S&P500(US500):🔴Is it Bearish...?!🔴(Details on caption)By examining the ES1! 4-hour chart (S&P), we can figure out that, the market structure is bearish, so we looking for a sell position.
In that case, the price had a bearish reaction to all of the bearish Pd Array, so we can expect a bearish reaction on the balance price range (BPR).
In my perspective, sell-side liquidity is a draw on liquidity. Until this sell-side is not purging I don't think about buy position.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️15/04/2024
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
Dowjones
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Correction Continues
After quite a long consolidation within a wide horizontal range
on a daily, US100 index violated its support.
That violation is an important sign of strength of the sellers.
It may trigger a correction lower, at least to 17500.
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Three correction waves! But what kind of pattern is formed?Esteemed analysts and traders,
I hope this correspondence finds you in good health and high spirits, prepared to tackle the upcoming week with renewed energy. I extend my best wishes for your continued success in all your business endeavors. It is worth noting that success in trading is largely dependent on the consistent definition and adherence to one's own rules.
As a supporter of the Elliott Wave Principle, I consider this methodology an invaluable tool for market analysis. After three years of personal experience, I have developed my approach by combining this principle with meticulous consideration of different market scenarios. I strive to avoid market surprises by maintaining a range of market prospects, which enables me to recognize the market structure forming with 100% accuracy.
I am pleased to share my analysis with you, with the caveat that I do not provide buy or sell signals. My perspective on idea analysis is entirely impartial, and if my analysis meets your standards, it may serve as a guide to making an informed decision.
For your reference and comparison, I have attached my previous analysis of the same market. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled for ease of comprehension. Nonetheless, familiarity with the Elliott Wave Principle theory would facilitate an understanding of the analytical idea.
My study of the Elliott Wave Principle took nearly three years, during which my understanding and experience with this invaluable tool have grown. My progress thus far is a testament to the legacy of Ralph Nelson Eliot, whose genius has provided the foundation for my achievements. May he rest in peace.
I express my gratitude for your continued support and kindness, and welcome your comments and critiques.
May my analysis be a valuable asset to your business journey, and I remain sincerely yours,
Mr. Nobody
US30 Daily Analysis - 16 April 2024CHECK OUT MY BIO....
Knowledge Required to nail OANDA:US30USD
1, Good understanding of price Trend/directions
2, Absolute respect for Supports and Resistances
3, Knowledge of candle stick patterns
4, Discipline to use partial TP, SL
5, Discipline to wait for confirmations and only act when required
See the video for more.
US30 Daily Analysis - 15 April 2024FX:US30 Knowledge Required to nail these US30:
1, Good understanding of price Trend/directions
2, Absolute respect for Supports and Resistances
3, Knowledge of candle stick patterns
4, Discipline to use partial TP, SL
5, Discipline to wait for confirmations and only act when required
See the video for more.
Do you require support to make money trading forex? check my profile for more
US30 HEAD AND SHOULER??Simple trading - Head and shoulders
Us30 has broken the neck-line of the Head and shoulder pattern on the 4hr. US30 is bullish on the higher time frames so always be ready for a pullback to the upside. Looking at the daily chart to see if the price will retest previous support and turn resistance.
Due to the lack of bullish momentum on the smaller timeframes, I would NOT advise taking a buy trade to previous support as the market is making lower highs and lower lows. This clearly indicates that the bears are in control. At any moment the price could drop and you do not want to be caught in that.
Be patient and wait for the price to play out. Look to take a sell positions
in the short term at respectable levels
US30 USD meltdown (Shorts from 38400.0)My bias for US30 has turned bearish due to the recent Wyckoff distribution that unfolded on the higher time frame, validated by a change of character and a break of structure. This confirmation prompts me to seek selling opportunities to support the downward trend.
I will be targeting sells around the 20-hour supply zone, which recently triggered a Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside. Once we experience a pullback, I will seek a redistribution pattern on lower time frames to initiate sells in line with the prevailing trend.
Confluences for US30 sells are as follows:
- Price played a Wyckoff distribution on the higher time frame and had a CHOCH.
- Continuous breaks of structure have occurred to the downside with strong momentum
- Few clean supply zones have been left including the recent 20hr supply.
- ATH's has been taken, and enough liq has been grabbed to start pushing price down.
- still lots of liquidity and imbalances below that needs to be mitigated.
P.S. Alternatively, I will wait for the daily demand. If price continues to decline, I can capitalize on a retracement back up to the supply zone, making buys a potential option this week. Wishing you all a successful trading week!
BTCUSD Update - 52k?Seem to be going perfectly as predicted. BTC is dropping, retesting Supports to regain its bullish momentum. For how long will BTC continue to drop?
For start, this is just the beginning. BTC has completed the 4hr M pattern. BTC has just broken under major SUPPORT. This support is also the neckline for the Head and shoulder pattern from the ATH. Waiting for a confirmation by a retest. If BTC rejects the Daily support at 63500, look for sell pressure to 52k.
Capitalizing on Correlation: Selling US30 with USD on the RiseTraders,
In today's trading session, our attention is drawn to US30, where we're closely watching for a potential selling opportunity around the 38800 zone. US30 is currently navigating a downtrend, with a correction phase underway as it nears the critical support and resistance area at 38800.
Adding depth to our analysis, it's crucial to consider the broader economic backdrop. Recent data releases, including the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), have underscored the strength of the US dollar. This robust economic performance has bolstered the USD's position, creating headwinds for US30.
Moreover, it's essential to acknowledge the negative correlation between the US dollar and US30. When the US dollar strengthens, it typically exerts downward pressure on US30 and other equities. This negative correlation arises from various factors, including changes in interest rates, capital flows, and investor sentiment.
As the US dollar gains strength, investors may shift their focus towards dollar-denominated assets, leading to capital outflows from equities like US30. Consequently, a strong dollar can weigh on US30's performance, exacerbating its downtrend and potentially presenting selling opportunities for traders.
Therefore, as we monitor US30 for a selling opportunity around the 38800 zone, it's essential to remain cognizant of the interplay between the US dollar's strength and US30's performance.
Trade cautiously,
Joe.
CATASTROPHIC MARKET CRASH - Looks to be COMING VERY SOON!The fractal pattern on the charts is nearly identical, and after the crash we saw today in the crypto markets, this could be a precursor of what's about to happen in the Equities, and Futures Markets.
I would be very cautious right now!
I'm completely out of the market, with the exception of long-term crypto holdings.
Good luck, and run a tight stop-loss!
The Dow Jones needs price correction after successive declinesThe Dow Jones index has the support of the bottom of the descending channel in the range of 37872 and under the condition of maintaining and not registering any close candle time of four hours below it, it can increase to the resistance range of 38586-38450.
DJ : Capitalizing on CPI-induced DJ VolatilityThe recent volatility in the financial markets has left many investors on edge, particularly with the DJ turning red in response to the latest Consumer Prices Index (CPI) news. As prices dipped in the last session, signaling a possible start to a bearish trend, it's crucial for investors to stay vigilant and adaptable.
The CPI data for March revealed an unexpected acceleration, with a 0.4% increase compared to expectations of a 0.3% slowdown. Furthermore, the yearly rate surged to 3.5%, up from 3.2% in the previous month. These figures underscore the persistent pressure on prices, deviating from the market's anticipation of three rate cuts in 2024, slated to begin in June.
Amidst this uncertainty, it's imperative for investors to remain proactive and seek out opportunities amidst the market turbulence. While the prospect of a bearish turn may seem daunting, it also presents potential openings for savvy traders.
One strategy to capitalize on market downturns is to employ sell limit orders within the formation of a bearish channel. By strategically placing these orders, investors can position themselves to take advantage of potential pullbacks in prices. This approach requires careful analysis of market trends and patterns, but it can yield lucrative returns for those who are diligent and patient.
🟢 Our Previous Winning Idea:
DOW JONES Secret Cycles you didn't know existed!On this analysis we examine the Dow Jones index (DJI) from the longer term perspective of the 1M time-frame. A lot of market participants has started to get nervous because of this month's pull-back and this is the best way to keep a calm mindset and view the price action objectively. In order to see if the market has a legitimate reason to panic or not, the answer can be given by observing the index from a cyclical point of view.
To begin with, the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) has been the absolute multi-year Support level (since October 2010 only two candle closings below it, March 2020 COVID flash crash and recently the September 2022 inflation bottom). The market deems every pull-back towards it, a buy opportunity with the lowest possible risk.
Since the bottom of the 2008-2009 Housing Crisis, the 1M RSI bottoms on Lower Lows help us classify the multi-month phases into Cycles. The duration of each Cycle since the 1st, has been pretty consistent (39 to 48 months so far).
When the index closes a 1M candle below the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), the correction towards the 1M MA50 is usually under way. Also there is a striking consistency on the growth of each Cycle. As you can see, with the exception of the first (naturally the most aggressive since it was the start of the recovery after a Bear Cycle), every Cycle sees gains within the range of +70% and +77%.
As a result assuming the new Cycle follows a similar pattern, we can expect a minimum Target of 48850 (+70% from Low) and a Cycle ending on December 2025 (39 months from previous Low). Technically the index should peak around the the start of 2025, entering a volatile period towards the end of the year. This is as close to a projection one can make on such a long-term horizon and with tons of fundamental risks involved.
Where do you think Dow Jones will top at?
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🔥 #NASDAQ - More Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By checking the Nasdaq index chart in the 4-hour time frame, we can see that exactly as we expected, the first price was accompanied by a slight growth and filled the specified FVG, And after that, the price faced a heavy fall and corrected it by more than 400 pips to 17860! As you know, this is a demand range, and for this reason, the price reaction to this range is positive! If the price can penetrate below 17760 in the short term, we can expect starting a Bearish trend in the medium term!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Hellena | DJI (4H): Long to the resistance area of 39419. Dear colleagues, the price has passed many points in the downward movement and at the moment I suppose that the price is completing the corrective wave "4" and very soon will start the upward movement in the wave "5". It is possible to update the low in the area of 38458 and then move to the resistance area of 39419. It is possible that the price will immediately start an upward movement, so I consider only long positions and will look for the best entries to this position.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Dow Jones(US30):🔴Possible scenarios🔴(Details on caption)
Well, as you can see Dow Jones in the daily chart swept the liquidity and created a new all-time high, then had a bearish reaction and shiffed the market structure as well.
after that, the price had a retracement from a bullish FVG to a bearish breaker block and continued to the sell side.
For now, there are two different bearish scenarios which I follow the first one.
First scenario: The price created the buy side liquidity below the balance price range in the premium. We all know it is a high-probability scenario that can push the price lower. So in this scenario, we wait to move higher, grab the buy side liquidity, and look for a sell position inside the BPR on a lower time frame.
Second scenario: If the price is strongly bearish we can expect the price to move to sell-side liquidity from inversion which has already tapped in.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️07/04/2024
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
🔥 #NASDAQ - First LONG , Then SHORT (READ THE CAPTION)By checking the Nasdaq index chart in the 4-hour time frame, we can see that the price started to move exactly as we expected and it grew with more than 330 pips of yield to the range of the previous supply zone! After entering the supply range of 18360 again, the price faced a heavy drop and corrected to the demand range of 17800 to 17970! Now the price is trading in the range of 18130 and is trying to fill the previous FVG! Probably we will see a growth first and then fall again!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
US30DAILY
High tests and slowing down candles, therefore we should stay out and wait for the touch of the bottom of the wedge (38570)
4H
We still look like we are falling before and form of reversal. The trend has been bearish and is currently in a consolidation, leading us to expect an impulse.
1H
We still waiting for a breakout whether up or down.
15Min
Close your eyes and stay waiting