Get started

Dowjones

Capitalizing on Correlation: Selling US30 with USD on the RiseTraders, In today's trading session, our attention is drawn to US30, where we're closely watching for a potential selling opportunity around the 38800 zone. US30 is currently navigating a downtrend, with a correction phase underway as it nears the critical support and resistance area at 38800. Adding depth to our analysis, it's crucial to consider the broader economic backdrop. Recent data releases, including the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), have underscored the strength of the US dollar. This robust economic performance has bolstered the USD's position, creating headwinds for US30. Moreover, it's essential to acknowledge the negative correlation between the US dollar and US30. When the US dollar strengthens, it typically exerts downward pressure on US30 and other equities. This negative correlation arises from various factors, including changes in interest rates, capital flows, and investor sentiment. As the US dollar gains strength, investors may shift their focus towards dollar-denominated assets, leading to capital outflows from equities like US30. Consequently, a strong dollar can weigh on US30's performance, exacerbating its downtrend and potentially presenting selling opportunities for traders. Therefore, as we monitor US30 for a selling opportunity around the 38800 zone, it's essential to remain cognizant of the interplay between the US dollar's strength and US30's performance. Trade cautiously, Joe.
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by JoeChampion
4
DJ : Capitalizing on CPI-induced DJ VolatilityThe recent volatility in the financial markets has left many investors on edge, particularly with the DJ turning red in response to the latest Consumer Prices Index (CPI) news. As prices dipped in the last session, signaling a possible start to a bearish trend, it's crucial for investors to stay vigilant and adaptable. The CPI data for March revealed an unexpected acceleration, with a 0.4% increase compared to expectations of a 0.3% slowdown. Furthermore, the yearly rate surged to 3.5%, up from 3.2% in the previous month. These figures underscore the persistent pressure on prices, deviating from the market's anticipation of three rate cuts in 2024, slated to begin in June. Amidst this uncertainty, it's imperative for investors to remain proactive and seek out opportunities amidst the market turbulence. While the prospect of a bearish turn may seem daunting, it also presents potential openings for savvy traders. One strategy to capitalize on market downturns is to employ sell limit orders within the formation of a bearish channel. By strategically placing these orders, investors can position themselves to take advantage of potential pullbacks in prices. This approach requires careful analysis of market trends and patterns, but it can yield lucrative returns for those who are diligent and patient. 🟢 Our Previous Winning Idea:
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by FOREXN1
1
DOW JONES Secret Cycles you didn't know existed!On this analysis we examine the Dow Jones index (DJI) from the longer term perspective of the 1M time-frame. A lot of market participants has started to get nervous because of this month's pull-back and this is the best way to keep a calm mindset and view the price action objectively. In order to see if the market has a legitimate reason to panic or not, the answer can be given by observing the index from a cyclical point of view. To begin with, the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) has been the absolute multi-year Support level (since October 2010 only two candle closings below it, March 2020 COVID flash crash and recently the September 2022 inflation bottom). The market deems every pull-back towards it, a buy opportunity with the lowest possible risk. Since the bottom of the 2008-2009 Housing Crisis, the 1M RSI bottoms on Lower Lows help us classify the multi-month phases into Cycles. The duration of each Cycle since the 1st, has been pretty consistent (39 to 48 months so far). When the index closes a 1M candle below the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), the correction towards the 1M MA50 is usually under way. Also there is a striking consistency on the growth of each Cycle. As you can see, with the exception of the first (naturally the most aggressive since it was the start of the recovery after a Bear Cycle), every Cycle sees gains within the range of +70% and +77%. As a result assuming the new Cycle follows a similar pattern, we can expect a minimum Target of 48850 (+70% from Low) and a Cycle ending on December 2025 (39 months from previous Low). Technically the index should peak around the the start of 2025, entering a volatile period towards the end of the year. This is as close to a projection one can make on such a long-term horizon and with tons of fundamental risks involved. Where do you think Dow Jones will top at? ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DJILong
by TradingShot
2
🔥 #NASDAQ - More Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By checking the Nasdaq index chart in the 4-hour time frame, we can see that exactly as we expected, the first price was accompanied by a slight growth and filled the specified FVG, And after that, the price faced a heavy fall and corrected it by more than 400 pips to 17860! As you know, this is a demand range, and for this reason, the price reaction to this range is positive! If the price can penetrate below 17760 in the short term, we can expect starting a Bearish trend in the medium term! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
6
Hellena | DJI (4H): Long to the resistance area of 39419. Dear colleagues, the price has passed many points in the downward movement and at the moment I suppose that the price is completing the corrective wave "4" and very soon will start the upward movement in the wave "5". It is possible to update the low in the area of 38458 and then move to the resistance area of 39419. It is possible that the price will immediately start an upward movement, so I consider only long positions and will look for the best entries to this position. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
TVC:DJILong
by Hellena_Trade
Dow Jones(US30):🔴Possible scenarios🔴(Details on caption) Well, as you can see Dow Jones in the daily chart swept the liquidity and created a new all-time high, then had a bearish reaction and shiffed the market structure as well. after that, the price had a retracement from a bullish FVG to a bearish breaker block and continued to the sell side. For now, there are two different bearish scenarios which I follow the first one. First scenario: The price created the buy side liquidity below the balance price range in the premium. We all know it is a high-probability scenario that can push the price lower. So in this scenario, we wait to move higher, grab the buy side liquidity, and look for a sell position inside the BPR on a lower time frame. Second scenario: If the price is strongly bearish we can expect the price to move to sell-side liquidity from inversion which has already tapped in. 💡Wait for the update! 🗓️07/04/2024 🔎 DYOR 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
CBOT_MINI:YMM2024Short
by VahidTradingCR
1
🔥 #NASDAQ - First LONG , Then SHORT (READ THE CAPTION)By checking the Nasdaq index chart in the 4-hour time frame, we can see that the price started to move exactly as we expected and it grew with more than 330 pips of yield to the range of the previous supply zone! After entering the supply range of 18360 again, the price faced a heavy drop and corrected to the demand range of 17800 to 17970! Now the price is trading in the range of 18130 and is trying to fill the previous FVG! Probably we will see a growth first and then fall again! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
CAPITALCOM:US100
by ArmanShabanTrading
7
DOW JONES below the 1D MA50 after 5 months!Dow Jones (DJI) gave us an excellent sell entry following our last analysis (March 28, see chart below) as it got rejected and made a bearish reversal exactly where we expected it to: Last Thursday it even broke below the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time in exactly 5 whole months (since November 03 2023)! This is a bearish break-out confirmation signal and we expect a new sell-off soon. As you can see the former (dotted) Channel Down broke downwards and has given way to a (blue) Channel Down. The 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) has now been turned into Resistance with one confirmed rejection already (April 04). The Channel Down has fairly symmetrical Bearish Legs so far, -2.36% and -2.20%. Assuming the new will be at a -2.20% minimum, we are expecting a Lower Low at 38200. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by TradingShot
🔥 XAU/USD - Time for Correction ? (READ THE CAPTION)By checking the gold chart in the weekly time frame, we can see that the price is still in a strong upward rally and is breaking records every week! Today, the price was able to grow up to $2352 and register a new ATH! Pay attention that the range of $2335 to $2353 is a supply range and it is the only range that can prevent further price growth, otherwise the next gold target is $2405 and based on my analysis a few months ago, we may finally see May gold reach the target of $2500! So, for now, there is a 60% chance of a partial correction of this range, and a 40% chance that the price will penetrate above $2400! In times like this, trading is more difficult than ever, especially when you look for price reversals! So be careful with your trades! The demand range is between $2303 and $2309! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
1
🔥 #NASDAQ - Looking for BUY ? (READ THE CAPTION)By checking the Nasdaq index chart in the 4-hour time frame, we can see that yesterday's price started to grow slightly in the range that we analyzed in order to fill a small part of the liquidity void that it had created! Pay attention that I expect this FVG to be filled soon and the attractive demand range for BUY is 17800 to 17970! The Main Analysis : Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by ArmanShabanTrading
2
Dowjones under the pressure of a strong Dollar.As we prepare for tomorrow's trading session, our attention is directed towards US30, with a potential selling opportunity emerging around the 39100 zone. Currently, US30 is tracing a downtrend but undergoing a correction phase, drawing near the critical support and resistance area at 39100. Augmenting our analysis with a fundamental perspective, the last Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report showcased notable strength, expected to bolster the US Dollar's position. Furthermore, looming on the horizon is the highly anticipated Consumer Price Index (CPI) event scheduled for this Wednesday. This economic indicator carries significant weight as it could provide additional validation for the Federal Reserve's forthcoming actions, potentially reinforcing the dollar's ascent. Notably, a strengthening dollar often translates into bearish sentiment for stocks due to their inherent inverse correlation. This interplay between currency strength and stock market dynamics adds an intriguing layer to our analysis, informing our trading strategy for US30. As astute traders, it's imperative to factor in both technical and fundamental aspects when navigating the markets. By leveraging these insights, we aim to seize the opportunities that tomorrow's trading session presents. Stay vigilant and trade wisely! Joe
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by JoeChampion
2
Dow to Consolidate and Move Down from HereYM (DOW 30), 4 Hour, Indicators: This is what I need to see turn to get confirmation on our short position up here. The 4 hour is still locked in "embedded" mode on the slow stochastic. My bet is that this is going to come off "embedded" and in the process swing back to the middle of the Bollinger band. . . if that happens, that would take us back to 39921 . . . there is your 300 points. Notice the resistance on the 4 hour from above . . . You also have the top of the BBs on the 4 hour up there. So, it makes sense that it would be a good place to sell off from. Obviously, our stop is back at B/E but, if we wanted too . . .beyond this 4 hour level would also be a good place for a stop. More downside for YM could develop if we bust through the 39900 level if this wedge gives out.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by CeresTrader
YM ran to 40k without any resistance just like I said it wouldI've been saying for some time now that Dow Jones has _no_ relevant resistance till 40k and now here we are If that resistance fades quickly then the next relevant resistance is at 45k and probably most retailers will come up with excuses to short it the whole way there also "But how did you come up with that number?" See for yourself heh this is a very clear cut chart at such high timeframes not too dissimilar to BTC and XAU Some very notable calls in recent years: SPREADEX:NIKKEI and TVC:DJI both to 40k (over 1y in advance) CRYPTOCAP:BTC pico bottom at 15k and recent local top at 70k FX:EURUSD pico bottom & TVC:DXY pico top at 115 TVC:USOIL pico bottom at 68 NASDAQ:SMCI mega breakout at 100 NASDAQ:NVDA mega support at 120 NASDAQ:TSLA pico bottom at 105 NASDAQ:NFLX pico bottom at 165
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by markusrafferty
US30 DJ30 DOWJONES ROBBERY PLANHI Traders, NFP Trade master plan to Heist US30 Market. my dear Looters U can enter after the NFP data there is high chance to go down side, Our target is Green Zone if it goes bearish side, Bullish side our target is Red Zone that is High risk Caution Pullback area, If There is any Bad news it make our heist very sad and if the news is favorable for us then we can continue our looting from there with help of trailing stop. My dear Robbers please book some partial money it will manage our risk. Be safe and be careful.. Make money and take money.
CAPITALCOM:US30
by Thief_Trader