WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 9-13th: S&P NAS GOLD SILVER US&UK OILThis is Part 2 of the Weekly Forex Forecast SEPT 9 - 13th.
In this video, we will cover:
S&P500 NASDAQ DOW GOLD SILVER US & UK OIL
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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Dowjones
Tesla Stock Correction: Eyeing a $300 Target? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the Tesla stock chart on the weekly (logarithmic) timeframe, we can see that, as expected, the price entered the supply zone at $235. After reaching this level, the stock faced a decline and corrected down to $210! It is likely that we will see further correction in Tesla's stock price. However, as mentioned in the previous analysis, due to the recent interest rate cuts, we might gradually witness a price increase after this initial correction. I am forecasting a mid-term target for Tesla stock above $300.
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Best Regards , Arman Shaban
US30: Sell Opportunity After Red Line RejectionUS30 has shown a strong rejection at the red line, signaling a potential sell trade. Keep an eye on price action as it approaches the green levels—possible bounce zones where a reversal could occur. These key areas may provide both continuation and counter-trend opportunities for day traders.
Got questions about these lines? Drop a comment, and follow for more real-time insights!
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always trade responsibly!
WALMART: Bearish: Overbought alert: Impact on Dow JonesWALMART: Bearish: Overbought alert: Impact on Dow Jones
Be careful with Walmart as you can see cocoa and st microelectronic also rose to very very high historical levels and look at the correction that we had immediately after at least 40% drop
This action can have a significant impact on the Dow Jones
A strong correction could lower the DJIA index
I alert you on this I alert you especially on the notion of "stock market cycle" and "seasonality"
Walmart is overbought you just have to look at your technical indicators RSI, ROC, Stochastic, exponential moving average, Ichimoku, Fibonacci retracement.
We could go much much lower so be careful this action is overbought
Monitor your above-mentioned indicators.
DOW JONES correction to extend until the Fed.Dow Jones (DJI) did what we expected of it 3 weeks ago (August 13, see chart below) and after pricing a Higher Low at the bottom of the 5-month Channel Up, it rebounded and reached the All Time High (ATH), pricing a Higher High:
In continuation of that analysis, we now expect the new Bearish Leg to extend to possibly as low as the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which was the case with the May 30 pull-back.
The 1D RSI suggests that a 35.00 value would be ideal to signal a buy (same as May 30, see how both RSI fractals priced the top on the 70.00 overbought limit), while a Bullish Cross on the 1D MACD would be the final confirmation of the buy.
Our long-term Target remains 42400 (+11.00% from the Higher Low, the same % rise as the July 18 High).
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US30 , Today 09/05/2024 Strategy - Sell Or Buy ?!Strategy Overview:
In this chart of the US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average Index), the price action is forming a rising channel within the 15-minute timeframe. The trendlines highlighted suggest potential buy and sell zones based on the interactions with these lines.
Key Elements:
Trendline Structure:
Buy Side: The lower trendline is acting as dynamic support. Each time the price touches this line, there's a buying opportunity, which has resulted in several bullish movements in the past.
Sell Side: The upper trendline represents resistance. When the price approaches this area, it faces selling pressure.
Trading Strategy:
Buying Strategy: A buy trade can be initiated if the price retraces back to the Buy Side trendline (around 40,937), with a stop loss placed just below this support line. The target would be a movement toward the upper Sell Side trendline (near 41,043).
Selling Strategy: A sell trade can be considered when the price reaches or slightly breaks through the Sell Side trendline. A stop loss can be placed above this level, with a target back down towards the Buy Side.
Confirmation with RSI:
The RSI indicator shows both overbought and oversold conditions frequently, which complements the trendline strategy. Currently, RSI is around neutral, meaning there’s potential for either direction depending on where the price moves next within the channel.
Conclusion:
This strategy uses both support and resistance levels created by the rising channel to define entry and exit points for buy and sell positions. The interaction of the price with these trendlines, along with RSI confirmation, provides a clear framework for making trading decisions in this timeframe.
Combined US Indexes - Warning Trend Change to DOWNFrom the last post, there was a Gap closure and breakout... well, almost. What happened was a stall after the gap closure. This is the first indication that something is not right and a strong resistance is in the way.
After more than a week, a decisive down candle wiped out two prior days of bullish candles, and reopened the earlier gap. This by itself is very bearish... first on the candlestick pattern, and next on the reopening of the gap.
MACD have crossed under the signal line, in support of the bearish undertone.
Now, we wait for a full reopening of the gap, meaning a further breakdown of the supports.
By simple projection, the down wave from mid July to August (blue arrow) is projected from the last lower high in mid-August.
This brings the target to mid-September, at an old critical support level of 780.
Oddly enough, am expecting this to happen by the end of next week.
S&P500 INDEX (US500): Important Bearish Signal
US500 was consolidating for quite a long period of time around
the level of a current all-time high and formed a range.
After the release of the yesterday's US fundamentals, the Index dropped
and formed a high momentum bearish candle.
A daily candle closed below a support of the range, confirming its violation.
We can expect a bearish continuation lower now.
Next support - 5432
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The W1DOW maker is looming. BEAR MARKET watch.
Look at that August Monthly hammer candle after the Yen carry trade wobble.
The Global Dow jones index is at an all time new high
This rise is BASED on a wall of #FIAT capital that has been clicked and borrowed into existence.
And speculation of an AI revolution
But Money creation is not wealth creation.
An general AI will be deflationary, as more decisions outsourced from Humans to the "mainframe" :0
Most of my idea's I have shared on assets have been to the upside even after bearish down moves. Stocks, Gold & Crypto. Right Back in 2020 I shared a thesis of a Roaring 20's echo meltup and here we are melting up ...
Yet the party must end sometime
so we watch and have one foot in and foot out from this point.
Secular Bull markets have a lifespan of 15-18 years ...
and this one has required multiple rounds of QE (liquidity injections) to achieve this run.
So we will are looking for #BTC hit $100k the Russell 2000 to make new high's, before setting the stage for a bear market that could be quite extraordinary.
$DJI <> Rate CutsRetail investors often mistakenly believe rate cuts are bullish and will profit, but history suggests otherwise. In the last two decades, we have witnessed three major rate-cutting events that occurred a few months before market peaks, each followed by 40%+ corrections. We have observed similar patterns with retail investors becoming bullish as rate cuts are announced. Markets typically become euphoric for a few months, with retail investors buying at the top, only to experience major drops shortly after.
Dow Jones
# Dow Jones - H1
📣 By analyzing the 1-hour timeframe, with the breakout of the resistance level around 41,124, you can consider buying with a target of 41,500.
⛔️ Stop Loss: 40,800
On the other hand, with the breakout of the 40,800 level, a decline in the index towards 40,400 is expected.
⛔️ Stop Loss: 41,124
Why a Cautious Bull on the US Markets?This is a classic bull market—smooth and trendy. However, it has become a cautious bull, moving within a much wider range, similar to what we observed after March.
Especially in July and August: For the Nasdaq, it was down by 17%, but it has since recovered within a two-month period.
Is this good or bad? It really depends on how we've positioned ourselves. If you're an investor, seeing your July positions slump so much only to recover so quickly could be quite unsettling—it might even give you a heart attack. But if you're a trader, you should find this volatility interesting and take advantage of it.
Micro E-Mini Dow Jones Futures & Options
Ticker: MYM
Minimum fluctuation:
Outright: 1.0 index points = $0.50
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
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