Dowjonesanalysis
Dow Jones March Futures looks Great to Slide lowerHello Everyone.
Forex market seems to be stuck in a mud and we seems to be in a highly manipulative environment. but soon market is going to be normal and we will have alot of setups forming but as of now i have a Dow jones YMH2024 March contract for short..
the Current model is 2022 Model as per inner circle trader concept which is my personal favorite and the most easy one. as per this we can see the Dow has taken out the buystops and given a market structure shift for the downside and market reprised higher in the Entry zone which is generally known as Fair value Gap. so therefore i am expecting price to go lower and target 38490 level.
This is a very clean and clear setup which has a higher probability to hit the target. but due to weekends there could be a shift if some news come out. otherwise its good to go
US30 SELLUS30 had tapped into supply zone and showed rejection and inducement at this supply. This was further confirmed by a close of 30min candle below the Doji and break below structure.
Upon seeing this I waited for retracment to zone with additional confirmation once I started to see rejection at the entry zone @38675.00 I entered with sl@38715 (Risking 40points)
TP1: 38590.00. TP2: 38550.000 TP3: 38500.000
Approach where Possible & respond to Price is to take Partials profits from TP2 onwards.
* Where has the market moved since I entered my trade? Slight Profits
* If I looked at the market now, would I take the same trade?Yes
* How do I feel about my trade? Feel neutral and slightly optimistic
* What do I like about this trade ? patiently waited for more confluence and good Entry
* What do I dis-like about this trade now? Choppy & slow
* On a scale of 1 to 10, where would I rate this Trade now? 7/10
* If I were not in a trade now, would I take the opposite trade ?No
DOW JONES (US30) - Potential long ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on DOW JONES.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a strong bullish market structure, so I look only for longs. I want price to make a retracement to fill the imbalances lower and then to reject from bullish order block.
Fundamental news: This week is full of news in USA. Firstly on Wednesday we have Interest Rate followed by FOMC Conference, then on Friday NFP and Unemployment Rate. Pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
DOW JONES (US30) - Long for new ATH ⁉️Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on DOW JONES.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a strong bullish market structure, so after price filled perfectly the imbalance and rejected from bullish order block, I expect price to make new ATH.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
BTC EFT Update and US30 Analysis. Today's focus: US30
Pattern – Consolidation / ascending triangle pattern.
Support – 37,400
Resistance – 37,770
Hi, and thanks for checking out today's update.
Crypto had a mainly higher but, in some cases, muted response to news that BTC ETFs will become a reality. We have run over some of the news and moves since yesterday.
The US30 is today's chart, and we are seeing a similar situation to what we discussed in yesterday's ETH update. ETH was one of the better-performing majors after the news hit yesterday.
The US30 sits in a continuation pattern that's inside a consolidation pattern. Buyer momentum remains firm today after yesterday's rally, and we are looking at tonight's CPI data. If CPI remains unchanged or surprises the downside, we will look for further upside on the US30. If it comes in hotter than expected, this could turn the price lower from resistance or above, depending on where price is later tonight.
US CPI data is due at 12:30 am ADET Friday.
Good trading.
Dow Jones Big Move ?Pair : Dow Jones - DJI
Description :
Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame and Rejection from Upper Trend Line. Completed " ABC " Corrective Waves. Break of Structure and Strong Divergence. Symmetrical Triangle as an Correction in Short Time Frame with the Breakout of Lower Trend Line.
DJI Dow Jones Fell 8.60% After the Last U.S. Credit DowngradeOn Tuesday, Fitch Ratings downgraded the US debt rating from the highest AAA rating to AA+, citing concerns over "a steady deterioration in standards of governance."
This downgrade occurred in the wake of last-minute negotiations among lawmakers to secure a debt ceiling deal earlier this year, which posed a risk of the nation's first default.
Following a similar credit downgrade in the past, the DJI Dow Jones Industrial Average experienced an 8.60% decline over a period of 3 months. The downgrade by S&P, one of the three major credit rating firms, took place on Aug. 5, 2011, after another significant debt ceiling battle.
As of today, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has risen to 4.15%, reaching its highest level since November 2022.
If we are to fell -8.60%, the Price Target for DJI is $32500.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
Market Dynamics: Large Players Enter as Price Reaches Highs
The price has been on a significant bullish rally, breaking historical highs. This suggests that the price has encountered strong buying interest, indicating the presence of buy-side liquidity. From a technical perspective, this suggests that a retracement may be imminent.
As further confirmation, on the daily chart, we can see that the price reached the liquidity of its previous high and swiftly reversed, creating a breaker pattern. If the price continues to decline, it is likely to experience a shallow retracement to prevent buyers from recovering all their losses.
Additionally, in the highlighted area, we can clearly observe a decrease in buying activity and an increase in aggressive short positions. This could be an indication of the involvement of institutional or large traders, and it's something to keep a close eye on.
Furthermore, the catalysts scheduled for tomorrow add more weight to the possibility of a correction. In my experience, this type of price action often occurs before significant market-moving events. A significant correction is highly probable.
For setting stop-loss (SL) levels, I've shared both aggressive and conservative ideas. I've also provided take-profit (TP) levels based on Fibonacci retracement levels at -272 and -618, with the last one indicated by the white line on the chart.
Please note that trading involves risks, and it's essential to use proper risk management techniques and consider your own trading strategy and risk tolerance when making trading decisions. This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice.
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 12/12/2023We made a new high in the DOW JONES and this has some implications. The wave ((2)) low could be in after a triple three correction or WXYXZ structure. This would mean that we are now working on an impulse. The upward structure is strong and we start to see 5 waves. It becomes less likely that the upward move is corrective. In case the upward move is corrective, it could be that we are still working on the wave ((2)) but as an expanded flat.
DOW I Continued strong development is indicatedWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** DOW Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
Dow Jones Leading the indices? Next target sky highExtended W Formation has formed on Dow Jones.
WHile other indices and stock exchanges are falling or moving sideways, this one is racing up without any shackles.
There's always been a price breakout above the downtrend since Aug 2023.
All in all, it's looking very bullish and is showing upside to come.
Target R35,689
What's interesting is the DOw Jones, SP500 and Nasdaq are normally the leading indices. So could this be a prediction that other indices (including ours) are ready to rally to new HIGHS of the year?
If so, we need to prepare for this possibillity with hedging carefully.
Get Ready for the partyUSA market was under pressure due to so many reasons as we know but technically now the chart is looking bullish to me. Once we see a closing above 34440 its very likely it will retest the strong resistance area that is at 34900 zone.
34000 was resistance we saw rejections on 17th october 2023, now with this current really we can finally see a break through and is has retested the zone successfully. I think we are going north from here fasten your seat belts for this journey.
Hit like & follow guys ;)
US30 IMPORTANT DECISION Hello traders it looks like its make or break time for us30
the price is on a very sensitive zone A Major key level + a falling trendline.
however it looks to me that the buyers are still keeping strength on the market it is very likely and possible we can see a breakout and a further continuation to the upwards just like the nasdaq100
but the possibility of a rejection and down is still there.
id say its 65 percent probability it goes up and 35 percent it goes down.
the global direction is still unclear no confirmation was shown i will update you guys if i see anything.
US30 short term Shorts towards 33000.0As I am still bullish on US30 this idea is a temporary move that I see playing out due to the past couple days being very bullish. As im expecting a pull back/retracement of some sort, I will be looking to take the sells at the 22hr supply zone. I will wait and see for price to show me its hands then go from there. As price hasnt slowed down yet im still waiting for price to distribute soon so we can take sells back down towards 33000.0
Scenario (A) - Is just for price to enter an area of supply which is at the 22hr supply zone. Then we will need our lower time frame confirmation to tell us that price is ready to drop like a choch and a wyckoff distribution. There is a 3hr supply below however, I feel like it will get violated hence why I will be waiting for the 22hr as that zone has also swept liquidity above.
Scenario (B) - Is for Price to sweep this major high and retrace back down towards our designated target around 33000.0. This is were im expecting price to slow down and accumilate orders for us to start entering our buy positions. Then from there we will ride with the trend up to maybe new higher highs.
Confluences for US30 shorts are as follows:
- Dollar has shifted trend to the downside so im expecting this market to be bullish.
- Price has had a lot of impulsive moves to the upside that it needs to come back and retrace back to.
- Price is approaching level of strong supply that will potentially cause price to come back down to a cheaper price so we can enter our buys.
- There are lots of imbalances below as well on HTF and if price wants to continue going back up it needs to retrace and pick up liquidity to beign a new rally.
P.S. I am expecting US30 to make new ATH's so if we get into buys we could possibly hold all the way to premium price levels. This is also backed by DXY as if thats now going down I will be expecting this market to rally up even more. In addition to this, sentiment analysis also expects US30 and NASDAQ to be very bullish which adds to our confluence for FUTURE buys!
US30 SELLHi, According to Dow Jones analysis, there is a very good selling opportunity. The indicator appears to be in a very negative state with the pitchfork tool broken. The support at 34200 was broken. We also notice the break of the 200 moving average. All these factors confirm that the market is for sale only. Good luck everyone
US30 IDEASo far the overall movement of US30 is bearish.
Price might be heading to the HTF LH, meaning that the current bullish trend is because price is reaching for the HTF LH and until it breaks it then the overall bearish trend will be broken.
I'm trading the bull run on the LTFs.
Predicted movements:
wave 1, 2 and 3