DOW JONESVery short time chart 15 minutes counts
I may be wrong but seems to have done wave 1 or A downside.
Dowjones
Dow Jones(US30):🔴Possible scenarios🔴(Details on caption)
Well, as you can see Dow Jones in the daily chart swept the liquidity and created a new all-time high, then had a bearish reaction and shiffed the market structure as well.
after that, the price had a retracement from a bullish FVG to a bearish breaker block and continued to the sell side.
For now, there are two different bearish scenarios which I follow the first one.
First scenario: The price created the buy side liquidity below the balance price range in the premium. We all know it is a high-probability scenario that can push the price lower. So in this scenario, we wait to move higher, grab the buy side liquidity, and look for a sell position inside the BPR on a lower time frame.
Second scenario: If the price is strongly bearish we can expect the price to move to sell-side liquidity from inversion which has already tapped in.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️07/04/2024
🔎 DYOR
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🔥 #NASDAQ - First LONG , Then SHORT (READ THE CAPTION)By checking the Nasdaq index chart in the 4-hour time frame, we can see that the price started to move exactly as we expected and it grew with more than 330 pips of yield to the range of the previous supply zone! After entering the supply range of 18360 again, the price faced a heavy drop and corrected to the demand range of 17800 to 17970! Now the price is trading in the range of 18130 and is trying to fill the previous FVG! Probably we will see a growth first and then fall again!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
US30DAILY
High tests and slowing down candles, therefore we should stay out and wait for the touch of the bottom of the wedge (38570)
4H
We still look like we are falling before and form of reversal. The trend has been bearish and is currently in a consolidation, leading us to expect an impulse.
1H
We still waiting for a breakout whether up or down.
15Min
Close your eyes and stay waiting
DOW JONES below the 1D MA50 after 5 months!Dow Jones (DJI) gave us an excellent sell entry following our last analysis (March 28, see chart below) as it got rejected and made a bearish reversal exactly where we expected it to:
Last Thursday it even broke below the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time in exactly 5 whole months (since November 03 2023)! This is a bearish break-out confirmation signal and we expect a new sell-off soon.
As you can see the former (dotted) Channel Down broke downwards and has given way to a (blue) Channel Down. The 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) has now been turned into Resistance with one confirmed rejection already (April 04).
The Channel Down has fairly symmetrical Bearish Legs so far, -2.36% and -2.20%. Assuming the new will be at a -2.20% minimum, we are expecting a Lower Low at 38200.
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🔥 XAU/USD - Time for Correction ? (READ THE CAPTION)By checking the gold chart in the weekly time frame, we can see that the price is still in a strong upward rally and is breaking records every week!
Today, the price was able to grow up to $2352 and register a new ATH! Pay attention that the range of $2335 to $2353 is a supply range and it is the only range that can prevent further price growth, otherwise the next gold target is $2405 and based on my analysis a few months ago, we may finally see May gold reach the target of $2500!
So, for now, there is a 60% chance of a partial correction of this range, and a 40% chance that the price will penetrate above $2400! In times like this, trading is more difficult than ever, especially when you look for price reversals! So be careful with your trades!
The demand range is between $2303 and $2309!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
🔥 #NASDAQ - Looking for BUY ? (READ THE CAPTION)By checking the Nasdaq index chart in the 4-hour time frame, we can see that yesterday's price started to grow slightly in the range that we analyzed in order to fill a small part of the liquidity void that it had created! Pay attention that I expect this FVG to be filled soon and the attractive demand range for BUY is 17800 to 17970!
The Main Analysis :
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
US30DAILY
38800, our lower edge. We have a high test on the lower end of the wedge so we can zoom in to look for better information.
4H
38600, is a strong support from previous price.
1H
Break of 38900 will convince me of a bull run
15Min
38815, wait for the touch / bounce or breakthrough of this price
Dowjones under the pressure of a strong Dollar.As we prepare for tomorrow's trading session, our attention is directed towards US30, with a potential selling opportunity emerging around the 39100 zone. Currently, US30 is tracing a downtrend but undergoing a correction phase, drawing near the critical support and resistance area at 39100.
Augmenting our analysis with a fundamental perspective, the last Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report showcased notable strength, expected to bolster the US Dollar's position. Furthermore, looming on the horizon is the highly anticipated Consumer Price Index (CPI) event scheduled for this Wednesday. This economic indicator carries significant weight as it could provide additional validation for the Federal Reserve's forthcoming actions, potentially reinforcing the dollar's ascent.
Notably, a strengthening dollar often translates into bearish sentiment for stocks due to their inherent inverse correlation. This interplay between currency strength and stock market dynamics adds an intriguing layer to our analysis, informing our trading strategy for US30.
As astute traders, it's imperative to factor in both technical and fundamental aspects when navigating the markets. By leveraging these insights, we aim to seize the opportunities that tomorrow's trading session presents.
Stay vigilant and trade wisely!
Joe
DJI, Elliott wave analysisOutlook for DJI on 1M chart.
We are probably in sub-wave (c) of wave A.
I think the sub-waves of wave A might form an expanded flat or Running flat.
If this scenario is correct, It will probably crash.
Last time my idea.
■Feb 10, 2024. middle-term analysis.
Dow to Consolidate and Move Down from HereYM (DOW 30), 4 Hour, Indicators: This is what I need to see turn to get confirmation on our short position up here. The 4 hour is still locked in "embedded" mode on the slow stochastic. My bet is that this is going to come off "embedded" and in the process swing back to the middle of the Bollinger band. . . if that happens, that would take us back to 39921 . . . there is your 300 points. Notice the resistance on the 4 hour from above . . . You also have the top of the BBs on the 4 hour up there. So, it makes sense that it would be a good place to sell off from. Obviously, our stop is back at B/E but, if we wanted too . . .beyond this 4 hour level would also be a good place for a stop. More downside for YM could develop if we bust through the 39900 level if this wedge gives out.
YM ran to 40k without any resistance just like I said it wouldI've been saying for some time now that Dow Jones has _no_ relevant resistance till 40k and now here we are
If that resistance fades quickly then the next relevant resistance is at 45k and probably most retailers will come up with excuses to short it the whole way there also
"But how did you come up with that number?"
See for yourself heh this is a very clear cut chart at such high timeframes not too dissimilar to BTC and XAU
Some very notable calls in recent years:
SPREADEX:NIKKEI and TVC:DJI both to 40k (over 1y in advance)
CRYPTOCAP:BTC pico bottom at 15k and recent local top at 70k
FX:EURUSD pico bottom & TVC:DXY pico top at 115
TVC:USOIL pico bottom at 68
NASDAQ:SMCI mega breakout at 100
NASDAQ:NVDA mega support at 120
NASDAQ:TSLA pico bottom at 105
NASDAQ:NFLX pico bottom at 165
US30 DJ30 DOWJONES ROBBERY PLANHI Traders,
NFP Trade master plan to Heist US30 Market. my dear Looters U can enter after the NFP data there is high chance to go down side, Our target is Green Zone if it goes bearish side, Bullish side our target is Red Zone that is High risk Caution Pullback area, If There is any Bad news it make our heist very sad and if the news is favorable for us then we can continue our looting from there with help of trailing stop.
My dear Robbers please book some partial money it will manage our risk. Be safe and be careful.. Make money and take money.
Dow Jones Index (US30): Pullback From Key Level
Dow Jones may pullback from a key daily support.
I see a nice tiny double bottom formation after a test of the underlined blue area,
with a confirmed violation of its neckline.
Goal - 38860
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US30DAILY
Just had an expanding wedge and price is building more into the wedge. 38655, shows us further price movement to possibly the upside.
4H
38600 is a form of some support, look left and you will see the test / rejection and sensitivity around this price. The expanding wedges are just giving us signs that there's bearish pressure when they happen. So we are adding to our confluence.
1H
38555, bouncing here and rejection. This should not tell us that we are going up, it's just indication to stay watching.
15Min
Stay away
NB!!!!!!!!!
NFP FRIDAYS WE ONLY TRADE AFTER NFP TO AVOID DOING THE WRONG THINGS.
BTCUSD 4hr Sell pressure is coming! Watching to see if BTC will break below the triangle and continue the "M" pattern. Super clean bearish structure. Let's hope for NFP week to drop BTC out of the sky. With a Hawkish expectation on the DXY, I can only imagine a fakeout. The Feds will stir up the DXY to create a Bloody Friday
US30: Dow Jones Retreats After Double Top FormationThe Dow Jones Industrial Average has shifted into negative territory, experiencing a notable downturn following a double top formation around the $40,000 mark on April 1st. As of the time of writing, the price has descended to $39,179, exhibiting a reaction near the neckline of the price pattern. This development prompts a strategic approach based on Fibonacci levels, indicating potential pullback zones where sell limits have been set to capitalize on retracement opportunities.
The recent softness in US services activity data has provided a degree of respite for investors, who have been increasingly apprehensive about the implications of robust US macroeconomic indicators on Federal Reserve monetary policy. Specifically, the US ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) dipped to 51.4 in March from 52.6 in February, contrary to market expectations of a marginal uptick to 52.7. Furthermore, the Prices Paid sub-index receded to 53.4 from 58.6, marking its lowest reading in years and indicating a disinflationary trend in the economy. These figures have somewhat counterbalanced the impact of strong ADP employment data and hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Powell and Atlanta Fed President Bostic.
In light of these developments, our strategy revolves around anticipating a pullback from the previous zone area, followed by a renewed downward movement. This tactical approach aims to capitalize on market dynamics and potential retracement opportunities, aligning with broader market sentiments and macroeconomic indicators.
As market conditions evolve, continued monitoring and adjustment of strategies will be essential to adapt to changing dynamics and capitalize on emerging opportunities in the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
US30 HIT 38850, BEAR RALLY IS ONOver 350 pips bagged successfully on Dow jones
PA is melting hard, what are you doing about it?
We have 2,150 pips to go.
stuck in profit
US30Daily
The beginning of a reversal (to the upside) the completion of todays candlestick will help confirm that. It looks to be forming an evening star right at the top of the resistance which adds to our confirmation.
4H
We definitely are still on the right track but we are still just slightly early.
Got the test of the previous resistance (39620) correct just days later
1H
Expanding wedge during a bear channel, yet it is a bullish trend. So we either anticipate this as a reversal (to continue the bear run) or we see this as a reversal to bring back the bulls in the market.
15Min
Wait and watch
Hellena | DJI (4H): Long (update the top of wave 3 39980).Dear colleagues, it is possible that the price will update the local low and finish wave 4 a little lower, which means that we will have an opportunity to enter a long position more favorably! The target remains the same - to update the maximum of wave 3 39980.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | DJI (4H): Long (update the top of wave 3 39980).Dear colleagues, it is possible that the price will update the local low and finish wave 4 a little lower, which means that we will have an opportunity to enter a long position more favorably! The target remains the same - to update the maximum of wave 3 39980.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
DOW JONES Sell the MA50 (1d) break out.Dow Jones reached the top of the late 2022 Channel Up and is already on a 3day rejection.
If it crosses under the MA50 (1d), the strongest short term sell signal emerges.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell if the price crosses under the MA50 (1d).
Targets:
1. 38050 (Support A).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is testing the 58.47 level. Past breakouts under this level have coincided with MA50 (1d) break outs, so use it as an additional sell signal.
2. The strongest long term buy entry has been when the RSI (1d) breaks under the 30.00 oversold limit.
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US30 2,700 PIPS TARGETJust found this Gem on Dow after bagging Bulls
I am betting on bears power if PA break below this support zone.
Massive swing trade..
