AUD-CHF Bearish Flag Pattern! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CHF is trading in a
Downtrend and the pair
Has formed a bearish
Flag pattern so IF we
See a bearish breakout
Then we will be expecting
A bearish continuation
Sell!
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Downtrend
EUR-USD Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-USD has hit a resistance
Cluster of the falling and
Horizontal resistance lines
At around 1.104 from where
We are seeing a bearish
Reaction so I think that
We will see a further
Local move down
Sell!
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GBPUSD I Potential downside and important considerationsWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GBPUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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AUDUSDA trendline is a line drawn over pivot highs or under pivot lows to show the prevailing direction of price. Trendlines are a visual representation of support and resistance in any time frame. They show direction and speed of price, and also describe patterns during periods of price contraction
EURCHF: Will Start Falling! Here is Why:
Looking at the chart of EURCHF right now we are seeing some interesting price action on the lower timeframes. Thus a local move down seems to be quite likely.
Start protection of your profits from lower levels.
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NZDJPY 4HIn technical analysis, Fibonacci retracement levels indicate key areas where a stock may reverse or stall. Common ratios include 23.6%, 38.2%, and 50%, among others. Usually, these will occur between a high point and a low point for a security, designed to predict the future direction of its price movement
📊 What are Swing Points?📍Types of Swing Points
A swing point on your chart is simply a turning point for price in the past, either to create a considerable pullback into an established trend, or to reverse it altogether. When a turning point creates a mere pullback it can be classified as a minor swing point. When it creates the base to reverse a trend, it is classified as a major swing point.
📍Why are swing high and swing low formed?
A swing high and swing low is formed due to what is known as support and resistance. The technical explanation for support and resistance is as follows:
🔹 A support forms for the price when you notice that there are more buyers than sellers at a certain price. The demand for the asset or the stock overwhelms the supply and thus pushes price higher.
🔹 A resistance forms for price when you notice more sellers than buyers at the price level. In this case, price fails to move higher and therefore declines.
Swing points are key levels we use in TA to identify potential trend reversals and support/resistance areas in the markets. Swing highs represent peaks in price movement , while swing lows represent valleys or troughs. You can find swing points by studying price charts, identifying peaks and valleys, and plotting them on the chart. By connecting swing points with trendlines, you can analyze patterns and assess potential support and resistance levels. Combining swing points with other technical indicators can enhance trading decisions. It's important to consider different time frames and use swing points as part of a comprehensive analysis approach.
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Stock Market Logic Series #5We are going to discuss the concept of FAIR price and how it is related to momentum.
This is also a missing piece of the puzzle related to the guppy moving averages. Which never explains the logic of fair price behind the moving averages. Just saying "traders are selling" or "investors are buying" without giving you the psychology behind the buying and selling.
The psychology behind buying and selling:
When you want something, you are willing to pay a premium on it, just to get it.
When you don't want something, you are willing to give a discount on it, just to get rid of it.
The Significance of Moving Averages in Stock Market Trading
In stock market trading, moving averages play a significant role in determining the fair price of a stock. Fast moving averages represent the short-term fair price, while slow moving averages indicate the long-term fair price. These moving averages serve as important indicators for traders, helping them understand the price trends and make informed decisions.
Trading Above the Fair Price: Strong Buyer Interest
When trading is above the fair price, it signifies that buyers are highly interested in acquiring the stock, even if it means paying above the fair price. This increased buying pressure drives the price up, as individuals value the stock and are willing to pay a premium to secure it. This scenario presents an opportunity for traders to benefit from price appreciation. Go with momentum.
Buying Opportunities: Trading Below the Moving Average
Conversely, when the price of a stock falls below the moving average, it indicates a potential opportunity for investor buyers. In this situation, the previous owner of the stock may become anxious to sell and is willing to do so at a price below the fair value. This creates a favorable buying opportunity for investors, as the stock can be acquired at a discount or fair price.
Trading Below the Fair Price: Anxious Sellers and Discounted Stocks
Trading below the fair price implies that the old buyer is motivated to sell the stock quickly. They may be eager to get rid of their position, leading them to offer the stock at a price lower than its fair value. For trading purposes, this means momentum is down, and you should look for an opportunity to sell. If the price is dramatically traded below the fair price (away from MA) this could FLAG you that a trend reversal may just happens. Remember the psychology of buying and selling. Ask yourself, if someone wants it, how come this price is so cheap?
Unfair Prices in a Downtrend: Waiting for Confirmation of a Decline
Moreover, when you are in a downtrend, when the price is above the moving average, it indicates that the stock is trading at an unfair price. However, if you have insights or analysis suggesting that the price will decline in the future, it may be wise to wait for the short-term trend to shift. By observing the stock's movement and waiting for the price to fall below the yellow fair price (moving average), traders can confirm that selling is indeed happening before making their move. Getting in too early, with the wrong trading technique, will get you hurt.
Assessing Market Conditions: Understanding Fair Prices and Moving Averages
By understanding the dynamics of fair prices and their relationship with moving averages, traders can better assess market conditions. They can identify when prices deviate from their fair value and use this knowledge to their advantage. This insight allows traders to make informed decisions based on price trends, helping them maximize potential profits and minimize risks.
Comprehensive Research: Beyond Fair Prices and Moving Averages
If you could couple of other factors that support your view of FAIR price. You can consider various factors such as company fundamentals, industry trends, and market sentiment to complement your understanding of fair prices and moving averages.
Enhancing Trading Strategies: Incorporating Technical Indicators
In addition to fair prices and moving averages, traders should also consider other technical indicators and tools to enhance their trading strategies. These may include volume analysis, trend lines, support and resistance levels, and oscillators. By incorporating multiple indicators, you can gain deeper insights into market movements and improve your ability to identify profitable opportunities.
Adapting to Market Dynamics: Continuous Learning in Stock Market Trading
Understanding the concept of fair prices in relation to moving averages is just one piece of the puzzle. Successful traders continually adapt and refine their strategies based on market conditions, new information, and evolving trends. By staying informed, conducting a thorough analysis, and employing sound trading principles, you can increase your chances of success in the stock market.
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