Draftkings
DKNG reclaim 60?DKNG 4HR Chart-
DKNG had a nice falling wedge breakout with decent volume and a strong close above 58. With earnings approaching as a catalyst, we could see more upside. Would like to see price form higher lows with this current break of the downtrend. A break and hold above 60.50-61 level and we could see nice rally to February highs of 64.70-65. Keep gambling laws, other gambling stocks' news (sympathy plays), etc. on watch as potential catalysts to help boost the Donkey Kong to the moon. Recent news with mobile sports betting laws being passed in states has resulted in pump and dump situation, so keep that in mind as well as current market sentiment.
DKNGDKNG is looking like it wants to bounce back into that channel and run. With Earnings coming up I expect a huge pump after it breaks the resistance and pushes into the channel. The RSI and MACD are looking good. It is still under the 200 and 50 MA, IMO I think it will break and that's when it will run. The next 2 weeks should be fun to watch. Let me know what you guys think
DKNG back to 70+?DKNG 1HR CHART...
After a strong sell off from reaching ATH, we seen some bullish momentum in the past 2 weeks with a strong close on Thursday. March Madness championship is Monday April 5th, so a potential catalyst to help this momentum continue. Expecting to see some bullish price action early this week and sell the news with sports activity decreasing. Possible catalysts to keep a look out for... gambling laws, partnerships, app features, etc. A safe entry would be on the break of 65 and a hold, to ride it back up and retest ATH. A Break Under 61 I would consider looking for a short opportunity to mid 50s depending on the overall market sentiment.
DKNG Stock 12/03/21 Analysis 4H Chart(DRAFTKINGS: DKNG )
- Trend Analysis -
📑Value: 0/20
📈Growth: 14/20
💰Profitability: 14/20
🚀Momentum: 20/20
💸Earnings: 14/20
🖇️Total Score: 62/100
Analysis:
Low: $41
Average: $72.83
High: $105
Current: $72.96
Income Statement:
Revenue: $614.53M
Gross Profit: $267.94M
EBITDA: -----
Net Income: -----
EPS Diluted: -$2.76
Cash Flow Statement:
Cash from Operations: -$337.88M
Cash from Investing: -$227.34M
Levered Free Cash Flow: -$49.38M
Unlevered Free Cash Flow: -$48.72M
Free Cash Flow: -$1.26
Balance Sheet:
Total Cash: $1.82B
Total Debt: $81.61M
Total Debt to Equity: 3.03%
Current Ratio: 3.96
Quick Ratio: 3.96
GNOG - We Aren't Bullish... YetNASDAQ:GNOG is another one of these "buzz" stocks that have TONS of potential, but just seem to be continually getting whacked. These stocks may take a while to find their bottom, so don't get crushed waiting for that to happen. When this stock breaks above the resistance line displayed on the chart, that is when we will start pouring the SCOTCH.
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DKNG correction time?$DKNG update wave 3 of 3 target hit, could see a retrace to my .618 which fills that gap at 62, I can see one more push towards mid march once this correction is in, after this month not much sports activity going on but news with gambling (laws, app features, partnerships) can push this.
Short target: 60
Long Target: 75+ ($100 stock long term)
Draft KingsDraftKings is an American daily fantasy sports contest and sports betting operator. The company allows users to enter daily and weekly fantasy sports–related contests and win money based on individual player performances in five major American sports (MLB, the NHL, the NFL, the NBA and the PGA), Premier League and UEFA Champions League soccer, NASCAR auto racing, Canadian Football League, the XFL, mixed martial arts (MMA) and Tennis.
Because why not!
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DraftKings LongPlayA Well Respected channel clearly in a continued uptrend, I anticipate a pullback to the given support in the chart before a continuation to the upside .
Ensure to plan your trade , Entry , Exit , and SL ...and dont get greedy ...take profits on the way up ....Thanks For stopping by . ..Appreciate the support , show your appreciation with a Like/Follow and feel free to comment .
DKNG is it time to ride this train back to ATH?After a nice rally leading up to the Super Bowl it looks like this beast has settled down, not much sports betting activity besides NBA and March Madness which would be a big one. After that I feel the stock price will see some flat movement and run based on states passing betting laws. Also keep in mind we have ER approaching soon so that will cause a possible run up. DKNG is currently in a downtrend channel and is looking primed to break out soon. We also have a gap down so keep in mind this could potentially go for that gap fill at 55. The Safest entry would be to wait for the breakout of the resistance line with significant volume for a confirmed sign of reversal. Now depending on market sentiment, we could see more room to the downside, where you could get a nice dip entry (buy zone located in chart) to long.
Key Levels
Support: $58.86, $56.86, $55.14
Resistance: $60, $61.11, $62.46, $64.21
Ways to Play this:
1. Load Up Shares
2. Enter on breakout of downtrend resistance with month out calls
3. Buy on the dip if this goes for a gap fill
4. 2022 leaps
Option Ideas: low to high risk contracts (High OI and VOl, very liquid contracts so you can get filled easily)
60C 3/19 4.30
65C 3/19 2.57
60C 2/26 2.62
65C 2/26 1.05
60C 2/19 .57 (lotto)
62C 2/19 .21 (lotto)
Update on DKNG, tested previous high, good newsDKNG has contended with its previous high which bodes well for future performance. It's a very low probability event that any stock, commodity, or other financial assets break through a previous resistance without first contending with it.
DKNG has carried on trend, and so far Cathie Woods hasn't picked a bad egg. Expect some legs on this trade, especially after earnings when the rest of the world realizes how attractive the prospects for this business and stock are.
Ark just added DKNG; go longArk just added DKNG to its ARKK fund which is extremely popular in terms of inflows and performance. This should create a floor for DKNG to really start to build up its share price. With the support, DKNG should head towards $80 a share.
Earnings are right around the corner and this quarter is like their holiday season; the Superbowl, the largest sports betting event of the year. They are going to knock the cover off the ball. Expect a lot of options activity around that time which should help to provide a slight gamma squeeze.
Fundamentally, they are beginning to penetrate new markets and take share from the black market as more states legalize. It's truly all downhill from here from Draftkings. Best pureplay on Sportsbetting/Sportsbooks.
If Ark and Cathy Woods a.k.a. the "Money Tree" are throwing their weight and reputations behind DKNG, I would NOT hesitate to follow.
Buy under: $65
Midpoint to sell half: $80.
Long-term price target: $100.
$DKNG and $PENN - Betting on BettingFor anyone who remembers the death spiral of March 2020 with $DKNG trading at $10.60 and $PENN trading as low as $3.75 you are either riding the wave or watching in wonder. Even with the impossible runs both have taken off their 2020 lows many debate where this “sports betting” trade will go?
Some points of consideration:
Size of Market
Since the PASPA repeal in May 2018 approximately 50% of the U.S. has some form of legalized sports betting. This number is a little misleading as a state like New York is included even with the very limited access to betting markets through Tribal agreements. When you consider California from a strictly GDP perspective you are talking about an economy roughly the size of the U.K.. And when you look at California, Texas, New York and Florida which are all starting to lean into true legalization conversations you are talking about 36% of U.S. GDP in those four states alone.
The other major component when trying to figure out total addressable market is the black or grey market for sports betting. The legalization of sports betting did not create a new market for sports bettors, it simply created access to one onshore in the U.S.. The debate for how big the black market is a fair one and only one part of it, the other is how long until it can be migrated onshore if at all.
When looking at market caps and market share it is clear that the original assumptions of the market were too small and are a major reason for the sustained push higher in the gaming sector with $DKNG and $PENN clearly out performing. As new states come on it should make you reconsider the true size the market to better align price targets.
Nielsen 2.0
Many debate the true value of both $DKNG and $PENN because those familiar with the sports betting industry understand that a sports book typically is a very low margin business (5-6%) that requires major expenses to acquire new customers with cost per acquisition being reported well over $1,000 per depositing player. If we take a step back and look at what a digital solution will offer operators we can begin to see the forest through the trees in how sports book and large gaming operators will be positioning themselves over the next 3-5 years.
In one word, data.
If we fast forward to 2025, who will know more about the sports fan than $DKNG and $PENN? Who will have access to mold and monetize the fan experience? When I was a kid I would watch Sportscenter on repeat. Today, these companies know every key stroke we make. The value of that data defines the true value of these companies in my opinion.
Conclusion
If you stop to consider both $DKNG or $PENN as marketing companies who are attracting players for other products like igaming or hospitality you can begin to see a true path to what I believe they are working towards. The recent M&A across the gaming and media space is a lesson in effective distribution. The momentum has been started with COVID and the March 2020 lows with digital channels becoming critical to future success.
The sports betting trade continues to be bullish as it will lead to much more than a single bet. Remember, as the old time gamblers will tell you, “sports betting is only the thing that gets you the thing”.
Author
Scott San Emeterio
CEO, BallStreet Trading - Hosting real-time markets on live sporting events.
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