Dowjones
US30 H4 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart, the price is testing our sell entry level at 44,728.54, a pullback resistance. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup.
A successful rejection at this resistance could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 44,029.64, where buyers may step in near a previous support level.
The stop loss is placed at 45,433.97, just above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension, allowing room for price fluctuations while ensuring the bearish outlook remains valid.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
The Friday Forecast; Best Setups Frr Feb 7This market outlook will cover 15 markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
USD Index
EURUSD
GBPUSD
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
CAD, USDCAD
CHF, USDCHF
JPY, USDJPY
Non Farm Payroll news tomorrow! This is likely to inject a lot of volatility into the markets.
I recommend to wait until after the news is announced before executing on any trades. You never know where the market will go!
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NFP Feb 25 - US30 NFP Trading Plan Feb 2025.
Weaker NFP data with higher UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS (Bullish)
Higher NFP data with Lower UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS (Bearish)
Weaker NFP data with Neutral UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS (Choppy)
NFP - Forecast 169K vs Previous 256K
Unemployment Claims - Forecast 4.1% vs Previous 4.1%
Here's the tricky Part. If data comes out as expected (NFP 169K - UEC 4.1%) thats Bullish, but a choppy market up & down until market finds a valid support/trend.
Plan Of Action.
Wait 5 - 15 min after data release.
Identify the S&R zones. Wait for Break or Retest.
Wait for confirmation (Candle close/Volume Break/Retest).
Execute with Proper Risk Management.
STICK TO PLAN OF ACTION!!!
Support & Resistence
Resistence - 44725 - 44750
Support - 44525 -44500
Technicals
Monitor DXY for a weaker Dollar. Currently on the 4hr DXY chart we got a H&S Pattern with MA20 downside cross MA50 and RSI in sell area below 50.
US30 we inverted H&S Pattern with MA20 trading close to MA50 for upside cross and RSI in Buy area above 50.
US30 Technical Outlook: Bullish Momentum Holds Above 44410US30 Technical Analysis
The price maintains bullish momentum as it has already stabilized above the pivot line at 44410.
As long as it trades above 44410, the price is expected to push higher toward 44620 and 44760.
However, if a 1-hour or 4-hour candle closes below 44410, a bearish move is likely, with potential targets at 44250 and 44075.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 44410
Resistance Levels: 44620, 44760, 44920
Support Levels: 44260, 44150, 44075
Trend Outlook:
Bullish while above 44410
Bearish below 44410
Dow Jones Trending Higher: Potential Move to 45,494CAPITALCOM:US30 is trading within a well-defined uptrend, supported by a rising trendline that signals strong bullish momentum. The price has consistently formed higher highs and higher lows, reinforcing the trend continuation narrative.
I anticipate that if the index maintains its upward momentum, it could move toward the 45,494 level. This setup aligns with the broader bullish trend, supported by the sustained strength above the trendline and recent price action.
Let me know your thoughts or if you see the setup differently!
DOW JONES Can the 1D MA50 save the day once more?Dow Jones (DJIA) has been trading within a year long Channel Up and this week's pull-back has so far found Support just above the 1D MA50 (red trend-line). As this chart shows, every 1D MA50 contact that was made after a Channel Up bottom (Higher Low), was a buy opportunity as the blue arc patterns highlight.
The green arcs are the Channel bottoms and technically the strongest buy opportunities and in the past 10 months we've only had 3 of those. This is the 4th blue arc however, the medium-term buy opportunity.
Regardless of colour, the 4H RSI pattern on each of those buy opportunities, has been the same. And the resulting rally has either hit the 1.5 Fibonacci extension or made a +8.33% rise.
This time the 1.5 Fib is a bit closer to the price, so that will be our medium-term Target at 46750.
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US30 H1 I Bearish Drop Based on the H1 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 44,589.66, which aligns with a strong resistance level and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup.
Our take profit is set at 44,078.74, near a previous support level, where price may find buying interest.
The stop loss is placed at 44,913.22, above the previous swing high and above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, providing room for price fluctuations while ensuring the bearish setup remains valid.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au
Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
DOW JONES: Buy signal above the 4month RectangleDow Jones just turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 56.676, MACD = 255.440, ADX = 30.051) as it hit the 4H MA50 after an instant rebound on the 4H MA100 inside the same session. This is a strong bullish reversal but the buy signal will be validated if the price crosses over the 4month Rectangle pattern. The rally from its January 13th bottom has been with a significant correction until Friday's and today so far and according to the November rally which was two-fold, if this is the start of the 2nd bullish stage, it should be -1.70% weaker than the first. This implies that from today's low we should rise by +6.30%. This gives us a TP = 46,550 but in order to overcome the bearish pressure of the Rectangle, we will buy only if then price crosses over it.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Tariffs, tariffs and more tariffs... What's next for the Dow?It seems like we are stepping into Tariff Wars 2.0, with the announcement of the tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China. But is the outlook really that bad? Let's take a look at the MARKETSCOM:US30 scenario.
TVC:DJI
74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Bullish Outlook Explained
It feels like US30 index is preparing to recover
after Friday's and today's selloff.
As a confirmation, I see a nice bullish imbalance
after a test of a daily support and a tiny ascending triangle
pattern on an hourly.
Goals: 44196 / 44470
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Weekly Market Forecast Feb 2-7thThis is an outlook for the week of Feb 2-7th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
The indices were not easy to trade last week, as there were plenty of fundamentals at play. However, they are relatively still strong, and I am looking for further gains next week.
NFP week, imo, is best traded Mon-Wed. Thurs will likely see consolidation until the NFP news announcement Friday morning. I will look to fade the news release on Friday for NY Session.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Dow Jones Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
US30 Analysis: Is This Resistance the Turning Point?👀 👉 In this video, we conduct an in-depth analysis of US30, dissecting its prevailing uptrend and the recent retracements from resistance. We’ll examine key support and resistance zones, market structure, and price action behavior to identify potential trade scenarios. With price nearing a significant resistance level, we assess possible countertrend opportunities—provided price action aligns with our technical outlook. Watch now for a comprehensive breakdown. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Dow Jones - Trading 2025 Is Pretty Clear!Dow Jones ( TVC:DJI ) will create another green year:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For the past 15 years, the Dow Jones has been respecting two significant rising trendlines. With each of the previous cycles being around +80% and corrections always starting with the new year, everything is pointing towards another phenomenal stock market year.
Levels to watch: $50.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
DOW JONES starting a bullish streak to 48500.Dow Jones / US30 is trading inside a Channel Up since August 2022 and is right now on the 3rd straight green 1week candle.
Even though it is approaching the top of this 2.5 year pattern, the upcoming Bullish Cross on the 1week MACD indicates that the rally that is starting could be of a similar magnitude like November 2023 and October 2022.
Consequently, we expect this to reach at least the 2.0 Fibonacci extension on a diverging Channel Up.
Target 48500.
Previous chart:
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US30 - Make or Break zone!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 US30 is currently retesting its all-time high at $45,000.
🏹For US30 to enter the price discovery phase and reach new ATHs, an 4H candle close above $45,000 is required.
📉On the other hand, if the last major low marked in red is broken downward, a deep correction towards the orange support would in play.
For now, we wait! ⏱️
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. This helps me cover the cost of providing regular insights.
DJIA Breakout Incoming? Bulls Eye 48,000+Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) Analysis – Bullish Continuation?
The DJIA remains in a strong uptrend, respecting the rising channel structure.
Recent price action shows a successful retest of key Fibonacci support, followed by a bullish bounce, signaling a potential continuation toward new highs.
Dow Jones 30 is near its all-time high. Can we create a new one?Can the Fed help the MARKETSCOM:US30 move a bit further north and establish a new all-time high? There is a possibility for that, however, we need to wait for the Fed press conference, when market volatility may increase significantly. That said, let the market settle and we can see what we can do. Check the video for more details.
TVC:DJI
RISK DISCLAIMER
74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.