Major Indexes Face Downturn: What's Coming Next?◉ S&P 500 SP:SPX
● The long-term trendline support has been breached.
● The immediate support range is identified around the 5,650 to 5,700 levels.
◉ Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC
● The Nasdaq Composite has rebounded from its long-term trendline support, demonstrating resilience amid economic uncertainty.
◉ NYSE Composite TVC:NYA
● The NYSE Composite has found support at its trendline and may bounce back from this important level.
◉ Dow Jones Industrial Average TVC:DJI
● After a consecutive decline over ten days, the index has surpassed its trendline support and is approaching the next support zone between 41,500 and 42,800.
Overall, all indices are anticipated to recover shortly, with expectations of robust performance from major stocks.
Dowjonesanalysis
Sell Recommendation Note for Dow Jones IndexSell sINGAL
Current Price: 44,800
Stop Loss: 45,150
Target: 43,400
Disclaimer:
This note is for study purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor and evaluate risk exposure before taking any action. Investing involves risks, including the loss of principal.
Dow-n Memory Lane: Is History About to Repeat Itself?🚨 Breaking News Alert! 🚨
The Dow Jones might be partying like it’s 1929 again! 🎉 Except this time, the crash might make your portfolio flatter than a pancake at a bodybuilder's breakfast. 🥞💪
Let’s talk about the elephant in the chart 🐘—every time the Dow hits the ceiling of this oh-so-perfect wedge pattern, it nose-dives harder than your New Year’s resolutions by February. 📅💔
1906: Boom. Bust. Dow said, "Thanks, but I’m good at -90%."
1929: The OG crash. If you survived this one, congrats—you’re probably immortal now. 🧓💀
2008: The market went "Oops, I did it again" like Britney, wiping out fortunes faster than you can say "subprime mortgage." 🏚️💵
2020: "Hold my beer," said a microscopic virus, and the market tripped like it was wearing untied shoelaces. 🍺😷
Now? The chart suggests we’re flirting with another epic freefall. 🚀⬇️
🧐 How bad could it get?
Well, if history decides to copy-paste itself, we’re looking at a potential 90% drop. Yes, NINETY. PERCENT. That’s like seeing a Tesla go for the price of a second-hand bicycle. 🚲🔋
👉 What can YOU do?
Panic? Sure, if you want, but that doesn’t help. 🫠
Diversify? Probably smart. 📊
Buy gold? Maybe, if you’re a fan of shiny things. 🪙✨
Short the market? 🐻 You rebel, you.
But hey, no pressure. It’s only all your hard-earned savings on the line. 🫣💸
So, are we about to witness the Great Crash 2.0, or will the Dow keep defying gravity like a magician’s top hat? 🎩 Stay tuned, folks, because when this market sneezes, the whole world’s economy catches a cold. 🤧🌍
💬 Drop your hot takes below—because let’s face it, speculating about doom is more fun than living it! 😎🔥
US30 Short Setup: Riding the Retrace to Key Support Levels!Since the elections, traditional markets have been climbing to new highs, showcasing strong bullish momentum. However, I’m now eyeing a short opportunity on the Dow Jones (US30) as it retraces to key support zones around 44,400–44,500. This area appears to be a strong support zone, and my plan is to capitalize on the retracement for a potential long setup near the 44,000 price range.
Currently, US30 is trading below the FibCloud, suggesting room for a retrace to the 44,800 level before continuing lower. My strategy here is to profit from the retracement, then re-evaluate for a long trade based on market conditions near the support levels.
Key Levels:
• Support Zone: 44,300–44,500
• Resistance Zone: 44,800
• Take Profit: 44,440
• Stop Loss: Above 45,100
Market Outlook:
With tomorrow being a U.S. bank holiday, volume may vary significantly. I’ll closely monitor price action and market reactions for further confirmation. This trade aligns with the broader market behavior while taking advantage of shorter-term retracements.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
SasanSeifi| Where is the Next Support?Hey there, ✌ In the 10-hour timeframe, the Dow Jones Index has been correcting from the 43,300 price range. With a structural break around the 42,700 to 42,500 zone, the price entered a corrective phase, reaching down to 41,700. Currently, it is trading around 42,000.
The general outlook leans more towards a bearish scenario. One potential scenario is that after some slight upward fluctuations or sideways movement, if the 42,500 supply zone doesn’t break, we may see further correction to lower levels around 41,400 and 41,300. Following this, a range-bound movement is possible upon reaching these levels.
Should there be a correction in the price trend, it’s important to watch the price reactions in these zones to better understand the continuation of the movement. Additionally, if demand picks up and the critical 42,500 level breaks and holds, we could see a further price rise toward the 42,700 and 43,000 levels.
💢This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
Gold Rush Knocks Dow Jones Industrial Average Off Its FeetGold as a value asset continues to shine brightly, having reached a new all-time high near $2,600 on Monday, September 16, marking the 30th all-time high for gold prices this year, 2024.
It is also noteworthy that the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) to gold (XAUUSD) ratio is gravitating to ever lower values, while the time-tested indicator of a U.S. recession, based on the US labor market behavior signaling that one is imminent.
Thanks to @chinmaysk1 and its full of worth open source script Recession And Bull Run Warning, that I truly believe is one of the best over many.
Dow Jones (DJI) Primed for a Bullish Move – Fresh Long Entry!DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL (DJI) Technical Analysis:
In the 15-minute timeframe, Dow Jones Industrial (DJI) has signaled a fresh long trade entry at 42,406.00 with potential upside movement, supported by the break above the Risological dotted trendline.
Key Levels:
Entry: 42,406.00
Stop Loss (SL): 42,294.50
Target 1 (TP1): 42,543.81
Target 2 (TP2): 42,766.81
Target 3 (TP3): 42,989.81
Target 4 (TP4): 43,127.63
Observations:
The price has gained bullish momentum, with a clean break above the Risological trendline.
If momentum sustains, this trade could see all targets successfully hit.
A solid long trade entry is in play for DJI, with upside potential. The Risological dotted trendline serves as strong support, and if buyers maintain control, higher targets are likely to be reached.
DOW JONES (DJI) Slides Through TP1 & TP2! Eyes Set on TP3 & TP4!Technical Analysis:
On the 15-minute timeframe, the Dow Jones (DJI) short trade has already successfully hit TP1 and TP2, confirming strong downward momentum. Price continues to trade below the Risological dotted trendline, suggesting that the bearish trend is likely to continue.
Key Levels:
Entry: 42,997.92
Stop Loss (SL): 43,161.50
Target 1 (TP1): 42,795.74 (Done)
Target 2 (TP2): 42,468.58 (Done)
Target 3 (TP3): 42,141.42 (Pending)
Target 4 (TP4): 41,939.24 (Pending)
Observations:
After breaking below the Risological dotted trendline, the Dow Jones showed significant selling pressure.
Price continues to respect the downward trendline, supporting the case for further declines toward the remaining targets.
With TP1 and TP2 already hit, the Dow Jones looks primed to move towards TP3 and TP4. Traders should continue to monitor the bearish momentum as the setup points toward more downside potential.
US30 Breakout Setup – Targeting 43700 and 44000 US30 is showing strong bullish momentum with price holding above an ascending trendline,
I am currently seeing consolidation near a key resistance level if price breaks above 43346 it could signal a good buying opportunity,
I am targeting two main levels for take profit:
First target: 43700 (minor resistance).
Second target: 44000 (psychological level).
My Stop Loss is set just below 43000 to protect the trade, right under the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and trendline support,
Trade Setup:
Buy Entry: Above 43346 on a confirmed breakout.
Stop Loss: Below 43,000 (protected by the Fib 0.618 level and trendline).
Take Profit 1: 43700
Take Profit 2: 44000
This setup has a strong risk reward profile and follows the ongoing bullish trend in US30, Watch for a strong breakout before entering the trade!
Best of luck!
Dow Jones 30-Minute Trade Targeting Key Liquidity ZoneCurrently, this 30-minute Dow Jones (US30) trade is focused on reaching the liquidity zone around 42,840. The price is trading near previous highs, and a fast move is anticipated from this level. Maintaining a strategic approach, we are closely monitoring this zone to confirm whether a breakout will occur or if the market will reject this liquidity level.
Technicals:
• The market has been ranging near previous highs, indicating a possible buildup of orders around this level.
• The price has shown consistent interaction with the FibCloud, suggesting institutional involvement.
• Current market structure points towards a possible bullish move if the liquidity zone is tapped, followed by a rapid price shift to the upside.
• A key resistance zone lies around 42,840, which will be the short-term target for this trade. If broken, this could lead to higher momentum.
Fundamentals:
• The market remains sensitive to macroeconomic factors such as interest rate updates and geopolitical tensions.
• Positive market sentiment has been bolstered by potential stimulus measures from both the US and international economic policies.
• The US Federal Reserve’s rate hike discussions and global monetary easing are contributing to volatility, impacting the broader market.
• Investor focus remains on earnings season reports and data releases such as the upcoming US jobless claims and inflation figures, which could shift market dynamics quickly.
This setup is poised for a quick move, depending on whether liquidity is tapped, leading to a potential sharp reaction.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Dow Jones - There Is A Lot More Upside!Dow Jones ( TVC:DJI ) is just starting the next bullish impulse:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
The Dow Jones is anything but bearish and over the past couple of months, value stocks in general have actually been outperforming growth stocks significantly. I do expect all time highs on basically all major indices and the Dow Jones might even head for the $50.000 mark next.
Levels to watch: $50.000, $35.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Dow Jones Hits All Targets! Bullish Surge CompletesThe Dow Jones has demonstrated a strong bullish trend, with the long trade reaching and completing all profit targets.
Key Levels
Entry: 42078.17 – The long position was entered as the price broke above this level, confirming bullish sentiment.
Stop-Loss (SL): 41954.95 – Positioned below recent support to manage risk in case of a pullback.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 42230.47 – The first target was achieved, confirming the continuation of the upward trend.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 42476.91 – The second target was hit as the bullish momentum continued.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): 42723.35 – Momentum carried the price to the third target.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): 42875.65 – The final profit target was reached, signaling a strong rally.
Trend Analysis
The price is comfortably trading above the Risological Dotted trendline, confirming the strength of the bullish momentum. With all targets hit, the trend continues to reflect a strong upward movement, supported by positive market sentiment.
The long trade on the Dow Jones successfully hit all profit targets, with the final TP4 at 42875.65 marking the end of a highly profitable trade. Strong support from the Risological Dotted trendline and continuous upward momentum suggest that the market is favoring bulls in this period.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST OCT. 14-18th: BUY THE DOW? YES!The DOW looks to have supporting structure for higher prices. The bullish momentum is there, and Friday's close put that on display.
There is some potential for a limited pullback, though. But I would view it as an opportunity to get a better price on a possible long position.
What are your thoughts....?
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Dow Jones: Potential Retracement After ConsolidatThe Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) is showing signs of exhaustion after several days of consolidation between the 41,800 and 42,300 price levels. We are now observing a potential bearish setup that may lead to a retracement towards the 41,400–41,000 zone, aligning with the 0.5 Fibonacci level on the FibCloud indicator. If this scenario plays out, it could offer a solid short opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on this potential pullback. Monitoring key levels and price action will be crucial in managing this trade.
Technical Analysis:
• Price Action: The Dow has been trading within a narrow range, indicating indecision and a potential loss of bullish momentum. A break below the consolidation zone could trigger a downward move towards the 0.5 FibCloud level.
• FibCloud Indicator: The target zone between 41,400 and 41,000 aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, providing a strong confluence for a possible retracement.
• Support & Resistance Levels: The immediate support is at 41,800, and a break below this level could see the index testing the 41,400–41,000 zone. Resistance remains at 42,300, a break above which could invalidate the bearish setup.
• Volume & Momentum: Decreasing volume and fading bullish momentum suggest a potential reversal. Traders should watch for confirmation signals such as bearish candlestick patterns or a momentum shift.
Trade Setup:
• Entry: Consider entering a short position below the 42,260 support level with a strong bearish confirmation.
• The stop-loss is set at a 2:1 risk-reward ratio, with an SL at 42,695 and a TP at 41,400. If strong momentum develops, the target will be extended to the 41,000 price zone.
The Dow Jones is at a critical juncture, and the upcoming price action will provide more clarity on the next directional move. This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for traders looking to position themselves for a potential retracement. Stay updated on economic releases and price action developments to manage this trade effectively.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
US30 (DowJones) - Daily Bearish SetupThe BLACKBULL:US30 index experienced a bullish spike, followed by a period of consolidation within a bullish channel. However, after a fake breakout above the upper boundary of this channel, it appears that the index could be poised for a downward correction. Based on the technical analysis, a fall toward the lower boundary of the channel is expected, providing traders with potential shorting opportunities in the near term.
Fundamentally, stock market volatility tends to rise during September, a historically weak month for stocks. This pattern is often attributed to traders returning from summer vacations, rebalancing portfolios, and increased bond offerings, which divert capital away from equities. In 2024, this volatility is further exacerbated by uncertainty around the Federal Reserve’s rate decisions and the upcoming U.S. presidential election. Investors are closely watching labor market data, inflation trends, and the Fed’s stance on potential rate cuts, all of which could impact market sentiment and drive further fluctuations in stock prices.
With the TVC:DJI at the top of the bullish channel and signs of weakness after the fake breakout, a pullback to the lower end of the channel seems likely. Traders should stay cautious and monitor key economic events and technical signals for opportunities to re-enter positions at more favorable levels.
A simple RSI Point Of ViewAnalyzing RSI Divergence in US30: Is a Bear Market or Crash on the Horizon?
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) is a key indicator for global markets. Recently, a warning sign has emerged with a divergence in the Relative Strength Index (RSI) observed from July 16, 2024, to September 27, 2024. This divergence, along with high trading volume, raises concerns about a potential market shift. Analysts are comparing this situation to past financial crises, leading to questions about a possible bear market or crash.
Understanding RSI Divergence in US30
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) measures price momentum. A bearish divergence occurs when prices make a new high but the RSI does not, indicating weakening momentum. Between July and September 2024, US30 showed this divergence: prices reached a higher high, but the RSI formed a lower high, suggesting a loss of buying strength and potential price declines. Additionally, the daily chart shows a lower high in US30 price and a higher low in the RSI, reinforcing the notion of weakening upward momentum.
Is a Bear Market or Another "Black Thursday" Looming?
The current divergence in US30, along with historical comparisons, signals warning signs. However, it remains uncertain whether this will lead to a bear market (a sustained decline of 20% or more) or a major market crash. Several factors could influence the outcome:
- Macroeconomic Conditions: High inflation, rising interest rates, and geopolitical tensions may exacerbate the divergence.
- Investor Sentiment: Panic among investors could lead to increased selling and sharper declines.
- External Shocks: Global events like financial instability or political turmoil could further destabilize the market.
Conclusion and Daily Chart Analysis
The RSI divergence in US30 from July to September 2024 is a significant development that warrants attention. The daily chart reveals weakening momentum, with a lower high in price and a higher low in the RSI, indicating a higher risk of market correction or downturn. While it is uncertain whether this will lead to a bear market or crash, traders and investors should stay alert and consider adjusting their portfolios.
This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 23-27: S&P NAS GOLD SILVER US&UK OILThis is Part 1 of the Weekly Forex Forecast SEPT 23-27th.
In this video, we will cover:
S&P500 NASDAQ DOW GOLD SILVER US & UK OIL
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Dow Jones in correction rangeConsidering the price gap that has been created, which has not been filled from any side, as well as touching the ceiling of the upward movement, we expect the price to be corrected until the price gap is filled. According to the chart, short trades can be entered in two ranges
US30 (Log Chart)- firstly i want to explain what is US30, you can google it :
- US30 is a stock market index designed to measure the performance of 30 large industrial companies based on the average stock price of the components "during a specified period".
- So basically...when u have a Top30, if one company fail, this company is replaced by number 31.
- it's same in football or tennis, if you are in the top30 and u fail to win, you lose your rank and down to 31 right? Then u are not in Top30 anymore ?
- So you are replaced in the Top30 list (but sport is not a Ponzi, it's a real effort to be on the Top of the chain).
- Just made this text to explain how a big Ponzi works.
- Companies in US30 are not Ponzi because they work hard to stay in the Top30.
- but in matter of " Efforts", if you have the power to create your own money, you can do everything, and also buy your own stocks.
- Hope u get it.
- So when i read some peoples speak Bitcoin is a Ponzi, it makes me smile.
- it's clear that they didn't read at all Satoshi's White paper, or they are hypocritical.
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- Thirteen years ago today, Satoshi released the Bitcoin genesis block - block 0.
- Embedded in it was a quote, “The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks".
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To be a precursor, you need to know the future, Satoshi knew the future.
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- So let's back to the chart :
- from 2009 to 2020. 11 years. DowJones was just perma bullish all the time with some small ridiculous dips.
- you can see how US30 Reacted during Covid worst pandemic situation in the world.
- after a fast dip in 2020 caused by Covid news.
- US30 went up for 672 days ( annotated in chart ) during a 2 years frustrating and painful lockdown.
- so it means those Top30 companies weren't affected by this pandemic situation.
- Really Weird.
- Actually imho, i think they were just preparing the actual dip, but this is just my own view.
- honestly, i just hope my US30 analysis fails.
- it would means that this time, governments are starting to be honest.
Happy Tr4Ding !