Dow Jones Update: Downside Pressure PersistsI currently estimate that the Dow Jones is in the early stage of wave B of wave (B), as indicated by the black label. This suggests that the index may continue its correction, potentially testing the 38,200–39,186 area before rebounding to challenge the resistance zone around 40,791 and possibly filling the gap between 41,173 and 41,629.
However, under the more bearish scenario (red label), the selling pressure on the Dow Jones remains significant, which may result in the formation of wave , leading to a deeper correction below the 36,611 level.
Dowjonesanalysis
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No Signs of the Bull ArmyDow Jones Update : The correction appears likely to continue, testing the 40,045–40,467 range. Subsequently, the index is expected to rebound toward the 40,714–40,945.
Additionally, it is worth noting the gap in the 41,173–41,629 range—perhaps the market may find its way there.
Dow Jones at trendline support: Will it bounce to 44,812$?CAPITALCOM:US30 is undergoing a corrective pullback after forming a double top near the upper boundary of the ascending channel. The rejection from this resistance zone triggered increased selling pressure, driving the price back toward the lower boundary of the channel, where buyers are now looking to step in.
If buyers step in and defend this support, we could see a move toward the midline of the channel, with the next key target at 44,812. Holding above this level would reinforce the bullish trend structure and increase the probability of continuation toward the upper boundary of the channel.
However, a failure to hold trendline support could weaken the bullish outlook, leading to a potential breakdown and further downside pressure. Price action near this critical zone will be key in determining the next directional move.
Traders should monitor candlestick formations and volume for confirmation. As always, managing risk effectively is essential when trading this setup.
If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, drop them in the comments!
Us30 Reversal /Re entry 📝 US30 (Dow Jones) - Bearish Outlook | 1H Chart 📉
🔹 Market Bias: Bearish
🔹 Key Zones:
Sell Entry: 40,850 - 41,100 (Retracement to resistance)
Stop Loss (SL): Above 41,250 (Beyond liquidity grab zone)
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 40,500 (First support)
TP2: 40,250 (Key demand zone)
TP3: 39,920 (Final target)
🔹 Analysis:
Price is trading below the 50 & 200 EMA → Downtrend intact 📉
Lower highs & lower lows → Bearish market structure
Potential fakeout before the drop, especially around high-impact news at 4 PM SAST ⚠️
🔹 News Event Consideration:
If data is weak → US30 likely continues dropping 📉
If data is strong → Possible short-term spike before reversal 🔄
🔹 Risk Management:
Be cautious of stop hunts & manipulation before the news.
If price breaks above 41,250 & holds, reconsider bearish bias.
🚀 Trade smart, manage risk, and stay updated on market sentiment!
#US30 #DowJones #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading #PriceAction #Forex #Indices
Dow Jones: Neutrality Strengthens Around 44,000 PointsThe Dow Jones Industrial Average has fluctuated within a 1% range over the past few trading sessions, encountering a neutral barrier near the 44,000-point zone.
For now, investors remain cautious as uncertainty grows amid trade and diplomatic tensions from the White House with multiple countries. This prolonged uncertainty has reinforced a neutral bias in recent price movements.
Persistent Neutrality
Currently, the Dow Jones remains trapped in a sideways range, with:
45,000 resistance at the upper boundary.
42,300 support at the lower boundary.
The price remains in the middle of this range, reinforcing the market’s indecision. As long as price action stays within this zone, the neutral structure may extend further in the coming sessions.
MACD Indicator
MACD movements confirm the current neutral market outlook. Both the MACD line and signal line remain oscillating near the 0 neutral zone.
The histogram also remains close to 0, indicating low momentum. As long as these conditions persist, price neutrality is likely to continue in the coming sessions.
Key Levels to Watch:
45,000 – Key Resistance:
Upper boundary of the sideways range.
A breakout above this level could mark new highs, potentially reviving the long-term uptrend that has been stagnant in recent weeks.
43,000 – Neutral Zone:
Converges with the 50-period and 100-period moving averages.
Also aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
The most important short-term barrier that could limit any short-term bullish attempt.
If price fails to reclaim this level, bearish momentum could grow.
42,000 – Critical Support:
Lower boundary of the sideways channel. A break below this level could create a stronger bearish bias, potentially threatening the long-term uptrend that has been in place since last year.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) Dips 1.69% The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI), a price-weighted measure of 30 U.S. blue-chip companies across various industries except transportation and utilities, faced a notable downturn in Monday’s premarket session. Despite a positive movement in U.S. equity futures, the index saw a 1.69% decline, with its 1-month low serving as a critical support level. A break below this level could see the Dow finding support around the $42,000 region.
Technical Analysis
The Dow Jones (^DJI) is currently hovering near its 1-month low, which is acting as a key support zone. If the index fails to hold this level, it could face further downside pressure, potentially testing the $42,000 mark as the next major support. The overall sentiment in the stock market remains cautious, with investors monitoring upcoming economic reports and corporate earnings that could influence market direction.
Meanwhile, the broader market selloff has had a ripple effect, with the Nasdaq falling 2.5% on Friday, marking its worst weekly decline in three months. The S&P 500 also erased its February gains, while the Dow dropped nearly 750 points over the past week. The weakness in equities has largely been driven by concerns over slowing economic activity, disappointing PMI data, and rising inflation expectations.
Economic Uncertainty & Corporate Earnings
The broader stock market has been navigating economic uncertainty, with recent data signaling potential challenges. A disappointing services sector report from S&P Global’s PMI survey and a surge in inflation expectations from the University of Michigan’s consumer survey contributed to market jitters. Investors are now turning their attention to **this week’s key economic data releases, including:
- Thursday: Second estimate of U.S. Q4 GDP from the Commerce Department
- Friday: PCE price index data (the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge) from the Bureau of Economic Analysis
These reports will play a crucial role in shaping market sentiment, particularly with **inflation and economic growth concerns** taking center stage.
Market Reaction: A Positive Start to the Trading Day?
Despite the premarket dip in the Dow, U.S. equity futures suggest a potential recovery:
- S&P 500 futures indicate a 32-point gain at the opening bell
- Dow Jones futures suggest a 297-point advance
- Nasdaq futures are up 93 points, driven by premarket activity in Nvidia, Tesla (TSLA), and Intel (INTC)
Additionally, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) shares are up 1.4% after Warren Buffett’s investment firm reported its third consecutive year of record profits, with a staggering $334.2 billion cash reserve.
Conclusion
The Dow Jones Industrial Average continues to face uncertainty amid economic headwinds and a volatile earnings season. While support at the 1-month low remains crucial, a break below could lead to a test of the $42,000 level. The upcoming economic data and Nvidia’s earnings report will be critical in determining whether the market can regain momentum or if further downside risks persist.
US30 Analysis: Is This Resistance the Turning Point?👀 👉 In this video, we conduct an in-depth analysis of US30, dissecting its prevailing uptrend and the recent retracements from resistance. We’ll examine key support and resistance zones, market structure, and price action behavior to identify potential trade scenarios. With price nearing a significant resistance level, we assess possible countertrend opportunities—provided price action aligns with our technical outlook. Watch now for a comprehensive breakdown. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
DJI - 1590 Points and Running!This is a long trade setup on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) on the 15-minute timeframe. The trade was initiated on January 14th, 2025, and has shown a significant upward move since then. As of today, the position is currently sitting at a substantial profit of 1590 points.
Trade Confirmation Rules:
The Risological Dotted Trend Line turned green, indicating a bullish trend or a change in trend direction.
The Risological Options Trading Indicator turned green with a bullish crossover, suggesting favorable conditions for long options positions.
DJI Short Trade Nets $2100 Dip: A 4.7% Market Move!Dow Jones Industrial (DJI): $2100 Drop Captured
On December 11, 2024, the Risological Options Trading Indicator provided a clear signal to initiate a short trade on the Dow Jones Industrial (DJI). This trade capitalized on a significant bearish move, capturing an impressive $2100 dip, equating to a massive 4.7% decline from the entry point.
The trade was identified using the Risological Options Trading Indicator, which accurately captured the strong bearish momentum. The red overlay in the histogram confirms increasing selling pressure, coinciding with the downward trajectory.
This setup highlights how the Risological Options Trading Indicator leverages market structure to pinpoint high-probability trades. The captured $2100 move reinforces its precision in navigating even the most volatile markets.
All the best!
Namaste.
Dow Jones 30-Min Short: Bearish Momentum Building Toward 42kThe Dow Jones has triggered my short position following a significant volume spike, currently trading below the key EMA levels. The technical setup suggests a bearish continuation toward the 42k price zone. This aligns with a short-term correction in equities after December marked the Dow’s worst monthly performance in over two years.
Fundamentals:
• Major indexes continue to struggle, with the Dow and S&P 500 facing extended losing streaks.
• Market sentiment remains cautious as investors digest recent corporate earnings, geopolitical risks, and upcoming key economic data such as ISM Manufacturing PMI.
• Despite a strong year-end rally, December losses reflect broader market uncertainty, further pressuring the Dow.
Technicals:
• Price remains below both the 50 and 200 EMAs, signaling bearish momentum.
• Volume analysis highlights increased selling pressure, confirming bearish sentiment.
• Immediate support at 42,000 aligns with key demand zones and historical price reactions.
With these conditions in play, I’ll manage risk carefully, monitor for any major shifts, and adjust my position accordingly. Pay yourself and trade responsibly!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Dow Jones Industrial (DJI): SHORT TRADETrade Overview:
The Dow Jones Industrial (DJI) chart presents a strong short trade setup on the 1-hour timeframe. Using the Risological Swing Trading Indicator , this trade successfully achieved TP1 (43,779.69) through TP3 (42,180.27), with TP4 (41,686.05) remaining highly probable based on prevailing market trends.
Key Levels:
Entry Price: 44,273.91
Stop Loss (SL): 44,673.77
Take Profits:
TP1: 43,779.69
TP2: 42,979.98
TP3: 42,180.27
TP4: 41,686.05
Market Sentiment:
The trade reflects bearish momentum, supported by broader market conditions indicating reduced risk appetite. The Dow Jones continues to exhibit a descending trendline and weaker market confidence.
The Risological Indicator identified precise entry, stop loss, and take-profit levels, enabling a disciplined and profitable trade execution. With three targets already achieved, the setup remains poised to capture further downside momentum.
DOW JOENS 1469 Points Secured on Risological BUY SELL IndicatorDow Jones Industrial (DJI) on a 15-minute timeframe captured significant profitable movements using the " Risological BUY SELL Indicator ". The tool effectively identified both bullish and bearish entries, allowing traders to secure impressive gains.
Highlights of Captured Trades:
584 Points captured in a downward move.
244 Points secured in a bullish retracement.
331 Points caught during a short trade.
310 Points profited in the final bullish rally.
The Risological BUY SELL Indicator demonstrated precision in marking key entry and exit points for high-confidence trading decisions.
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Major Indexes Face Downturn: What's Coming Next?◉ S&P 500 SP:SPX
● The long-term trendline support has been breached.
● The immediate support range is identified around the 5,650 to 5,700 levels.
◉ Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC
● The Nasdaq Composite has rebounded from its long-term trendline support, demonstrating resilience amid economic uncertainty.
◉ NYSE Composite TVC:NYA
● The NYSE Composite has found support at its trendline and may bounce back from this important level.
◉ Dow Jones Industrial Average TVC:DJI
● After a consecutive decline over ten days, the index has surpassed its trendline support and is approaching the next support zone between 41,500 and 42,800.
Overall, all indices are anticipated to recover shortly, with expectations of robust performance from major stocks.
Sell Recommendation Note for Dow Jones IndexSell sINGAL
Current Price: 44,800
Stop Loss: 45,150
Target: 43,400
Disclaimer:
This note is for study purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor and evaluate risk exposure before taking any action. Investing involves risks, including the loss of principal.