DOW - At ATH's 38k next Target. BLACKBULL:US30 is sitting at the top of the move with what is looking like one more move higher into 38k before we see a decent retracement.
In the smaller TFs there is a pattern setting up giving us potential upside targets.
I go into more details of these levels to watch in my group.
Once the high comes in we look at the retracement to see if its going to be bullish or bearish. But first we need a top, then we can go from there.
I hope this helps. Enjoy the week.
Dowjones
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Friday 12/01/2024We made a new ATH in the DOW JONES so the bullish sequence in the higher time frame continues. We believe we are now working on a wave ((3)). Alternatively, the wave ((1)) might still be ongoing as a leading diagonal. In the lower time frame, it looks like we are moving corrective and that we have not started wave 5 yet.
DOW JONES (US30) - Long for new ATH ⁉️Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on DOW JONES.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a strong bullish market structure, so after price filled perfectly the imbalance and rejected from bullish order block, I expect price to make new ATH.
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Hellena | DJI (4H): Long to area of 38153.16.Dear Colleagues, I believe that the price will still go higher, completing wave 5. Or the price will continue wave 3. I expect a small correction, after which the target will be reached in the area of 38153.16.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Market Breakdown: EURUSD, EURJPY, BTCUSD, US30
1️⃣ EURUSD daily time frame 🇪🇺🇺🇸
The pair is currently stuck within a narrow intraday horizontal trading range.
We are expecting the US inflation data tomorrow and for the market participants
it will be the important trigger.
Monitor the reaction of the price to the boundaries of the range and look for a confirmation.
That will be your signal.
2️⃣ EURJPY daily time frame 🇪🇺🇯🇵
The market is currently breaking a solid daily supply area.
If the price breaks and closes above that on a daily, it will be a strong bullish signal.
A bullish continuation will be anticipated to 161.0 level then.
3️⃣ BITCOIN weekly time frame ₿
BTC nicely respected a major weekly structure resistance.
After its test, we see a strong bearish reaction.
I would anticipate a continuation of a correction for now.
4️⃣ Dow Jones weekly time frame
The market set a new historic high before it closed on Christmas holidays.
Now it looks quite overbought.
I would recommend waiting for a pullback to one of the underlined supports.
They can provide perfect points to buy the index from.
Do you agree with my market breakdown?
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Dow Jones Big Move ?Pair : Dow Jones - DJI
Description :
Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame and Rejection from Upper Trend Line. Completed " ABC " Corrective Waves. Break of Structure and Strong Divergence. Symmetrical Triangle as an Correction in Short Time Frame with the Breakout of Lower Trend Line.
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 10/01/2024We made a new ATH in the DOW JONES so the bullish sequence in the higher time frame continues. We believe we are now working on a wave ((3)). Alternatively, the wave ((1)) might still be ongoing as a leading diagonal. In the lower time frame, we are observing a finished WXY corrective structure. This could mean the start of a wave 5 up.
U.S Equity Index’s Overview – A Repeating PatternU.S Equity Index’s Overview – A Repeating Pattern
The Bull Thesis – Ascending Triangles
The 200 day (blue line on each chart) is squeezing price up towards each red resistance line making each chart look like an ascending triangle (evident on every chart). With the 200 day as underside support for price and the 200 day sloping upwards, things remain positive.
The Bear Caution – Throw overs, Transportation Lag and the Hidden Wedge
We need to be aware and cautious of a throw over top on each chart which is always a possibility. Price on each chart would need to fall back below the red support line (pricing having only been thrown over the red line to come back down again).
The DJ:DJT – Transportation (Chart 1) is lagging behind all the other charts and has not taken out its Nov 2021 or Jul 2023 highs. This relative weakness in Transportation is worrying as this index offers an early indication of potentially less manufacturing and goods being transported, with this chart lagging and failing to take out its highs, it could be an early indication of a more pronounced slowdown in the economy. This chart we need to keep a very close eye on. If DJT fails to rise above its red line and loses the 200 Day, this could be a very bad signal.
We also need to be aware of how one important chart is showing a rising wedge pattern (Chart 3 – Major Market Index TVC:XMI ). This old school chart is watched by the OG traders and investors as a more general market chart. Lets keep an eye on the upper diagonal on the rising wedge for resistance on this one. A rejection here could be something of an early warning sign and obviously losing the red support line would confirm this.
Charts 4 - 6
4. S&P 500 SP:SPX
5. NASDAQ NASDAQ:NDX &
6. US Small Cap 3000 TVC:RUA
All these charts appear to be about to break into all time highs, however they are slightly lagging the Dow Jones Industrials TVC:DJI and the Major Market Index TVC:XMI which have broken all time highs. In the Charts 4 - 6 break out above their red lines (above recent all time highs), this could be another confirmation signal of bullish momentum. Obviously a rejection at this level does not bode well.
SUMMARY
In this hard to navigate market environment we need to pay attention to DJT (Chart 1) and XMI (Chart3) as they provide clear boundaries that we can watch for hidden bear signal warnings. On the contrary, in the even these charts and charts 4 - 6 breach their respective resistance levels mentioned above we can be assured that the wind is at out back in this currently confusingly bullish market.
If you like this overview please let me know and I will complete similar overviews for other markets and indices.
Thanks for reading
PUKA
DOW JONES Correction has started. Where can it stop?Dow Jones (DJI) started a strong decline since our December 29 2023 sell call (see chart below), the strongest since the remarkable rally started on the October 29 bottom:
On today's analysis, we want to look into the same market dynamics and the pattern we drew 10 days ago but this time on the 1D time-frame. What stands out the most is that this time on the January 02 2024 High, the RSI peak that was made a few days back on December 19 2023 (hence the Bearish Divergence) was a (much) Higher High that the previous two (red arrows down) on the Higher Highs trend-line (July 26 2023 and April 13 2023), that was made on the vastly overbought level of 87.50 (highest since January 11 2018).
Our short-term target remains 36750, which represents the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from the Jan 02 High. The other feature on this 1D chart that stands out is the 38.50 1D RSI Support, which provided rebounds on May 25 2023 (long-term) and August 24 2023 (short-term). That RSI Support reveals where our first buy attempt should be. Price-wise that could be as low was the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (35100) of the October 27 Low. By the time it potentially makes contact with it, the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) could be there as well.
A medium-term candidate is also a -4.50% range from the Jan 02 High, which would give us 36150 and is where the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is headed right now.
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US30Late trigger but it was amazing forecast and mid analysis.
Here we are now looking to scale in and do more. Move SL into profits we do not run a non profit.
37600 - 37630 (Area of significance)
- bounce and rejection, with candlestick confirmation is a move up
- impulsive candlesticks down and rejection means we are drowning price again.
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 09/01/2024We made a new ATH in the DOW JONES so the bullish sequence in the higher time frame continues. We believe we are now working on a wave ((3)). Alternatively, the wave ((1)) might still be ongoing as a leading diagonal. In the lower time frame, we are observing a finished WXY corrective structure. This could mean the start of a wave 5 up.
SPX500 - Waiting For Retest...Hello Traders !
The S&P500 Reached A Resistance Level (4777.47 - 4817.20).
Currently,
The Price Failed To Create a New Higher High.
The Last Higher Low is Broken (ChoCh) 4691.98 - 4702.18.
So, I Predict a Bearish Move📉.
Let's Wait For Retest...
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TARGET: 4642.00🎯
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 08/01/2024We made a new ATH in the DOW JONES so the bullish sequence in the higher time frame continues. We believe we are now working on a wave ((3)). Alternatively, the wave ((1)) might still be ongoing as a leading diagonal. In the lower time frame, we are observing a potential WXY corrective structure.
US30This big boys came to play with NFP but was equally sorted out without regret.
4H
-Serious Doji
- Hanging man as the closing candle
* Evening Star
1H
* 3 touches on either side of the channel
* Bearish channel confirmation
* Rection and close under 37500
- 37400 can be the next resting place
- 37300 is the next significant level should it fall
15Min
- Price in a squeeze, we should be expecting a breakout next (one that will be very impulsive)
- 37327 area around where double/triple bottom happened
- 37520 break = Shoot up (bullish momentum)
S&P500: Moving to the DowOverview
I decided it was time to start taking control of my own retirement account. For years my account has been pulling in mediocre gains and the only reason I've put up with it for so long is because: 1) it took me years to hone my trading skills and 2) my employer matches my contributions.
Well, after reviewing my available fund allocations and performing a quick technical analysis of the respective funds, I decided to pull completely out of the S&P500 ( SP:SPX ) and placed them into the Dow Jones ( DJ:DJI ).
Technical Analysis
SP:SPX
A double top has appeared on the 1W chart. Combined with dwindling volume on top of increasing value, I think it's ready to fall. Utilizing Fibonacci retracements I believe a good time to re-enter the S&P 500 will be in the range of $2200-$3200 USD.
DJ:DJI
While it is still slightly early to confirm, it appears that the Dow Jones has escaped the double-top and in my opinion looks coiled up and ready to spring. Utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels -- supported by increasing volume with rising value -- $56.8K appears to be a practical price target.
DOW JONES - Incoming Global Crash - Larger Degree Wave 4...In this video, I elaborate on my anticipation of a significant downturn in global markets and discuss how it might usher in a new era in the financial system. Since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), central banks have consistently deferred addressing underlying issues, but it seems we have reached the end of that road. The only viable path forward appears to be allowing the market to undergo a proper correction, facilitating the potential for renewed growth in the future. Exploring the emerging landscape, it will be intriguing to observe the shape of the new financial system, especially with the emergence of technologies that could form its foundation. My comprehension of market trends and waves has played a crucial role in leading me to this conclusion after years of dedicated research.
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Friday 05/01/2024We made a new ATH in the DOW JONES so the bullish sequence in the higher time frame continues. We believe we are now working on a wave ((3)). Alternatively, the wave ((1)) might still be ongoing as a leading diagonal. In the lower time frame, we are observing an ending impulse. The high could hold or alternatively, we might see a fifth wave to end the impulsive structure.
DJI Dow Jones Fell 8.60% After the Last U.S. Credit DowngradeOn Tuesday, Fitch Ratings downgraded the US debt rating from the highest AAA rating to AA+, citing concerns over "a steady deterioration in standards of governance."
This downgrade occurred in the wake of last-minute negotiations among lawmakers to secure a debt ceiling deal earlier this year, which posed a risk of the nation's first default.
Following a similar credit downgrade in the past, the DJI Dow Jones Industrial Average experienced an 8.60% decline over a period of 3 months. The downgrade by S&P, one of the three major credit rating firms, took place on Aug. 5, 2011, after another significant debt ceiling battle.
As of today, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has risen to 4.15%, reaching its highest level since November 2022.
If we are to fell -8.60%, the Price Target for DJI is $32500.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
Bull market correction pattern? End of Impulse PatternHello there,
I hope you're having a great start to the new year. I wish you all the best in your trading ventures and a happy new year with your loved ones.
I'm a fan of the Elliott wave principle, which I find interesting and useful for market analysis. I've developed my analytical approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and considering various scenarios that are likely to occur in the market.
Although I'm going to share my analysis with you, please note that I won't be providing a buy or sell signal. My goal is to share my unbiased analysis so that you can use it as a guide to make an informed decision.
To give you confidence in my analysis, I'll always share my previous analysis from the same market so that you can compare. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, making it easy for you to understand.
I hope my analysis will be useful to you in your business journey, and I wish you the best.
I'm waiting to hear from you. Finally, I'd like to remind you that like-mindedness and support, comments, and likes are the most important pillars of progress, like support points in the financial markets. They give me the energy to continue and share more ideas with you.
Sincerely,
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Thursday 04/01/2024 (+ HTF)We made a new ATH in the DOW JONES so the bullish sequence in the higher time frame continues. We believe we are now working on a wave ((3)). Alternatively, the wave ((1)) might still be ongoing as a leading diagonal. In the lower time frame, we are observing an ending impulse.