WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST July 22-26th: OIL INDICES GOLD SILVERThis is Part 1 of the Weekly Forex Forecast JuLY 22 - 26th
In this video, we will cover:
S&P500 NASDAQ DOW GOLD SILVER US OIL UK OIL
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Dowjones
Dow Jones, interpretation of where we areDespite the fact that i calculated the dates, this is just my calculation and correction could easily end in 2033rd, but for now we are monitoring the index and in the future it will be clearer to us where we are, and idea can be updated.
According to my interpretation, the bull market ended in 2021 and now we are in a rising sideways leg, which should end at the beginning or end of summer 2024.
I have two prefered calculation's of target for rising sideway's leg(wave, local rally):
1)39150$ +-500$
2)39950$
Then we go to 1st area(white lines) and bear market within flat should last about 1 year.
Next rally(leg) in the context of the expected flat correction should end around 36000$ in Spring of 2027.
And i hope that all the correction will be finished in March of 2028(Prefered, because it should be fast destroy like tsunami) or December 2029, at the 2nd area(red lines), so we won't be too old by then.)
Bearish Trend Expected Below Key Resistance at 40420Technical Analysis: US30
The price has reached the resistance level of 40420, as mentioned in the previous analysis, and has since dropped, consolidating between 40060 and 40420.
Current Outlook:
The US30 is expected to decline as long as it trades below 40420, targeting 40060. A break below 40060 would suggest a continuation of the bearish trend.
Bullish Scenario:
For a bullish trend to be confirmed, the price needs to stabilize above 40420, with confirmation coming from a 4-hour candle closing above this level.
Bearish Scenario:
As long as the price trades below the resistance line at 40420, it is likely to test 40060. A break below 40060 would indicate a downtrend towards 39790.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 40420
- Resistance Levels: 40640, 40580, 41050
- Support Levels: 40080, 39880, 39600
Today's Expected Range:
The price is anticipated to fluctuate between the support at 40060 and the resistance at 40650.
Previous Idea:
Dow Jones is approaching an important supportHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring US30 for a buying opportunity around 39600 zone, US30 is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 39600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
US30The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (US30) on a 1-day timeframe.
Key Elements in the Chart:
1. Entry Zone (40,070 - 39,880):
The recommended entry range for a long position is between 40,070 and 39,880.
2. Target Levels:
Target 1: 40,636.77
Target 2: 41,295.33
Target 3: 42,750.00
3. Stop Loss:
The stop loss level is set at 39,825.
4. Support and Resistance:
Support Zone: Marked in green below the entry range.
Resistance Levels:
First Resistance: 40,636.77
Second Resistance: 41,295.33
Final Cycle Target: 42,750.00
5. Current Price:
The current price at the time of the chart is 40,604.42, which is below the first resistance level but above the entry zone.
Analysis:
1. Entry Strategy:
The recommended entry zone for a long position is between 40,070 and 39,880. Entering within this range allows you to capitalize on a potential upward movement towards the target levels.
2. Target Levels:
The first target level of 40,636.77 is relatively close to the current price, suggesting a short-term target.
The second target of 41,295.33 and the final cycle target of 42,750.00 indicate higher resistance levels and potential profit points for medium to long-term trades.
3. Stop Loss:
A stop loss at 39,825 ensures a predefined risk, protecting the trader from significant downside moves if the market goes against the position.
4. Support and Resistance Analysis:
The support zone indicates a strong buying interest, which can serve as a cushion against falling prices.
Breaking above the resistance levels will be crucial for the continuation of the upward trend.
Trading Plan:
1. Enter Long Position: Within the entry zone (40,070 - 39,880).
2. Set Stop Loss: At 39,825 to manage risk.
3. Monitor Resistance Levels: Watch for price action around 40,636.77 and 41,295.33.
4. Take Profit:
Partial profit at the first target (40,636.77).
Further profit at the second target (41,295.33).
Final profit around the final cycle target (42,750.00).
US30 / Historical Resistance Reached and New All-Time HighTechnical Analysis: Historical Resistance Reached and New All-Time High
As mentioned in the previous analysis, the price has reached the historical resistance level of 41,030, stabilized above it, and recorded a new all-time high of 41,390, continuing its run towards 42,100.
Current Outlook:
The price is expected to correct to 41,030. Stability below this level would indicate a bearish trend. However, as long as the price remains above 41,030, the bullish trend will likely continue towards 42,100, especially with the strong impact of earnings on the market.
Bullish Scenario:
Stability above 41,030 suggests a continuation of the bullish trend towards 41,400 and 41,830. There is also the possibility of a retest of the 41,030 level.
Bearish Scenario:
The bearish trend will be activated if the price stabilizes below 41,030 and closes a 4-hour candle under this level. This would confirm a bearish move towards 40,420 and 40,005.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 41,030
- Resistance Levels: 41,390, 41,500, 41,830
- Support Levels: 40,750, 40,450, 40,080
Today's Expected Range:
The price is anticipated to fluctuate between the support at 40,080 and the resistance at 41,830.
Previous Daily chart:
previous weekly chart :
Papa Dow Breaks OutWhile the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 is struggling, "The People's Index" is breaking out to fresh record highs.
The Dow has comfortably broken above previous resistance near $40K, stretching its gains to above GETTEX:41K so far. While a near-term dip is possible given the overbought RSI indicator, the longer-term bias will remain to the topside (and bulls will be looking to buy) as long as prices remain above $40K.
-MW
XAU/USD : Ready for another Fall ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 6-hour chart of #gold, we observe that, as expected, gold experienced a decline and corrected to $2391 with a yield of 280 pips. Subsequently, the price saw a resurgence in demand and has risen to $2416 so far. The important supply levels are $2418.5 to $2424.6 and $2429 to $2433. The important demand levels are $2378 to $2384.5, $2369 to $2375, and $2326 to $2333. Keep an eye on the price reaction to these specified levels.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
US30 /Critical Levels & Volume Signal Potential Bullish Breakout Technical Weekly Analysis: US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average)
A Short Outlook on the Previous Movement:
The US30 has experienced a strong bullish trend, characterized by an ascending trend line that began around early 2023. The price saw significant gains until it reached a resistance level near 40,970.0, where it faced some consolidation and pullbacks. Recently, the price has been trading within a defined range, testing both support and resistance zones.
Current Outlook:
The current price of US30 is around 39,218.5, positioned near a critical pivot zone. The market is showing mixed signals, with potential for both bullish and bearish movements depending on the price action around key levels.
Bullish Scenario:
Key Trigger: A break and sustained move above 40,005.0.
Targets: The immediate target would be the yearly resistance zone at 43,040.0.
Confirmation: The breakout above 39,575, along with strong buying volume, would confirm the bullish continuation towards 40,005 and potentially higher.
Bearish Scenario:
Key Trigger: A failure to break above the pivot zone and a decline below the demand zone at 38,700.0.
Targets: The price could drop towards the strong support zone at 36,460.0, and further down to 34,430.0 if bearish momentum continues.
Confirmation: Sustained selling pressure and a close below 38,700 would confirm the bearish outlook.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 39,218.5
Resistance Levels: 40,005.0, 40,970.0, 43,040.0 (Yearly Resistance Zone)
Support Levels: 38,700.0 (Demand Zone), 36,460.0 (Strong Support Zone & Breakout), 34,430.0
Expecting Weekly Range Movement:
- The anticipated weekly range is between the support at 38,700.0 and the resistance at 40,970.0. A breakout in either direction would define the next significant move.
Preferred Direction:
- Given the strong historical bullish trend and the proximity to the pivot zone, the preferred direction leans towards bullish if the price can break and sustain above 40,005.0. However, caution is advised as the market could still face significant resistance.
Summary:
The US30 is currently at a critical juncture. A breakout above 40,005.0 would confirm a bullish continuation towards the yearly resistance zone at 43,040.0, while a failure to break this level and a decline below 38,700.0 would signal a bearish move towards 36,460.0 and potentially 34,430.0. Traders should closely monitor the price action around these key levels to determine the next major trend.
DOW JONES Top of its Channel. Sell opportunity.The Dow Jones Industrial Average Index (DJIA) hit our 41000 Target as projected on our last analysis (July 10, see chart below) and reached the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 3-month Channel Up:
The Bullish leg competed a rise around the same levels as the previous one (7.87% against 7.65%), so we can assume the symmetry will continue to shape within this pattern and affect the Bearish Legs too.
The previous Bearish Leg made a -5.14% decline. Our Target is 39200, marginally above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
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Dow Jones surges to record highs on Fed easing expectationsThe Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) ascended to record highs on July 16th, 2024, fueled by mounting expectations of a Federal Reserve policy shift towards a more accommodative stance.
Fundamental Drivers:
Federal Reserve Policy: The CME FedWatch Tool currently suggests a near-certain likelihood of at least a 25-basis point interest rate cut by September, with the upcoming July FOMC meeting potentially maintaining current rates. This anticipated monetary easing is bolstering investor confidence, particularly in sectors sensitive to interest rate fluctuations, such as industrials and small-caps.
Economic Data: Recent economic data releases, including stable retail sales figures, point towards a potential "soft landing" for the U.S. economy. This reinforces optimism and supports the ongoing market rally.
Sector Rotation: Investors appear to be strategically shifting away from large-cap technology stocks, which have thrived in a low-interest-rate environment, and allocating capital towards sectors anticipated to outperform under rising interest rates.
Confirmation: The significant rise in UnitedHealth Group Inc. (UNH) on July 16th (up 6.11%) exemplifies the strength in non-technology sectors.
Looking Forward: The Dow Jones' momentum remains robust, and further upward potential exists if upcoming economic data continues to align with the Fed's potential easing narrative. Investors will be keenly focused on forthcoming economic releases and the July FOMC meeting for any insights regarding the timing and magnitude of potential rate cuts.
US30 / Consolidation Continues Between Key LevelsTechnical Analysis: US30
The price has reached the resistance level of 40420, as mentioned in the previous analysis, and has since dropped, consolidating between 40060 and 40420.
Current Outlook:
The US30 is expected to decline as long as it trades below 40420, targeting 40060. A break below 40060 would suggest a continuation of the bearish trend.
Bullish Scenario:
For a bullish trend to be confirmed, the price needs to stabilize above 40420, with confirmation coming from a 4-hour candle closing above this level.
Bearish Scenario:
As long as the price trades below the resistance line at 40420, it is likely to test 40060. A break below 40060 would indicate a downtrend towards 39790.
Key Levels:
- Pivot Line: 40220
- Resistance Levels: 40420, 40620, 40940
- Support Levels: 40080, 39880, 39600
Today's Expected Range:
The price is anticipated to fluctuate between the support at 40060 and the resistance at 40420.
Note:
Today's earnings reports, particularly from NYSE:UNH , NYSE:BAC , and NYSE:MS , are expected to impact the indices market.
previous idea:
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Bullish Trend Continues
US30 index updated the ATH this week.
The market managed to violate a resistance level
based on the last higher high and close above that.
The Index has a nice potential to go higher.
Next resistance - 40800
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#DJIA to 40k!We are in a BULL MARKET so the risks are to the UPSIDE,
one of an explosive rally as fund managers who have badly gotten the market wrong
panic buy propelling the Stock market driven by #FOMO rather than reasoned analysis to far higher than people can imagine.
New bull market highs should arrive during summer 2023!
All whilst indecision reigns supreme on the likes of twitter in a perpetual waiting for a magic signal with the goal posts constantly drifting as those who failed to act when the knives were fast falling desperately cling onto hopes of the likes of #SPX 3600 and lower to buy
Even though if it ever happened they would once more be too fearful act just as they were the last time S&P traded down to S&P 3600 :)
My base case is we already had the recession, during the corrective moves of 2022.
Dow Jones Sustains Growth: Short-Term Bullish Strategies in PlayDuring the Wednesday session in London, the Dow Jones continued its upward trajectory. After experiencing a pullback at the $39,000 mark, the price resumed its ascent, forming a bullish candle. Our analysis suggests that the price is likely to continue rising until it reaches the Supply area, where we anticipate a potential correction.
In the meantime, we are focusing on short-term positions on lower timeframes to capitalize on this bullish continuation. These positions are aimed at taking advantage of the ongoing upward momentum as the price approaches the Supply area. By carefully monitoring the market and adjusting our strategies accordingly, we aim to maximize our gains from this bullish trend before any potential reversal occurs.
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US30 ( CPI ) ( 4H )US30
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency the price trade above turning level at 39,480 , indicates is under bullish pressure
TURNING LEVEL : a black line between resistance and support level around 39,480 , indicates if the price stabilizing above this level reach resistance level , if the breaking turning level reach a support level
RESISTANCE LEVEL : there is a black line above turning level around 39,713 , indicates selling have already increase this level , so if the price trade above turning level reach this level
SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a black line below turning level around 39,137 , indicates buying have already increase this level , so if the price breaking turning level reach this level
PRICE MOVEMENT : first the price will trying to dropping a turning level around 39,480, after rising to the resistance level around 39,713 , then stable above this level reach 39,931 , if the price breaking turning level reach a support level by 39,137 , then stable by open 4h candle above this level reach a 39,734
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 39,713 , 39,931
SUPPORT LEVEL : 39,137 , 38,734
Dow Jones Dollar Index daily TF The Dow Jones has exhibited a bearish trend for the past nine days, following a break from its bullish channel. Historically, during its last two bullish channel periods, the index experienced a bearish phase lasting 7 to 8 days before finding support and moving higher. I anticipate a similar pattern this time, expecting the index to reach one of my areas of interest before initiating a downward swing. Once it undergoes a healthy pullback and begins to decline, a close below 12,963 will signal a significantly bearish outlook.