Dowjones
DOW JONES - Commentary On The Markets
In the near future, I plan to refresh my analyses, spanning from gold and interest rates to cryptocurrencies and currencies. However, at this moment, my primary focus is on expressing my thoughts in a straightforward and unfiltered manner. I sense a compelling urge to impart my knowledge on the fundamentals. The wave concept provides a visual avenue for precision in comprehending price action. While price action conveys significant information, it can be challenging to fully grasp its message. My goal is to present you with an exceptionally visual interpretation of price action through the lens of the AriasWave methodology.
Dow Jones To 34150 $DowJones is going to be in downtrend in next few days while dollar going to be stronger.
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DXY back to 105.400DXY index will go green again after testing 103.700 level this week.
Yesterday unfortunately dollar was red.
But probably it will go up again today.
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SPX500 - New Breakout 📈Hello Traders !
On The Daily Time Frame, The SPX500 Price Reached A Strong Support Level (4141.00 - 4103.00).
The Resistance Level (4397.84 - 4376.45) is Broken and Becomes a New Support Level.
The Resistance Line is Broken.
So, I Expect a Bullish Move📈.
i'm waiting for retest...
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TARGET: 4500.00🎯
Dow Jones - Important Breakout 📈Hello Traders !
On Wednesday 4 Oct, The Dow Jones Price Reached A Strong Support Level (32578.50 - 32855.30).
The Resistance Level (34145.38 - 33968.84) is Broken and Becomes a New Support Level.
The Resistance Line is Broken.
So, I Expect a Bullish Move📈.
i'm waiting for retest...
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TARGET: 34850.00🎯
Dow Jones Leading the indices? Next target sky highExtended W Formation has formed on Dow Jones.
WHile other indices and stock exchanges are falling or moving sideways, this one is racing up without any shackles.
There's always been a price breakout above the downtrend since Aug 2023.
All in all, it's looking very bullish and is showing upside to come.
Target R35,689
What's interesting is the DOw Jones, SP500 and Nasdaq are normally the leading indices. So could this be a prediction that other indices (including ours) are ready to rally to new HIGHS of the year?
If so, we need to prepare for this possibillity with hedging carefully.
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 14/11/2023 (+ Higher TF)We are still working on the wave (2) as an ABC structure. The wave B is unfolding as an ABC pattern. As we came close to the wave (2) area and based on the NASDAQ and S&P 500 analyses, the alternative scenario calls for the end of wave (2) as a WXYXZ structure. Price action in the lower time frame will further guide us in these two scenarios.
DOW JONES Consolidation leading to a Christmas rally?Dow Jones / US30 spent all week above the 1day MA50, in fact Friday's rebound took place exactly on it (Support A at 33850).
This is potentially an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern and with the 1day RSI at 60.00 and over its MA, it draws comparisons with the June 15th pattern, which peaked at +6.08%.
That pattern has same measurements as the current Inverse Head and Shoulders and formed the Right Shoulder in 3 weeks, supported by the 1day MA50.
After that another +6.15% leg brought the price to the 1.786 Fibonacci extension.
Similarly, the current Inverse Head and Shoulders may target the 1.786 Fibonacci, which in this case will be a little under the 35700 Resistance B high.
Buy and target 35500 (a little under Fibonacci 1.786).
Previous chart:
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Get Ready for the partyUSA market was under pressure due to so many reasons as we know but technically now the chart is looking bullish to me. Once we see a closing above 34440 its very likely it will retest the strong resistance area that is at 34900 zone.
34000 was resistance we saw rejections on 17th october 2023, now with this current really we can finally see a break through and is has retested the zone successfully. I think we are going north from here fasten your seat belts for this journey.
Hit like & follow guys ;)
US30 IMPORTANT DECISION Hello traders it looks like its make or break time for us30
the price is on a very sensitive zone A Major key level + a falling trendline.
however it looks to me that the buyers are still keeping strength on the market it is very likely and possible we can see a breakout and a further continuation to the upwards just like the nasdaq100
but the possibility of a rejection and down is still there.
id say its 65 percent probability it goes up and 35 percent it goes down.
the global direction is still unclear no confirmation was shown i will update you guys if i see anything.
Dow Jones Index (US30): Bullish Continuation is Coming?!
Does a price action on Dow resembles a cup & handle formation on a daily?
34000 - 34450 is a huge resistance - the neckline of the pattern that the index is currently approaching.
Its bullish breakout - a daily candle close above - will be a strong bullish signal
that will push the prices much higher.
Next goal will be 34950.
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DOW JONES Strong rebound on the 1D MA50!Dow Jones (DJI) is having an excellent rebound ever since our October 31 buy signal (see chart below), which we issued after the index bottomed on the Higher Lows trend-line of the 12-month Channel Up:
The price broke today even above the 3-month Bearish Megaphone, which was the pattern that executed the Channel Up correction. Today's rebound is being done after the index hit and held the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is in fact on top of the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). If it continues, we may see this 1D Death Cross (a technically bearish pattern) getting invalidated.
However, we do lower our medium-term target from 35000 to 34800 as this rebound is coming off a -1.15% pull-back, which resembles those of June 06 and April 04, that topped on the next rise and then pulled-back to the 1D MA50.
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Are we about to see a new era of expansion for the tech sector?This is the Nasdaq to Dow Jones ratio (NDX/DJI) on the 1W time-frame (with the RSI on the 1M), which offers very interesting conclusions as to where we are on the large scale of things, which can be particularly helpful now as the shorting bets have been increased to the most in 5 years.
The recent pull-back since the July Highs, have made market critics call for a stronger correction. for the NDX/DJI pair, this has just been a consolidation. Going back to 2000, the tech sector witnessed a 'biblical' Bear Cycle as the Dotcom Bubble popped. It wasn't until November 2021 that the NDX/DJI ratio reached this 0.47 All Time High (ATH) Resistance but again as we saw, the inflation crisis happened and had a 1 year Bear Cycle.
Now the ratio is almost back to the ATH Resistance and just formed a 1W Golden Cross, which is a very bullish pattern, the first since October 2007. What's really interesting is that this consolidation on a 1W Golden Cross is quite similar to the July 1991 pattern. That fractal was basically the expansion phase that led to the Dotcom Bubble burst. The 1M RSI sequences are similar between the two fractals.
This chart shows us that such expansions take place inside Channel Up patterns. The 1W Golden Cross and a potential break above the 0.47 Resistance, may be the signal telling us that the technology market is starting a new era of expansion and it won't be surprising even fundamentally. Among other technological advancements and inventions, we are in the era of A.I. and that can be the vehicle to grow the market to unprecedented highs just like the internet was in the 1990s fractal that led to the 2000 Dotcom bubble.
Do you think the time to invest in tech long-term is now?
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View and confirm running flat??Greetings, dear friends. I hope you are having a productive week.
I am happy to assist you in ensuring that all previous analyses are attached to each corresponding analysis. This will provide a comprehensive overview and help you make well-informed decisions. Please do not hesitate to let me know if there is anything else I can do to assist you further.
I want to share my market analysis ideas based on the Elliott Wave Principle with you.
I am a fan of this principle and follow all the rules and guidelines for analyzing the market.
However, please note that my ideas are based on my personal experience and may change over time.
If there is an error in my analysis, I am open to re-analyzing it from the beginning and learning from my mistakes.
It's important to understand that making an error in analysis is not a fault, but evading responsibility is.
No one can analyze financial markets with 100% accuracy, but it's remarkable how close we can get.
We analyze from multiple perspectives to consider all possibilities.
Let's mention a few opinions and ideas!
Based on mathematics.
I am still practicing to understand the Elliott Wave Principle better and hope to provide an even better analysis in the future.
Thank you for your continued support, and I look forward to our mutual success.
Best regards,
Mr. Nobody
Keep trying and never give up.
Good luck!
Global Economic Recession SPX CRASHSPX is finishing a 1-2-3-4-5 wave for new highs. Whales are ready to push the stock market to new highs. This will get the majority of traders very bullish while whales exit the stock market and flip the trade. One of the worst recessions in history is in the making. Pattern: Inverse H&S
DOW JONES: Final pump before correction.Dow Jones turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.241, MACD = -34.600, ADX = 33.114) after more than three weeks as it smashed past our target and even crossed over the R1 level (34,150). The inevitable formation of a Golden Cross on the 4H timeframe, indicates that this sequence has one more High left to give on the LH and HH trendlines cross.
The 4H MACD Bearish Cross is very much like October 12th, both took off on a Double Bottom Bullish Cross. This is our last short term buy (TP = 34,500).
See how well our prior idea has worked:
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DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 08/11/2023 (+ Higher TF)We are still working on the wave (2) as an ABC structure. The wave B is unfolding as an ABC pattern. As we came close to the wave (2) area and based on the NASDAQ and S&P 500 analyses, the alternative scenario calls for the end of wave (2) as a WXYXZ structure. Price action in the lower time frame will further guide us in these two scenarios.
US30 short term Shorts towards 33000.0As I am still bullish on US30 this idea is a temporary move that I see playing out due to the past couple days being very bullish. As im expecting a pull back/retracement of some sort, I will be looking to take the sells at the 22hr supply zone. I will wait and see for price to show me its hands then go from there. As price hasnt slowed down yet im still waiting for price to distribute soon so we can take sells back down towards 33000.0
Scenario (A) - Is just for price to enter an area of supply which is at the 22hr supply zone. Then we will need our lower time frame confirmation to tell us that price is ready to drop like a choch and a wyckoff distribution. There is a 3hr supply below however, I feel like it will get violated hence why I will be waiting for the 22hr as that zone has also swept liquidity above.
Scenario (B) - Is for Price to sweep this major high and retrace back down towards our designated target around 33000.0. This is were im expecting price to slow down and accumilate orders for us to start entering our buy positions. Then from there we will ride with the trend up to maybe new higher highs.
Confluences for US30 shorts are as follows:
- Dollar has shifted trend to the downside so im expecting this market to be bullish.
- Price has had a lot of impulsive moves to the upside that it needs to come back and retrace back to.
- Price is approaching level of strong supply that will potentially cause price to come back down to a cheaper price so we can enter our buys.
- There are lots of imbalances below as well on HTF and if price wants to continue going back up it needs to retrace and pick up liquidity to beign a new rally.
P.S. I am expecting US30 to make new ATH's so if we get into buys we could possibly hold all the way to premium price levels. This is also backed by DXY as if thats now going down I will be expecting this market to rally up even more. In addition to this, sentiment analysis also expects US30 and NASDAQ to be very bullish which adds to our confluence for FUTURE buys!