DRV a triple leveraged Real Estate ETF LONGDRV as a ETF of real estate stocks is likely somewhat responsive to the financial environment.
My idea is that the recent rate hike of 0.25% will adversely effect home sales and liquidity
especially given that the Fed has indicated that there will be on easing this year but perhaps
some pauses. They take August off for the conference and party. The 2H chart shows
price moving down from a high pivot in May. The zero-lag EMAs ( 35/70/280) are
golden crossing. The MACD confirms that upward divergence.On the dual time frame
RSI, the low TF green line has jumped up and looks solid. I will take a long swing trade
here zooming into the 15-30 minute TF for an entry. I will also look at the options chain
seeking an option expiring in 203 months reflecting a target of 48 between the POC line
of the volume profile and the mean VWAP thick black line. I like to catch revesals early to
profit from the bulk of the move. This is another opportunity.
DRN
OPEN OpenDoor a Penny Real Estate LONGOPEN has earnings upcoming on 8/3. An analysis of the 4H chart with overlays shows
bullish momentum in the set of zero lag EMA lines as well as upgoing anchored VWAP
landlines. Price crossed over the mean VWAP ( thin black) and the POC line of the
volume profile one month ago. The MACD shows bullish momentum since July 24th.
The dual RSI indicator shows the low time frame green line rising and then crossing the
steady higher black time frame line the past trading day and both being at the 60
level.
OPEN is a long trade setup with earnings around the corner. I will take it.
OPEN breaks out. Can it continue?OPEN a disruptive company in the residential real estate sector as shown on the 1H chart has
continued out of a pullback. Is the continuation sustainable? I believe that inflation has
become imbedded into the economy. Banks have survived the crisis with federal support and
action. The Z score and relative trend index are impressive with the present indications.
In an abundance of caution, the mass index is approaching the reversal zone above and could
be somewhat predictive of a potential reversal. Moreover, the anchored VWAP lines with an
origination ten trading days back shows price at three standard deviations above the mean
VWAP. Overall, I believe that I should not enter a long uptrend this far into its extension
when there are signs based on technical indicators. Instead, I will watch for another
pullback or actual retracement.
NAIL- an ETF of Homebuilders 3X leveragedNAIL- is an ETF of Homebuilders; It is 3X leveraged. Price is up over 30% in the first two weeks \
of June. It is shown here on the 30-minute chart with the "Market Bias" indicator which shows
uptrends in green and pull-back zones in gray. Presently, price is pulling back - when the gray
colored trend indicator changes back to green, an optimal entry can be made.The ADX indicator
has topped out as part of the early pullback. When the ADX goes below 25 and then crosses 25
from below, an entry can be made. An ADX over 50 and rising suggests that it is too late for
an entry and not to chase but rather wait for a pullback.
Overall, NAIL's price is now in early pullback by the "Market Bias: trend indicator and the ADX
which shows now a decreasing trend directional strength. Price is more than one standard
deviation above the mean anchored VWAP which is an level that professional traders want
to sell from. Because of all of this I will wait for an entry on NAIL until a pullback is completed
and the uptrend bullish continuation is seen.