DOW JONES Trading PlanPattern: Channel Up on 4H.
Signal: (A) Sell as the RSI got rejected on its Resistance Zone. Wait for the MACD to cross in order to open the position. (B) Buy if the 28160 Resistance breaks.
Target: (A) 27000 (projected contact with the 4H MA50). (B) 29700 (+14.50% rise from the Higher Low).
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Dowjonessignals
DOW JONES Trading planPattern: Channel Up on 4H.
Signal: Bullish on every dashed line.
Target: The two Resistance levels 26,790 and 27,640.
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US 30/Dow Jones - AnalysisHello traders, here is the analysis from our team : We need price to push above 26024, pullback above this area. Then re break for nice run. Good luck today.
Let us know in the comment section below if you have any questions.😉
DOW JONES Sell SignalPattern: Bullish Megaphone on 4H.
Signal: Bearish as the price was rejected on the Megaphone's Higher High trend-line and broke through the (dashed) inner Higher High line.
Target: 24250 (roughly a -6% decline like the previous Higher High rejections, as well as contact with the 4H MA200).
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Previous DOW JONES trade:
DOWJONES Is this the countertrend rally of the Great Depression?I will not spend much time describing this as the chart is pretty much self-explanatory.
I have plotted Dow Jones trend of 1915 - 1945 (orange line) which includes the Great Depression against the trend of the recent decades (late 90s to 2020) which is displayed in blue.
Do you think they look similar? And if so are we currently on a similar counter-trend rally as in the start of the Great Depression? The comments section is yours, let me know!
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P.S. For the record, I am not trying to scare anyone, just shared an interesting comparison.
DOW JONES Trading PlanPattern: Emerging Channel Down on 4H.
Signal: Bearish as long as the 24395 trend-line is intact. Bullish if it breaks.
Target: 23350, 22950 and 22380 in succession (Supports 1, 2 and 3 respectively) depending on how much risk you want to take (R/R ratio).
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DOW JONES Signs of the Great Depression?This is a DJI comparison of the Great Depression and the phase that preceded it against the current COVID sell-off and the phase since the DotCom bubble that led to it.
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As you see both time phases are Megaphone patterns. Both started on high volatility (A,B,C,D) while the Megaphone was emerging and after testing the Higher High trend line for the longest time of the phase (E), the price broke above it making an over-extension (F). This is usually where most retail and other dumb money are trapped during recessions. What followed (F) during the Great Depression was of course a complete and lengthy collapse of the system, the worst recession in history. Also look how harmonically the 1M MA100 is moving on both patterns.
Will history repeat itself? I want to know your opinion about it.
*For the record the purpose of this comparison is not to spread panic, I will leave it to the mainstream media to do so. But it is so intriguing that I think can make a great discussion in the comment section below! So will it fill the gap?
DOW JONES Sell SignalPattern: 1H Channel Up.
Signal: Bearish as the price failed to break the medium term Higher High trend line (bold black) was rejected sideways and formed a Death Cross (MA50 crossing below the MA200) while the 1H RSI is trading on a bearish divergence.
Target: 28,030 (1H Support) and 27,800 (4H Support).
Dow Jones - Buy NowYes Dow Jone is in good for buy. Its already crossed the 0.786 fibo level and whenever price moving from down to upward in RSI and crossed the 64.34 (Blue horizontal line) its keep continue the bullish movement.
@ 26994 (this price can be change according to the broker)
TP 1 - 27120
TP 2 - 27135
TP 3 - 27150
SL - 26837
Note: Trade at your own risk high volatility and use money management.
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DOW JONES 50% correction or a new norm?The question on everyone's mind is that: "Are stocks overvalued right now or not?", "Is a major crash coming or we've seen the bottom and we're going for new all time highs?".
This is a hard question to ask. I try to approach this matter using the Great Depression as my basis point. Using the Pitchfork tool on the Great Depression, four very distinct ranges are presented. The top two I call the Bubble Band and the Bullish Band. The lower two, the Bearish Band and the Recession Band.
We see that since the Great Depression, DJI traded within the lower bands for almost 60 years after a convincing break-out took place in 1994/95 that paved the way to the tech bubble. This rally aggressively moved Dow Jones from the Bullish Band almost to the middle of the Bubble Band. Naturally the price levels were too unstable and crashed. The Dot-Com crash was not strong enough to break below the Bullish Band but the Subprime Mortgage bubble was. However trading inside the Bearish Band was short-lived and after a bottom was formed the index quickly recovered and traded inside the Bullish Band on a moderate rally for 8 years. Until only recently (2018) when it again entered marginally the Bubble Band and we've already seen the high volatility effect of this overvalued level.
So what happens next?
Either an approximately -50% correction like the last two times the index broke the Bullish Band (Dot-com, Subprimes) or a rather hard to grasp scenario for the extremists: The index will continue rising within the Bullish and Bubble Bands until it consolidates, making trading within the upper bands the new norm just like the 60 years that followed since the Great Depression where the price traded inside the lower bands.
No opinion can be right or wrong here. I welcome every "voice" in the comments section!