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Dowjones

DOW JONES at the top of the 18month Channel Up. Medium-term SellDow Jones has been trading within a 18-month Channel Up pattern since the October 13 2022 global market bottom. The current price action is approaching its top (Higher Highs trend-line) for the first time in more than 1 year (since December 13 2022). With the 1D RSI on Lower Highs, which is a Bearish Divergence against the Higher Highs of the price action, the current levels are a strong candidate for a medium-term pull-back. Even though we are past the transition year of 2023, which got the index out of the 2022 Bear Cycle and into the new Bull Cycle, thus we do not necessarily need a strong correction like those of August - October 2023 and December 2022 - March 2023, a smaller technical pull-back would be natural to normalize the overbought technical indicators and extend the long-term bullish trend. As a result, we are targeting at least 37120, which is Support 1 and just above the 0.618 Fibonacci Channel level, the first target of the December 19 2022 pull-back and a typical % correction similar to August 24 and May 25 2023. Not that the 1D RSI was under a Lower Highs trend-line both during the August 2023 and December 2022 corrections. Interestingly enough, both corrected by -9.20%, so technically we can see a correction as low as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 0.236 Fibonacci Channel level at 35000 (even though it is less likely unless very negative fundamentals hit the market). Also it is worth pointing out that there is a technical maximum extension above the Channel Up, which is the red Triangle, in case the current Bullish Leg of the pattern goes for a +21% rise, like the December 01 2022 did. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by TradingShot
4
DIA in downward trendSPDR® Dow Jones Industrial Avrg ETF Tr (DIA, $381.37) RSI Indicator left the overbought zone on January 31, 2024 This is a signal that DIA's price could be shifting from an uptrend to a downtrend. Traders may consider selling the stock or exploring put options. A.I.dvisor looked back and found 43 similar cases where DIA's RSI Indicator left the overbought zone, and in 35 of them led to a successful outcome. Odds of Success: 81%. DIA in downward trend: price may decline as a result of having broken its higher Bollinger Band on January 22, 2024 DIA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on January 22, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 39 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 35 of the 39 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 90%. Price Prediction Chart Technical Analysis (Indicators) Bearish Trend Analysis The 10-day RSI Indicator for DIA moved out of overbought territory on January 31, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 36 of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 84%. The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected. Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DIA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%. Bullish Trend Analysis The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on January 18, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on DIA as a result. In 67 of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for DIA just turned positive on January 30, 2024. Looking at past instances where DIA's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%. Following a +0.89% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DIA advanced for three days, in 315 of 371 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%. The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 266 of 336 cases where DIA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 79%.
AMEX:DIAShort
by Serhii_Bond
The scenario of continuing the bullish market? Corrective patterDear Friends, I hope this message finds you well and that you're having a great start to the week. I wish you success in your business endeavors. As someone interested in the Elliott Wave principle, I find it a valuable tool for analyzing the market. I have developed my approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and by considering various scenarios that are likely to occur in the market. I am sharing my analysis with you, but please note that I am not providing any buy or sell signals. I aim to share my unbiased analysis with you so that you can use it as a guide to make informed decisions. The first analysis is Litecoin In the attachment, you will find my previous analysis of the same market, so you can compare and see the differences. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, making it easy for you to understand (although having a basic familiarity with the Elliott Wave Principle theory will help you understand the analytical idea more easily). I have been studying the Elliott Wave principle for almost three years now. With time, my understanding of this knowledge and experience has increased. What I have achieved so far is a legacy of a genius named Ralph Nelson Elliott, and I am truly satisfied with my progress. May his soul rest in peace and his memory be cherished. Thank you for your support so far. I am grateful and will always remember your kindness. Please feel free to share your thoughts and feedback with me. I hope my analysis will be useful to you in your business journey, and I wish you all the best. Sincerely,
FX:US30Long
by Mehdi_Abbasi_EWP
Hellena | DJI (4H): Long to 100% Fibo 38516.Dear colleagues, the waves continue their development. After the correction a b c, wave 1 in the upward movement is completed. At the moment I suppose that the price will either update the maximum of wave 1, or make a correction to the area of 50% Fibonacci level in the area of 37500 (wave 2), then I expect the price in the area of 100% Fibonacci extension level 38516. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
TVC:DJILong
by Hellena_Trade
2
BTC - This is Why I Am Now Shorting Bitcoin...In this video, I delve into the considerations that led me to take a short position on Bitcoin at these specific levels. I want to clarify that I'm not advocating for others to follow suit in shorting Bitcoin; rather, I'm elucidating the rationale behind my decision. The video also touches upon the influence of the Dow Jones and Solana on this decision, and I present a slightly less optimistic perspective on BNB. While the medium-term outlook still anticipates all-time highs, the short-term signals suggest a potential impediment to the crypto market's performance due to a looming recession. Despite this, I posit that ongoing stimulus measures during such economic events act as catalysts for the subsequent upward movement. It seems imprudent to adopt a bullish stance before a correction has run its course, underscoring the fundamental principle behind the formation of AriasWave.
Short
by AriasWave
2
Dow JonesMain analysis on #DowJones US30 is this. We hit a ST top soon around 38,500-39,000. Then we retest the 2021 high breakout before running straight parabolic all gas no breaks bears slaughtered all the way up to 44,150. Then major 4th can hit. So Just be warned now. Once 36,400 flips into support there will be 0 rest for bears. It will be explosive and relentless. Like Toyota Supra filled with Nitrogen and twin turbo engine running at peak performance level. And BigMike & BigMikes team will be Bulls, laughing all the way to the f**king bank. FYI 😉
DJ:DJILong
by Big_Mike716
Cup with Handle on IBM Attempting to Break $140 Resistance LevelWe have a nice looking Cup with Handle on IBM and it's currently Challenging the $140 Psychological Resistance Level, if it can get above that i think we will see IBM's stock price push towards the $175-$180 measured move. On a side not i also believe the Dow will be the strongest performing Maor US Index and reach all time highs before any other index and that IBM will be one of the more major stock leading the way along with Microsoft and Intel.
NYSE:IBMLong
by RizeSenpai
1
Most overbought condition 1) Most overbought condition since May 2021 on the weekly RSI 14. 2) Converging trendlines at 38,200 stretching back since late 2021 create solid roof tested 3 times at least on 2 separate trend-lines which would make for a very tough level to break, especially when it's this overbought. ***A correction down to retest the connecting lows trend-line since late 2022 would make a lot of sense even if a new high would be reached in the future, a correction down is very likely in the current technical condition - Which would be down to the 34,200 floor.
BLACKBULL:US30Short
by Exactus
4
US30 SELLS US30 formed a double top on 4h & 1h and now Closed below structure and zone on the 1h at NY Session. Upon seeing this close and sell confirmation waited for a retracement to @ 37980.00 with sl@ 38040.00 Risking(70 points). TP1: 37850.00. TP: 37815.00. TP3: 37700.00 Market Bio Feedback: * Where has the market moved since I entered my trade? In slight profits * If I looked at the market now, would I take the same trade? Yes * How do I feel about my trade? Confident & Optimistic * What do I like about this trade ? Pre-planned move, stayed patient & waited for my entry * What do I dis-like about this trade now? Slower than usual * On a scale of 1 to 10, where would I rate this Trade now? 7/10 * If I were not in a trade now, would I take the opposite trade ? No
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by mrachaw
Is failure valid?As you can see, the daily trend has managed to break its downward trend line and it is also in the direction of the weekly trend. Due to the breakdown of the daily trend line, we are waiting to return to the target area, and of course, we are considering the goals ahead ⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ... 👤 Banipal : @hosseinbakrani 📅 02.20.2023 ⚠️(DYOR) ❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better ❤️
U
by hosseinbakrani
Stocks at New All-Time Highs Ahead of Earnings: CATThis Dow component attempted a new all-time high and failed. However, it has ample support from the prior sideways trend after the previous all-time high. NYSE:CAT has been over-speculated as it moved out of its bottom low. The company reports end of January. Watching to see how the stock performs in the next week or so should indicate whether it will be stuck range bound for another couple of quarters or if it will have the fundamentals to support a new high. For now, it has more of the appearance of a range bound sideways pattern developing. Caterpillar Inc. did well during the years of huge real estate and city development in China. Unfortunately, the great industrial revolution of China is long gone, their population in decline due to fewer births and more deaths reducing their billions. Their consumer-based economy has slammed into Market Saturation as their population continues to age at a faster pace than any nation on earth. CAT needs to find another source for its machinery.
NYSE:CAT
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
DJ30 H4 | Potential bullish breakoutDJ30 is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially break above this level to rise towards our take-profit target. Entry: 37,543.95 Why we like it: There is a potential breakout level Stop Loss: 37,163.35 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level Take Profit: 38,020.69 Why we like it: There is a resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:DJ30Long
by VantageMarkets
🅱️ Bitcoin Is The Dow Jones In 1968 | Elliot Wave TheoryBack in 1968 the two major proponents of the Elliot Wave theory concept where divided as to the wave count of the DJIA. While AJ Frost would consider the 1966 peak as Wave B of an irregular top in a flat correction, Hamilton Bolton was looking at it as the 5th wave of a bullish impulse. One thing is certain, while they disagreed on the count they both agreed that what should follow was a new bull-market regardless of the count and they were right. We ended up with a triple zig-zag followed by a new bull-market: We have the same situation today with Bitcoin, people are divided between the third and fifth waves. One interpretation calls for the top to be April 2021 with the low in November 2022 being Wave C of a flat and Wave 4 of the impulse in a higher degree: While some others are calling for new lows taking the November 2021 irregular top as Wave 5 of the bigger impulse: Well, there is actually a big difference with the Dow Jones forecasters from the past. While they had a different count as to the irregular top, both agreed that what would be now equivalent to the November 2022 low in Bitcoin was the bottom in the Dow Jones before a new major leg up or bull market, our Cryptocurrency analysts, some, are still divided between new lows and a new bull-market. Now, let me offer you my count, it is pretty simple. The 2017 peak is definitely the end of a major 5-up wave, no doubt about that, we can easily draw a 5-up wave pattern with multiple extensions. What follows is a correction, you can draw it in any way you like and here we have an A-B-C or Zig-Zag from Dec. '17 to Dec. '18. The next wave can be either an inverted Zig-Zag or another 5-up wave, makes no difference, from Dec. '18 through June '19. This is followed by another correction ending in March 2020 and here a new 5-up wave pattern starts. From March 2020 through April 2021 we have another impulse and April 2021 marks the orthodox end of this bull market. What follows is a correction, classic EW theory and you can see it on this chart. If you want to be conservative or lets just say not bullish, you can say that another correction can follow after the Nov. 2022 low, this is possible and you can draw an upward Zig-Zag or whatever you like, we can only really confirm the wave count in retrospect. But, if you consider go past market action and the way Elliot Wave theory works, we are set for a new 5 waves up impulse. Which is really just the fifth wave of a higher degree since the correction from April 2021 through November 2022 is only Wave 4, which tends to be complex, hard to read and long. We have all these characteristics here... Bitcoin is going bullish... Can any Elliotter confirm/comment if I am right or wrong? Namaste.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by MasterAnanda
121