Dow Jones - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH4 - Bearish convergence.
Expecting short term bearish moves to happen here.
H1 - Strong bearish momentum.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Until the strong resistance zone holds I expect the price to move lower further after pullbacks.
Dowjones
Dow Jones Industrial Averages Weekly Technical Analysis(1) We have witnessed a sharp fall from 29,500 level in Feb’20. This was almost 38% fall from the top. Market had gone in a oversold zone.
(2) Around 18,300 level, price found a support and bounced back from this level.
(3) With an upside rally, price managed to breakout its previous resistance.
(4) After the breakout, we have seen a sharp upside rally further and the price reached at 36,950 level.
(5) A corrective decline has been seen from there and the price started making lower highs and lower lows at reached to 28,800 level.
(6) Price again bounced back from there and gave a upside move.
(7) In this entire consolidation phase, a Cup & Handle chart pattern has been formed, which gave us positive indication.
(8) With a strong breakout of the Cup & Handle pattern, price started its journey upside.
(9) Currently the price is standing near its All Time High. More upside move is expected from here.
🔥 #NASDAQ - Target Reached , What's Next ? (READ THE CAPTION)By checking the Nasdaq index chart in the 4-hour time frame, we can see that the price started falling from the desired supply range exactly as we expected and hit the targets of 18150 and 18090 and even corrected to 18000! The efficiency of this analysis has been more than 380 pips! The level of demand in front of the price range is 17800 to 17970 !
The Main Analysis :
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🔥 #NASDAQ - More Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By checking the Nasdaq index (NAS100) chart in the 4-hour time frame, we can see that the price is still being corrected based on the previous analysis, and if it stabilizes below the level of 18290, we can expect a further drop from the price, whose Its targets will be 18150, 18090 and 17950 respectively!!
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XAUUSD - GOLD 1hrSimple trading:
M - Pattern "Double top"
We look to sell gold for a correction. Gold is respecting the trend, but if the price fails to break above 2265, it could see a possible downside after its massive bullish impulse.
When U.S. bond yields rise:
- Gold prices might decrease as investors find bonds more attractive due to higher returns.
US30So wrong or just too early.
Mid way we were moving following our analysis and the bulls just gained energy but that's okay. I did have quite a bad week so it would have affected my thoughts.
Currently 39450, were we anticipated the major drop is where we can adjust and rework our analysis from 1W down to 15min.
Weekly we have a strong bearish candle, which looks to be engulfing the previous week. It's cause of sign because it is happening at the top of the trend.
Daily we had an evening star, that further adds to our analysis and believe of the bears.
4H we had a double top, indicating the fall (39900 being the ceiling). If we get a neckline (39300) break then we off to the races.
1H we'll wait for 39260.
Trade Idea: Wait
Weekly Momentum On Major Pairs (Week 13/2024)
First Thing First: This analysis is for “general overview only” as it is solely based on price action. That’s why it is called momentum analysis in the first place. Support/Resistant, Volume Macro view nor any other factors are not used during write up. Refer to the individual pair analysis for a more comprehensive write up.
XXX/USD: Neutral
Gold & Silver: Very Bullish
XXX/JPY: Neutral
Stock Indexes: Neutral
BitCoin/ETH: Very Bullish
Week 13 (31/03/2024)
US30 Bulls still holding strong (buys potentially from 39400.0)US30 remains in a strong bullish stance, and I'm still on the lookout for long opportunities. Last week, we witnessed a retracement in price to fill the previous imbalance, although some imbalances remain. This was adequate for initiating a new rally, as we're currently observing.
Now, I anticipate two possibilities: either price will break past the newly formed high, or it will retrace to address a significant demand level. In the event of a retracement to the demand level, I'll wait for lower timeframe confirmation before preparing long setups, targeting either new highs or significant liquidity points.
Confluences for US30 Buys are as follows:
- Price broke structure to the upside once again.
- Lower and higher time frame remains extremely bullish.
- Clean nearby demand zone on the 18hr or 21hr.
- New high is close by which is a strong level of liquidity tat is lying there.
- After this imminent retracement we can expect a new rally.
P.S. I strongly favor the bullish trend due to several recent breaks of new highs. Additionally, there are several demand zones that have yet to be mitigated. However, given the impulsive nature of price movements, I wouldn't be surprised if we witness further upward momentum, potentially breaking the high once again.
Have a great trading week guys!
Bitcoin - BTCUSD 4hrUPDATE:
Head and shoulder patterns continue. BTC is following a 1hr trend (blue lines). Pay attention to the lower high BTC is about to create. The USD markets are on a holiday break, if the USD news is bullish for GoodFriday then BTC will continue to drop.
***Fed Powell is speaking as well.
This could be the start of the biggest pullback in BTC History.
I am looking for BTCUSD to continue falling as it respects the lower highs.
Tp1: 61500
Tp2: 51500
Tp3: 47500
Tp4: 37749
🔥 XAU/USD - First LONG , Then SHORT (READ THE CAPTION)With the new review of gold in the 1-hour time frame, we see that the price rose to $2200 last day and then it was corrected! Now, in my opinion, gold can be associated with a growth up to the range of $2203 to $2210 and after that we can have a SELL position with the right trigger! As I said before, the first supply zone is between $2203 and $2210, and the next is the Rejection Block zone between $2212 and $2222!
Please tell me in the comment section that do you think what price gold will close at by the end of the week!?
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DOW JONES At the edge of the cliff.Dow Jones (DJI) is approaching the top of the 1.5 year Channel Up, while at the same time holding the Inner Higher Highs trend-line. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) Support is getting increasingly weak as it is now on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, the closest it has been to the price action since the the November 2023 break-out.
Technically this is as overbought as it can get on the 1D time-frame and the 1D CCI gives a clear sell signal that is consistent with the late July and January 2023 peaks. On this scale, the time to buy is far from the current prices, quite the contrary, the RR favors selling on the short-term.
We are expecting 38050 (Support 1) to be tested on the 0.618 Channel Fib level. Even though the previous two corrections made -9.25% dips, the time to buy would be when the 1D CCI posts a Higher Low on oversold territory. That was a solid buy signal in 2023. The ideal price level for that would be as close to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as possible, although it is not necessary.
Profit by selling short-term and buying the dip long-term.
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Looking for US30 to rise back upWaiting for a internal liquidity sweep of today's low for a possible buying opportunity up to march 21st high. There is liquidity on lower time frames more visible (30min,15min & 5min). I'm personally using 1Hr and 5 min combination for this entry. When there is confirmation on the 5 min chart I'll enter around 39345- 39336 area located in the discount. That huge dump was distribution, we've consolidated in a range monday through tuesday, then made a lower low and got a market structure shift to the upside showing reversal signs. Good luck!
Dow Jones Index (US30): Classic Bullish Pattern
As we discussed on a live stream today,
US30 index tested a recently broken horizontal resistance
that turned into a solid support.
The market formed a double bottom formation and successfully violated its neckline.
We can anticipate a bullish continuation at least to 39744 now.
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🔥 XAU/USD - Another LONG ? (READ THE CAPTION)With the new review of the gold chart in the 1-hour and weekly time frame, we can see that after the price was able to grow up to $2180 and hit the first two targets, it was accompanied by a price correction and corrected to the demand level of $2156 to $2159 and then It was accompanied by demand again and we saw its growth up to $2178! The total efficiency of this analysis has been more than 300 pips and I hope you have made the most of it! If the price stabilizes above $2165, we can expect more growth from gold, whose possible targets are $2173, $2180, $2183, and $2203 (SHORT TERM SCENARIO) , respectively! If the price moves and penetrates below $2146 in the weekly time frame, we can expect price correction in the mid term!
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US30We are on track and going very nicely to what we wanted before we go with the market. Keep holding that patience and stop those fingers from executing any trades.
As we move lower, think of possible moves which could invalidate the forecast:
Bull momentum taking over
New rejection level
Fake outs to the downside
Major news announcements
Wrong psychology
Wait, hold, plan, wait some more
🔥 NASDAQ - Ready for more FALL ? (READ THE CAPTION)By checking the Nasdaq chart, we see that the price after collecting liquidity above the level of 18420 has faced selling pressure and is currently trading in the range of 18250! If the price stabilizes below 18360,there will be a greater and heavier fall from the index! Its targets are 18200, 18090 and 17950 respectively!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
US30 Waves AnalysisHello Traders, Base on technical and wave analysis we see this scenario for #US30 #DowJones for next move. let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
DJ: US30 Assessing Reversal Potential Amidst Historical HighThe Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJ - US30) faced downward pressure after reaching historical highs around 39910 on Friday. As US markets conclude the trading week, the DJIA's downward testing suggests a potential reversal and retracement before a possible bullish move.
On Friday, most major sectors of the US equity market experienced losses, with Real Estate down approximately 1.25% and the Financial Sector falling 1.21%. However, the Communications Services Sector showed resilience, closing up around 0.85% as telecoms rebounded from recent selling pressure.
Traders are eyeing next Thursday's release of US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures, which are expected to hold steady at 3.2% growth for Q4. Additionally, attention will be on the latest Federal Reserve's (Fed) inflation metric, the Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index, scheduled for release next Friday. Market forecasts predict a slight decrease in the MoM Core PCE for February, from 0.4% to 0.3%.
With anticipation of these economic indicators, a reversal is anticipated, prompting consideration for a Sell limit on DJ.
USStraight forward, this is bullish and has no reason to stop being bullish. HH and HL are the indications of the strength of this trend. Within the channel is where the action is. Current price we bearish.
For now stay away from the trade idea but rather on the movement of price. We melting downwards, which resembles the supply but not the demand because it could still be up. For now hold and wait for consolidation before wanting to enter sells.
LET CONSOLIDATION BE MIMUMUM 5-10 CANDLES, this is a better confluence as this will give us a price squeeze and better direction predictions.
Trade Idea : Buy Limit
SL - 38680
Entry - 38835
TP - 40010