Dow Jones surges to record highs on Fed easing expectationsThe Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) ascended to record highs on July 16th, 2024, fueled by mounting expectations of a Federal Reserve policy shift towards a more accommodative stance.
Fundamental Drivers:
Federal Reserve Policy: The CME FedWatch Tool currently suggests a near-certain likelihood of at least a 25-basis point interest rate cut by September, with the upcoming July FOMC meeting potentially maintaining current rates. This anticipated monetary easing is bolstering investor confidence, particularly in sectors sensitive to interest rate fluctuations, such as industrials and small-caps.
Economic Data: Recent economic data releases, including stable retail sales figures, point towards a potential "soft landing" for the U.S. economy. This reinforces optimism and supports the ongoing market rally.
Sector Rotation: Investors appear to be strategically shifting away from large-cap technology stocks, which have thrived in a low-interest-rate environment, and allocating capital towards sectors anticipated to outperform under rising interest rates.
Confirmation: The significant rise in UnitedHealth Group Inc. (UNH) on July 16th (up 6.11%) exemplifies the strength in non-technology sectors.
Looking Forward: The Dow Jones' momentum remains robust, and further upward potential exists if upcoming economic data continues to align with the Fed's potential easing narrative. Investors will be keenly focused on forthcoming economic releases and the July FOMC meeting for any insights regarding the timing and magnitude of potential rate cuts.
Dowjonesanalysis
US30 ( CPI ) ( 4H )US30
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency the price trade above turning level at 39,480 , indicates is under bullish pressure
TURNING LEVEL : a black line between resistance and support level around 39,480 , indicates if the price stabilizing above this level reach resistance level , if the breaking turning level reach a support level
RESISTANCE LEVEL : there is a black line above turning level around 39,713 , indicates selling have already increase this level , so if the price trade above turning level reach this level
SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a black line below turning level around 39,137 , indicates buying have already increase this level , so if the price breaking turning level reach this level
PRICE MOVEMENT : first the price will trying to dropping a turning level around 39,480, after rising to the resistance level around 39,713 , then stable above this level reach 39,931 , if the price breaking turning level reach a support level by 39,137 , then stable by open 4h candle above this level reach a 39,734
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 39,713 , 39,931
SUPPORT LEVEL : 39,137 , 38,734
DOWJONESDow Jones analysis
2 hour and daily time frame
Dow Jones is near the 2-hour supply zone. After entering the zone, seeing the confirmation in the 15-minute time frame, we can enter sell positions with a stop just above the zone. If this area is lost, we will wait until it enters the daily supply area. If the ceiling of the daily supply area is touched, downward reversals give us the position of buying trades. to enter the daily latitude zone.
If the 2-hour supply area is maintained, the first target of the midline trading range and the second target can be the 2-hour demand area, which is formed above the daily demand area.
US30 / DJ30 / DJI Market Robbery Plan to heist moneyMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist (US30 / DowJones30) based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned 2 Plans with target in the chart focus on whether Long or short entry. Our target is Red Zone for Bulls and Green Zone for Bears that is High risk Dangerous level market is overbought & Oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
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Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
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DOWJONES US30 Multitimeframe analysisUS100 and 500 are almost completely the same with this analysis
☝️Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!!
The main purpose of my resources is free, actionable education for anyone who wants to learn trading and improve mental and technical trading skills. Learn from hundreds of videos and the real story of a particular trader, with all the mistakes and pain on the way to consistency. I'm always glad to discuss and answer questions. 🙌
☝️ALL ideas and videos here are for sharing my experience purposes only, not financial advice, NOT A SIGNAL. YOUR TRADES ARE YOUR COMPLETE RESPONSIBILITY. Everything here should be treated as a simulated, educational environment. Important disclaimer - this idea is just a possibility and my extremely subjective opinion. Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!!
Dow Jones - All time high and 20% rally?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at the Dow Jones .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
For more than a decade, the Dow Jones has been trading in a rising channel formation. We had the first retest of support and resistance back in 2011 and ever since this was a massively profitable channel pattern. With the recent breakout above the $35.000 resistance level, the Dow Jones clearly looks like the next target is once again the upper resistance of the channel.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
DJ30 FORECASTThe forecast for the OANDA:US30USD indicates a potential bearish trend. However, there may be a retest of resistance levels between 38445 and 38600 before the downtrend begins. The bearish movement is expected to target support levels at 37721 and 37499.
Key Levels:
Bullish Line: 38445, 38825, 39075, 39400
Pivot Line: 38000
Bearish Line: 37721, 37499, 37130, 36665
US30. Weekly trading levels 20 - 24.05.2024Indices are at highs. We haven’t been to the top yet, there’s no data there. If we update the historical maximum, we can find out more in the Daily Posts.
During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a transaction and its support is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. Zones show preferred price ranges WHERE to look for an entry point into a trade.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.
Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. Next week I will adjust the levels based on new data and publish a new post.
! Please note that brokers have a difference in quotes, take this into account when trading.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
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I don’t play guess the direction (that’s why there are no directional arrows), but zones (levels) are used for trading. We wait for the zone to approach, watch the reaction, and enter the trade.
Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as areas of interest for trading. Traded as classic support/resistance levels. We see the reaction to the rebound, we trade the rebound. We see a breakout and continue to trade on a rollback to the level. The worst option is if we revolve around the zone in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
Don't forget to like Rocket and Subscribe!!! Feedback is very important to me!
US30, DowJones. Weekly trading levels 13 - 17.05.2024During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. Zones show preferred price ranges WHERE to look for an entry point into a trade.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.
Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. Next week I will adjust the levels based on new data and publish a new post.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
----------------------------------------------
I don’t play guess the direction (that’s why there are no arrows with direction), so zones (levels) are used for trading. We wait for the zone to approach, watch the reaction, and enter the trade.
Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as areas of interest for trading. Traded as classic support/resistance levels. We see the reaction to the rebound, we trade the rebound. We see a breakout and continue to trade on a rollback to the level. The worst option is if we revolve around the zone in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
Don't forget to like Rocket and Subscribe!!! Comments are welcome. Feedback is very important to me!
Dow Jones Index (US30): Bullish Rally Begins?!
Dow Jones formed a huge double bottom pattern on a daily,
after a quite extended correctional movement from all-time high.
The price turned very bullish on Friday after the release of US fundamentals.
The Index broke a solid horizontal resistance.
The market may start a bullish rally now.
Target - 39000
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Dow Jones - Textbook trading setup!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at the Dow Jones.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
There is one major long term pattern which we have been looking at for a very long time - a rising channel formation. Just a couple of months ago the Dow Jones retested the lower support trendline and created a beautiful triangle breakout while rejecting towards the upside. If we now get a retest of the breakout level which is then acting as support, a major continuation higher is quite likely.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
DOW JONES ANALYSISChart : 4Hour
Overall Trend : Bearish
Current Market Structure : Downtrend
Scenario 1 :
Price is currently trading to the downside . Creating new LL & LH . We will be looking for selling opportunities in the market as I would like price to trade into a more premium area ,Therefore mitigating a OB or Supply Area & continuing towards the downside .
Dow to Consolidate and Move Down from HereYM (DOW 30), 4 Hour, Indicators: This is what I need to see turn to get confirmation on our short position up here. The 4 hour is still locked in "embedded" mode on the slow stochastic. My bet is that this is going to come off "embedded" and in the process swing back to the middle of the Bollinger band. . . if that happens, that would take us back to 39921 . . . there is your 300 points. Notice the resistance on the 4 hour from above . . . You also have the top of the BBs on the 4 hour up there. So, it makes sense that it would be a good place to sell off from. Obviously, our stop is back at B/E but, if we wanted too . . .beyond this 4 hour level would also be a good place for a stop. More downside for YM could develop if we bust through the 39900 level if this wedge gives out.
Dow Jones - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH4 - Bearish convergence.
Expecting short term bearish moves to happen here.
H1 - Strong bearish momentum.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Until the strong resistance zone holds I expect the price to move lower further after pullbacks.
We might see new ATH in DJIA (US30) soon 41k levelsNow I changed my view on all global Indices, any dip looking forward to buy the dip. My stop losses is in place and tight stop losses for now until it breaks last month high. I think we are in major wave 5 and we are in 3(5) in minor cycle considering Elliot wave theory.
this is just my study and I might change my view depending on price action.