year’s resolutions by February. 📅💔
1906: Boom. Bust. Dow said, "Thanks, but I’m good at -90%."
1929: The OG crash. If you survived this one, congrats—you’re probably immortal now. 🧓💀
2008: The market went "Oops, I did it again" like Britney, wiping out fortunes faster than you can say "subprime mortgage." 🏚️💵
2020: "Hold my beer," said a microscopic virus, and the market tripped like it was wearing untied shoelaces. 🍺😷
Now? The chart suggests we’re flirting with another epic freefall. 🚀⬇️
🧐 How bad could it get?
Well, if history decides to copy-paste itself, we’re looking at a potential 90% drop. Yes, NINETY. PERCENT. That’s like seeing a Tesla go for the price of a second-hand bicycle. 🚲🔋
👉 What can YOU do?
Panic? Sure, if you want, but that doesn’t help. 🫠
Diversify? Probably smart. 📊
Buy gold? Maybe, if you’re a fan of shiny things. 🪙✨
Short the market? 🐻 You rebel, you.
But hey, no pressure. It’s only all your hard-earned savings on the line. 🫣💸
So, are we about to witness the Great Crash 2.0, or will the Dow keep defying gravity like a magician’s top hat? 🎩 Stay tuned, folks, because when this market sneezes, the whole world’s economy catches a cold. 🤧🌍
💬 Drop your hot takes below—because let’s face it, speculating about doom is more fun than living it! 😎🔥
Dow Jones Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a selling opportunity around 44,900 zone, US30 was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 44,900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
DOW JONES: Neutral 1D means buy opportunity.Dow Jones is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.536, MACD = 330.150, ADX = 20.923) as it is on the bearish wave of the 4H Channel Up, towards the 4H MA200, which on November 19th priced the last HL. The 4H RSI got oversold and rebounded today above its MA period, which twice before has been a buy signal. We are going long here, aiming at the 1.382 Fibonacci extension (TP = 45,400).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##